Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - January 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   EXA (3/10/9/6/8)-(3/10/9/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00  9-8 $22.90 $2.90 15%
    TRI (3/10/9/6/8)-(3/10/9/6/8)-(3/10/9/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00  9-8-10 $48.05 $18.05 60%
TAM-2   WIN (2/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $24.00 $18.00 300%
    EXA (2/1/8)-(2/1/8/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-1 $52.20 $40.20 335%
    TRI (2/1/8)-(2/1/8/4/7)-(2/1/8/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00  8-1-7 $92.15 $74.15 412%
    DD (3/10/9/6/8)-(2/1/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00  9-8 $59.50 $44.50 297%
TAM-3   DD (2/1/8)-(7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  8-7 $39.30 $33.30 555%
    PK3 (3/10/9/6/8)-(2/1/8)-(7/4) 30 $0.50 $15.00  9-8-7 $71.95 $56.95 380%
TAM-4   PK3 (2/1/8)-(7/4)-(4/2/7/6/5) 30 $0.50 $15.00  8-7-2 $38.95 $23.95 160%

Simulator Race results

 
TAM-1   01/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:32
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:13     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROOKIE SALSA 9 1 31 1½   1½ 1½ (potts g)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 3.50 12% 7.20 4.20 W
HOT AND HEAVY 8 2 6 4   2½ 2½ (wilson)ROJAS EDUARDO 123 8.00 6% 14.80 7.30 P
10  SHOO SHINE 10 5 5 2½   3 34 (dini mike)FERRER C 123 6.00 12% 7.10 3.50 S
PATROL 1 9 9 7   6 4 (ferraro anth)COA J 123 10.00 15.60  
ASK FOR BODE 3 8 4 6   5 5 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 3.00 28% 2.60 2.30  
STAY HOME 6 6 72 8   7 6 (delgado )GALLARDO A 123 6.00 12% 7.40 4.10  
GOLD WING 2 10 10 10   104 7 (guciardo kathy)FELICIANO R 123 8.00 33.50  
BLACK V. K. 5 3 8 9   8 87 (pimental john )MARIN SAMUEL 123 20.00 32.60  
KEVIN WITTE 7 4 2nk 5   9 9 (posadas pedr)MENESES MARCOS 123 20.00 35.00  
NEW YORK STYLE 4 7 1nk 3½   42 10 (gonzalez jav)ARROYO S 123 8.00 28.10  
 
TAM-2   01/14/2023 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:02
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:14 1:393   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDIAN BUZZ 8 1 6 6 41 3½ 1 (poole jeffrey)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 8.00 6% 14.90 11.00 W
TRAPPEZOID 1 4 32 3 2nk 1nk 2 (guciardo kathy)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 33% 2.00 2.80 P
HARD LIGHTING 7 6 7 8 8 5 3 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 119 4.50 3.60 S
EXACTING 3 3 21 21 1nk 2nk 4 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 123 5.00 8.80  
EXCHEQUER 2 8 43 4 5 4 5 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 119 4.00 33% 2.00 3.10  
GHOST STALKER 4 7 53 52 7 7 6 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 3.50 3.80  
KING NATE 6 5 8 7 6 6 7 (rarick lynn)FERRER C 119 20.00 22.50  
RATTLESNAKE RIDGE 5 2 11 11 3½ 8 813½ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 12.00 18.20  
 
TAM-3   01/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:121     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTAH 6 4 22 22   11 1 (terranova john)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.80 65% 0.50 1.00 W
  (by FLATTER out of MINE ALL MINE by BELONG TO ME)
ALL OUR MUNNY 5 1 5 3   21 2 (boyd ric)GALLARDO A 120 6.00 5.80  
  (by MUNNINGS out of LADY BELSARA by BOUNDARY)
CITY HUMOR 8 2 12 12   3 3 (ochoa gerard)CENTENO E 120 10.00 4.90  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of CITY SUCCESS by CITY ZIP)
ESTILO MAGICO 7 3 3 4   4 48 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 120 6.00 12.20  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of CARLETON GRINNELL by ROYAL ACADEMY)
FALK 2 6 6 5   54 5 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00 8.60  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of INVITATION by VINDICATION)
THREE FOLD 4 5 4 6   65 613½ (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 120 3.50 4.40  
  (by UNCAPTURED out of JOY RULES by FULL MANDATE)
EL BURRITO 3 7 7 7   712 717½ (duffy sean)ARROYO S 120 30.00 10% 9.20 43.40  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of SCARLETT O'MARA by ESKENDEREYA)
AWESOME HONOR 1 8 8 810¼   814 819 (cordero-lopez)FLORES ADRIAN 120 20.00 71.40  
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of HONOR AND TRUST by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
SCR  FAR FROM HOME               (cascallares n)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 15.00    
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of ELECTRO PEG by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
 
