Handicappers' Race Results

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Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - February 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TAM-1   Win (8/2/7/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
TAM-2   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $15.60 $15.60 11.60
TAM-3   Win (2/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 3.20
TAM-4   Win (12/11/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $9.20  
TAM-5   Win (9/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 1.00
TAM-6   Win (8/6/7/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $27.00 $27.00 17.00
TAM-7   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $17.80  
TAM-8   Win (5/3/6/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
TAM-9   Win (1/9/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $78.00 $78.00 70.00
TAM-10   Win (7/11/6/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $7.60 $7.60  
TAM-11   Win (12/3/5/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $11.60 $11.60 1.60

Simulator Race results

 
TAM-1   02/11/2023 5400ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT-12:25
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:121 1:381   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUERTE 2 3 11 11 11 12 13 (harty eoin)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 23% 3.30 1.70 W
CHAMPAGNE JUAN 6 4 21 21 21 22 23 (clement christop)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 8% 11.00 1.90 P
DUKE OF GLOUCESTER 4 2 32 31 4 32 35 (machado antonio)MORALES PABLO 120 15.00 8% 12.20 13.20 S
SKI COUNTRY 5 5 53 42 31 44 4 (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 113 12.00 26.70  
CRAFTY KING 1 7 7 6 5 58 515¼ (bennett s)FERRER C 120 10.00 13.10  
FUNNY MAN 3 6 6 7 6 69 620¼ (hamm timothy)BATISTA A 120 12.00 23.90  
ARCH RUNNER 7 1 42 5 7 716 7100 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 37% 1.70 2.50  
SCR  FAST FIXER               (dobber arnoud )MENESES MARCOS 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-2   02/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT-12:55
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:113     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASSERT DOMINANCE 6 1 3½ 2nk   1nk 11 (mcgoey m)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 6.00 5% 19.00 6.80 W
CANT GLIDE BY KATZ 9 6 6 4   4 21 (robillard julie)FUENTES MARIO 118 10.00 26.30 P
TAP FIRST 3 2 2nk 1nk   2nk 31 (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.00 71% 0.40 0.60 S
EXCELLENT MARK 2 3 5 6   34 4 (yanez r)MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00 24.10  
DUN RIGHT 1 4 1nk 3½   5 56 (wismer s)ALENCAR WALBER 118 12.00 5.90  
10  BRAVE HILARIO 10 9 8 7   7 6 (escobar alison)SOSA LAUREANO 118 15.00 51.40  
LIL BULL 7 7 7 5   6 7 (wirth b)MBATHA LUCKY 108 10.00 8.50  
MISTER FERNANDO 8 10 9 8   87 8 (nunn douglas)BATISTA A 122 4.00 8.30  
CLEAR TO CLOSE 5 8 10 9   910 911½ (tsirigotis jame)ALICEA JEREMY 111 30.00 66.30  
PRETTY DUDE 4 5 41 10   1020 1029¼ (wasiluk jr)VEGA L 118 30.00 73.80  
 
TAM-3   02/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:24
See original race card.
:221 :45 1:103     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCKTOWN 8 6 7 3½   11 15 (proctor thomas )MARTIN MATTIE 115 6.00 23% 3.40 3.60 W
THE BIG CALICO 6 2 1½ 2nk   21 25 (cascallares nes)ALICEA JEREMY 115 30.00 59.30  
JURKOVEC 7 4 5 5   4 36 (albertrani thoma)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.50 3.90 S
J J'S JUSTICE 5 5 6 6   6 49 (mazza w)SOSA LAUREANO 115 15.00 30.80  
LITTLE BIG 3 3 3½ 4   31 59 (o'connell ka)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 20% 4.00 3.50  
ERLAN 9 1 2½ 1nk   5 6 (cascallares nes)LOZADA CARLOS 122 20.00 27.20  
MATT DOYLE 4 7 42 7   7 714¾ (beckman d )GALLARDO A 122 1.60 1.60  
FUN AT THE FORT 2 9 9 9   8 816¼ (mcburney patrick)MARIN SAMUEL 122 5.00 30% 2.30 9.80  
DOC CARSON 1 8 83 8   9 924½ (cordero antonio)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 30.00 ######  
 
TAM-4   02/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:53
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:111 1:36   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INITFORTHELOVE 2 4 5 6 6 3 1½ (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00 3.60  
FRANZ JOSEF 3 3 1 1 1½ 11 2½ (wismer s)ALENCAR WALBER 119 20.00 30.00  
KING RAMOS 4 7 8 8 93 4 3 (rodriguez ange)MENESES MARCOS 119 30.00 36.60  
12  ON THE COUCH 12 11 9 9 8 5 4 (sacco d)ORTIZ L 123 3.00 37% 1.70 3.20  
MR. SARCASTIC 8 10 1110¾ 1210½ 12 8 5 (richards renaldo)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 5.40  
FLY FLY AWAY 1 1 3 4 41 21 6 (cahill ste)GALLARDO A 119 15.00 8.40  
11  BIRD'S EYE VIEW 11 9 10 10 11 10 7 (dini mike)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 26% 2.80 8.10  
WHISKEY PLANK 7 5 45 5 5 9 8 (cruz jesus)BATISTA A 119 4.00 11% 7.70 4.20  
10  BORGOBYTHESEA 10 6 2 2 2½ 6 9 (carrascojr vi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 12.00 31.90  
SAVAGE (BRZ) 6 8 7 3 3½ 7 10 (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 119 12.00 33.20  
UNLEVERAGED 9 12 1211 1110 10 11 117 (sweezey kent)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 31.20  
D'CRAZINESS 5 2 6 7 7 12 1212¼ (gonzalez aldana)CENTENO E 119 12.00 21.80  
SCR  ARIES REIGNS               (rarick lynn)MARIN SAMUEL 119 30.00    
SCR  ULTIMATE IRONY               (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 119 8.00    
 
