Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - January 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(2/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(2/6/7)-(6/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/7)-(2/6/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7)-(2/6/7/5/4)-(2/6/7/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/6/7)-(6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7)-(6/3)-(1/7/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-3   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/1/4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/1/4/5)-(6/3/1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3)-(1/7/6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(1/7/6/2)-(3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-4   WIN (1/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/2)-(1/7/6/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/2)-(1/7/6/2/4)-(1/7/6/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/6/2)-(3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6/2)-(3/2)-(5/3/2/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-5   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/8/5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/8/5/4)-(3/2/8/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2)-(5/3/2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(5/3/2/7)-(9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TAM-6   WIN (5/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/7)-(5/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/7)-(5/3/2/7)-(5/3/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/2/7)-(9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2/7)-(9)-(9/1/11/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-7   WIN (9) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (9)-(9/6/8/3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (9)-(9/6/8/3)-(9/6/8/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9)-(9/1/11/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (9)-(9/1/11/2)-(10/9/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-8   WIN (9/1/11/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/11/2)-(9/1/11/2/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/1/11/2)-(9/1/11/2/10)-(9/1/11/2/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/1/11/2)-(10/9/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (10/9/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/7/5)-(10/9/7/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/9/7/5)-(10/9/7/5/6)-(10/9/7/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GALLEY HEAD Sep03 Aug12 Jul20 May04   (lerman s)CAMACHO SAMY 122 6.00 ★    
2  HOT FOOT SUSIE Dec14 Nov13       (orseno jo)CAMACHO JR 122 3.00 18% 4.70    
3  LIVELY REMARK Dec28 Dec09 Sep07 Aug24   (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 8.00    
SCR  KEENE ON JENNY Nov07 Oct14 Sep14 Sep03 Jun24 (cordero anton)LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00 ★    
5  ALEXA'S DREAM Dec21 Nov23 Oct16 Sep23   (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 1.20 46% 1.20    
6  PLANE JANE Dec21 Oct21       (bennett s)FERRER C 122 3.50 15% 5.80    
 
TAM-2   01/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RESTORATION Dec15 Jan14       (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 122 20.00    
2  DISCO QUEEN Dec23 Dec02 Oct15 Sep30 Aug27 (pita daniel)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
3  JAMAICAN INVADER Dec16 Dec02 Oct29 Oct08 Sep11 (mcgoey mon)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 12.00    
4  SHE IS ROYALTY Dec22 Apr16 Mar18 Mar12 Feb20 (calixt)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 4.00 ★    
5  BLACK KARMA Jan01 Dec22 Nov30     (dobber arnou)MENESES MARCOS 122 5.00 ★    
6  RIPLEY EFFECT Dec21 Nov25 Oct14 Sep17 Apr23 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 14% 6.10    
7  REDZILLA Jan04 Dec22 Dec10 Apr06 Mar05 (paragallo jenn)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.50 11% 7.90    
 
TAM-3   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GINS AND TINS Oct26 Sep29 Sep19 Aug16 Aug08 (davis sc)GALLARDO A 119 5.00 ★    
2  TRIPULANTE Jul20 Jun21 May30 May11 Mar26 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 119 6.00    
3  MACHISMO Nov26 Sep29 Jun11 May12 Mar16 (poole a)CENTENO E 119 4.50 16% 5.30    
4  SIR OLLIE Nov20 Oct16 Aug28 Jun25 May28 (joseph saffie )CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 ★    
5  REBEL EMPIRE Oct15 Sep29 May30 May07 Apr08 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 119 20.00 ★    
6  REMUDA Nov23 Apr23 Mar27     (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 121 1.20 55% 0.80    
 
TAM-4   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NURSE JUDY Dec28 Dec16 Sep18 Aug19 Mar19 (gatis chri)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 4.50 34% 2.00    
2  LYRICAL Dec28 Dec09 Jul09 Jun02 May19 (rarick lynn)DELGADO DAVID 120 5.00 6% 14.70    
3  LEA ME ALONE Dec10 Jul16 Jun22 May26 Apr20 (tsirigotis jam)ALLEN D 120 10.00    
4  BAYOU MELODY Dec10 Oct28 Oct05 Sep17 Sep05 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 4.50 ★    
SCR  DRILL'S VALENTINE Dec09 Nov26 Jul01 Apr27 Apr15 (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 8.00    
6  DIXIELAND DANCER Dec22 Dec02 Nov26 Oct15 Sep28 (machado antoni)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.50 15% 5.90    
7  LET'S BE HONEST Dec11 Dec02 Nov04 Sep23 Aug12 (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
 
TAM-5   01/15/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIVATE LAKE Dec30 Dec21 Dec02 Oct22 Sep30 (ward dennis)SOSA LAUREANO 112 12.00    
2  UNLEVERAGED Dec10 Aug20 Jul23 Jun19 Jun02 (sweezey kent)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 8.00 27% 2.80    
3  ON THE COUCH Dec31 Dec10 Sep30 Sep18 Aug20 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 121 1.80 44% 1.30    
4  JAG Dec16 Dec10 Sep14 Sep05 Aug03 (lopez r)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 20.00 ★    
5  MARV'S MAGIC Dec28 Dec10 Oct04 Sep23 Sep15 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 119 6.00 ★    
6  HOLD THE SPICE Dec28 Nov25 Sep15 Aug31 Aug10 (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 8.00    
7  MR. SARCASTIC Dec28 Dec10 Nov12 Oct22 Sep25 (gatis chri)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 3.50    
8  KOBLA MAS Dec23 Nov26 Sep10 Jul30 Jul09 (carrascojr v)MENESES MARCOS 119 4.00 ★    
 
