Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Friday - April 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (12/3/13/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $3.56 $3.56  
KEE-2   Win (11/2/9/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 15 1 0 $13.20  
KEE-3   Win (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.54 $4.54  
KEE-4   Win (4/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $8.62  
KEE-5   Win (15/7/8/12/14) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $14.52  
KEE-6   Win (8/6/2/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $6.82 $6.82  
KEE-7   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.82 $6.82 0.82
KEE-8   Win (11/7/9/12/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $12.96 $12.96 2.96
KEE-9   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $42.68  
KEE-10   Win (10/7/8/15) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $8.98 $8.98 0.98

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:23 :464       :531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLEDSOE 2 6 3     1nk 1 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00 22% 3.60 0.78 W
MISCHIEF JOKE 5 3 7     32 2 (torres ale)AYALA ISAIAS 119 30.00 5% 19.00 26.07 P
CALLIN MY NAME 6 2 2nk     2nk 3 (mccutchen rob)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 15.00 5% 19.00 23.72 S
WEST SARATOGA 3 5 5     5 45 (demeritte larr)CALLEJA ANDRES 112 20.00 42.86  
11  BEAUDACIOUS COLTON 8 7 8     7 56 (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00 50.79  
12  NURCAN 9 8 4     6 6 (mendez luis)PETERSON FERRIN 119 3.50 23% 3.40 14.11  
14  TRANCHE 11 9 6     8 7 (mendez luis)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 5.08  
EARLY MUNNY 4 4 9     9 8 (hancock john)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 7.18  
13  ALEXANDRA'S SONG 10 1 1nk     43 910¼ (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 111 4.00 10% 8.90 6.85  
PRINCE OF POWER 1 11 1011¼     1012¼ 1014½ (vosler s)ORM CORY 119 30.00 53.26  
10  HOLD THE PHONE 7 10 1112¼     1114¼ 1117½ (caramori eduard)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 30.00 73.73  
SCR  BAYTOWN ADMIRAL               (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 119 4.50    
SCR  BAYTOWN PARFAIT               (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 119 10.00    
SCR  THE RUSH IS ON               (vosler s)HUGHES CARLY 119 30.00    
SCR  VITEMENT               (hancock john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00    
SCR  WHO'S SNOW TROUBLE               (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 119 15.00    
 
KEE-2   04/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:221 :453 1:11     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
15  AFTERNOON TEA 12 1 43 53   1nk 1¼ (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 5.60  
AMERICAN RETRO 3 7 2nk 2½   2nk 2¼ (wilkes ian )DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 6.00 16.38  
BEACH WALKN 6 11 106 65   3 3 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00 6% 16.80 14.32 S
MISSILE 2 12 5 42   5 4 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00 14% 6.20 9.34  
11  UPPER CASE 9 5 31 31   4 510¼ (lobo h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00 25% 3.00 5.74  
14  LADY SAMARITAN 11 10 11 9   7 612 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 10.00 61.69  
STUNNINGLY 5 2 8 10   810¾ 712½ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00 6.46  
CONTRIVE 1 8 1nk 1½   6 813¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 14% 5.90 2.98  
DOMINA 4 4 12 1110½   1012 919 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 24.77  
FORENOON 7 3 96 1210½   911 1019½ (mott i)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 14% 5.90 4.17  
10  ACTIVE LANE 8 6 6 88   1114½ 1127 (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 20.00 51.49  
12  ROCK THE NILE 10 9 7 7   1215 1227 (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 120 20.00 50.52  
SCR  DESTINE TO RACE               (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 30.00    
SCR  FRACING LUCKY               (reed r)BEJARANO R 120 30.00    
SCR  GATHER (ARG)               (arnold r)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 10.00    
SCR  NIKKI M P               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00    
 
KEE-3   04/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:132 1:381   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPARATIVE 3 2 2 2½ 2nk 2½ 1¾ (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00 42% 1.40 1.27 W
HAYUNEVANO 1 1 1 1½ 1nk 1½ 2¾ (scherer marianne)LANERIE J 118 3.00 4.62  
FOREVER DIXIE 6 5 5 5 32 33 3 (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 19% 4.20 3.36 S
MUSTANG LADY 4 3 3 4 4 43 4 (newton troy)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 4.45  
CONDONE 2 4 6 7 5 5 5 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 8.74  
CHIQUITA MOSCA 5 7 75 63 6 610½ 620½ (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 20.00 62.12  
EAST SHORE 7 6 4 3 7 712½ 727½ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 23.21  
SCR  CLOSED CAPTION               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 12% 7.00    
SCR  COTTON CANDY ANNIE               (hernandez arm)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00    
 
