Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Wednesday - February 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (4/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-2   Win (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-3   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-4   Win (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-5   Win (6/1/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-6   Win (1/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-7   Win (1/7/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   02/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TILTED TIARA Dec28 Nov21 Nov13 Oct08 Aug26 (lucas bonnie)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 6.00    
MOVING IN STEREO Dec28 Nov30 Oct10 Sep03 Aug05 (crook-demasi kathle)AGUILAR M 122 10.00    
VAN HAVEN Jan12 Nov16 Oct29 Oct06 Sep15 (beattie todd )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
PLATINUM PROMISE Jan12 Dec06 Nov01 Oct04   (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  WRITE THIS DOWN Dec29 Nov06 Aug15 Jun17 Apr29 (englehart )DAVIS A 122 5.00    
MISS CONVEYOR Jan11 Dec20       (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 124 10.00    
SCR  AMAZINGMAE Jan26 Dec27 Nov23 Oct11   (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00    
PROTECTTHEWITNESS May17 Apr29 Mar09     (schoenthal p)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 8.00    
SPUNKY ZOEY Jan26 Dec30 Dec09 Nov22 Nov04 (stites flint )INIRIO J 122 6.00 15% 5.50    
 
PEN-2   02/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CEREAL I D Jan26 Dec20 Dec06 Nov16 Oct05 (boyer jr)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00    
CEETA Jan25 Nov30 Nov18 Nov04 Oct11 (albright amy)FLORES E 124 4.50    
ELEGANT TASTE Jan11 Dec27 Nov21     (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  SANTAFE EXPRESS Jan26 Jan11 Dec07 Oct26 Oct10 (fields kevin)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SKIPOVER Jan25 Jan11 Dec27 Nov05 Oct22 (cooper stacey)CHIAPPE R 124 12.00    
LET UR LIGHT SHINE Jan25 Nov22 Nov01 Oct10 Sep04 (sells rachel)INIRIO J 124 12.00    
MS KAYS COWGIRL Jan25 Nov30 Nov18 Nov04 Oct11 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 3.00    
HUSHEMUP Jan25 Jan15 Dec09 Nov24 Nov04 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
PEN-3   02/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY DEVILS CHILD Jan19 Dec30 Nov23 Oct28 Oct12 (moreno-barban)INIRIO J 124 6.00 8% 12.00    
SPEEDY MOONLITE Sep21 Aug31 Aug18 Jul21 Jun29 (albright amy)FLORES E 124 3.00 62% 0.60    
DROSSELMOON Jan19 Dec13 Nov15 Oct19 Aug31 (rathman elish)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.00    
CRYPT Dec13 Nov08 Oct28 Oct07 Sep07 (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 8.00    
SHADOW BOAT Jan20 Dec27 Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 30.00    
FUTILE Jan27 Jan11 Nov02 Oct08 Sep23 (sells rache)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00    
PECOS BILL Dec27 Aug31 Jul20 Jun22 May25 (bartoni wayne )BARBOSA JEIRON 119 12.00    
TWO PRINCES Jan31 Jan04 Dec13 Nov22 Nov07 (padilla o)RIVERA D 124 12.00    
BANANAS ON FIRE Dec30 Dec06       (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 124 12.00    
10  KEEPING THE PEACE Jan19 Jan09 Dec12 Aug04 Jul11 (velazquez dan)OCASIO JONATHAN 124 4.50    
 
PEN-4   02/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TORRID         (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 124 5.00    
SUNSHINE JACK Dec06 Oct21       (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 4.00    
JUST GOT STARTED Dec21 Jul08 Jun04     (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 124 3.50 20% 4.10    
SKIMBLE SHANKS Jan19 Dec09 Sep08 Aug17 Jul28 (beattie san)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.50    
NECCO Dec21 Dec06 Nov15 Oct21 Oct07 (murtough stephen )RODRIGUEZ E 124 10.00    
WILD VINE Dec21         (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 2.50 54% 0.90    
MITROPANOS         (zalalas micha)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 8.00    
 
PEN-5   02/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOUCH Jan20 Nov29 Oct14 Sep08 Aug18 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 20% 4.00    
ORASHI Nov02 Aug24 Jun30 Jun17 Jun01 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 30.00    
MOJAC KAT Jan27 Dec18 Dec04 Oct15 Sep23 (walters henry)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00    
SPIKES SHIRL Jan11 Dec30 Nov29 Nov04 Oct14 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 5.00    
SCR  BAILEY Jan30 Jan11 Jan03 Dec16 Nov29 (simone michael )TREJOS JOSEPH 120 6.00    
JAYJAYDEE Jan27 Dec16 Nov25 Aug20 Jul14 (kreiser timot)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
ECONOMIC POWER Dec16 Nov25 Nov01 Oct11 Sep14 (ramirez ric)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 7% 13.70    
PERUVIAN BOY Jan27 Dec21 Nov23 Oct04 Sep08 (sells rachel)INIRIO J 120 15.00    
ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT Dec21 Nov30 Nov08 Sep08 Aug24 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 18% 4.40    
10  DON'T DARE ME Nov30 Oct11 Sep27 Sep06 Aug22 (guerrero gu)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 15.00    
 
PEN-6   02/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAT OUT FLASHY Jan27 Dec30 Nov30 Oct18 Sep22 (beattie cody)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 4.00 43% 1.30    
PAPA TONY Jan18 Dec30 Nov30 Nov04 Oct11 (dimitriou h)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50    
RAPID RESPONSE Jan18 Oct22 Sep16 Jul29 Jul04 (rathman elish)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00    
CHRIS AND DAVE Jan27 Dec29 Dec08 Nov12 Oct15 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 14% 6.20    
LITERALLY Jan26 Dec27 Dec13     (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 17% 5.00    
BIG BAD BUD Dec30 Dec07 Nov15 Oct25 Oct19 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 122 10.00    
MR. SKITTLES Dec21 Oct11 Sep15 Aug24   (moreno tito)INIRIO J 122 50.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-7   02/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LANFRANKOPHILE Jan19 Dec02 Oct29 Oct21 Oct05 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
PHANCY PHILLY Jan12 Dec20 Nov29 Oct26 Oct12 (houghton thom)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
SIMPLE SOUVENIR Jan25 Jan11 Dec21 Dec11 Nov24 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 124 5.00    
SENSON Dec03 Nov19 Oct27 Oct01 Sep18 (bobadilla j)VARGAS L 120 6.00    
ECLIPTICALS SARAH Jan12 Dec20 Nov29 Sep16 Jul28 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 8.00    
RAIN LILLY Dec28 Dec02 Nov02 Oct21 Sep27 (houghton thom)INIRIO J 120 12.00    
QUEEN'S DREAM Jan19 Dec02 Oct14 Sep01 Aug10 (beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 12% 7.50    
NAIL POLISH Jan19 Oct14 Sep01 Jul18 Jun16 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 8% 11.50    
COSMOLOGICAL Jan12 Dec27 Dec14 Nov23 Feb01 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00    
10  KNICKERSINATWIST Jan19 Dec02 Nov18 Nov02 Oct12 (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 120 8.00 9% 9.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.