Handicappers' Racing Form

"A Premier Resource for Horse Racing Picks, Tips and Handicapping"
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.

Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - March 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TAM-1   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TAM-2   Win (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-3   Win (2/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TAM-4   Win (6/4/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TAM-5   Win (6/2/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TAM-6   Win (3/7/6/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TAM-7   Win (10/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TAM-8   Win (8/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-9   Win (2/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TAM-10   Win (10/3/6/5/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TAM-11   Win (6/2/9/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TAM-12   Win (5/9/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TAM-1   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT-11:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL GREEN MACHINE Jan15 Apr16 Mar04 Feb13 Jan15 (philipp karyn)MBATHA LUCKY 108 20.00    
EXCELLENT MARK Feb11 Jan15 Dec23 Dec07 Aug29 (yanez r)MENESES MARCOS 118 15.00    
RUNAWAY TOM Feb15 Jan28 Jan08 Dec21 Nov23 (philipp karyn)BRACHO A 118 12.00    
TAP FIRST Feb11 Jan29 May04 Apr16 Jan07 (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00 69% 0.40    
AWESOME ENOUGH Feb15 Jan29 Jan15 Oct02 Sep10 (rodriguez dari)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.50 5% 18.20    
DUN RIGHT Feb11 Jan15 Dec31 Oct17 Sep08 (wismer s)ALLEN D 118 10.00    
BRAVE HILARIO Feb11 Feb03 Jan27 Dec31 Dec23 (escobar alison)SUAREZ JESUS 118 30.00    
CAJUN RED Feb08 Jan18 Nov27 Oct29 Aug21 (lopez rob)SOSA LAUREANO 113 6.00    
EDMUND FITZGERALD Feb01 Dec31 Dec24 Sep30 Sep07 (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 118 12.00    
10  WILD IRISHMAN Jan28 Jan08 Apr29 Apr03 Feb18 (ward dennis)MORALES PABLO 118 10.00    
11  WOOTDAREITIS Feb15 Jan28 Jan08 Dec24 Dec10 (werneth robe)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 118 12.00    
12  ABE HONESTLY Feb19 Oct03 Aug16 Aug02 Jul18 (o'conne)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 5.00    
SCR  STRINGS Feb18 Dec16 Nov30 Jul23 Jul01 (arnett g)JARAMILLO E 122 12.00    
SCR  RUN LEA RUN Feb19 Oct25 Sep08 Aug29 Aug08 (rarick lyn)GALLARDO A 118 15.00    
 
TAM-2   03/11/2023 5400ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($37K) 3 ALL PT-12:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARFORCE Jan28 Dec17       (albertrani)GALLARDO A 120 8.00    
RINGSIDE Jan21         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 47% 1.10    
SKI COUNTRY Feb11 Dec24 Oct29     (harty eoin)CASTANON L 120 12.00    
MICROFIBER Jan07 Oct23       (motion graham)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 20.00    
ARTWELL         (danner kelsey)MORALES PABLO 120 8.00    
PROVE WORTHY Jan21         (pletcher todd )ZAYAS J 120 3.50 11% 8.50    
PERFORM Jan28 Nov13 Oct09 Aug06 Jul03 (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 21% 3.70    
 
TAM-3   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($37K) 3 ALL PT-12:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAINBOW'S PRIDE Jan04         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 10.00 6% 15.60    
SMOOTH FLYIN MIKE         (cibelli jane)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  ROAD MINISTER         (chain pearl)SUAREZ JESUS 120 20.00    
ROSES BY LIAM Feb04 Sep10 Aug18     (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 6.00    
CITY HUMOR Feb24 Feb04 Jan14 Sep07 Aug17 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 5.00 32% 2.20    
CLASSIC MO TOWN         (joseph saffie )MENESES MARCOS 120 5.00    
DEE'S WISEGUY Feb24 Feb01 Jul16     (raven kerri)CASTANON L 120 12.00    
KING MIANO Feb10         (o'conne)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
ALL OUR MUNNY Jan14 Dec24       (boyd ricki)GALLARDO A 120 3.00    
10  FAST FIXER Feb24         (dobber arnou)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 30.00    
 
