The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - March 11, 2023

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TAM-1   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT-11:55
:222 :454 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP FIRST 4 6 61 31   2nk 1(bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00 69% 0.40 2.80 W
RUNAWAY TOM 3 9 73 54   42(philipp karyn)BRACHO A 118 12.00 21.20  
AWESOME ENOUGH 5 4 2nk 2½   3.2 3(rodriguez dari)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.50 5% 18.20 1.50 S
11  WOOTDAREITIS 11 1 1nk 1½   1nk 45 (werneth robe)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 118 12.00 20.10  
EXCELLENT MARK 2 8 9 65   55(yanez r)MENESES MARCOS 118 15.00 34.10  
LIL GREEN MACHINE 1 10 107 106   66(philipp karyn)MBATHA LUCKY 108 20.00 51.50  
10  WILD IRISHMAN 10 11 11 119   912 710½ (ward dennis)MORALES PABLO 118 10.00 11.30  
EDMUND FITZGERALD 9 3 4¾ 44   711¼ 815¼ (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 118 12.00 14.20  
12  ABE HONESTLY 12 2 83 9   1013 918 (o'conne)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 5.00 6.50  
DUN RIGHT 6 7 3½ 8   811¾ 1020 (wismer s)ALLEN D 118 10.00 55.10  
CAJUN RED 8 5 5¾ 7   1117 1129¾ (lopez rob)SOSA LAUREANO 113 6.00 8.30  
BRAVE HILARIO 7 12 1229½ 1224   1227 1234½ (escobar alison)SUAREZ JESUS 118 30.00 ######  
SCR  RUN LEA RUN               (rarick lyn)GALLARDO A 118 15.00    
SCR  STRINGS               (arnett g)JARAMILLO E 122 12.00    
 
TAM-2   03/11/2023 5400ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($37K) 3 ALL PT-12:25
:234 :474 1:123 1:38   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFORM 7 2 6 5 3 1½ 1(mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 21% 3.70 0.70 W
PROVE WORTHY 6 1 42 43 4 44 2(pletcher todd )ZAYAS J 120 3.50 11% 8.50 7.60 P
RINGSIDE 2 3 11 12 1 2½ 33 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 47% 1.10 1.50 S
ARTWELL 5 4 21 22 2 34(danner kelsey)MORALES PABLO 120 8.00 23.90  
SKI COUNTRY 3 5 3 3 5 510 515 (harty eoin)CASTANON L 120 12.00 30.60  
STARFORCE 1 7 5 77 712¾ 716 625½ (albertrani)GALLARDO A 120 8.00 25.50  
MICROFIBER 4 6 7 6 6 614 727¼ (motion graham)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 20.00 74.10  
 
TAM-3   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($37K) 3 ALL PT-12:57
:221 :461 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOOTH FLYIN MIKE 2 7 4 3.2   12 1¾ (cibelli jane)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 33% 2.00 1.30 W
RAINBOW'S PRIDE 1 6 5 5   32 2¾ (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 10.00 6% 15.60 9.50 P
CLASSIC MO TOWN 5 9 8 7   43 32 (joseph saffie )MENESES MARCOS 120 5.00 7.90  
ROSES BY LIAM 3 8 7 6   22 42 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 6.00 13.70  
ALL OUR MUNNY 8 5 9 95   55 5(boyd ricki)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 3.10  
10  FAST FIXER 9 2 6 8   6610¾ (dobber arnou)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 30.00 ######  
KING MIANO 7 3 2nk 2nk   76 714 (o'conne)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
CITY HUMOR 4 1 31 4   9814 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 5.00 32% 2.20 18.50  
DEE'S WISEGUY 6 4 1nk 1nk   87 917¾ (raven kerri)CASTANON L 120 12.00 32.00  
SCR  ROAD MINISTER               (chain pearl)SUAREZ JESUS 120 20.00    
 
