Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - February 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $4.80 $0.80 20%
TAM-2   EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-5 $14.90 $2.90 24%
    DD (5/1)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-2 $6.70 $0.70 12%
TAM-4   SFT (4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6/7)-(4/2/5/6/7)-(4/2/5/6/7) 96 $0.10 $9.60  4-2-6-7 $18.18 $8.58 89%
TAM-7   WIN (7/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $74.60 $66.60 833%
    EXA (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-7 $96.80 $80.80 505%
TAM-8   TRI (2/1/4/7/3)-(2/1/4/7/3)-(2/1/4/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  1-4-2 $38.80 $8.80 29%
    SFT (2/1/4/7/3)-(2/1/4/7/3)-(2/1/4/7/3)-(2/1/4/7/3) 120 $0.10 $12.00  1-4-2-7 $26.49 $14.49 121%
    DD (7/5/3/1)-(2/1/4/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-1 $154.30 $134.30 672%
TAM-9   WIN (3/10/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $9.60 $1.60 20%
    PK3 (7/5/3/1)-(2/1/4/7/3)-(3/10/9/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00  1-1-9 $432.25 $392.25 981%

Simulator Race results

 
TAM-1   02/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($18.5K) 3 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:094     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKIN' SUPER 5 1 21 21   11 1 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.60 58% 0.70 1.40 W
FATIH 6 3 4 32   3 2 (nunez mauricio)BRACHO A 120 6.00 4.30  
CAJUN OCCASION 1 4 32 42   4 3 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 2.00 17% 4.80 1.90 S
KING MIANO 2 2 11 11   21 4 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.50 5.70  
DENYING 4 6 6 612½   511½ 516¾ (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 20.00 37.70  
I LIKE BOSTON 3 5 5 5   611¾ 624 (rigattieri joh)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00 8.10  
 
TAM-2   02/10/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:16
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:12 1:384   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXACTING 2 3 2nk 1nk 1½ 13 1¾ (carrascojr )QUINONEZ ALONSO 123 1.40 48% 1.10 1.90 W
WAR CROSS 5 5 67 6 4 23 2¾ (bray michael)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 4.00 12% 7.30 5.60 P
SUNNY SAINT 6 2 1nk 2nk 2½ 33 34 (downing will)MENESES MARCOS 121 8.00 7.60  
I AM THAT I AM 1 6 5 5 5 44 4 (williams a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 2.00 13% 6.70 1.70  
RATTLESNAKE RIDGE 3 4 3½ 31 3 5 511¼ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 121 8.00 4.30  
H P BIG HOPE 4 1 4 4 6 6 619¼ (rodriguez ang)FUENTES MARIO 121 15.00 21.00  
 
TAM-3   02/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:111     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGICGIRL 5 6 6 6   2nk 1½ (posadas ped)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 3.00 6.20  
TRUE ATKA 3 5 5 53   4 2½ (ochoa gerard)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.50 14% 6.00 4.40 P
DR. ANN 4 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 3 (campbell micha)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 30% 2.40 2.60 S
SHE NASTY 2 7 7 7   31 44 (guciardo kat)BATISTA A 118 8.00 10% 9.10 11.80  
WOODS HOLE 6 3 3.2 31   5 5 (sacco )ROJAS EDUARDO 118 6.00 2.20  
RAPIDAMENTE 7 1 4 42   72 6 (lopez r)IORIO MELISSA 108 10.00 12% 7.10 8.00  
JLO CAN DANCE 1 4 1nk 1nk   6 710 (poole jeffrey)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 6.00 8.00  
 
TAM-4   02/10/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:13 1:391   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOSTINYOU 4 1 33 43 21 21 1½ (joseph saffie )CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 48% 1.10 1.60 W
SHIMMERING LIGHT 2 4 12 1 11 11 2½ (rodriguez dari)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 2.00 15% 5.70 2.40 P
NIP OF BOURBON 6 3 22 2 31 33 3 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 8.00 7% 14.20 11.10 S
WATCH FOR THE LUTE 7 7 4 33 4 43 4 (orseno josep)MENESES MARCOS 119 6.00 11.60  
MAPACHE G 5 9 66 66 6 54 5 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 119 4.50 9% 10.40 3.20  
THEJIGISUP 3 6 55 55 5 6 610 (torres pablo )ALICEA JEREMY 112 20.00 20.50  
MACHO REAL 9 2 99 8 8 7 718¼ (roque elis)FUENTES MARIO 119 15.00 56.90  
DIVINE CONTROL 1 5 77 7 7 87 819 (preudhomme )MARIN A 119 12.00 16.90  
GABBYS BIG NOTION 8 8 87 911½ 910¾ 910 921¾ (duffy sean)MARTIN MATTIE 112 30.00 80.10  
 
TAM-5   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 3 F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:222 :452 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME PIC 6 1 21 2nk   12 16 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 120 1.50 36% 1.80 1.00 W
ASTONISHING ANABEL 2 4 31 32   33 26 (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 4.50 14% 6.40 6.70 P
FLAG WOMAN 3 3 4 64   56 38 (fisher david)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.00 7% 12.70 4.70 S
BELMAR SUMMER 4 5 5 5   46 4 (cruz jesus)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 10.00 16.30  
GEMMA'S CURLS 5 2 11 1nk   22 510¾ (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 118 3.00 22% 3.50 2.20  
FINAL EPISODE 1 6 6 43   6 614 (minguet ramon)MARIN SAMUEL 118 15.00 23.70  
SCR  LADYNESS               (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 118 15.00    
 