KEE-4   04/07/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($140K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:103 1:344   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURRICANE DREAM (FR) 7 5 7 7 5 1nk 1 (motion gr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 3.00 3.31  
FANCY LIQUOR 1 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 2nk 2 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 5% 19.00 4.83 P
DUKE OF HAZZARD (FR) 4 4 1010¼ 1112½ 119 7 3 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 53% 0.90 7.51 S
TIZ THE BOMB 8 8 8 910 10 64 4 (mcpeek g)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 12.67  
CAMP HOPE 2 2 3 3 3 3½ 5 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 2.94  
KENTUCKY GHOST 3 9 66 67 7 42 6 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 12.38  
EONS 6 10 910 89 64 5 76 (delacour arnaud)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 19.91  
GREYES CREEK 9 11 1111¼ 1011 96 8 8 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 19% 4.10 31.33  
HENLEY'S JOY 5 3 5 56 8 10 910¾ (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 24.51  
10  HOZIER 10 6 2½ 2½ 2½ 9 1016 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 27.61  
12  BEATBOX 11 7 4 43 42 11 1119¾ (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 7.65  
SCR  BACKGROUND               (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
 
KEE-5   04/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:103     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSITANO SUNSET 2 5 5 42   22 1½ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 5.00 6.26  
VAHVA 6 2 2½ 1nk   12 2½ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 3.54  
10  PEACOCK LASS 10 7 9 74   3 3 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 13.96  
CHARLEE MAE 1 6 4 53   56 410¾ (hamilton sarah)GILLIGAN JACK 118 30.00 92.41  
PEACOCK ALLEY 7 3 3 2nk   4 510¾ (catalano wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.50 16% 5.10 7.83  
12  SECRET STATEMENT 12 9 10 8   8 611¾ (baker james)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00 14% 6.30 9.90  
ZIAERATI 8 10 11 9   7 713 (falcone robert )ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 16% 5.20 2.69  
BLACK FOREST 3 4 1½ 3½   66 814¾ (gutierrez f)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 10.00 15.89  
JUST LIKE MAGIC 9 12 12 12   911¾ 916¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 36.33  
11  RO TOWN 11 1 7 11   1114¼ 1020½ (lynch brian )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 9.94  
HALF A CHANCE 5 11 8 10   1012¼ 1123¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 10.53  
BOBBIE SOX 4 8 6 6   1215¼ 1224½ (gonzalez r)RODRIGUEZ A 113 30.00 63.01  
SCR  BIZZY GIRL               (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
SCR  MISS PEABODY               (newton troy)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  SHOPLIFTER               (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 10.00    
SCR  UNSUNG MELODY               (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
 
KEE-6   04/07/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:214 :451 :564     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HER WORLD (IRE) 6 1 11 11   12 1nk (ward a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 19% 4.20 2.41 W
NOTA BENE 3 8 75 7   22 2nk (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 8.84  
LINGUISTIC 7 4 53 5   43 3½ (hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 6% 16.40 22.43 S
KAUFYMAKER 8 2 21 21   3 4 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.20 21% 3.70 1.10  
COVENANT LADY 9 5 85 8   76 5 (granitz j)GRAHAM J 118 30.00 52.31  
FROZEN SOLID 2 7 6 6   54 6 (lynch a)KRIGGER K 120 4.50 16% 5.20 6.91  
DRESSED 5 9 97 9   8 74 (catalano m)ROSARIO JOEL 118 20.00 22.02  
LAUGH AND PLAY 4 3 42 32   64 8 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 14% 6.20 11.67  
AWESOME LAWSON 1 6 3 42   9 914 (vesty clarke)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 50.00 89.00  
 