TAM-4   03/11/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($33K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:27
:231 :474 1:12 1:233   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRUDENT SONG 5 2 1½ 1nk 11 11 11 (hunt donald)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 10.00 8% 11.40 11.60 W
SATURDAY NITE GIRL 8 8 7 4¾ 4 21 21 (proctor tho)LEPAROUX R 119 4.50 4.90  
EXCEPT TEMPTATION 2 3 41 7 31 33(albertrani tho)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 10.00 40.10  
SWEET DUTCHESS 3 5 6 6 5 42 43 (o'connell kath)ARROYO S 119 5.00 6.50  
TEXAS SHUFFLE 6 9 9 8 6 53 5(mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 42% 1.40 1.30  
BIKINI BABY 7 10 10 104 10 86(pimental i)MARIN SAMUEL 119 15.00 30.10  
FLASHY TOO 1 1 8 93 93 74 7(alvarado diane)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 8.30  
EAU CLAIRE 4 4 5 5 7 64 8(delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 123 4.50 23% 3.40 3.90  
10  GABBY SQUARED 10 11 11 11 11 99(wright michael)NICHOLLS KEVEH 119 15.00 5% 18.40 79.20  
11  THE SWEATY FOX 11 7 31 3.2 21 101012¾ (wilson tony)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 30.00 58.00  
HAPPY RIDE 9 6 2½ 2nk 83 1111¼ 1115½ (mccarthy brend)BATISTA A 119 30.00 ######  
 
TAM-5   03/11/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:57
:223 :454 1:103     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP DANCE FEVER 5 10 103 8   2nk 1(bennett s)FERRER C 119 5.00 3.70  
OLIVIA DARLING 6 2 1½ 1½   1nk 2(delgado jorge)JARAMILLO E 120 6.00 21% 3.70 2.40 P
11  SHE'S PEACHY KEEN 10 1 2½ 2½   3½ 3(bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 117 15.00 9.00  
STERLING SILVER 2 6 5 42   44(albertrani thomas)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 8% 11.30 2.50  
10  MOLLY'S ANGEL 9 8 82 6   558 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 44.30  
BE LIKE WATER 3 7 6 5   6611½ (oliver victoria)CENTENO E 118 6.00 20.50  
TAKE A STAND 4 9 93 7   7714½ (oliver victoria)ORTIZ JR 117 10.00 5.20  
RESTOFTHESTORY 1 3 41 32   8819¾ (plesa j)ZAYAS J 118 10.00 18.80  
ADIOS BABY 8 4 7 9   9919¾ (vinson g)BATISTA A 117 20.00 41.30  
BAHAMIAN MOON 7 5 31 10   1013¾ 1034 (ward denni)GALLARDO A 116 20.00 8% 11.60 48.90  
SCR  PASS THE CHAMPAGNE               (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
TAM-6   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($37K) 3 F PT- 2:27
:22 :451 :574     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  DREAM CONCERT 8 2 2nk 11   13 14 (o'connell )GALLARDO A 120 6.00 8.70  
MS. BUCCHERO 2 4 1nk 21   23 24 (vinson g)BATISTA A 120 4.00 43% 1.30 3.90 P
BROKEN HEARTS BAY 5 11 7 6   36 34 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 16% 5.40 2.40 S
STELLAR NOVA 3 6 8 8   648 (harty eoin)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 12.00 25.70  
OLDEST SISTER 4 9 5 46   46 510¾ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 11% 8.00 6.00  
14  ROSARIO'S PRAYER 11 8 6 5   59 613¾ (cordero antonio)FERRER C 120 4.50 3.30  
BELLA FACCIA 1 10 9 910¼   810¼ 714 (ciaio charles )MENESES MARCOS 120 10.00 26.30  
13  MISSMOLLYORBIT 10 1 3 36   7815 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 12.00 42.30  
12  HUMOR SENSE 9 3 11 1111¾   1012¾ 918 (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 30.00 5% 17.40 70.60  
10  DYNAMIC DAISY 7 7 10 1011¼   1113¼ 1019 (county patrick)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 15.00 35.30  
KAELY'S FANTASY 6 5 4 7   912¼ 1121½ (ward dennis)ALLEN D 120 12.00 8.60  
SCR  ABBY'S PLAID               (lorito mario)ALONSO LUIS 120 15.00    
SCR  IMMORTALLOVE               (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 10.00    
SCR  MS EXCUSE               (cascallares n)CASIQUE URBARDO 120 30.00    
 