TAM-5   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:214 :451 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TITA MIMOSA (IRE) 9 3 1nk 1nk   1½ 1nk (rodriguez )GALLARDO A 120 4.50 32% 2.20 3.50 W
10  ROSARIO'S PRAYER 10 1 31 2nk   2½ 2nk (cordero antonio)FERRER C 120 12.00 24.90  
BROKEN HEARTS BAY 5 9 8 6   44 3.2 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 7% 12.40 3.80 S
ONE VIOLENT AFFAIR 2 4 4 32   34 4 (o'conne)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00 30% 2.40 5.30  
BELLA FACCIA 8 10 10 8   6 5 (ciaio charles )MENESES MARCOS 120 20.00 61.30  
MISSMOLLYORBIT 7 6 5 5   5 610¼ (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 12.00 17.50  
11  SHENOAH 11 2 6 9   8 712½ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 120 20.00 7.80  
RELAY 1 7 7 7   7 813¼ (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 7% 13.90 2.60  
REKINDLED 4 11 11 10   1013¼ 921 (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 113 6.00 13.90  
SWEET MELADY 6 5 2nk 4   911¼ 1024½ (cascallares nestor)LOPEZ E 120 15.00 21.40  
MS EXCUSE 3 8 9 1110¼   1117¼ 1129¼ (cascallares n)CASIQUE URBARDO 120 30.00 75.50  
 
TAM-6   02/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:134 1:373   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LENTEN ROSE 6 4 4 4¾ 4¾ 12 1¾ (potts g)MORALES PABLO 119 5.00 12% 7.40 12.50 W
BIKINI BABY 5 7 8 8 8 22 2¾ (pimental i)MARIN SAMUEL 119 30.00 98.80  
SWEET DUTCHESS 8 5 54 7 6 44 3 (o'connell ka)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 43% 1.30 1.20 S
SIGN OF PEACE 2 2 22 3.2 5 34 4 (walsh bren)GALLARDO A 119 5.00 3.90  
LALOBA FEROZ 3 6 64 10 10 6 5 (santillana frank)MENDEZ KEVIN 123 12.00 9.40  
INANNA'S QUEST 7 9 9 6 3½ 5 6 (sillaman richard)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 8.00 9% 10.60 11.80  
R FUNNY BIZNESS 1 1 12 1nk 1nk 7 710¼ (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 119 10.00 6% 14.70 13.70  
10  INFLUENCING 10 10 10 2nk 2nk 8 810¾ (proctor thomas )MARTIN MATTIE 112 20.00 30.90  
FREEDOM ROSE 4 3 3 5¾ 9 1010 917½ (campbell mi)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 17.90  
GABBY SQUARED 9 8 75 9 72 9 1018½ (wright w)CENTENO E 119 6.00 8% 11.00 6.20  
SCR  SATURDAY NITE GIRL               (proctor thom)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 8.00    
 
TAM-7   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:22 :443 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRIFAROS 1 4 1nk 1nk   1½ 1 (pompay terri)CENTENO E 120 6.00 7.90  
OLIVIA DARLING 6 3 31 3.2   41 2 (delgado jorge)JARAMILLO E 120 5.00 4.20 P
MY DESTINY 2 2 5 6   3½ 3 (wilensky her)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 6.60 S
CARAMEL SWIRL 3 6 4 4   2½ 4 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 1.40 46% 1.20 0.40  
SHE'S PEACHY KEEN 5 5 6 5   52 54 (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 120 10.00 18.20  
ZAINALARAB 4 7 7 7   7 610¼ (walsh bren)GALLARDO A 118 12.00 29.70  
PINK SHOELACES 7 1 2nk 2nk   6 711¾ (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 20.00 56.20  
SCR  MUSIC CITY STAR               (joseph a)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
SCR  NIGHT CAP               (bennett s)FERRER C 120 12.00 29% 2.40    
 
