Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Wednesday - February 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (4/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $8.60 $2.60 43%
    EXA (4/3/9)-(4/3/9/1/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-9 $41.80 $17.80 74%
    TRI (4/3/9)-(4/3/9/1/6)-(4/3/9/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00  3-9-6 $64.80 $28.80 80%
PEN-2   DD (4/3/9)-(3/8/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-3 $33.20 $15.20 84%
PEN-4   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $6.20 $2.20 55%
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/1/7/2)-(6/3/1/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00  3-6-7 $39.80 $15.80 66%
    SFT (6/3)-(6/3/1/7/2)-(6/3/1/7/2)-(6/3/1/7/2) 48 $0.10 $4.80  3-6-7-2 $11.50 $6.70 140%
PEN-5   WIN (6/1/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $23.00 $15.00 188%
    EXA (6/1/9/7)-(6/1/9/7/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00  9-1 $267.80 $235.80 737%
    TRI (6/1/9/7)-(6/1/9/7/8)-(6/1/9/7/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00  9-1-7 $318.90 $270.90 564%
    SFT (6/1/9/7)-(6/1/9/7/8)-(6/1/9/7/8)-(6/1/9/7/8) 96 $0.10 $9.60  9-1-7-6 $117.00 $107.40 1119%
    DD (6/3)-(6/1/9/7) 8 $2.00 $16.00  3-9 $50.60 $34.60 216%
PEN-6   DD (6/1/9/7)-(1/5/4/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00  9-4 $78.80 $46.80 146%
    PK3 (6/3)-(6/1/9/7)-(1/5/4/7) 32 $0.50 $16.00  3-9-4 $97.20 $81.20 508%

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   02/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:224 :462 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VAN HAVEN 3 5 4 3   3 1¼ (beattie tod)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00 24% 3.20 3.30 W
SPUNKY ZOEY 7 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 2¼ (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 6.00 15% 5.50 4.00 P
MISS CONVEYOR 5 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 3 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 10.00 5.70 S
MOVING IN STEREO 2 7 7 5   4 4 (crook-demasi kath)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 9.80  
PLATINUM PROMISE 4 4 31 4   5 5 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 38% 1.60 1.50  
TILTED TIARA 1 6 5 6   6 610¼ (lucas bonni)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 6.00 10.00  
PROTECTTHEWITNESS 6 3 6 7   712¼ 713¾ (schoentha)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 15.50  
SCR  AMAZINGMAE               (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00    
SCR  WRITE THIS DOWN               (englehar)DAVIS A 122 5.00    
 
PEN-2   02/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:144 1:43   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELEGANT TASTE 3 3 11 1 13 13 1 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50 35% 1.80 1.90 W
HUSHEMUP 7 6 4 4 34 23 2 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 31% 2.20 1.50 P
SKIPOVER 4 4 5 5 57 45 3 (cooper stacey)CHIAPPE R 124 12.00 16.50  
MS KAYS COWGIRL 6 5 6 6 67 35 4 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 3.00 3.90  
CEREAL I D 1 2 32 2 23 5 510½ (boyer david )VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00 26.30  
LET UR LIGHT SHINE 5 7 710 711½ 711 712¾ 613 (sells rache)INIRIO J 124 12.00 23.60  
CEETA 2 1 21 33 4 612½ 717¾ (albright amy)FLORES E 124 4.50 6.40  
SCR  SANTAFE EXPRESS               (fields kevi)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-3   02/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  KEEPING THE PEACE 10 4 5 3   4¾ 1¼ (velazquez d)OCASIO JONATHAN 124 4.50 1.80  
DROSSELMOON 3 2 2 2   1nk 2¼ (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.00 6.10 P
CRYPT 4 8 65 4   3.2 3½ (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 8.00 12.40 S
SPEEDY MOONLITE 2 1 1 1   2nk 4 (albright amy)FLORES E 124 3.00 62% 0.60 3.70  
MY DEVILS CHILD 1 5 3 54   5 5 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 124 6.00 8% 12.00 6.70  
TWO PRINCES 8 3 8 7   7 6 (padilla hugo )RIVERA D 124 12.00 27.80  
PECOS BILL 7 9 910 8   6 78 (bartoni wayn)VILLEGAS JERRY 119 12.00 26.40  
FUTILE 6 10 1010½ 9   8 8 (sells rac)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00 4.20  
BANANAS ON FIRE 9 6 43 6   9 912¼ (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 124 12.00 50.50  
SHADOW BOAT 5 7 79 1014¼   1019½ 1032 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 30.00 58.60  
 