TAM-4   03/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASHY TOO Jan29 Nov25 Oct28 Sep04 Jul20 (alvarado diane)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
EXCEPT TEMPTATION Oct20 Sep22 Sep02 Aug05 Jun17 (albertrani tho)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 10.00    
SWEET DUTCHESS Feb11 Jan15 Dec24 Mar12 Feb16 (o'connell kath)ARROYO S 119 5.00    
EAU CLAIRE Feb01 Jan04 Dec10 Oct22 Aug31 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 123 4.50 23% 3.40    
PRUDENT SONG Feb08 Jan01 Dec10 Sep17 Aug21 (hunt donald)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 10.00 8% 11.40    
TEXAS SHUFFLE Dec31 May29 Apr15     (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
BIKINI BABY Feb11 Jan15 Sep23 Aug28 Jul22 (pimental i)MARIN SAMUEL 119 15.00    
SATURDAY NITE GIRL Jan28 Aug21 Jul11 Jun11   (proctor tho)LEPAROUX R 119 4.50    
HAPPY RIDE Feb22 Jan25 May08 Apr22 Apr03 (mccarthy brend)BATISTA A 119 30.00    
10  GABBY SQUARED Feb11 Jan15 Nov05 Oct06 Sep17 (wright michael)NICHOLLS KEVEH 119 15.00 5% 18.40    
11  THE SWEATY FOX Feb24 Feb05 Jan04 Dec28 Dec10 (wilson tony)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 30.00    
 
TAM-5   03/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RESTOFTHESTORY Feb19 Dec31 Dec10 Oct16 Sep10 (plesa j)ZAYAS J 118 10.00    
STERLING SILVER Nov05 Sep25 Sep02 Aug06 Jul09 (albertrani thomas)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 8% 11.30    
BE LIKE WATER Nov06 Oct09 Sep16 Aug08 Jul02 (oliver victoria)CENTENO E 118 6.00    
TAKE A STAND Nov25 Oct21 Sep24 Aug14 Jul23 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 117 10.00    
TAP DANCE FEVER Feb18 Jan14 Dec17 Sep06 Jul06 (bennett s)FERRER C 119 5.00    
OLIVIA DARLING Feb11 Jan14 Dec29 Nov18 Oct14 (delgado jorge)JARAMILLO E 120 6.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  PASS THE CHAMPAGNE Feb18 Jan14 Feb03     (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 33% 2.00    
BAHAMIAN MOON Feb18 Jan14 Dec15 Nov13 Oct08 (ward denni)GALLARDO A 116 20.00 8% 11.60    
ADIOS BABY Feb17 Jan19 Dec21 Dec02 Oct16 (vinson g)BATISTA A 117 20.00    
10  MOLLY'S ANGEL Jan14 Sep10 Aug13 Jul28 Jul16 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  SHE'S PEACHY KEEN Feb11 Jan11 Dec22 Oct12 Sep19 (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 117 15.00    
 
TAM-6   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($37K) 3 F PT- 2:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IMMORTALLOVE         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 10.00    
BELLA FACCIA Feb11         (ciaio charles )MENESES MARCOS 120 10.00    
MS. BUCCHERO         (vinson g)BATISTA A 120 4.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  ABBY'S PLAID         (lorito mario)ALONSO LUIS 120 15.00    
STELLAR NOVA         (harty eoin)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 12.00    
OLDEST SISTER         (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 11% 8.00    
BROKEN HEARTS BAY Feb11 Jan25 Dec28 Nov18 Oct14 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  MS EXCUSE Feb11         (cascallares n)CASIQUE URBARDO 120 30.00    
KAELY'S FANTASY         (ward dennis)ALLEN D 120 12.00    
10  DYNAMIC DAISY         (county patrick)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 15.00    
11  DREAM CONCERT         (o'connell )GALLARDO A 120 6.00    
12  HUMOR SENSE Jan14 Jan04 Dec03 Oct22 Oct12 (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 30.00 5% 17.40    
13  MISSMOLLYORBIT Feb11         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 12.00    
14  ROSARIO'S PRAYER Feb11 Dec18       (cordero antonio)FERRER C 120 4.50    
 
