Handicappers' Race Results

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Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - February 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TAM-1   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
TAM-2   Win (5/6/1/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
TAM-3   Win (7/13/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 0 $12.20  
TAM-4   Win (6/2/3/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $3.80  
TAM-5   Win (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
TAM-6   Win (6/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $12.40  
TAM-7   Win (8/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $5.00  
TAM-8   Win (2/1/6/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $29.00  
TAM-9   Win (2/12/5/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  

Simulator Race results

 
TAM-1   02/15/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT-12:28
See original race card.
:25 :492 1:134 1:40   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RISK VS REWARD 3 5 2½ 2nk 2½ 12 1¾ (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.60 30% 2.40 0.50 W
WINTER'S GHOST 2 4 5 41 3½ 22 2¾ (granitz j)FERRER C 119 1.50 34% 1.90 2.30 P
TAPINTOYOURBEER 4 2 3½ 3½ 4¾ 44 3 (ubide max)ARROYO S 119 10.00 14.00  
ARIES REIGNS 5 1 1½ 1nk 1½ 34 4 (rarick lynn)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50 13% 6.90 7.80  
COMMANDER KEITH 1 3 42 5 5 512 533¾ (lusk r)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 15.00 15.10  
SCR  PAPA JIMMY               (bray michael)ALICEA JEREMY 112 8.00    
 
TAM-2   02/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT-12:58
See original race card.
:213 :45 :572     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROGER MCQUEEN 6 1 33 3   33 1nk (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 118 2.00 17% 4.70 1.30 W
BODE BY YOU 1 4 1nk 1½   12 2nk (potts ron )GALLARDO A 113 5.00 17% 4.90 3.70 P
IMPERIAL BIRD 2 2 2nk 2½   22 31 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00 8% 12.20 3.20 S
CAMINERO 5 6 5 4   45 4 (gutierrez faus)ARROYO S 118 2.50 33% 2.00 3.80  
CLASSIC BET 4 5 45 65   5 5 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 8.90  
THOUSAND LOVES 3 3 6 55   6 6 (cascallares )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 118 15.00 5% 19.00 43.00  
 
TAM-3   02/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 1:26
See original race card.
:231 :48 1:13 1:384   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FRENCHY DEPARTED 9 10 85 8 4 1½ 1 (delgado )ROJAS EDUARDO 120 10.00 5.10  
DISCREET MAGIC 5 1 1nk 11 1½ 2½ 2 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 15.00 6.20  
11  CORE FACTOR 10 6 5 6 5 44 3 (cruz jesus)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 3.50 15% 5.80 3.30 S
THE SWAYZE EXPRESS 6 4 3.2 31 3½ 3 4 (potts g)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 2.50 40% 1.50 3.70  
FOREVER SAUCY 1 2 4 4 2½ 54 512½ (ochoa gerard)MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00 11.70  
G. T. OH 4 9 74 7 7 66 613¼ (o'connell kathle)ALLEN D 120 3.00 4.20  
DYNAMIC STORM 2 5 62 5 6 77 717½ (dixon l)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 15.00 22.90  
MASTER SERGEANT 3 8 10 9 9 811 825 (ryan s)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 12.00 18.70  
PERSONAL FINANCE 7 3 2nk 21 8 915 933½ (carrascojr vic)ARROYO S 120 20.00 49.00  
NOBLE AND KIND 8 7 95 1012¾ 1018¼ 1020 1037 (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50 11.00  
SCR  DON CINCO               (gatis chris)SOSA LAUREANO 113 12.00    
SCR  FISHERMAN OSCAR               (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 4.00    
SCR  PRALINE'S CAT               (posadas pedro)MENESES MARCOS 120 30.00    
SCR  TUMIGA               (laurin roger)BATISTA A 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
 
TAM-4   02/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.35K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:53
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEY SONG 8 4 4¼ 1nk   1 14 (ochoa ge)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 3.50 0.90  
AWESOME ENOUGH 2 1 3.2 31   2 24 (rodriguez dari)MENESES MARCOS 118 4.50 22% 3.60 10.40 P
DUKE SKYWALKER 6 5 6 5   3 3 (gonzalez javie)ARROYO S 118 2.50 23% 3.40 2.80 S
VILLAGE PREACHER 5 8 8 7   6 48 (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 118 30.00 6% 16.20 37.20  
RUNAWAY TOM 1 6 5¾ 6   4 59 (philipp karyn)SOSA LAUREANO 111 10.00 8% 11.00 32.40  
LIVEFORTHESONG 3 7 7 8   7 6 (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 118 10.00 16% 5.40 9.40  
LIL ANNIE ROSE 4 2 1nk 4   54 710¼ (wirth b)MBATHA LUCKY 103 4.50 7.60  
WOOTDAREITIS 7 3 2nk 2nk   8 817¼ (werneth robe)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 5.00 14.80  
 
