Handicappers' Racing Form

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Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - February 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TAM-1   Win (8/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TAM-2   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TAM-3   Win (2/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-4   Win (12/11/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TAM-5   Win (9/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TAM-6   Win (8/6/7/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TAM-7   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00
TAM-8   Win (5/3/6/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TAM-9   Win (1/9/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TAM-10   Win (7/11/6/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TAM-11   Win (12/3/5/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TAM-1   02/11/2023 5400ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT-12:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAFTY KING Sep10 Aug12 Jul15     (bennett s)FERRER C 120 10.00    
SUERTE Jan21 Dec02 Oct08 Sep09   (harty eoin)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
FUNNY MAN Jan07 Dec17       (hamm timothy)BATISTA A 120 12.00    
DUKE OF GLOUCESTER Dec03 Oct28 Sep29 Sep06 Aug11 (machado antonio)MORALES PABLO 120 15.00 8% 12.20    
SKI COUNTRY Dec24 Oct29       (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 113 12.00    
SCR  FAST FIXER         (dobber arnoud )MENESES MARCOS 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
CHAMPAGNE JUAN         (clement christop)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 8% 11.00    
ARCH RUNNER         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
TAM-2   02/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT-12:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUN RIGHT Jan15 Dec31 Oct17 Sep08 Aug09 (wismer s)ALENCAR WALBER 118 12.00    
EXCELLENT MARK Jan15 Dec23 Dec07 Aug29 May06 (yanez r)SPIETH S 118 20.00    
TAP FIRST Jan29 May04 Apr16 Jan07 Jan01 (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.00 71% 0.40    
PRETTY DUDE Jan08 Dec23 Dec02 May06 Mar26 (wasiluk jr)VEGA L 118 30.00    
CLEAR TO CLOSE Apr27 Mar18       (tsirigotis jame)ALICEA JEREMY 111 30.00    
ASSERT DOMINANCE May21 May06 Apr22 Apr01 Mar13 (mcgoey monica)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
LIL BULL Jan28 Jan08 Dec23 Nov23 Nov04 (wirth b)MBATHA LUCKY 108 10.00    
MISTER FERNANDO Jan28 Jan22 Dec31 Dec23 Nov23 (nunn douglas)BATISTA A 122 4.00    
CANT GLIDE BY KATZ Dec06 Nov13 Oct31 Oct17 Oct04 (robillard julie)FUENTES MARIO 118 10.00    
10  BRAVE HILARIO Feb03 Jan27 Dec31 Dec23 Nov29 (escobar alison)SUAREZ JESUS 118 15.00    
 
TAM-3   02/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOC CARSON Jan21 Jan01       (cordero antonio)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 30.00    
FUN AT THE FORT Nov04 Oct22 Sep18     (mcburney patrick)MARIN SAMUEL 122 5.00 30% 2.30    
LITTLE BIG Jan01 Sep16 Aug19 Jul16   (o'connell ka)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
MATT DOYLE Jan22 Dec15 Nov11 Oct09 Aug28 (beckman d )GALLARDO A 122 1.60    
J J'S JUSTICE Jan20 Jan11 Dec28 Dec02 Sep18 (mazza w)SOSA LAUREANO 115 15.00    
THE BIG CALICO Oct08 Sep11 Aug27 Jul30 Jul01 (cascallares nes)ALICEA JEREMY 115 30.00    
JURKOVEC Dec28 Oct20 Sep17 Jul20   (albertrani thoma)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.50    
BUCKTOWN Dec28 Dec02 Oct22 Jun11   (proctor thomas )MARTIN MATTIE 115 6.00 23% 3.40    
ERLAN         (cascallares nes)LOZADA CARLOS 122 20.00    
 