TAM-7   03/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Columbia Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 3:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREEDOM TRAIL Nov26 Oct29 Sep25     (terranova john )ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 18% 4.50    
SENDERO Feb11 Jan14 Dec10 Oct29 Sep07 (pletcher todd )ZAYAS J 120 8.00 8% 11.70    
A WESTERN YARN Jan08 Dec03 Oct29 Aug22 Jul21 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 118 12.00    
NAGA'S BOY Jan28 Jan07 Dec17 Oct15   (smith g)FERRER C 118 30.00    
LIGHTS OF BROADWAY Feb04 Dec10 Sep24 Sep10 Aug13 (casse mark)JARAMILLO E 118 6.00 10% 8.60    
SUMMER BEE Jan08 Dec17 Dec03 Oct16 Sep30 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 118 30.00    
SCR  WORTHINGTON Feb11 Jan07 Nov26 Oct15 Sep03 (maker michael )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.50    
SMOKE LIGHTENING Oct24 Sep08 Aug20 Aug02   (potts ron )GALLARDO A 118 30.00    
MO STASH Nov04 Oct09 Sep08 Aug19   (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50    
10  TALK OF THE NATION Feb04 Jan08 Nov11     (mcgaughey claude)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 39% 1.60    
 
TAM-8   03/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST $100,000 Michelob Ultra Challe Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRADEMARK Nov27 Oct20 Aug26 Aug14 Jul09 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 121 6.00    
SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING Jan28 Dec31 Sep24 Aug06 Jun11 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 121 1.60    
MIGHTY HEART Feb04 Jan06 Nov06 Sep17 Jul30 (county patrick)NICHOLLS KEVEH 119 15.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  CLASSIC CAUSEWAY Oct29 Oct08 Sep17 Aug06 Jul09 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 123 4.50 35% 1.90    
SURLY FURIOUS Feb18 Dec31 Oct01 Sep19 Aug22 (wismer s)ALLEN D 121 15.00 6% 14.90    
THE REDS Jan28 Nov13 Sep24 Aug19 Jul23 (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 121 12.00    
TAX Jan01 Oct03 Sep03 Jul09   (gargan danny)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.00    
BUSINESS MODEL Jan28 Dec26 Nov04 Sep16 Aug13 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  BROOKLYN STRONG Oct30 Sep24 Aug12 Jul10 Jun02 (barboza j)CAMACHO SAMY 119 30.00    
 
TAM-9   03/11/2023 5940ft TURF RC13 FIRM Hillsborough Purse ($225K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KALIFORNIA QUEEN (GER) Nov25 Sep24       (brown c)ZAYAS J 119 10.00    
SURPRISINGLY Feb04 Dec26 Sep06 Jul23 Jun23 (mcgaughey clau)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 5.00 45% 1.20    
TEMPLE CITY TERROR Nov25 Oct23 Sep03 Aug06 Jul09 (walsh bren)GALLARDO A 119 6.00    
ROUGIR (FR) Nov05 Oct08 Aug13 Jul16 Jun10 (brown c)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 3.50 10% 8.90    
GAM'S MISSION Jun05 Apr23 Mar26     (devaux cher)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00    
SHANTISARA (IRE) Jan28 Nov05 Apr16     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 8% 11.60    
SCOTISH STAR (ARG) Feb04 Dec31 Oct21 Aug31   (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 12% 7.60    
 
