Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - January 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-2   EXA (2/6/7)-(2/6/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-6 $13.20 $1.20 10%
    SFT (2/6/7)-(2/6/7/5/4)-(2/6/7/5/4)-(2/6/7/5/4) 72 $0.10 $7.20  2-6-7-4 $8.45 $1.25 17%
TAM-9   WIN (10/9/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  10 $10.80 $2.80 35%

Simulator Race results

 
TAM-1   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT-12:32
See original race card.
:231 :47 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALEXA'S DREAM 4 2 3 21   21 1 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 1.20 46% 1.20 1.00 W
PLANE JANE 5 1 1 11   11 2 (bennett s)FERRER C 122 3.50 15% 5.80 3.00 P
HOT FOOT SUSIE 2 3 2 3   31 3 (orseno jo)CAMACHO JR 122 3.00 18% 4.70 2.40 S
GALLEY HEAD 1 5 57 5   5 4 (lerman s)CAMACHO SAMY 122 6.00 5.90  
LIVELY REMARK 3 4 43 4   43 5 (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 8.00 22.90  
SCR  KEENE ON JENNY               (cordero anton)LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00    
 
TAM-2   01/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:02
See original race card.
:243 :493 1:151 1:413   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCO QUEEN 2 1 21 2½ 1½ 1½ 1 (pita daniel)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00 43% 1.30 1.60 W
RIPLEY EFFECT 6 6 5 42 3 2½ 2 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 14% 6.10 5.50 P
REDZILLA 7 2 11 1½ 2½ 3 3 (paragallo jenn)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.50 11% 7.90 1.90 S
SHE IS ROYALTY 4 5 63 63 43 4 410 (calixt)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 4.00 5.70  
RESTORATION 1 7 7 76 66 6 514½ (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 122 20.00 24.70  
BLACK KARMA 5 4 42 52 54 5 615½ (dobber arnou)MENESES MARCOS 122 5.00 7.20  
JAMAICAN INVADER 3 3 3 3 7 718½ 746¼ (mcgoey mon)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 12.00 31.20  
 
TAM-3   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:221 :45 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMUDA 6 1 1nk 11   14 13 (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 121 1.20 55% 0.80 0.50 W
MACHISMO 3 2 5 52   24 23 (poole a)CENTENO E 119 4.50 16% 5.30 5.30 P
SIR OLLIE 4 3 3.2 31   34 36 (joseph saffie )CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 5.30 S
TRIPULANTE 2 5 2nk 4   5 412¼ (granitz anthony )FERRER C 119 6.00 6.20  
REBEL EMPIRE 5 4 4 21   46 515¾ (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 119 20.00 51.60  
GINS AND TINS 1 6 6 65   611¼ 623 (davis sc)GALLARDO A 119 5.00 10.50  
 
TAM-4   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:23 :471 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET'S BE HONEST 6 1 3 1nk   1nk 1 (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 120 2.50 19% 4.20 0.90 W
NURSE JUDY 1 2 1½ 3.2   3½ 2 (gatis chri)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 4.50 34% 2.00 4.60 P
BAYOU MELODY 4 4 42 2nk   2nk 3 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 4.50 4.70 S
LYRICAL 2 3 2½ 4¾   5 43 (rarick lynn)DELGADO DAVID 120 5.00 6% 14.70 17.00  
DIXIELAND DANCER 5 5 6 6   4 5 (machado antoni)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.50 15% 5.90 3.50  
LEA ME ALONE 3 6 52 5   6 66 (tsirigotis jam)ALLEN D 120 10.00 14.30  
SCR  DRILL'S VALENTINE               (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 8.00    
 
TAM-5   01/15/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:14 1:40   1:521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON THE COUCH 3 1 32 35 4 12 1¾ (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 121 1.80 44% 1.30 1.20 W
KOBLA MAS 8 3 42 46 6 32 2¾ (carrascojr v)MENESES MARCOS 119 4.00 1.90 P
MR. SARCASTIC 7 6 6 6 5 4 31 (gatis chri)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 3.50 6.20  
UNLEVERAGED 2 5 2½ 13 1 22 43 (sweezey kent)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 8.00 27% 2.80 8.80  
HOLD THE SPICE 6 7 76 89 7 7 5 (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 8.00 25.30  
PRIVATE LAKE 1 4 5 5 8 6 66 (ward dennis)SOSA LAUREANO 112 12.00 27.20  
JAG 4 2 1½ 23 2 5 79 (lopez r)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 20.00 48.90  
MARV'S MAGIC 5 8 8 7 3 8 811 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 119 6.00 11.10  
 
