Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Charles Town
Wednesday - January 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-8   WIN (10/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  10 $5.60 $1.60 40%
Simulator Race results
 
CT-1   01/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3 ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:153     1:304   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MONEYFORNOTHING 2 1 33 33   32½ 1nk (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 8% 11.70 2.40 W
5  WESRIGHT 4 4 21 2nk   21 2nk (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 15% 5.70 1.60 P
3  DANNY'S WINKSTER 3 3 11 1nk   11 31 (mancilla carl)ALVELO C 122 1.80 10% 9.40 1.20 S
6  TIZNOW TIME 5 5 45½ 411   48½ 412¾ (covello andre)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00 ★ 19.40  
1  SUPER DREAMER 1 2 57 513½   510½ 519¼ (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 120 20.00 21.90  
SCR  TAKE AIM               (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.60 47% 1.10    
 
CT-2   01/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:23 :474       :544   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  JEFFERSON SECURITY 2 5 2½     2nk 12¾ (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 0.60 49% 1.10 0.40 W
1  BOO TOO 1 3 1½     1nk 22¾ (stehr joseph )SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00 7.40  
6  MONKEY WRENCH 6 1 44½     35 34 (barahona isaac)CECIL Y 122 5.00 ★ 9.40 S
4  ALLEGHENY HERO 4 6 69½     68¼ 45¾ (grams t)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 6.00 ★ 11.80  
7  CHARTERED COURSE 7 7 713½     79¾ 56½ (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 4.50 20% 4.00 14.70  
5  JUBA'S YANKEE ONE 5 2 55     56¼ 66¾ (racanelli m)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 30.00 45.50  
3  SWEET T 3 4 32     46 76¾ (mckee d)BAEZ M 115 12.00 5% 17.60 6.70  
 
CT-3   01/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:223 :472       :541   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SALTY SAUL 3 4 42½     42½ 1½ (mancilla carlos )ACOSTA D 122 10.00 9.00  
2  K K CAN 1 3 1nk     11 2½ (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 120 8.00 9% 9.80 4.50 P
6  BET THE QUEEN 5 5 74¼     65½ 3¾ (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50 20% 3.90 6.00 S
5  BLACK PANDA 4 7 31     21 4¾ (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 26% 2.90 1.60  
7  GRAM'S GAL 6 1 52¾     54½ 52 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 122 10.00 14.40  
3  LUNAR PRAYER 2 2 2nk     31½ 64¾ (comi w)PELTROCHE F 122 4.00 3.80  
9  LADY LICIOUS 7 6 63¾     77 76½ (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00 7% 12.40 5.70  
SCR  RIDE ON BEAUTY               (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00    
SCR  SHANIA SEA               (mcclellan e)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 10% 8.50    
 
CT-4   01/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:222 :463       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SIENTE LA BRISA 5 1 32½     21 1¼ (stehr josep)RAMGEET R 120 10.00 ★ 16.50  
3  NORDIC DANCER 3 5 54     42½ 2¼ (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 ★ 6.80 P
1  CHEROKEE CASTLE 1 4 43     52½ 31 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50 12% 7.30 2.30 S
5  CRAFTY WINDSOR CAT 4 2 11½     11 42 (bass curtis )LEWIS M 113 1.80 61% 0.60 0.60  
2  TRUE FLIRT 2 3 21½     32 52¼ (lewis willi)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 3.00 ★ 7.00  
SCR  OFFICER CALLY               (atkins michael)MONTANO JOSE 120 10.00    
 