TAM-10   03/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC12 FIRM Florida Oaks Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 4:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSION OF JOY Jan18 Dec03 Sep11     (motion g)GALLARDO A 119 12.00    
ALLAMERICANBEAUTY Jan22 Dec04       (mcgaughey clau)ZAYAS J 119 8.00    
ALPHA BELLA Feb04 Dec11 Oct30 Oct02 Aug28 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 21% 3.70    
FACCIA BELLA Feb25 Feb11 Jan18 Sep15 Sep03 (raven kerri)CASTANON L 119 30.00    
DREAMING OF SNOW Feb11 Jan14 Dec17 Dec03 Sep06 (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
NAVY GOAT Jan07 Nov19 Sep14 Aug20   (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 119 6.00 16% 5.40    
STEPHANIE'S CHARM Feb04 Jan07 Dec10 Oct07 Sep17 (jimenez)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 15.00    
JUNIPER'S MOON Feb11 Nov25 Nov05     (dutrow anthony)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 20.00    
MOHAWK TRAIL Feb10 Jan12 Dec04 Nov11   (danner kelsey)MORALES PABLO 119 20.00    
10  FREE LOOK Nov04 Oct01 Sep04 Jul31   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 34% 1.90    
11  GRACE DARLING (IRE) Feb16         (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00    
12  TICKER TAPE HOME Feb11 Nov05 Oct08 Sep01 Jul31 (casse mark)JARAMILLO E 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LOVE FOREVERAFTER Jan29 Jan06       (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 119 30.00    
SCR  EMBRACE ME Feb10 Dec22 Nov19 Oct27   (albertrani tho)BATISTA A 119 30.00    
 
TAM-11   03/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Lambholm South Tampa Bay Derby Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD MILES Feb04 Jan01 Nov19     (joseph saffie )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 12.00    
CLASSIC CAR WASH Feb11 Jan06 Dec02 Jul02   (casse mark)JARAMILLO E 120 8.00 21% 3.80    
CLASSIC LEGACY Feb11 Dec03 Oct22 Aug20   (mott i)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
GROVELAND Feb11 Jan13 Dec24 Dec03 Oct08 (harty eoin)CENTENO E 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
MIKEY BANANAS Feb12 Jan21 Dec21 Sep14 Jul17 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 30.00    
TAPIT TRICE Feb04 Dec17 Nov06     (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.60 43% 1.30    
FREEDOM ROAD Jan21 Oct29 Oct01 Aug27 Jul23 (sacco g)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
DREAMING OF KONA Feb11 Jan01 Dec03 Oct17   (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 30.00    
SHESTERKIN Feb04 Dec31       (pletcher todd )ZAYAS J 120 4.50 8% 11.70    
10  CHAMPIONS DREAM Feb11 Jan14 Nov06 Oct01 Sep03 (casse mark)GALLARDO A 120 20.00    
11  ZYDECEAUX Feb11 Jan14 Dec24 Dec04 Oct30 (minguet ramon)MARIN SAMUEL 120 20.00    
12  PRAIRIE HAWK Feb11 Jan13 Dec02 Oct15   (joseph a)CAMACHO SAMY 120 20.00    
 
TAM-12   03/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VERIFIABLE Feb12         (manning dennis )MARTIN MATTIE 113 30.00    
VOLATILITY Feb04 Jan04 Nov19     (terranova p)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00    
AL TIRAH Jan14 Dec11       (cordero antonio)FERRER C 120 30.00    
JUSTIFIABLE BELLE Jan22 Nov19 Oct01 Aug28   (harty eoin)CASTANON L 120 4.50    
GALILEO'S JEWEL (IRE) Feb16 Nov04       (dutrow w)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
MYSTERIOUS STARE Jul02         (albertrani tho)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 20.00    
GOTHAM GRAY         (clement christ)ZAYAS J 120 6.00    
DOUBLE SCOOP (IRE)         (dutrow anth)LEPAROUX R 120 12.00    
ROYALTY INTEREST (FR)         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
10  LIL MISS MOONLIGHT Feb11 Jan14       (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 8.00 25% 3.10    
11  LANCE'S SMILE Jan29 Dec28       (alvarado diane)CENTENO E 120 20.00    
SCR  IRISH VICTORY (IRE)         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 20.00    
SCR  DOMO ARIGATOU Feb05 Jan14       (collins john)FERRER C 120 30.00    
SCR  PEDIGEEK Jan29 Dec11       (casse mark)JARAMILLO E 120 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.