TAM-5   02/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:222 :462 1:11 1:36   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARK AND FITZY 6 2 12 13 1½ 1nk 11 (beckman whitwor)CENTENO E 122 1.80 61% 0.60 0.50 W
MINTENON 9 7 33 44 3 3½ 21 (delacour arnau)BATISTA A 122 4.50 6.60 P
KYLE'S DEGREE 7 4 22 23 2½ 2nk 3 (gutierrez faus)ARROYO S 122 3.50 15% 5.50 6.80 S
MAGNA RULER 4 1 6 6 53 43 4 (ramos ju)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 8.00 27.20  
AMBUSHED 2 3 8 912½ 8 5 5 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.50 5.30  
DELTA RIDGE 1 9 910½ 8 7 67 610 (hayford jennifer)FERRER C 122 10.00 25.40  
KALINBA 3 5 5 56 6 8 716¼ (cascallares nes)LOZADA CARLOS 120 30.00 ######  
HAPPYIZE 8 6 4 34 4 7 816½ (klesaris steve)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 20.00 18.60  
DEVIL'S MYTH 5 8 7 78 9 912¼ 921¼ (dobber w)WALES GARY 122 30.00 72.90  
 
TAM-6   02/15/2023 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:47
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:122 1:382   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVVY LAYLA 5 5 4 4 3½ 2½ 1 (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 123 10.00 5.20  
CONFESSOR 1 6 6 6 41 31 2 (poole jeffrey )MENESES MARCOS 119 5.00 11% 8.40 2.50 P
UNFLAPPABLE MAX 6 1 2½ 2½ 1½ 1½ 3 (ferraro anthon)COA J 119 4.50 5.80 S
WILLOW WOOD 2 3 31 3 5 42 4 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 121 3.50 13% 6.80 2.10  
CAXAMBAS CANDY 4 4 5 53 6 64 5 (sweezey kent)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 5.00 5% 17.90 5.00  
KING OF HOLLYWOOD 3 2 1½ 1½ 2½ 52 610¼ (nunn douglas)ARROYO S 119 5.00 6.20  
SCR  MY MAN VITO               (rigattieri john)MORALES PABLO 119 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
TAM-7   02/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:114 1:242   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEREBY 1 7 63 7 5 2½ 1 (rodriguez darien)CAMACHO SAMY 123 4.00 1.50  
EDEN PARADISE 4 1 4 5¾ 4 31 2 (james gerald)MENESES MARCOS 119 8.00 5.20 P
SHIMMERING LEROID 7 5 7 6 6 5 33 (mccarthy d)FERRER C 119 8.00 12.30 S
PIVOTAL RUN 8 9 9 9 7 6 4 (o'conne)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 3.50 49% 1.00 3.00  
ANGEL'S MAGIC 3 2 52 4¾ 21 42 5 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 4.50 26% 2.90 6.30  
JOE BRAINS 5 3 11 1½ 11 1½ 65 (downing william)SUAREZ ANGEL 123 4.50 12.10  
CANYOUHEARMENOW 2 8 8 8 9 86 710¾ (duffy sean)WALKER M 119 6.00 12.10  
J T'S MY BOY 6 6 21 2½ 31 76 813¾ (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 119 15.00 35.60  
GENERALONAMISSION 9 4 3 3½ 8 99 916¼ (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 119 30.00 63.80  
 
TAM-8   02/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:094     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEY'S WORTH 5 4 3 3   21 1 (motion graham)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 20.00 13.50  
SEND FOR ME 6 1 2½ 2½   11 2 (thomas )DIAZ RAFAEL 120 2.50 22% 3.60 1.20 P
CLAY'S MOON STONE 7 2 6 5   4 35 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00 9% 10.70 5.30 S
ALL GOOD TIMES 1 7 7 7   5 49 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 118 3.00 23% 3.30 3.20  
ST. PAT'S DAY 2 3 1½ 1½   3 5 (vinson joh)GALLARDO A 118 3.50 23% 3.30 5.80  
DON'T TAPTHEBRAKES 4 5 4 4   6 621 (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 118 8.00 18.10  
ASTERS D'ORO 3 6 55 65   711½ 729½ (smith g)CENTENO E 118 8.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
 
TAM-9   02/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:122 1:243   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE NEITH 2 2 11 11 1½ 1nk 1¼ (kintz ma)GALLARDO A 119 2.00 26% 2.90 1.50 W
LILY'S LEAD 7 5 21 21 2½ 2nk 2¼ (barbazoniii les)MORALES PABLO 119 4.50 8.30  
DONNA LIRICA 4 1 32 3 32 33 3 (cordero antonio)CAMACHO SAMY 119 20.00 15.10  
WASSER 3 10 86 54 42 45 45 (posadas pedro)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 3.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
MISTY GALE 6 3 5 7 6 57 5 (falk jac)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 15.00 6.60  
DOROTHY'S THE BOSS 9 6 43 44 54 6 6 (werneth robe)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 119 20.00 5% 19.00 13.30  
ALL BIZZ 8 9 108 8 8 7 7 (dixon k)FERRER C 119 30.00 50.50  
SUWANNEE CHICK 1 4 7 9 1011 811½ 811¾ (parra h)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 8.00 18.00  
10  LEMON TAFFY 10 8 64 6 76 913½ 916 (wasiluk jr)ALLEN D 119 30.00 51.30  
WATER WITCH 5 7 9 10 99 1014 1017 (sillaman richard)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 4.50 20% 4.10 4.10  
SCR  C C'S FREEDOM               (russo anthon)ALONSO LUIS 119 20.00    
SCR  DYNA'S HONOR               (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 121 3.50    
SCR  MYSTIC DREAMS               (mazza w)MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  RAHTID               (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 112 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.