Handicappers' Racing Form

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Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - January 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TAM-1   Win (3/10/9/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TAM-2   Win (2/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-3   Win (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TAM-4   Win (4/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TAM-5   Win (4/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TAM-6   Win (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-7   Win (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00
TAM-8   Win (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-9   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-10   Win (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TAM-1   01/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATROL Sep21         (ferraro anthon)COA J 123 10.00    
GOLD WING Oct13 Sep05 Aug16 Jul19 Jun07 (guciardo kathy)FELICIANO R 123 8.00    
ASK FOR BODE Jan04 Dec07 Oct28 Oct01 Aug13 (arnett )DIAZ RAFAEL 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
NEW YORK STYLE Nov20 Oct30 Oct15 Sep24 Sep03 (gonzalez javie)ARROYO S 123 8.00    
BLACK V. K. Dec31 Dec07 Sep24 Aug20 Jul31 (pimental i)MARIN SAMUEL 123 20.00    
STAY HOME Dec31 May14 Apr15 Mar20 Mar03 (delgado jo)GALLARDO A 123 6.00 12% 7.40    
KEVIN WITTE Dec31 Dec07 Nov23 Oct15 Oct01 (posadas pedro)MENESES MARCOS 123 20.00    
HOT AND HEAVY Dec31 Dec07 Nov23 Oct22 Aug07 (wilson t)ROJAS EDUARDO 123 8.00 6% 14.80    
ROOKIE SALSA Dec31 Dec14 Nov23 Oct14 Sep05 (potts g)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 3.50 12% 7.20    
10  SHOO SHINE Dec23 Dec07 Oct20 Jul22   (dini mike)FERRER C 123 6.00 12% 7.10    
 
TAM-2   01/14/2023 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAPPEZOID Dec24 Dec09 Sep26 Aug19 Jul09 (guciardo kathy)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 33% 2.00    
EXCHEQUER Dec30 Nov26 Nov18 Oct12 Aug22 (rigattieri john)MORALES PABLO 119 4.00 33% 2.00    
EXACTING Dec17 Nov30 Oct26 Oct07 Sep24 (carrascojr vic)ARROYO S 123 5.00    
GHOST STALKER Dec24 Dec07 Oct28 Oct09 Sep23 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 3.50    
RATTLESNAKE RIDGE Jun26 Jun03 Apr16 Apr08 Mar16 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 12.00    
KING NATE Dec24 Oct21 Sep17 Aug31 Aug11 (rarick lynn)FERRER C 119 20.00    
HARD LIGHTING Dec24 Dec07 Sep30 Aug27 Jul23 (posadas pedro)BATISTA A 119 4.50    
INDIAN BUZZ Dec23 Nov26 Sep24 Aug19 Jul29 (poole a)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 8.00 6% 14.90    
 
TAM-3   01/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 1:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FAR FROM HOME Dec22         (cascallares nes)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 15.00    
AWESOME HONOR Oct15         (cordero-lopez a)FLORES ADRIAN 120 20.00    
FALK Dec24 Oct12 Sep28 Sep13 Aug23 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00    
EL BURRITO Dec17         (duffy sean)ARROYO S 120 30.00 10% 9.20    
THREE FOLD Dec24 Dec03       (smith g)MENESES MARCOS 120 3.50    
ALL OUR MUNNY Dec24         (boyd ricki)GALLARDO A 120 6.00    
NOTAH Jun18         (terranova p)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.80 65% 0.50    
ESTILO MAGICO         (arriagada juan)BATISTA A 120 6.00    
CITY HUMOR Sep07 Aug17       (ochoa gerard)CENTENO E 120 10.00    
 
TAM-4   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIM'S BRONZE STAR Dec22 Jun21 May22 Apr27 Feb20 (o'connor robert )SUAREZ ANGEL 119 8.00    
OLIVIA DARLING Dec29 Nov18 Oct14 Jun03 Apr22 (delgado jorge)JARAMILLO E 123 2.50 12% 7.10    
PLATINUM GEM Dec22 Jul18 Jun06 May17 Apr16 (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 119 8.00    
NIGHT CAP Jun07 Mar12 Feb12 Jan16   (posadas pedro)ARROYO S 119 3.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  AMERICAN BASTET Dec22 Oct23 Mar25 Feb12   (hemingwa)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
POSH PLAYDAY Oct06 Sep14 Aug03 Jul12 Jun21 (wismer s)WALKER M 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
PINK SHOELACES Dec22 Jun18 Mar12 Jan16   (wilson tony)CENTENO E 119 6.00 8% 11.00    
LI'L MISS CAMILLE Dec31 Aug19 Jul31 Jul09 Jun11 (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 123 6.00    
EAST WING Apr30 Mar09 Jan28     (lerman )DIAZ RAFAEL 119 15.00    
 