TAM-7   03/11/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Columbia Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 3:02
:223 :47 1:104 1:222   1:332   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  TALK OF THE NATION 9 9 4 31 3½ 3½ 1(mcgaughey claude)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 39% 1.60 1.20 W
MO STASH 8 7 2 2½ 1nk 1½ 2(oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 4.30 P
A WESTERN YARN 3 2 1 1½ 2nk 2½ 3(delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 118 12.00 11.20  
FREEDOM TRAIL 1 1 6 8 7 65 4(terranova john )ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 18% 4.50 2.20  
SUMMER BEE 6 4 5 6 42 54 57 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 118 30.00 ######  
SENDERO 2 3 8 9 83 86(pletcher todd )ZAYAS J 120 8.00 8% 11.70 12.60  
SMOKE LIGHTENING 7 6 32 41 6 43 7(potts ron )GALLARDO A 118 30.00 77.10  
LIGHTS OF BROADWAY 5 8 96 7 5 77 8(casse mark)JARAMILLO E 118 6.00 10% 8.60 10.20  
NAGA'S BOY 4 5 75 5 9 910¼ 911¾ (smith g)FERRER C 118 30.00 93.00  
SCR  WORTHINGTON               (maker michael )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.50    
 
TAM-8   03/11/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST $100,000 Michelob Ultra Challe Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:33
:232 :47 1:111 1:361   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING 2 1 2½ 2nk 1nk 2nk 1(joseph a)ORTIZ JR 121 1.60 0.50  
TAX 6 5 4 41 4¾ 31 2(gargan danny)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.00 5.80 P
SURLY FURIOUS 4 4 5 5 3½ 1nk 3(wismer s)ALLEN D 121 15.00 6% 14.90 26.50 S
BUSINESS MODEL 7 7 7 7 7 447 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 23% 3.40 7.70  
TRADEMARK 1 2 1½ 1nk 2nk 55(oliver vic)GALLARDO A 121 6.00 6.40  
THE REDS 5 6 6 6 5¾ 6610¼ (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 121 12.00 12.30  
MIGHTY HEART 3 3 3 3½ 6 7710¾ (county patrick)NICHOLLS KEVEH 119 15.00 9% 9.70 20.40  
SCR  BROOKLYN STRONG               (barboza j)CAMACHO SAMY 119 30.00    
SCR  CLASSIC CAUSEWAY               (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 123 4.50 35% 1.90    
 
TAM-9   03/11/2023 5940ft TURF FIRM Hillsborough Purse ($225K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:04
:242 :482 1:124 1:361   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHANTISARA (IRE) 6 5 21 22 2nk 2nk 1(brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 8% 11.60 1.00 W
SCOTISH STAR (ARG) 7 4 11 12 1nk 1nk 2(pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 12% 7.60 4.60 P
SURPRISINGLY 2 1 5 43 41 3½ 3(mcgaughey clau)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 5.00 45% 1.20 3.20 S
TEMPLE CITY TERROR 3 3 32 33 3½ 544 (walsh bren)GALLARDO A 119 6.00 9.90  
ROUGIR (FR) 4 6 4 5 62 42 54 (brown c)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 3.50 10% 8.90 7.40  
GAM'S MISSION 5 7 63 6 5 66(devaux cher)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00 14.90  
KALIFORNIA QUEEN (GER) 1 2 7 7 7 77(brown c)ZAYAS J 119 10.00 26.10  
 