PEN-4   02/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST GOT STARTED 3 3 1 12   12 1 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 124 3.50 20% 4.10 2.10 W
WILD VINE 6 1 2 22   22 2 (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 2.50 54% 0.90 1.10 P
MITROPANOS 7 7 53 3   33 3 (zalalas mic)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 8.00 14.00 S
SUNSHINE JACK 2 2 32 45   5 4 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 4.00 5.60  
NECCO 5 5 4 56   47 5 (murtough stephe)RODRIGUEZ E 124 10.00 34.70  
TORRID 1 4 65 7   610½ 613¾ (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 5.00 7.00  
SKIMBLE SHANKS 4 6 7 6   711 717½ (beattie s)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.50 15.70  
 
PEN-5   02/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:222 :453 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT 8 1 1 13   1 1½ (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 18% 4.40 10.50 W
VOUCH 1 7 86 56   3 2½ (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 20% 4.00 14.90 P
ECONOMIC POWER 6 6 5 33   2 3 (ramirez r)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 7% 13.70 1.20 S
JAYJAYDEE 5 3 3 7   5 4 (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 33% 2.00 2.10  
PERUVIAN BOY 7 8 7 9   610½ 5 (sells rache)INIRIO J 120 15.00 21.60  
10  DON'T DARE ME 9 5 4 23   46 6 (guerrero j )WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 15.00 11.40  
ORASHI 2 9 98 8   812 7 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 30.00 85.30  
SPIKES SHIRL 4 2 63 6   913 812¼ (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 5.00 9.50  
MOJAC KAT 3 4 2 45   711½ 921¾ (walters henry)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 13.70  
SCR  BAILEY               (simone michae)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 6.00    
 
PEN-6   02/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHRIS AND DAVE 4 3 2½ 1nk   1½ 1 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 14% 6.20 2.80 W
RAPID RESPONSE 3 4 1½ 2nk   2½ 2 (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 4.30  
FLAT OUT FLASHY 1 6 52 6   32 32 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 43% 1.30 3.40 S
PAPA TONY 2 2 3 4   5 42 (dimitriou)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 2.70  
LITERALLY 5 5 6 31   42 5 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 17% 5.00 3.80  
BIG BAD BUD 6 1 4 5   6 611½ (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 22.60  
MR. SKITTLES 7 7 7 7   712¼ 718½ (moreno tito)INIRIO J 122 50.00 5% 19.00 60.20  
 
PEN-7   02/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ECLIPTICALS SARAH 5 4 1nk 2½   1½ 1hd (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 8.00 9.60  
NAIL POLISH 8 3 4 31   32 2hd (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 8% 11.50 9.30 P
LANFRANKOPHILE 1 6 8 97   66 3 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 3.50 47% 1.10 2.00 S
10  KNICKERSINATWIST 10 1 2nk 1½   2½ 4 (stites flin)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 8.00 9% 9.50 3.20  
COSMOLOGICAL 9 2 3.2 42   4 52 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00 40.70  
QUEEN'S DREAM 7 7 7 54   53 6 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 12% 7.50 3.80  
PHANCY PHILLY 2 9 9 10   910 7 (houghton th)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 20.30  
RAIN LILLY 6 8 6 6   79 8 (houghton th)INIRIO J 120 12.00 36.90  
SIMPLE SOUVENIR 3 10 10 87   8 96 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 124 5.00 7.70  
SENSON 4 5 5 7   1012½ 1013 (bobadilla)VARGAS L 120 6.00 30.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.