TAM-5   01/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREYZER Dec24 Oct28 Oct12 Sep01 Aug11 (klesaris stev)MARIN A 121 15.00    
SCR  BATTLE SCARS Dec30 Nov11 Aug10     (gulick m)MORALES PABLO 121 10.00    
SCR  ROCK THE STARS Dec24 Nov25 Oct21 Aug19 Jul31 (rodriguez )GALLARDO A 121 5.00    
CAXAMBAS CANDY Dec10 Nov20 Aug27 Jul29 Jul17 (sweezey kent)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 3.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  JUSTINTIMEFORWINE Dec24 Nov25 Sep30 Sep16 Aug06 (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.50 45% 1.20    
AIRMAN Nov13 Sep23 Jul30 Mar12   (santillana fra)ARROYO S 121 12.00    
SCR  RAISING MOON Dec24 Nov25 Oct21 Sep24 Aug15 (delgado )ROJAS EDUARDO 121 3.00    
ALMANZO Oct14 Sep13 Jul03 Mar27 Feb19 (sanchez amador)MENESES MARCOS 121 15.00    
GREAT BRITAIN Dec24 Nov26 Sep01 Aug20 Jul16 (ward dennis)FERRER C 121 5.00    
10  MR MATUSCHEK Dec10 Nov18 Jul30 Jul03 May06 (alvarado diane)BATISTA A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-6   01/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 3:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAQ DIESEL Dec03 Oct30 Oct09 Sep03 Jul23 (gatis chris)MENESES MARCOS 118 10.00    
LOCO ABARRIO Dec26 Nov27 Oct02     (spatz b)FERRER C 118 3.00 30% 2.30    
HANDSOME PLAYBOY Dec21 Dec03 Oct04 Sep03   (bennett gerald )MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 15% 5.50    
CHAMPIONS DREAM Nov06 Oct01 Sep03     (casse mark)CAMACHO SAMY 124 1.20    
ARMSTRONG (GER) Dec09 Nov06 Jul17     (casse mark)GALLARDO A 124 6.00 30% 2.30    
ZYDECEAUX Dec24 Dec04 Oct30 Aug13   (minguet ramon)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00    
 
TAM-7   01/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETH'S DREAM Jul23 Jun11 Apr22 Feb23   (barboza jr)JARAMILLO E 122 1.20 67% 0.50    
BOW DRAW Dec30 Nov25 Sep29 Sep13 Aug26 (mcgoey m)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 30.00    
MOLLY'S ANGEL Sep10 Aug13 Jul28 Jul16 May18 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 4.50    
BEACHFRONT BID Nov27 Oct15 Sep23 Aug19 Jun25 (albertrani tho)BATISTA A 118 6.00    
SCR  MILES OF SMILES Dec09 Nov04 Sep23 Aug14 Jul15 (orseno jose)CAMACHO JR 118 20.00    
TAP DANCE FEVER Dec17 Sep06 Jul06 Jun11 May21 (bennett s)FERRER C 122 6.00    
PASS THE CHAMPAGNE Feb03         (weaver )DIAZ RAFAEL 118 3.00    
 
TAM-8   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 4:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RED HEAD LADY         (tsirigotis james)ALLEN D 119 30.00    
ASPRAY         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.60 35% 1.90    
HUMOR SENSE Jan04 Dec03 Oct22 Oct12 Sep06 (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRETON GIRL Oct28         (mcgaughey claud)MORALES PABLO 119 3.50    
ROMAN FLAME Nov10 Oct13       (sanchez amador)MENESES MARCOS 119 6.00 19% 4.20    
DOMO ARIGATOU         (collins john)FERRER C 119 15.00    
SCR  AWESOME EMPRESS Dec17         (romero rafael)BATISTA A 119 20.00    
SCR  FINANCIAL ADVICE (FR)         (brown c)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 2.50 23% 3.40    
AL TIRAH Dec11         (cordero-lopez a)FLORES ADRIAN 119 15.00    
10  ROYAL DAME Dec03 Oct22 Sep28     (lorito mario)ARROYO S 119 20.00    
 
TAM-9   01/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3 F PT- 4:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YES DAY Dec17 Oct03 Sep05     (wismer s)WALKER M 118 20.00 10% 9.20    
PERSONAL PURSUIT Dec10 Oct08 Sep22 Jul01   (casse mark)GALLARDO A 118 4.00    
DREAMING OF SNOW Dec17 Dec03 Sep06     (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
DORTH VADER Dec03 Oct29 Oct01 Aug21 Aug05 (yates michael)MENESES MARCOS 124 1.50 42% 1.40    
CHARLIE'S WISH Dec02 Oct29 Oct01     (fawkes david)JARAMILLO E 118 8.00    
TELL ME WHEN Nov26 Sep30 Sep01 Jul21 Jun23 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 15.00    
OPUS FORTY TWO Dec03 Oct28 Sep17     (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 118 12.00    
AWESOME PIC Dec03 Nov19 Oct16 Sep09 Aug07 (smith rober)CAMACHO JR 118 4.50    
 
TAM-10   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 5:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GALILEO'S JEWEL (IRE) Nov04         (dutrow w)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 2.50 51% 1.00    
LADY BEE         (mott i)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00    
SEAWITCH Dec15         (albertrani tho)BATISTA A 119 20.00    
MODERN LOVE Nov20         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  REKINDLED         (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 112 15.00    
SCR  THEMISCHIEVOUSONE Dec03         (stewart j)FERRER C 119 30.00    
SCR  HEIRESS (FR)         (clement ch)GALLARDO A 119 4.50    
LIL MISS MOONLIGHT         (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 119 20.00    
WITCHING HOUR (FR) Nov25         (danner kelsey)CENTENO E 119 20.00    
SCR  ENGLISHED         (brown c)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.