TAM-4   02/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLY FLY AWAY Jan28 Jan06 Dec10 Nov25 Sep29 (cahill ste)GALLARDO A 119 15.00    
INITFORTHELOVE Jan21 Sep16 Aug17 Jul13 Jun18 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00    
FRANZ JOSEF Jan06 Oct12 Sep26 Sep07 Aug22 (wismer s)ALENCAR WALBER 119 20.00    
KING RAMOS Feb04 Jan21 Dec18 Nov27 Jul08 (rodriguez ange)MENESES MARCOS 119 30.00    
D'CRAZINESS Jan04 Oct17 Sep29 Sep13 Aug23 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 12.00    
SAVAGE (BRZ) Jan04 Dec10 Nov26 Oct05 Sep26 (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 119 12.00    
WHISKEY PLANK Jan28 Dec31 Dec10 Nov04 Oct08 (cruz jesus)BATISTA A 119 4.00 11% 7.70    
MR. SARCASTIC Jan15 Dec28 Dec10 Nov12 Oct22 (richards renaldo)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50    
UNLEVERAGED Jan15 Dec10 Aug20 Jul23 Jun19 (sweezey kent)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  BORGOBYTHESEA Jan04 Dec10 Nov25 Oct08 Sep01 (carrascojr vi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 12.00    
11  BIRD'S EYE VIEW Jan28 Jan04 Dec10 Sep30 Sep18 (dini mike)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 26% 2.80    
12  ON THE COUCH Jan15 Dec31 Dec10 Sep30 Sep18 (sacco d)ORTIZ L 123 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  ULTIMATE IRONY Jan21 Dec14 Nov12 Oct21 Oct07 (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 119 8.00    
SCR  ARIES REIGNS Jan25 Jan13 Dec28 Dec14 Nov25 (rarick lynn)MARIN SAMUEL 119 30.00    
 
TAM-5   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 2:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RELAY Oct02         (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 7% 13.90    
ONE VIOLENT AFFAIR Oct12         (o'conne)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00 30% 2.40    
MS EXCUSE         (cascallares nes)LOZADA CARLOS 120 30.00    
REKINDLED         (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 113 6.00    
BROKEN HEARTS BAY Jan25 Dec28 Nov18 Oct14   (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 7% 12.40    
SWEET MELADY         (cascallares nestor)LOPEZ E 120 15.00    
MISSMOLLYORBIT         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 12.00    
BELLA FACCIA         (ciaio charles )MENESES MARCOS 120 20.00    
TITA MIMOSA (IRE)         (rodriguez )GALLARDO A 120 4.50 32% 2.20    
10  ROSARIO'S PRAYER Dec18         (cordero antonio)FERRER C 120 12.00    
11  SHENOAH         (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 120 20.00    
 
TAM-6   02/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R FUNNY BIZNESS Jan01 Oct29 Sep20 Aug08 Jul09 (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 119 10.00 6% 14.70    
SIGN OF PEACE Dec31 Oct09       (walsh bren)GALLARDO A 119 5.00    
LALOBA FEROZ Dec28 Sep10 Aug05 Jun26 Apr30 (santillana frank)MENDEZ KEVIN 123 12.00    
FREEDOM ROSE Jan15 Apr13 Mar03     (campbell mi)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00    
BIKINI BABY Jan15 Sep23 Aug28 Jul22 Jul02 (pimental i)MARIN SAMUEL 119 30.00    
LENTEN ROSE Jan25 Dec31 Dec02 Oct12 Sep05 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 119 5.00 12% 7.40    
INANNA'S QUEST Jan21 Dec14 Nov25 Oct01 Sep10 (sillaman richard)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 8.00 9% 10.60    
SWEET DUTCHESS Jan15 Dec24 Mar12 Feb16 Jan22 (o'connell ka)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 43% 1.30    
GABBY SQUARED Jan15 Nov05 Oct06 Sep17 Aug20 (wright w)CENTENO E 119 6.00 8% 11.00    
10  INFLUENCING Jan05 Jun30 Jun12 Apr16 Feb27 (proctor thomas )MARTIN MATTIE 112 20.00    
SCR  SATURDAY NITE GIRL Jan28 Aug21 Jul11 Jun11   (proctor thom)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 8.00    
 
TAM-7   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRIFAROS Jan22 Jul09 Jun19     (pompay terri)CENTENO E 120 6.00    
MY DESTINY Jan06 Dec08 Sep24 Jul28 Jun26 (wilensky her)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00    
SCR  MUSIC CITY STAR Dec31 Oct19 Sep21 Sep01 Aug13 (joseph a)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
SCR  NIGHT CAP Jan14 Jun07 Mar12 Feb12 Jan16 (bennett s)FERRER C 120 12.00 29% 2.40    
CARAMEL SWIRL Aug28 May20       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 1.40 46% 1.20    
ZAINALARAB Dec31 Nov20 Oct26 Aug31 Jul10 (walsh bren)GALLARDO A 118 12.00    
SHE'S PEACHY KEEN Jan11 Dec22 Oct12 Sep19 Aug29 (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 120 10.00    
OLIVIA DARLING Jan14 Dec29 Nov18 Oct14 Jun03 (delgado jorge)JARAMILLO E 120 5.00    
PINK SHOELACES Jan14 Dec22 Jun18 Mar12 Jan16 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 20.00    
 