KEE-7   04/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Lafayette Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:221 :444 1:094     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORONA BOLT 5 3 11 1½   1nk 11 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 20% 4.00 2.41 W
HEJAZI 3 5 31 2½   2nk 21 (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.60 39% 1.60 1.47 P
FREEZING POINT 6 6 63 4   32 3 (lejzerowicz )CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 66.77  
LUGAN KNIGHT 2 4 5 5   5 48 (mccarthy w)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 11.33  
GULFPORT 1 1 4 6   45 5 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 19% 4.30 2.83  
DETERMINEDLY 4 7 78 7   67 69 (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 8.70  
HURRICANE J 7 2 21 3½   7 717 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 28.88  
 
KEE-8   04/07/2023 5610ft TURF RC12 GOOD Kentucky Utilities Transylvani Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:134 1:371   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO STASH 7 3 11 11 1½ 1 11 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 20% 3.90 5.48 W
NAGIRROC 9 5 4 4 31 2 21 (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 13% 6.70 3.63 P
WEBSLINGER 2 6 96 10 9 5 32 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00 4.96  
MI HERMANO RAMON 6 4 32 32 4 32 43 (glatt mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00 15.01  
ANDTHEWINNERIS 3 8 107 75 8 8 54 (catalano m)LANERIE J 120 12.00 11.26  
CANDIDATE 8 9 64 54 5 6 64 (delacour arnaud)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 5.82  
FREEDOM TRAIL 1 1 75 9 10 7 7 (terranova j)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 20.00 6% 15.80 17.29  
12  DUDE N COLORADO (GB) 11 7 21 21 2½ 43 8 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 8% 10.80 3.76  
WONDERFUL JUSTICE (GB) 4 2 5 64 6 9 9 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 12.58  
10  MOVISITOR 10 10 86 8 73 10 10 (vaughan edward)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 50.00 ######  
RARIFIED FLAIR 5 11 11 11 11 1110¼ 1111 (mcpeek kenneth)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00 59.53  
SCR  CARL SPACKLER (IRE)               (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 29% 2.40    
 
KEE-9   04/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC14 FAST Central Bank Ashland Purse ($600K) 3 F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:113 1:37   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEFINING PURPOSE 6 5 3 21 2nk 1 1½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 20.34  
PUNCHBOWL 5 2 2 4 4 4 2½ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 2.00 22% 3.60 1.26 P
JULIA SHINING 4 3 5 3 3 3 3¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 5.21 S
GUNS N' GRACES 3 7 7 75 6 6 44 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 121 8.00 12.04  
EFFORTLESSLYELGANT 7 4 1 11 1nk 2 5 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 121 20.00 34.05  
WONDER WHEEL 2 1 4 5 5 54 6 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.60 46% 1.20 1.53  
PRIDE OF THE NILE 1 6 6 63 7 714 740 (o'neill dou)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 12.00 23.44  
 
KEE-10   04/07/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:132 1:382   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAY STACK 7 4 4 52 5 1nk 1nk (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 32% 2.20 3.49 W
LIL MISS MOONLIGHT 8 7 6 6 6 2nk 2nk (hamm timothy)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 6% 17.00 4.85 P
PENUMBRAS MAKER 4 8 8 73 7 4 3 (gutierrez faust)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50 6.33 S
HECKLED 6 5 5 4 4 6 4 (stidham michael)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00 7.87  
PEDIGEEK 9 9 12 12 10 7 55 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00 28.05  
11  BEST PERFORMER 11 2 3½ 31 31 5 6 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 24.78  
10  DORAL 10 11 10 10 11 8 7 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.00 39% 1.60 3.02  
IDLE CHATTER 3 6 2½ 2½ 2nk 3.2 8 (sisterson j)LEPAROUX R 120 8.00 6.21  
ROBIN SAGE 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 9 912 (medina rob)RODRIGUEZ A 115 20.00 39.99  
WITS AND WAGERS 2 12 11 11 125 1214¾ 1019¼ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 30.00 75.14  
COSTA BELLA 5 10 9 8 8 1012¼ 1120 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 27.17  
12  MISCHIEF LILY 12 3 7 94 9 1113¾ 1220¼ (dobbsjr e)MOJICA O 120 20.00 68.07  
SCR  KINGMAKING (GB)               (chavez manuel)CRUZ JOHN 120 30.00    
SCR  ROSY TOMORROWS               (maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SILENT STORY               (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00    
SCR  TIME TO RACE               (nihei michelle)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.