Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - January 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2/6)-(5/3/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(2/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(2/7/3)-(5/6/2/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/3)-(2/7/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/3)-(2/7/3/6/4)-(2/7/3/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/7/3)-(5/6/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3)-(5/6/2/9)-(5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/6/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/9)-(5/6/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/9)-(5/6/2/9)-(5/6/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/2/9)-(5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2/9)-(5/1)-(8/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/2/3/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/2/3/6)-(5/1/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1)-(8/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(8/6/2)-(6/8/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/2)-(8/6/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/6/2)-(8/6/2/7)-(8/6/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/6/2)-(6/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/6/2)-(6/8/3)-(3/8/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-6   WIN (6/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/3)-(6/8/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/3)-(6/8/3/1/4)-(6/8/3/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/8/3)-(3/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/8/3)-(3/8/2)-(10/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/2)-(3/8/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/2)-(3/8/2/6)-(3/8/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/8/2)-(10/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CT-8   WIN (10/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/1)-(10/1/2/4/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (10/1)-(10/1/2/4/7)-(10/1/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   01/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER DREAMER Dec30 Dec03 Nov11     (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 120 20.00    
2  MONEYFORNOTHING Nov17 Oct06       (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 8% 11.70    
3  DANNY'S WINKSTER Dec03 Nov04 Oct01     (mancilla carl)ALVELO C 122 1.80 10% 9.40    
SCR  TAKE AIM Dec09 Nov25 Oct27 Oct06   (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.60 47% 1.10    
5  WESRIGHT Nov20 Nov04       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 15% 5.70    
6  TIZNOW TIME Dec09 Oct27 Oct06 Sep16   (covello andre)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00 ★    
 
CT-2   01/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOO TOO Dec17 Oct29 Sep03 Aug13 May14 (stehr joseph )SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00    
2  JEFFERSON SECURITY Sep24 Sep03 Aug13     (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 0.60 49% 1.10    
3  SWEET T         (mckee d)BAEZ M 115 12.00 5% 17.60    
4  ALLEGHENY HERO Nov30         (grams t)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 6.00 ★    
5  JUBA'S YANKEE ONE Dec09 Nov12 Oct28 Oct15 Sep09 (racanelli m)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 30.00    
6  MONKEY WRENCH Nov30 Nov09 Oct20 Sep29 Aug13 (barahona isaac)CECIL Y 122 5.00 ★    
7  CHARTERED COURSE Jan05 Dec17 Oct29 Oct19 Sep28 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 4.50 20% 4.00    
 
CT-3   01/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RIDE ON BEAUTY Nov26 Oct08 Sep11 Aug14 Jul22 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00    
2  K K CAN Nov30 Sep28 Sep02 Jan13   (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 120 8.00 9% 9.80    
3  LUNAR PRAYER Dec17 Nov05 Oct15 Sep29 Jul08 (comi w)PELTROCHE F 122 4.00    
4  SALTY SAUL Nov09 Oct15 Aug31 Aug13 Jul29 (mancilla carlos )ACOSTA D 122 10.00    
5  BLACK PANDA Nov30 Aug18 Jul23 Jul01 May27 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 26% 2.90    
6  BET THE QUEEN Nov30 Nov02 Sep21 Sep07 Aug05 (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50 20% 3.90    
7  GRAM'S GAL Dec14 Nov23 Nov09 Nov02 Oct13 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 122 10.00    
SCR  SHANIA SEA Dec20 Nov09 Oct24 Aug18 Jul22 (mcclellan e)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 10% 8.50    
9  LADY LICIOUS Nov26 Nov03 Oct14 Sep24 Sep03 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00 7% 12.40    
 
CT-4   01/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHEROKEE CASTLE Jul02 Jun16 May25 Apr23 Apr01 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50 12% 7.30    
2  TRUE FLIRT Dec07 Nov11 Sep03 Aug18 Jul23 (lewis willi)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 3.00 ★    
3  NORDIC DANCER Nov18 Oct26 Jan14     (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 ★    
SCR  OFFICER CALLY Dec07 Jul02 Jun16 Jun04 May21 (atkins michael)MONTANO JOSE 120 10.00    
5  CRAFTY WINDSOR CAT Oct26 Sep29 Sep01     (bass curtis )LEWIS M 113 1.80 61% 0.60    
6  SIENTE LA BRISA Dec07 Nov11 Oct13 Sep22 Sep01 (stehr josep)RAMGEET R 120 10.00 ★    
 