TAM-6   01/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.35K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:223 :464 :592     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PONY GIRL 4 5 5 5   1nk 1¾ (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 0.60 41% 1.40 0.60 W
ROCK ALONG 1 7 7 6   31 2¾ (manning j)BRACHO A 118 15.00 5% 19.00 4.10 P
BELLA ROMANCE 7 2 4¼ 1½   2nk 3 (mcgoey mon)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 5.00 5.10  
MAMA LONGLEGS 2 6 6 7   55 413 (harris nancy)BUSH V 118 20.00 19% 4.30 35.60  
PRETTY DEVIL 3 4 1nk 4¾   43 513¼ (dobber arnou)MENESES MARCOS 118 8.00 8.70  
MORE MUCHO 6 1 3.2 3½   76 616½ (smith rob)CAMACHO JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 11.70  
DAHGO 5 3 2nk 2½   6 718¾ (pimental john )MARIN SAMUEL 118 15.00 28.40  
SCR  SASSY CHARLEE               (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 12.00 6% 16.10    
 
TAM-7   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COCO BRAVADO 2 3 6 6   4 1¼ (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 4.00 2.20  
I'LL FINISH 7 2 31 3½   2nk 2¼ (delgado jorg)ARROYO S 121 6.00 6.20 P
JAMA DILLON 5 6 42 41   1nk 3¾ (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 121 15.00 44.30 S
THAT'S MY BOI TOY 3 5 5 53   32 4 (posadas pedr)MENESES MARCOS 121 8.00 16.10  
FREELANCE 6 8 96 85   5 5 (manning j)BRACHO A 121 10.00 8.70  
ANY MINUTE 1 7 8 97   96 6 (posadas pe)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 12.00 27.40  
10  THOUSAND LOVES 9 1 1nk 2nk   6 7 (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 121 20.00 12.80  
THEJIGISUP 4 9 7 7   85 8 (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 121 8.00 13.70  
PARTNER'S HOPE 8 4 2nk 1nk   7 9 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 121 3.00 69% 0.50 1.50  
SCR  SPEED WAY               (davis scooter)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 4.50 9% 10.40    
 
TAM-8   01/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:03
See original race card.
:222 :454 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPERIAL BIRD 3 1 13 12   15 110 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 121 8.00 3.20  
MEROKEE 9 9 76 5   46 210 (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 3.50 35% 1.80 4.50 P
AWESOME ENOUGH 1 2 23 22   25 310½ (rodriguez da)MENESES MARCOS 121 4.50 25% 3.00 4.20 S
TEDDY'S HONOR 6 4 55 75   5 412½ (wasiluk peter)IORIO MELISSA 111 20.00 43.30  
DUN RIGHT 4 3 34 33   36 513¾ (wismer glenn)ALENCAR WALBER 121 8.00 23.30  
10  WHISKEYONHISLIPS 10 6 6 6   6 616¼ (orseno)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 10.00 9.10  
AWKWARD PAUSE 8 11 1110½ 10   1010 716¼ (mcgoey monica)FUENTES MARIO 121 6.00 6.20  
11  LIL GREEN MACHINE 11 7 8 87   9 820 (philipp karyn)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 10% 9.20 5.10  
EXCELLENT MARK 7 5 9 9   8 920¼ (yanez r)FERRER C 121 10.00 14.80  
BOSSHOG THEM DUKES 5 8 10 119   1110 1020½ (crooks jeffrey)MBATHA LUCKY 113 12.00 37.30  
GUNMAN 2 10 44 44   7 1120¾ (manchan be)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 12.00 7% 12.40 19.60  
 
TAM-9   01/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:241 :502 1:153 1:394   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ANADOR (FR) 10 4 31 21 1½ 11 1½ (dini mik)GALLARDO A 121 5.00 33% 2.10 4.40 W
SWEET DUTCHESS 8 7 5 42 3½ 21 2½ (o'connell ka)ARROYO S 121 6.00 4.70  
MEMPHIS SHOWBOAT 6 3 8 9 8 5 3 (downing willia)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 5.00 11.30 S
STANDOFF 5 8 42 5 4 33 4 (breen j)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.00 12% 7.20 2.30  
GABBY SQUARED 7 6 9 84 6 43 5 (wright michae)HERNANDEZ K 121 4.50 13% 6.80 7.70  
BIKINI BABY 4 10 10 10 9 8 6 (pimental john )MARIN SAMUEL 121 30.00 74.90  
DYNA'S HONOR 1 1 21 3 5 7 7 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 20.00 27.90  
FREEDOM ROSE 3 2 11 11 2½ 6 810 (campbell mi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 12.00 12.20  
JEFF'S ANGEL 2 5 6 74 104 108 912 (exposito j)LOPEZ E 121 20.00 34.60  
SENSITIVITY 9 9 7 6 72 9 1013 (caramori caio)MORALES PABLO 121 3.50 20% 4.00 3.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.