Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - February 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/2/3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/2/3/4)-(5/1/2/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(2/1/5)-(4/3/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5/3/4)-(2/1/5/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(4/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(4/3/7/2)-(4/2/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2/1)-(4/3/7/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/7/2)-(4/2/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/2)-(4/2/5/6)-(7/6/2/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-4   WIN (4/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6/7)-(4/2/5/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/2/5/6)-(7/6/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5/6)-(7/6/2/3)-(7/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (7/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/3)-(7/6/2/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/3)-(7/6/2/3/1)-(7/6/2/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/2/3)-(7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2/3)-(7/6/5)-(7/5/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-6   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/5/8/3)-(7/6/5/8/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/6/5)-(7/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5)-(7/5/3/1)-(2/1/4/7/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-7   WIN (7/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1/2)-(7/5/3/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/3/1)-(2/1/4/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3/1)-(2/1/4/7/3)-(3/9/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-8   WIN (2/1/4/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/7/3)-(2/1/4/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/7/3)-(2/1/4/7/3)-(2/1/4/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/4/7/3)-(3/9/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (3/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/9/8)-(3/9/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/9/8)-(3/9/8/2)-(3/9/8/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($18.5K) 3 ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN OCCASION Jan18 Dec02 Nov12 Oct07 Sep09 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 2.00 17% 4.80    
2  KING MIANO         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.50 ★    
3  I LIKE BOSTON Sep25 Jul23 Jun09 May12   (rigattieri joh)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00 ★    
4  DENYING         (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 20.00 ★    
5  LOOKIN' SUPER Dec30 Nov27       (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.60 58% 0.70    
6  FATIH Dec30         (nunez mauricio)BRACHO A 120 6.00    
 
TAM-2   02/10/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I AM THAT I AM Jan25 Jan04 Dec17 Nov02 Oct19 (williams a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 2.00 13% 6.70    
2  EXACTING Jan14 Dec17 Nov30 Oct26 Oct07 (carrascojr )QUINONEZ ALONSO 123 1.40 48% 1.10    
3  RATTLESNAKE RIDGE Jan14 Jun26 Jun03 Apr16 Apr08 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 121 8.00 ★    
4  H P BIG HOPE Jan28 Nov03 Oct21 Oct05 Sep05 (rodriguez ang)FUENTES MARIO 121 15.00 ★    
5  WAR CROSS Jan21 Dec31 Dec09 Nov30 Nov02 (bray michael)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 4.00 12% 7.30    
6  SUNNY SAINT Jan28 Jan13 Dec07 Nov05 Oct19 (downing will)MENESES MARCOS 121 8.00    
 
TAM-3   02/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JLO CAN DANCE Jan27 Jan08 Dec16 Sep19 Aug25 (poole jeffrey)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 6.00 ★    
2  SHE NASTY Nov25 Oct13 Sep28 Sep06 Aug10 (guciardo kat)BATISTA A 118 8.00 10% 9.10    
3  TRUE ATKA Feb03 Jan13 Jan06 Dec23 Sep22 (ochoa gerard)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.50 14% 6.00    
4  DR. ANN Jan08 Dec23 Oct09 Aug08 Jul13 (campbell micha)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 30% 2.40    
5  MAGICGIRL Jan20 Jan13 Dec31 Dec02 Nov26 (posadas ped)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 3.00    
6  WOODS HOLE Jan20 Dec10 Nov25 Oct15 Sep04 (sacco )ROJAS EDUARDO 118 6.00    
7  RAPIDAMENTE Jan28 Jan08 Aug31 Aug18 Jul16 (lopez r)IORIO MELISSA 108 10.00 12% 7.10    
 
TAM-4   02/10/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINE CONTROL Dec21 Dec09 Aug28 Jul29 Jun30 (preudhomme )MARIN A 119 12.00    
2  SHIMMERING LIGHT Jan21 Jan04 Dec09 Oct19 Sep17 (rodriguez dari)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 2.00 15% 5.70    
3  THEJIGISUP Jan15 Jan07 Dec22 Dec07 Nov23 (torres pablo )ALICEA JEREMY 112 20.00    
4  GHOSTINYOU Jan21 Dec07 Nov05 Oct09 Aug13 (joseph saffie )CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 48% 1.10    
5  MAPACHE G Jan21 Jan04 Dec17 Nov30 Oct19 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 119 4.50 9% 10.40    
6  NIP OF BOURBON Jan21 Jan04 Oct18 Oct04 Sep21 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 8.00 7% 14.20    
7  WATCH FOR THE LUTE Jan04 Dec17 Nov30 Nov04 Oct28 (orseno josep)MENESES MARCOS 119 6.00 ★    
8  GABBYS BIG NOTION Feb04 Dec12 Nov23 Oct21 Sep29 (duffy sean)MARTIN MATTIE 112 30.00    
9  MACHO REAL Jan21 Jan07 Apr08 Mar30 Mar16 (roque elis)FUENTES MARIO 119 15.00    
 
TAM-5   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 3 F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINAL EPISODE Dec28 Dec10 Dec03 Nov19 Oct16 (minguet ramon)MARIN SAMUEL 118 15.00 ★    
2  ASTONISHING ANABEL Jan04 Dec17 Dec03 Oct16 Oct07 (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 4.50 14% 6.40    
3  FLAG WOMAN Jan04 Dec17 Nov25 Jun24   (fisher david)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.00 7% 12.70    
4  BELMAR SUMMER Jan01 Dec17 Dec03 Oct29 Sep11 (cruz jesus)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 10.00    
SCR  LADYNESS Jan18 Jan01 Dec03 Nov25 Oct22 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 118 15.00    
6  GEMMA'S CURLS Aug06 Jun26       (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 118 3.00 22% 3.50    
7  AWESOME PIC Jan14 Dec03 Nov19 Oct16 Sep09 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 120 1.50 36% 1.80    
 
