Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland
Friday - April 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (12/3/13/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-2   Win (11/2/9/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-3   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
KEE-4   Win (4/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-5   Win (7/8/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-6   Win (8/6/2/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-7   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-8   Win (7/9/12/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-9   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
KEE-10   Win (10/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KEE-1   04/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WHO'S SNOW TROUBLE         (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 119 15.00    
PRINCE OF POWER         (vosler s)ORM CORY 119 30.00    
BLEDSOE         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  BAYTOWN ADMIRAL         (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 119 4.50    
WEST SARATOGA         (demeritte larr)CALLEJA ANDRES 112 20.00    
EARLY MUNNY         (hancock john)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00    
MISCHIEF JOKE         (torres ale)AYALA ISAIAS 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VITEMENT         (hancock john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00    
CALLIN MY NAME         (mccutchen rob)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  HOLD THE PHONE         (caramori eduard)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 30.00    
11  BEAUDACIOUS COLTON         (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00    
12  NURCAN         (mendez luis)PETERSON FERRIN 119 3.50 23% 3.40    
13  ALEXANDRA'S SONG         (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 111 4.00 10% 8.90    
14  TRANCHE         (mendez luis)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50    
SCR  THE RUSH IS ON         (vosler s)HUGHES CARLY 119 30.00    
SCR  BAYTOWN PARFAIT         (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 119 10.00    
 
KEE-2   04/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GATHER (ARG)         (arnold r)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 10.00    
CONTRIVE         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 14% 5.90    
MISSILE         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00 14% 6.20    
AMERICAN RETRO         (wilkes ian )DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 6.00    
SCR  FRACING LUCKY Feb18         (reed r)BEJARANO R 120 30.00    
DOMINA         (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
STUNNINGLY Sep04 Jul04       (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00    
BEACH WALKN Mar02         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00 6% 16.80    
FORENOON Feb12         (mott i)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 14% 5.90    
10  ACTIVE LANE         (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 20.00    
11  UPPER CASE Feb15 Aug14       (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 25% 3.00    
12  ROCK THE NILE Mar02         (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 120 20.00    
SCR  DESTINE TO RACE Feb18 Jan21 Oct02 Sep14 Aug19 (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 30.00    
14  LADY SAMARITAN         (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 10.00    
15  AFTERNOON TEA Feb25         (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
SCR  NIKKI M P Feb12         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00    
 
KEE-3   04/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAYUNEVANO Mar11 Feb17 Jan21 Dec26 Dec09 (scherer marianne)LANERIE J 118 3.00    
CONDONE Mar09 Feb08 Jan01     (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 6.00    
COMPARATIVE Feb18 Jan21 Dec31 Nov26 Oct20 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
MUSTANG LADY Jan12 Nov27 Oct07 Sep03 Jul31 (newton troy)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
CHIQUITA MOSCA Mar09 Feb16 Jan26 Dec14 Nov20 (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 20.00    
FOREVER DIXIE Nov26 Nov05 Oct01 Aug28 Aug14 (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  CLOSED CAPTION Oct09 Sep22 Sep10     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 12% 7.00    
SCR  COTTON CANDY ANNIE Jan21 Dec26 Nov27 Nov02 Sep29 (hernandez arm)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00    
EAST SHORE Nov27 Oct30 Oct02 Sep01 Jul23 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
 
KEE-4   04/07/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($140K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANCY LIQUOR Feb18 Jan04 Dec01 Sep24 Feb19 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
CAMP HOPE Mar25 Feb18 May21 Apr20   (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
KENTUCKY GHOST Feb04 Dec31 Nov26 Oct15 Sep10 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 12.00    
DUKE OF HAZZARD (FR) Oct13 Sep14 Aug06 Jul09 May22 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 53% 0.90    
HENLEY'S JOY Mar04 Jan28 Jan04 Dec04 Oct23 (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
EONS Oct09 Aug16 Jul16 Jun14 Apr10 (delacour arnaud)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
HURRICANE DREAM (FR) Jan28         (motion gr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 3.00    
TIZ THE BOMB Mar25 Feb18 Aug05 Jul09 May07 (mcpeek g)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
GREYES CREEK Jan28 Dec01 Oct15 Aug21 Jun11 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 19% 4.10    
10  HOZIER Dec17 Nov13 Oct03 Sep05 Aug06 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00    
SCR  BACKGROUND Mar18 Feb11 Jan21 Aug14 Jun25 (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
12  BEATBOX Feb18 Jan27 Dec17 Apr02 Feb19 (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00    
 
KEE-5   04/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLEE MAE Mar10 Feb05 Jan13 Dec31 Nov10 (hamilton sarah)GILLIGAN JACK 118 30.00    
POSITANO SUNSET Mar04 Feb04 Nov18 Oct16 Sep18 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 5.00    
BLACK FOREST Jan22 Nov27 Nov04 Sep30 Aug13 (gutierrez f)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 10.00    
BOBBIE SOX Mar10 Jan26 Jan05     (gonzalez r)RODRIGUEZ A 113 30.00    
HALF A CHANCE Mar09 Jul14 Jun05     (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
VAHVA Feb18 Dec26 Nov26 Sep04 Jul24 (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
PEACOCK ALLEY Mar16         (catalano wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.50 16% 5.10    
ZIAERATI Mar04 Jan15       (falcone robert )ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 16% 5.20    
JUST LIKE MAGIC Feb25 Dec26 Nov27 Jul04 Jun17 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
10  PEACOCK LASS Nov27 Oct30 Sep17 Aug07   (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00    
11  RO TOWN Feb12 Dec18       (lynch brian )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
12  SECRET STATEMENT Mar02 Dec31 Nov24 Nov10   (baker james)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  SHOPLIFTER Feb25 Nov04 Sep17 Aug14 Jun29 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 10.00    
SCR  MISS PEABODY Mar04 Feb03 Jan11 Dec03 Nov12 (newton troy)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  UNSUNG MELODY Mar11 Feb11 Jan21     (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  BIZZY GIRL Nov01 Sep02 Aug10     (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
 