CT-5   01/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:251 :493 1:141 1:402   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  RAISE A SPEIGHTS 7 5 21 2½ 1nk 12 18¼ (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 33% 2.10 2.20 W
6  AUTS REVOLUTION 5 4 11 1½ 2nk 22 28¼ (sanderson )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 27% 2.70 2.70 P
5  CHARITABLE VISIT 4 3 43 44 35 33½ 310½ (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00 18.60  
2  ROYAL CRUSADER 2 6 64 66 47½ 47½ 413¼ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 12% 7.10 1.20  
1  MINE TO HOLD 1 1 54 55½ 58½ 510 521¼ (synnefias panagi)ACOSTA D 124 5.00 13.10  
7  UNCLE JEROME 6 8 77 710½ 711 612 622½ (smith lawrenc)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 ★ 55.60  
9  THE IRON BANK 8 7 89 818½ 814 715 727¼ (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 30.00 51.20  
4  RESPECT FOR ALL 3 2 32 34 610½ 816½ 836¼ (hillegass a)RAMGEET R 122 15.00 31.90  
SCR  SOUTHSIDE WARRIOR               (hurley jack)MORALES KELVIN 122 8.00 8% 12.20    
 
CT-6   01/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:122     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ICING 4 1 1½ 11   13½ 14¼ (cash norman )LEWIS M 113 1.20 30% 2.40 0.50 W
8  MR CHANCE ROMANCE 6 4 31 21   23½ 24¼ (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 25% 3.00 6.50 P
4  RED HOT TODDY 3 2 41½ 33   38 313 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 ★ 15.50 S
7  HILLBILLY ROCK 5 5 513½ 514   515 421¼ (atkins michael)MONTANO JOSE 120 20.00 26.90  
3  DONNIE B 2 3 2½ 46½   413 523 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.50 16% 5.40 6.60  
1  ENTRY TIME 1 6 6100 6100   6100 6100 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00 ★ 4.10  
SCR  IN HIGH GEAR               (mcdonald timoth)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
SCR  ROCKET J.               (kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 120 30.00    
 
CT-7   01/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:131     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ROYAL SPY 6 5 21 1nk   12 11¾ (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 12.00 ★ 3.30  
9  RIDICULOUS 8 9 53¼ 41¾   55 21¾ (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00 33.00  
4  CHARLIE POTATOES 4 1 95½ 84¾   68 32¾ (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 21.30  
5  MORE PLEASE 5 8 74¼ 62¾   42½ 43¾ (contreras j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00 14.80  
10  CLOSE THE CASE 9 6 31 3.2   32½ 55¾ (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 120 12.00 43.00  
8  SUBJECT TO CHANGE 7 7 11 2nk   22 67¼ (spriggs toschia )ACOSTA D 120 4.50 11% 8.10 9.40  
11  MANOLITO 10 10 43 51¾   710 77½ (klesaris robe)ALVELO C 120 6.00 1.50  
2  WICKED MAD 2 2 107 97¼   910¾ 89½ (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.00 11% 8.30 18.10  
1  DIVINE LAW 1 4 84½ 73¼   810½ 910¼ (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00 4.90  
3  BOURBON OVER ICE 3 3 64¼ 1010¼   1015¾ 1023½ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 49% 1.00 7.80  
SCR  ROCKET APPEAL               (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 15.00 6% 15.10    
 
CT-8   01/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
See original race card.
:224 :542         :542   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  VEGAS PRINCESS 10 1 13     12 1½ (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 3.50 58% 0.70 1.80 W
9  IMINCHARGENOW 9 3 33     22 2½ (schottroffe e)THORPE DARIUS 122 6.00 2.80  
2  SWISS HORIZON 2 9 54¾     43½ 32½ (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.00 ★ 7.20 S
3  BANK CARD 3 7 77¾     75¾ 42¾ (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 122 20.00 35.20  
4  WARRIORINTHEHOUSE 4 4 65¼     55 54¾ (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 122 4.50 ★ 15.00  
8  LAURA'S GRAND 8 2 43¼     65½ 67¼ (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00 44.90  
7  WEAVINYOUINTHEDUST 7 6 912¼     910¾ 78½ (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 5.00 ★ 8.00  
6  LITTLE O LITTLE E 6 5 23     33½ 812¾ (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00 18.80  
5  GATTOLOTTASPARKLE 5 8 811¼     810¾ 913¾ (mcclure)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 30.00 48.50  
1  KNOBIESMAGICSONDE 1 10 10100     10100 10100 (knoblauch-per)ADAMS L 115 6.00 14% 6.00 4.40  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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