TAM-6   02/10/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA PANDA Jan01 Dec17 Nov19 Oct12 Oct03 (lorito mario)SOSA LAUREANO 112 20.00    
2  EMBRACE ME Dec22 Nov19 Oct27     (albertrani t)BATISTA A 121 8.00    
3  MOHAWK TRAIL Jan12 Dec04 Nov11     (danne)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 4.50 ★    
4  WORLDLY BEAUTY Nov01 Aug20 Jul11 Jun23   (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 119 20.00    
5  PALLOTTA SISTERS Jan12 Dec03 Oct12 Sep04 Aug04 (motion h)GALLARDO A 119 3.50 10% 9.20    
6  DIAMONDSIFYOUDO Dec30 Nov12 Oct12     (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 4.00 26% 2.80    
7  LIGHTRESS Jan04         (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 121 1.80 42% 1.40    
8  AZTEC PRINCESS Jan18 Oct26 Oct12 Sep20 Aug31 (hamm timothy)MENESES MARCOS 119 10.00 ★    
 
TAM-7   02/10/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUDREY Jan18 Jan06 Feb19 Jan12 Jan05 (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 119 20.00 6% 15.30    
2  BRYCENS GOLD Jan22 Jan06 Jun10 May25 Apr13 (tsirigotis jam)ALLEN D 119 5.00 ★    
3  HOLLYWOOD HONEY Jan22 Dec16 Nov04 Sep23 Sep05 (barboza victor)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 17% 4.80    
4  BLUSHING KEYLEN Jan22 Jan07 Sep16 Aug20 Aug04 (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 119 20.00    
5  J'S STAR JET Jan01 Nov12 Oct28 Sep17 Jul01 (hunt donald)ALICEA JEREMY 112 4.50 18% 4.50    
6  A FOOLISH FANCY Jan22         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 30.00    
7  GIRL PRO Jan18 Jan01 Dec10 Nov25 Apr15 (carrascojr vict)CENTENO E 121 2.00 37% 1.70    
8  MAY BEAU Jan22 Jan06 Dec23 Dec09 Oct27 (wasiluk peter)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 15.00    
9  DISCO QUEEN Jan26 Jan15 Dec23 Dec02 Oct15 (pita daniel)FERRER C 123 8.00    
 
TAM-8   02/10/2023 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($18.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RONSTADT Jan20 Oct14 Sep24 Sep01 Jul27 (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
2  NORTH CAROLINA Jan06 Oct19 Sep14 Jul25 Jul10 (guciardo kathy)FERRER C 119 3.00 29% 2.50    
3  BLACK SEAL Jan20 Dec16 Nov12 Oct29 Sep25 (dobber arnou)MENESES MARCOS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  AIRMAN Jan27 Jan14 Nov13 Sep23 Jul30 (lopez mario )BATISTA A 119 6.00 10% 9.20    
5  MOON MISCHIEF Jan20 Nov30 Nov14 Aug10 Jul18 (caramo)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 5.00    
6  GOT EM THINKING Jan29 Jan11 Dec28     (ward dennis)CAMACHO SAMY 119 15.00    
7  SMART AS ME Jan20 Jan06 Dec16 Nov04   (smith ro)ALLEN D 119 3.50 7% 14.20    
8  JUST PRAISE Jan27 Jan06 Dec21 Dec02 Oct19 (guciardo kathy)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 12.00    
9  MAGICAL ADVENTURE Jan20 Jan06 Dec21 Dec02 Jun10 (manning j)BRACHO A 119 10.00    
 
TAM-9   02/10/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY LOVER BOY Jan06 Dec22 Dec09 Oct21 Sep30 (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 15.00    
2  KHOZANDO Nov07 Oct24 Jan23 Jan15   (ferraro anth)COA J 123 6.00 ★    
3  SHOO SHINE Jan14 Dec23 Dec07 Oct20 Jul22 (dini mike)FERRER C 123 4.50 31% 2.20    
4  SEA SPLENDOR Jan06 Aug20 Jul31 Jul22 Jul09 (smith cr)GALLARDO A 123 5.00    
5  HONDO GUSTO Jan25         (roque elis)ALICEA JEREMY 116 30.00    
6  BLACK V. K. Jan14 Dec31 Dec07 Sep24 Aug20 (pimental john )MARIN SAMUEL 123 30.00    
7  CARMENOOTZ Jan13 Dec24 Nov04 Oct02 Jul03 (wright micha)NICHOLLS KEVEH 123 12.00    
8  HOT AND HEAVY Jan14 Dec31 Dec07 Nov23 Oct22 (wilson)ROJAS EDUARDO 123 6.00 7% 13.40    
9  ONE EYED JACK Jan25 Jan06 Dec02 Nov11 Sep25 (poole a)FELICIANO R 123 3.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  SNAP HOOK Jan06 Dec09 Sep30 May20 Apr27 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 4.00 28% 2.50    
11  ENGLISH LAUGHTER Jan25 Jan06 Dec30 Oct26 Sep27 (ferraro )GALLARDO A 123 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.