KEE-6   04/07/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME LAWSON Mar09 Feb16 Jan25 Nov13 Oct27 (vesty clarke)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 50.00    
FROZEN SOLID Feb15 Jan06 Mar13 Jan30 Jan09 (lynch a)KRIGGER K 120 4.50 16% 5.20    
NOTA BENE Mar02 Sep13 Jul24 Jul02 May15 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
LAUGH AND PLAY Mar16 Feb18 Jan11 Dec21 Dec01 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 14% 6.20    
DRESSED Feb02 Dec31       (catalano m)ROSARIO JOEL 118 20.00    
HER WORLD (IRE) Feb08 Jan11 May28 Apr15   (ward a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 19% 4.20    
LINGUISTIC Feb03 Oct06 Sep19 Aug29 Aug02 (hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 6% 16.40    
KAUFYMAKER Oct16         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.20 21% 3.70    
COVENANT LADY Feb18 Feb03 Oct16 Sep22 Sep14 (granitz j)GRAHAM J 118 30.00    
 
KEE-7   04/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Lafayette Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GULFPORT Oct01 Sep05 Aug13 Jul04 Jun10 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 19% 4.30    
LUGAN KNIGHT Mar04 Jan07 Nov26 Oct21 Sep21 (mccarthy w)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
HEJAZI Mar04 Jan15 Oct08 Sep10 Aug20 (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.60 39% 1.60    
DETERMINEDLY Feb18 Jan21 Dec26 Nov26 Nov05 (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00    
CORONA BOLT Mar05 Jan28 Dec26 Nov19   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 20% 4.00    
FREEZING POINT Mar04 Nov03 Oct13 Sep23   (lejzerowicz )CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
HURRICANE J Feb25 Nov04 Oct08 Aug28   (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
 
KEE-8   04/07/2023 5610ft TURF RC12 GOOD Kentucky Utilities Transylvani Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREEDOM TRAIL Mar11 Nov26 Oct29 Sep25   (terranova j)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 20.00 6% 15.80    
WEBSLINGER Mar04 Feb11 Nov04 Sep17 Aug31 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00    
ANDTHEWINNERIS Mar04 Jan28 Dec26 Nov04 Oct09 (catalano m)LANERIE J 120 12.00    
WONDERFUL JUSTICE (GB) Mar04 Feb03       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
RARIFIED FLAIR Mar25 Oct29 Oct09 Sep06 Aug20 (mcpeek kenneth)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00    
MI HERMANO RAMON Mar05 Jan27 Dec04     (glatt mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
MO STASH Mar11 Nov04 Oct09 Sep08 Aug19 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 20% 3.90    
CANDIDATE Feb04 Jan07 Dec07 Oct23 Oct02 (delacour arnaud)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
NAGIRROC Dec30 Nov04 Oct09 Sep24 Aug22 (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 13% 6.70    
10  MOVISITOR Oct25 Oct02 Sep13 Aug23   (vaughan edward)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 50.00    
SCR  CARL SPACKLER (IRE) Feb25 Jan21       (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 29% 2.40    
12  DUDE N COLORADO (GB) Mar04 Feb04 Dec24 Oct16   (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 8% 10.80    
 
KEE-9   04/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC14 FAST Central Bank Ashland Purse ($600K) 3 F PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIDE OF THE NILE Mar05 Jan28 Dec10 Nov12 Oct02 (o'neill dou)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 12.00    
WONDER WHEEL Feb11 Nov04 Oct07 Sep04 Jul04 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.60 46% 1.20    
GUNS N' GRACES Mar04 Dec23 Nov04     (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 121 8.00    
JULIA SHINING Feb11 Dec03 Oct16     (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00    
PUNCHBOWL Mar05 Feb11       (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 2.00 22% 3.60    
DEFINING PURPOSE Feb25 Jan28 Dec31 Nov26 Nov17 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00    
EFFORTLESSLYELGANT Mar19 Feb25 Jan29 Nov23   (casse norm)SANTANA JR 121 20.00    
 
KEE-10   04/07/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROBIN SAGE Feb22 Jan13       (medina rob)RODRIGUEZ A 115 20.00    
WITS AND WAGERS Feb04 Dec23 Nov26 Oct20 Sep18 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 30.00    
IDLE CHATTER Feb16         (sisterson j)LEPAROUX R 120 8.00    
PENUMBRAS MAKER Feb16 Jan29 Dec26 Dec11 Nov26 (gutierrez faust)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50    
COSTA BELLA         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
HECKLED Feb26         (stidham michael)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00    
HAY STACK Jan22 Nov19 Sep23 Aug21   (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 32% 2.20    
LIL MISS MOONLIGHT Mar11 Feb11 Jan14     (hamm timothy)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 6% 17.00    
PEDIGEEK Mar12 Jan29 Dec11     (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00    
10  DORAL Feb19 Jan22       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
11  BEST PERFORMER Feb23 Jan16 Dec09 Oct16   (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
12  MISCHIEF LILY Mar02 Nov12 Oct08 Aug20 Jul23 (dobbsjr e)MOJICA O 120 20.00    
SCR  KINGMAKING (GB) Nov05         (chavez manuel)CRUZ JOHN 120 30.00    
SCR  SILENT STORY Feb22 Jan13 Oct27 Sep28 Aug27 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00    
SCR  ROSY TOMORROWS Mar11         (maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TIME TO RACE Mar09 Jan11 Dec14 Sep23   (nihei michelle)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.