TAM-4   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLIVIA DARLING 2 6 11 1½   14 17 (delgado jorge)JARAMILLO E 123 2.50 12% 7.10 1.20 W
PINK SHOELACES 6 2 21 2½   24 27 (wilson tony)CENTENO E 119 6.00 8% 11.00 6.20 P
PLATINUM GEM 3 7 6 4   45 38 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 8.00 14.10  
NIGHT CAP 4 4 8 5   57 48 (posadas pedr)ARROYO S 119 3.00 47% 1.10 2.60  
LI'L MISS CAMILLE 7 1 31 3   35 513 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 123 6.00 5.80  
JIM'S BRONZE STAR 1 8 5 6   6 615¼ (o'connor rober)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 8.00 19.00  
POSH PLAYDAY 5 3 42 76   7 719¼ (wismer glenn )WALKER M 119 12.00 5% 19.00 15.70  
EAST WING 8 5 7 88   812¼ 820¾ (lerma)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 15.00 35.30  
SCR  AMERICAN BASTET               (heming)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-5   01/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:141 1:391   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALMANZO 4 3 11 1½ 12 13 18 (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 121 15.00 2.80  
CAXAMBAS CANDY 2 2 43 3 32 33 28 (sweezey kent)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 3.00 27% 2.80 2.10 P
GREAT BRITAIN 5 5 21 2½ 22 23 28 (ward dennis)FERRER C 121 5.00 4.80 DH
GREYZER 1 1 5 5 4 44 411¾ (klesaris st)MARIN A 121 15.00 4.20  
AIRMAN 3 6 6 6 6 58 516 (santillana f)ARROYO S 121 12.00 12.40  
10  MR MATUSCHEK 6 4 32 42 5 612 624½ (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 121 8.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
SCR  BATTLE SCARS               (gulick james )MORALES PABLO 121 10.00    
SCR  JUSTINTIMEFORWINE               (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  RAISING MOON               (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 3.00    
SCR  ROCK THE STARS               (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 121 5.00    
 
TAM-6   01/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:111     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZYDECEAUX 6 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 1¼ (minguet ramon)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00 9.70  
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of WINK AT THE BOYS by GRAEME HALL)
CHAMPIONS DREAM 4 6 5 3½   2½ 2¼ (casse mark)CAMACHO SAMY 124 1.20 1.40 P
  (by JUSTIFY out of DANCINGINHERDREAMS by TAPIT)
SHAQ DIESEL 1 5 4 6   5 39 (gatis chris)MENESES MARCOS 118 10.00 7.90  
  (by KHOZAN out of KLEODORA by TIZNOW)
HANDSOME PLAYBOY 3 3 6 52   3 4 (bennett geral)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 15% 5.50 3.50  
  (by HANDSOME MIKE out of RITA by HOLY BULL)
LOCO ABARRIO 2 4 2nk 2nk   4 510½ (spatz b)FERRER C 118 3.00 30% 2.30 6.90  
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of BALLYHOO MOON by MALIBU MOON)
ARMSTRONG (GER) 5 2 3 4   6 617¾ (casse ma)GALLARDO A 124 6.00 30% 2.30 3.00  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of JESTERS JAZZ by MR. JESTER)
 
TAM-7   01/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:114 1:372   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP DANCE FEVER 5 6 4 4 3½ 2nk 1nk (bennett s)FERRER C 122 6.00 4.00  
  (by TAPITURE out of IT'S HEIDI'S DANCE by GREEN DANCER)
PASS THE CHAMPAGNE 6 3 2½ 2nk 1nk 1nk 2nk (weave)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 3.00 1.40 P
  (by FLATTER out of CHAMPAGNE TASTE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
BETH'S DREAM 1 1 1½ 1nk 2nk 33 3 (barboza victor )JARAMILLO E 122 1.20 67% 0.50 1.40 S
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of GATOR BREW by MILWAUKEE BREW)
MOLLY'S ANGEL 3 4 5 6 5 58 410½ (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 4.50 13.10  
  (by ISTAN out of ANGEL OF TROY by BELLAMY ROAD)
BEACHFRONT BID 4 5 32 31 42 46 511¼ (albertrani t)BATISTA A 118 6.00 10.10  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of RESERVE BID by PINE BLUFF)
BOW DRAW 2 2 6 53 6 610 617 (mcgoey)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 30.00 21.80  
  (by OXBOW out of WICKED DRAW by WILD AND WICKED)
SCR  MILES OF SMILES               (orseno jo)CAMACHO JR 118 20.00    
  (by PROSPECTIVE out of OASIS AT MIDNIGHT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
 