TAM-10   03/11/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Florida Oaks Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 4:45
:232 :474 1:12 1:352   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSION OF JOY 1 3 7 7 7 41 1¼ (motion g)GALLARDO A 119 12.00 5.00  
ALPHA BELLA 3 1 6 52 5 52¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 21% 3.70 2.90 P
JUNIPER'S MOON 8 8 2½ 31 2nk 1½ 3(dutrow anthony)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 20.00 28.20  
10  FREE LOOK 10 11 115 115 11 116 4(brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 34% 1.90 1.80  
ALLAMERICANBEAUTY 2 6 104 9 83 82 5(mcgaughey clau)ZAYAS J 119 8.00 15.80  
FACCIA BELLA 4 2 41 21 6 3½ 6(raven kerri)CASTANON L 119 30.00 93.30  
12  TICKER TAPE HOME 12 10 5 6 4¼ 67(casse mark)JARAMILLO E 119 15.00 5% 19.00 18.80  
STEPHANIE'S CHARM 7 7 94 10 93 95 8(jimenez)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 15.00 40.40 DH
MOHAWK TRAIL 9 9 31 4 3.2 2½ 8(danner kelsey)MORALES PABLO 119 20.00 79.10 DH
11  GRACE DARLING (IRE) 11 12 127 12 12 1010(lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 9.50  
NAVY GOAT 6 5 82 8 10 128 1113¾ (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 119 6.00 16% 5.40 14.70  
DREAMING OF SNOW 5 4 1½ 11 1nk 71217½ (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 121 8.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
SCR  EMBRACE ME               (albertrani tho)BATISTA A 119 30.00    
SCR  LOVE FOREVERAFTER               (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 119 30.00    
 
TAM-11   03/11/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Lambholm South Tampa Bay Derby Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
:233 :47 1:112 1:371   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPIT TRICE 6 12 11 9 9 812 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.60 43% 1.30 0.50 W
CLASSIC CAR WASH 2 6 9 84 4 3½ 22 (casse mark)JARAMILLO E 120 8.00 21% 3.80 13.10 P
CLASSIC LEGACY 3 4 63 53 7 73(mott i)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 6.00  
12  PRAIRIE HAWK 12 11 3 31 3.2 4¾ 4(joseph a)CAMACHO SAMY 120 20.00 28.20  
LORD MILES 1 1 4 63 8 65(joseph saffie )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 12.00 29.50  
DREAMING OF KONA 8 5 1½ 1½ 1nk 1nk 6(gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 30.00 54.10  
SHESTERKIN 9 8 53 42 5 2nk 7(pletcher todd )ZAYAS J 120 4.50 8% 11.70 12.00  
GROVELAND 4 2 8 10 116 9811¾ (harty eoin)CENTENO E 120 6.00 5% 19.00 11.80  
11  ZYDECEAUX 11 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 5912½ (minguet ramon)MARIN SAMUEL 120 20.00 31.60  
MIKEY BANANAS 5 7 12 12 104 126 1012¾ (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 30.00 34.30  
10  CHAMPIONS DREAM 10 9 75 7 6 101113 (casse mark)GALLARDO A 120 20.00 32.40  
FREEDOM ROAD 7 10 10 11 126 111214¼ (sacco g)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00 56.10  
 
TAM-12   03/11/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 5:45
:231 :474 1:121 1:241   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYALTY INTEREST (FR) 8 7 52 5 3 1½ 1(brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 25% 3.00 1.50 W
10  LIL MISS MOONLIGHT 9 9 42 3½ 2½ 2½ 2(hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 8.00 25% 3.10 5.50 P
JUSTIFIABLE BELLE 3 3 3 4 6 33(harty eoin)CASTANON L 120 4.50 8.10 S
VOLATILITY 1 2 6 6 5 54(terranova p)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00 10.50  
GALILEO'S JEWEL (IRE) 4 4 21 1½ 1½ 459 (dutrow w)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 28% 2.60 2.50  
MYSTERIOUS STARE 5 5 11 2½ 4 66(albertrani tho)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 20.00 36.50  
GOTHAM GRAY 6 6 73 83 7 7712¾ (clement christ)ZAYAS J 120 6.00 15.60  
11  LANCE'S SMILE 10 10 8 7 8 812¾ 817½ (alvarado diane)CENTENO E 120 20.00 41.00  
DOUBLE SCOOP (IRE) 7 8 9 95 9 914¾ 918¾ (dutrow anth)LEPAROUX R 120 12.00 14.60  
AL TIRAH 2 1 10 10 10 1015¾ 1019¾ (cordero antonio)FERRER C 120 30.00 93.80  
SCR  DOMO ARIGATOU               (collins john)FERRER C 120 30.00    
SCR  IRISH VICTORY               (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 20.00    
SCR  PEDIGEEK               (casse mark)JARAMILLO E 120 4.50    
SCR  VERIFIABLE               (manning dennis )MARTIN MATTIE 113 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.