TAM-6   02/10/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:24 :492 1:132 1:374   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOHAWK TRAIL 3 1 21 22 21 1½ 1¾ (danne)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 4.50 5.70  
PALLOTTA SISTERS 5 3 3 3 3 2½ 2¾ (motion h)GALLARDO A 119 3.50 10% 9.20 2.10 P
LIGHTRESS 7 8 4 4 4 3½ 3 (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 121 1.80 42% 1.40 1.20 S
EMBRACE ME 2 6 8 8 8 7 4 (albertrani t)BATISTA A 121 8.00 12.70  
DIAMONDSIFYOUDO 6 4 5 5 5 6 5 (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 4.00 26% 2.80 6.00  
WORLDLY BEAUTY 4 5 7 6 6 5 64 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 119 20.00 42.40  
AZTEC PRINCESS 8 7 63 7 7 8 76 (hamm timothy)MENESES MARCOS 119 10.00 19.70  
LA PANDA 1 2 11 12 11 4 87 (lorito mario)SOSA LAUREANO 112 20.00 75.50  
 
TAM-7   02/10/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:131 1:394   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUDREY 1 8 6 3.2 1½ 12 1 (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 119 20.00 6% 15.30 36.30 W
GIRL PRO 7 2 3½ 5½ 2½ 22 2 (carrascojr vict)CENTENO E 121 2.00 37% 1.70 0.60 P
DISCO QUEEN 9 1 7 62 3 3 3 (pita daniel)FERRER C 123 8.00 10.10  
BLUSHING KEYLEN 4 4 2nk 2nk 4 47 415 (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 119 20.00 87.00  
BRYCENS GOLD 2 6 1nk 1nk 6 6 515 (tsirigotis jam)ALLEN D 119 5.00 8.20  
HOLLYWOOD HONEY 3 5 4¾ 4¼ 5 57 616¼ (barboza victor)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 17% 4.80 4.10  
MAY BEAU 8 7 8 85 7 7 716¾ (wasiluk peter)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 15.00 61.60  
J'S STAR JET 5 3 5 75 8 810½ 820 (hunt donald)ALICEA JEREMY 112 4.50 18% 4.50 6.20  
A FOOLISH FANCY 6 9 9 99 910¼ 910¾ 920¼ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 30.00 51.00  
 
TAM-8   02/10/2023 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($18.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:112 1:361   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RONSTADT 1 1 6 2 21 11 1½ (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 119 4.50 24% 3.20 2.70 W
AIRMAN 4 7 74 5 6 3 2½ (lopez mario )BATISTA A 119 6.00 10% 9.20 4.50 P
NORTH CAROLINA 2 2 2 1 11 21 3 (guciardo kathy)FERRER C 119 3.00 29% 2.50 3.10 S
SMART AS ME 7 9 9 9 5 54 47 (smith ro)ALLEN D 119 3.50 7% 14.20 5.10  
BLACK SEAL 3 5 1 4 33 4 5 (dobber arnou)MENESES MARCOS 119 12.00 5% 19.00 15.90  
MAGICAL ADVENTURE 9 6 53 6 76 64 6 (manning j)BRACHO A 119 10.00 17.00  
MOON MISCHIEF 5 3 43 33 43 75 711¾ (caramo)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 5.00 5.30  
GOT EM THINKING 6 4 32 86 816 820 831¾ (ward dennis)CAMACHO SAMY 119 15.00 18.10  
JUST PRAISE 8 8 8 7 917 923 946¼ (guciardo kathy)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 12.00 29.60  
 
TAM-9   02/10/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:122 1:394   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE EYED JACK 9 1 52 52 4 21 1½ (poole a)FELICIANO R 123 3.00 13% 6.80 3.80 W
SEA SPLENDOR 4 10 6 7 7 31 2½ (smith cr)GALLARDO A 123 5.00 7.40  
HOT AND HEAVY 8 7 7 6 31 11 3¾ (wilson)ROJAS EDUARDO 123 6.00 7% 13.40 7.30 S
KHOZANDO 2 6 4 31 5 6 4 (ferraro anth)COA J 123 6.00 10.50  
HONDO GUSTO 5 9 10 10 10 9 56 (roque elis)ALICEA JEREMY 116 30.00 ######  
SHOO SHINE 3 4 21 2½ 1nk 4 66 (dini mike)FERRER C 123 4.50 31% 2.20 1.60  
LUCKY LOVER BOY 1 5 11 1½ 2nk 5 77 (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 15.00 10.00  
11  ENGLISH LAUGHTER 10 2 9 8 8 7 8 (ferraro anth)CAMACHO SAMY 123 8.00 6.40  
BLACK V. K. 6 3 8 9 9 8 910½ (pimental john )MARIN SAMUEL 123 30.00 35.30  
CARMENOOTZ 7 8 3 41 6 10 1012 (wright micha)NICHOLLS KEVEH 123 12.00 28.10  
SCR  SNAP HOOK               (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 4.00 28% 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.