TAM-8   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 4:03
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:142 1:404   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASPRAY 1 6 45 43 31 3.2 1 (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.60 35% 1.90 0.80 W
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of UP by GALILEO (ARG))
ROMAN FLAME 3 3 2nk 1nk 2nk 2nk 2 (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 119 6.00 19% 4.20 3.30 P
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of ROMANA RULER by ROMAN RULER)
10  ROYAL DAME 6 1 33 32 1nk 1nk 34 (lorito mario)ARROYO S 119 20.00 6.50  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of STORM RAVEN by BODEMEISTER)
DOMO ARIGATOU 4 5 68 6 5 4 416¼ (collins john)FERRER C 119 15.00 14.70  
  (by KARAKONTIE out of FLEET ALLAIRE by HALO'S IMAGE)
AL TIRAH 5 2 56 5 43 5 519¼ (cordero-lopez)FLORES ADRIAN 119 15.00 11.40  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MY GAL LEXIE by SULTRY SONG)
HUMOR SENSE 2 4 1nk 2nk 6 613¼ 637¼ (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 30.00 5% 19.00 4.90  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of CHARADE by COMIC STRIP)
SCR  AWESOME EMPRESS               (romero rafae)BATISTA A 119 20.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of BRILLIANT EMPRESS by BRILLIANT SPEED)
SCR  BRETON GIRL               (mcgaughey cla)MORALES PABLO 119 3.50    
  (by IRONICUS out of MATA MUA by ARCH)
SCR  FINANCIAL ADVICE (FR)               (brown)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 2.50 23% 3.40    
  (by UNKNOWN out of MARACENA by MARJU (IRE))
SCR  RED HEAD LADY               (tsirigotis jam)ALLEN D 119 30.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of RICHMOND SPIDER by UNION RAGS)
 
TAM-9   01/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3 F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:112     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPUS FORTY TWO 7 4 4 3.2   1½ 1hd (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 118 12.00 8.40  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of LAQUESTA by LEMON DROP KID)
CHARLIE'S WISH 5 6 7 7   42 2hd (fawkes david)JARAMILLO E 118 8.00 12.20  
  (by FIRST DUDE out of SUPERIOR SARAH by WERBLIN)
PERSONAL PURSUIT 2 7 6 5   52 3 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 118 4.00 3.40 S
  (by TAPIT out of MADDIE'S ODYSSEY by KITTEN'S JOY)
DREAMING OF SNOW 3 2 5 4¼   3 4 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50 22% 3.60 4.20  
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of SNOW FASHION by OLD FASHIONED)
AWESOME PIC 8 3 2nk 1nk   2½ 5 (smith rob)CAMACHO JR 118 4.50 5.10  
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of SHIRLEY'S PIC by OVERDRIVEN)
DORTH VADER 4 1 3.2 2nk   6 611¾ (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 124 1.50 42% 1.40 1.40  
  (by GIRVIN out of HARDCORE CANDY by YONAGUSKA)
YES DAY 1 8 8 83   7 718 (wismer glenn )WALKER M 118 20.00 10% 9.20 71.90  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MAGNIFICENT MARGO by CONGRATS)
TELL ME WHEN 6 5 1nk 62   810½ 835 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 15.00 39.80  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of AURA ROSE by UNCLE MO)
 
TAM-10   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 5:03
See original race card.
:242 :494 1:151 1:402   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MODERN LOVE 3 4 5 56 31 1nk 1½ (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00 5% 19.00 1.30 W
  (by CURLIN out of DEVIL BY DESIGN by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
LIL MISS MOONLIGHT 4 5 4 3½ 2½ 2nk 2½ (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 119 20.00 8.10  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT (FR) out of SACRED LUNA by MALIBU MOON)
LADY BEE 1 1 21 41 52 46 310¾ (mott william )MORALES PABLO 119 6.00 3.40 S
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of VUEMONT by A.P. INDY)
SEAWITCH 2 3 31 2½ 1½ 33 411½ (albertrani t)BATISTA A 119 20.00 3.20  
  (by HONOR CODE out of SO SQUALLY (GER) by MONSUN (GER))
WITCHING HOUR (FR) 5 2 11 1½ 41 58 530 (danner kelsey)CENTENO E 119 20.00 3.90  
  (by FAIRY KING out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  ENGLISHED               (brown)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of JOYFUL DREAMS by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  GALILEO'S JEWEL (IRE)               (dutrow anthony)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 2.50 51% 1.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  HEIRESS (FR)               (clement )GALLARDO A 119 4.50    
  (by HABITAT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  REKINDLED               (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 112 15.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of CAPTIVATING LASS by A.P. INDY)
SCR  THEMISCHIEVOUSONE               (stewart j)FERRER C 119 30.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MADISON MAYHEM by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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