TAM-6   01/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.35K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SASSY CHARLEE Dec24 Jul04 Jun18 Jun03 Apr22 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 12.00 6% 16.10    
2  ROCK ALONG May22 Apr24 Mar31     (manning j)BRACHO A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MAMA LONGLEGS Dec28 Oct26 Sep27 Sep14 Aug17 (harris nancy)BUSH V 118 20.00 19% 4.30    
4  PRETTY DEVIL Dec07 Oct25 Oct19 Aug27 Jul30 (dobber arnou)MENESES MARCOS 118 8.00    
5  PONY GIRL Aug27 Jul29 Jun19 May29 Apr01 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 0.60 41% 1.40    
6  DAHGO Dec31 Dec07 Aug21 Jul24 Jun19 (pimental john )MARIN SAMUEL 118 15.00    
7  MORE MUCHO Jul29 Jun30 May15 Apr15 Mar30 (smith rob)CAMACHO JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  BELLA ROMANCE Dec24 Dec14 Nov23 Sep11 Jul31 (mcgoey mon)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 5.00    
 
TAM-7   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPEED WAY Oct19 Oct03 Sep15 Aug30 Aug16 (davis scooter)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 4.50 9% 10.40    
2  ANY MINUTE Dec22 Nov25 Oct26 Oct13 Sep08 (posadas pe)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 12.00    
3  COCO BRAVADO Jan07 Dec21 Oct30 Oct08 Sep29 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 4.00 ★    
4  THAT'S MY BOI TOY Jan07 Dec22 Oct12 Sep08 Jul27 (posadas pedr)MENESES MARCOS 121 8.00    
5  THEJIGISUP Jan07 Dec22 Dec07 Nov23 Oct04 (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 121 8.00    
6  JAMA DILLON Dec09 Nov25 Oct25 Oct17 Sep24 (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 121 15.00 ★    
7  FREELANCE Dec09 Nov25 Aug31 Aug24 Jul22 (manning j)BRACHO A 121 10.00    
8  I'LL FINISH Dec22 Nov25 Oct22 Sep10 Aug20 (delgado jorg)ARROYO S 121 6.00 ★    
9  PARTNER'S HOPE Dec22 Nov06 Oct07 Sep10 Jul30 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 121 3.00 69% 0.50    
10  THOUSAND LOVES Dec21 Aug06 Jul17 Jul01 Jun19 (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 121 20.00    
 
TAM-8   01/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME ENOUGH Oct02 Sep10 Aug21     (rodriguez da)MENESES MARCOS 121 4.50 25% 3.00    
2  GUNMAN Jan06 Dec21 Dec02 May06 Apr22 (manchan be)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 12.00 7% 12.40    
3  IMPERIAL BIRD Dec23 Dec07 Apr06 Mar13 Feb27 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 121 8.00    
4  DUN RIGHT Dec31 Oct17 Sep08 Aug09 Jul26 (wismer glenn)ALENCAR WALBER 121 8.00    
5  BOSSHOG THEM DUKES Dec23 Dec16 Dec03 Nov05 Oct22 (crooks jeffrey)MBATHA LUCKY 113 12.00    
6  TEDDY'S HONOR Dec07 Nov23 Jul01 Jun18 May06 (wasiluk peter)IORIO MELISSA 111 20.00    
7  EXCELLENT MARK Dec23 Dec07 Aug29 May06 Mar12 (yanez r)FERRER C 121 10.00    
8  AWKWARD PAUSE Dec31 Jul30 Jul09 Jun19 May21 (mcgoey monica)FUENTES MARIO 121 6.00    
9  MEROKEE Sep24 Jul29 Jul09 Jun19 May30 (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 3.50 35% 1.80    
10  WHISKEYONHISLIPS Nov12 Oct22 Aug21 Jul09 Jun17 (orseno)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 10.00 ★    
11  LIL GREEN MACHINE Apr16 Mar04 Feb13 Jan15   (philipp karyn)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 10% 9.20    
 
TAM-9   01/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYNA'S HONOR Jan04 Dec21 Oct06     (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 20.00    
2  JEFF'S ANGEL Dec30 Oct23 Jun30 Jun17 May04 (exposito j)LOPEZ E 121 20.00    
3  FREEDOM ROSE Apr13 Mar03       (campbell mi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 12.00    
4  BIKINI BABY Sep23 Aug28 Jul22 Jul02 Jun05 (pimental john )MARIN SAMUEL 121 30.00    
5  STANDOFF Sep02         (breen j)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.00 12% 7.20    
6  MEMPHIS SHOWBOAT Nov26 Sep16 Aug13 Jul16 Mar18 (downing willia)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 5.00 ★    
7  GABBY SQUARED Nov05 Oct06 Sep17 Aug20 Jul23 (wright michae)HERNANDEZ K 121 4.50 13% 6.80    
8  SWEET DUTCHESS Dec24 Mar12 Feb16 Jan22   (o'connell ka)ARROYO S 121 6.00    
9  SENSITIVITY Dec07 Oct14 Apr02 Feb27   (caramori caio)MORALES PABLO 121 3.50 20% 4.00    
10  ANADOR (FR) Dec24 Nov26 Oct20 Sep24 Jul02 (dini mik)GALLARDO A 121 5.00 33% 2.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.