TAM-8   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:16
See original race card.
:212 :434 :56     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIBELIUS 4 6 1nk 1nk   1nk 1 (o'dwyer jerem)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 1.80 39% 1.60 1.60 W
DOCTOR OSCAR 5 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 2 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 10.00 9% 10.00 9.40 P
10  GATSBY 9 2 3 3½   32 3 (david a)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 9.30  
ABSOLUTE GRIT 7 4 6 42   4 4 (crichton rohan)JARAMILLO E 118 12.00 39.70  
PACO'S PICO 2 9 7 8   6 5 (crichton roh)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
11  WHERE PARADISE LAY 10 1 9 9   8 6 (downing william)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 30.00 90.50  
WILLY BOI 3 7 54 53   5 7 (delgado jorge)MORELOS E 122 3.00 21% 3.80 3.60  
NO QUE NO 1 10 43 64   7 813¾ (gutierrez fausti)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 11.60  
UPHOLD THE LAW 6 5 8 75   107 914 (stidham michael)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
MORGAN POINT 8 8 1010¼ 109   9 1014¼ (vinson g)CAMACHO SAMY 118 20.00 45.40  
SCR  GRAN RUNNER               (barboza victor)BATISTA A 118 30.00    
 
TAM-9   02/11/2023 5400ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:111 1:373   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMING OF SNOW 5 1 1½ 11 1½ 1½ 1¼ (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 120 15.00 7% 13.00 38.00 W
WONDER WHEEL 1 6 41 4 2½ 2½ 2¼ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.00 36% 1.80 0.50 P
JULIA SHINING 8 3 53 6 41 31 3 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 26% 2.80 2.30 S
OPUS FORTY TWO 2 4 31 21 31 43 4 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 10.00 12.40  
CHARLIE'S WISH 3 8 8 8 64 6 5 (fawkes david)JARAMILLO E 120 12.00 33.20  
CHAMPAGNE CALLING 4 5 6 5 53 54 6 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 120 30.00 20.70  
FAST TRACKED 6 7 7 76 87 7 716 (delacour arnaud)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 20.00 49.90  
TICKER TAPE HOME 7 2 2½ 32 7 8 828½ (casse mark)GALLARDO A 120 8.00 5% 18.90 11.90  
SCR  GUNS N' GRACES               (brown c)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 15.00    
 
TAM-10   02/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:111 1:374   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  LITIGATE 10 7 5 5 31 1nk 1 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00 24% 3.10 2.80 W
GROVELAND 5 2 41 4¾ 21 31 2 (harty eoin)CENTENO E 120 12.00 21.60  
CLASSIC CAR WASH 6 6 105 7 7 52 3 (casse mark)JARAMILLO E 120 20.00 9% 9.90 12.00 S
CLASSIC LEGACY 3 4 9 8 6 4 4 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 12.00 10.30  
12  ZYDECEAUX 11 1 1½ 1½ 11 2nk 5 (minguet ramon)MARIN SAMUEL 120 20.00 43.80  
LAVER 4 5 11 11 11 85 610¼ (arnold george )MORELOS E 120 15.00 24.90  
10  DREAMING OF KONA 9 10 3½ 3½ 5 6 712¼ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 12.00 5% 19.00 16.90  
DUBYUHNELL 7 8 6 10 10 99 819 (gargan danny)ORTIZ L 124 1.80 38% 1.60 2.00  
PRAIRIE HAWK 2 11 8 6 43 7 919½ (joseph a)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 8.00  
WORTHINGTON 1 3 7 9 9 1012 1021 (maker j)MORALES PABLO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 18.20  
CHAMPIONS DREAM 8 9 2½ 2½ 8 1132 1160¼ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 6.40  
SCR  NOTAH               (terranova )GALLARDO A 120 30.00    
 
TAM-11   02/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:234 :492 1:14 1:384   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUNIPER'S MOON 6 5 11 11 11 1½ 1¾ (dutrow w)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00 16% 5.30 4.80 W
LIL MISS MOONLIGHT 1 3 84 6 64 2½ 2¾ (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 10.00 6% 15.30 11.80 P
FINANCIAL ADVICE (FR) 5 6 5 4 3 4¾ 31 (brown c)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 17% 5.00 2.00 S
FACCIA BELLA 4 1 21 21 21 3½ 41 (raven kerr)GALLARDO A 120 30.00 29.40  
12  THEGIRLFROMIRELAND 11 8 63 9 7 6 5 (motion graham)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 6.00 22% 3.60 9.30  
10  LOVERS ROCK 9 4 3 5 4 5 6 (brown c)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00 17.40  
JUST A SPLASH (IRE) 8 9 7 7 5 7 7 (dutrow anthon)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 7.10  
CIRILLA (FR) 3 10 11 10 8 8 8 (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 19% 4.20 6.20  
SEAWITCH 2 2 95 8 9 9 9 (albertrani thoma)MARIN SAMUEL 120 12.00 23.60  
IN THE KNOW 7 12 12 11 10 1010¼ 1011¾ (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 30.00 34.70  
11  BRETON GIRL 10 11 10 12 1121¾ 1130¼ 1131¾ (mcgaughey c)LEPAROUX R 120 20.00 9.20  
13  DAZZLING THE MOON 12 7 4 3 1231¾ 1250¼ 1259¾ (cascallares ne)MORELOS E 120 30.00 64.40  
SCR  COFFEE HOUSE               (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 113 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.