CT-5   01/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINE TO HOLD Dec14 Dec04 Nov16 Nov01 Oct05 (synnefias panagi)ACOSTA D 124 5.00    
2  ROYAL CRUSADER Dec11 Nov18 Oct16 Aug13 Jul01 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  SOUTHSIDE WARRIOR Nov16 Sep29 Sep07 Aug18 Jul29 (hurley jack)MORALES KELVIN 122 8.00 8% 12.20    
4  RESPECT FOR ALL Dec17 Oct12 Sep24 Sep03 Aug22 (hillegass a)RAMGEET R 122 15.00    
5  CHARITABLE VISIT Sep30 Sep24 Sep08 Aug19 Jul29 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
6  AUTS REVOLUTION Nov12 Oct22 Sep30 Sep15 Aug25 (sanderson )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
7  UNCLE JEROME Jan05 Dec20 Nov26 Oct15 Sep30 (smith lawrenc)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 ★    
8  RAISE A SPEIGHTS Dec11 Nov21 Oct06 Sep18 Aug26 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 33% 2.10    
9  THE IRON BANK Dec08 Nov16 Oct26 Sep30 Sep15 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 30.00    
 
CT-6   01/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENTRY TIME Dec01 Nov17 Oct27 Oct06 Sep09 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00 ★    
SCR  ROCKET J. Dec08 Dec01 Nov16 Sep07 Aug05 (kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 120 30.00    
3  DONNIE B Dec17 Nov26 Nov09     (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.50 16% 5.40    
4  RED HOT TODDY Sep29 Aug19 Jul08 Jun17 May25 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  IN HIGH GEAR Dec01 Nov12 Oct21 Sep24 Sep03 (mcdonald timoth)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
6  ICING Dec08 Nov12 Sep23 Aug25 Jul31 (cash norman )LEWIS M 113 1.20 30% 2.40    
7  HILLBILLY ROCK Dec08 Nov16 Jul16 Jul02 Jun18 (atkins michael)MONTANO JOSE 120 20.00    
8  MR CHANCE ROMANCE Nov30 Nov17 Oct19 Sep30 Sep16 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
 
CT-7   01/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINE LAW Dec10 Nov20 Oct15 Sep10 Aug14 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
2  WICKED MAD Nov24 Nov05 Oct21 Sep02 Aug20 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.00 11% 8.30    
3  BOURBON OVER ICE Dec10 Oct27 Oct19 Oct08 Sep30 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 49% 1.00    
4  CHARLIE POTATOES Nov24 Nov03 Oct13 Sep07 Jul07 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00    
5  MORE PLEASE Nov24 Nov03 Oct05 Sep21 Jul29 (contreras j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00    
6  ROYAL SPY Dec11 Nov21 Nov12 Oct15 Sep25 (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 12.00 ★    
SCR  ROCKET APPEAL Dec09 Nov10 Oct28 Sep24 Aug13 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 15.00 6% 15.10    
8  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Nov24 Oct21 Sep03 Aug13 Jul04 (spriggs toschia )ACOSTA D 120 4.50 11% 8.10    
9  RIDICULOUS Oct08 Aug27 Aug13 Aug05 Jul24 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
10  CLOSE THE CASE Nov24 Sep29 Sep09 Aug17 Jul07 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 120 12.00    
11  MANOLITO Dec11 Nov21 Nov05 Sep24 Aug22 (klesaris ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00    
 
CT-8   01/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNOBIESMAGICSONDE Nov03 Oct06 Sep22     (knoblauch-per)ADAMS L 115 6.00 14% 6.00    
2  SWISS HORIZON Nov30 Jul07 Jun18 May18 Mar16 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.00 ★    
3  BANK CARD Dec15 Nov24       (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 122 20.00    
4  WARRIORINTHEHOUSE Dec15 Nov30 Nov09 Oct20 Jul28 (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 122 4.50 ★    
5  GATTOLOTTASPARKLE Dec15         (mcclure)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 30.00    
6  LITTLE O LITTLE E Dec15 Nov24 Nov03     (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00    
7  WEAVINYOUINTHEDUST Dec09 Nov03 Oct06 Sep24 Aug19 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 5.00 ★    
8  LAURA'S GRAND Dec09 Nov18 Nov03 Oct13 Jan26 (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00    
9  IMINCHARGENOW Dec17 Nov17 Sep16 Aug12 Jul23 (schottroffe e)THORPE DARIUS 122 6.00    
10  VEGAS PRINCESS Nov18 Nov06 Oct17 Oct04   (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 3.50 58% 0.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.