TAM-8   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO QUE NO Jan13 Dec31 Nov26 Sep04 Jul24 (gutierrez fausti)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
PACO'S PICO Jan21 Dec22 Nov19 May12 Apr29 (crichton roh)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
WILLY BOI Dec10 Nov05 Jul30 Jul02 May28 (delgado jorge)MORELOS E 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  GRAN RUNNER Oct06 Sep10 Jul02 Apr24 Feb05 (barboza victor)BATISTA A 118 30.00    
SIBELIUS Dec31 Nov13 Oct07 Sep10 Aug10 (o'dwyer jerem)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 1.80 39% 1.60    
DOCTOR OSCAR Jan13 Dec14 Oct29 Oct08 Sep10 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 10.00 9% 10.00    
UPHOLD THE LAW Jan16 Aug17 Jan02     (stidham michael)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
ABSOLUTE GRIT Jan21 Dec11 Nov13 Aug13 Jul02 (crichton rohan)JARAMILLO E 118 12.00    
MORGAN POINT Jan29 Dec10 Oct01 Sep02 Aug13 (vinson g)CAMACHO SAMY 118 20.00    
10  GATSBY Jan14 Dec10 Oct01 Sep04 Aug13 (david a)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
11  WHERE PARADISE LAY Jan13 Dec14 Oct27 Sep29 Aug24 (downing william)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 30.00    
 
TAM-9   02/11/2023 5400ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WONDER WHEEL Nov04 Oct07 Sep04 Jul04 Jun03 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.00 36% 1.80    
OPUS FORTY TWO Jan14 Dec03 Oct28 Sep17   (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 10.00    
CHARLIE'S WISH Jan14 Dec02 Oct29 Oct01   (fawkes david)JARAMILLO E 120 12.00    
CHAMPAGNE CALLING Jan07 Jun17       (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 120 30.00    
DREAMING OF SNOW Jan14 Dec17 Dec03 Sep06   (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 120 15.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  GUNS N' GRACES Dec23 Nov04       (brown c)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 15.00    
FAST TRACKED Dec03 Nov06       (delacour arnaud)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 20.00    
TICKER TAPE HOME Nov05 Oct08 Sep01 Jul31 Jul02 (casse mark)GALLARDO A 120 8.00 5% 18.90    
JULIA SHINING Dec03 Oct16       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
 
TAM-10   02/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 5:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORTHINGTON Jan07 Nov26 Oct15 Sep03   (maker j)MORALES PABLO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
PRAIRIE HAWK Jan13 Dec02 Oct15     (joseph a)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
CLASSIC LEGACY Dec03 Oct22 Aug20     (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 12.00    
LAVER Jan01 Nov13 Oct20 Sep14 Jul24 (arnold george )MORELOS E 120 15.00    
GROVELAND Jan13 Dec24 Dec03 Oct08   (harty eoin)CENTENO E 120 12.00    
CLASSIC CAR WASH Jan06 Dec02 Jul02     (casse mark)JARAMILLO E 120 20.00 9% 9.90    
DUBYUHNELL Dec03 Oct02 Sep03     (gargan danny)ORTIZ L 124 1.80 38% 1.60    
SCR  NOTAH Jan14 Jun18       (terranova )GALLARDO A 120 30.00    
CHAMPIONS DREAM Jan14 Nov06 Oct01 Sep03   (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50    
10  DREAMING OF KONA Jan01 Dec03 Oct17     (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  LITIGATE Jan08 Nov19       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00 24% 3.10    
12  ZYDECEAUX Jan14 Dec24 Dec04 Oct30 Aug13 (minguet ramon)MARIN SAMUEL 120 20.00    
 
TAM-11   02/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL MISS MOONLIGHT Jan14         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 10.00 6% 15.30    
SEAWITCH Jan14 Dec15       (albertrani thomas)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
CIRILLA (FR)         (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 19% 4.20    
FACCIA BELLA Jan18 Sep15 Sep03 Aug20 Jul30 (raven kerr)GALLARDO A 120 30.00    
FINANCIAL ADVICE (FR)         (brown c)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 17% 5.00    
JUNIPER'S MOON Nov25 Nov05       (dutrow w)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00 16% 5.30    
IN THE KNOW Dec23         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 30.00    
JUST A SPLASH (IRE) Oct22 Sep23       (dutrow anthon)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00    
SCR  COFFEE HOUSE Dec23 Oct28 Sep23     (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 113 30.00    
10  LOVERS ROCK         (brown c)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00    
11  BRETON GIRL Oct28         (mcgaughey c)LEPAROUX R 120 20.00    
12  THEGIRLFROMIRELAND Jan04 Nov19 Oct22     (motion graham)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 6.00 22% 3.60    
13  DAZZLING THE MOON         (cascallares nes)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.