Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - February 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(5/6/1/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(5/6/1/2/3)-(7/11) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/6/1/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/2/3)-(5/6/1/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/2/3)-(5/6/1/2/3)-(5/6/1/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/1/2/3)-(7/11) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1/2/3)-(7/11)-(6/2/3/1/5) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
TAM-3   WIN (7/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/11)-(7/11/9/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/11)-(7/11/9/4)-(7/11/9/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/11)-(6/2/3/1/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (7/11)-(6/2/3/1/5)-(6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-4   WIN (6/2/3/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/1/5)-(6/2/3/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/1/5)-(6/2/3/1/5)-(6/2/3/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/2/3/1/5)-(6/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3/1/5)-(6/7)-(2/1/4) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
TAM-5   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/7/4/2/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/7)-(6/7/4/2/9)-(6/7/4/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/7)-(2/1/4)-(8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-6   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(8/3)-(2/1/6/7/3) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
TAM-7   WIN (8/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/3)-(8/3/7/1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/3)-(8/3/7/1/4)-(8/3/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3)-(2/1/6/7/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (8/3)-(2/1/6/7/3)-(2/5/3/9) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
TAM-8   WIN (2/1/6/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/7/3)-(2/1/6/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/7/3)-(2/1/6/7/3)-(2/1/6/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/6/7/3)-(2/5/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (2/5/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/9)-(2/5/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/9)-(2/5/3/9)-(2/5/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/15/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT-12:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PAPA JIMMY Feb01 Jan20 Jan11 Dec21 Dec09 (bray michael)ALICEA JEREMY 112 8.00 ★    
2  COMMANDER KEITH Jan27 Jul01 Jun19 Apr08 Mar05 (lusk brian)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 15.00 ★    
3  WINTER'S GHOST Jan20 Dec14 Oct14 Sep18 Jun24 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 119 1.50 34% 1.90    
4  RISK VS REWARD Jan20 Dec23 Dec07 Oct30 Sep25 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.60 30% 2.40    
5  TAPINTOYOURBEER Jan27 Dec31 Dec21 Dec02 May06 (ubide max)ARROYO S 119 10.00    
6  ARIES REIGNS Jan25 Jan13 Dec28 Dec14 Nov25 (rarick lynn)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50 13% 6.90    
 
TAM-2   02/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT-12:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BODE BY YOU Jan20 Dec21 Oct17 Sep20 Sep08 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 113 5.00 17% 4.90    
2  IMPERIAL BIRD Jan15 Dec23 Dec07 Apr06 Mar13 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00 8% 12.20    
3  THOUSAND LOVES Jan15 Dec21 Aug06 Jul17 Jul01 (cascallares )GARCIA GEOVANY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  CLASSIC BET Jan29 Jan11 Dec21 Nov23 Oct23 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
5  CAMINERO Jan26 Jan01 Dec17 Nov17 Oct09 (gutierrez fa)ARROYO S 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
6  ROGER MCQUEEN Jan26 Dec17 Nov21     (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 118 2.00 17% 4.70    
 
TAM-3   02/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOREVER SAUCY Feb05 Jan13 Dec03 Aug31   (ochoa gerard)MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00    
2  DYNAMIC STORM Jan27 Jan07 Oct17 Sep26   (dixon)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 15.00    
3  MASTER SERGEANT Feb05 Aug19 Jul15     (ryan derek)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 12.00    
4  G. T. OH Jan27 Dec28       (o'connell kath)ALLEN D 120 3.00 ★    
5  DISCREET MAGIC Jan22 Jan04 Dec23     (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 15.00    
SCR  DON CINCO Jan27 Jan08       (gatis chris)SOSA LAUREANO 113 12.00    
7  THE SWAYZE EXPRESS Jan27 Jan13 Dec22 Dec07 Nov23 (potts g)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
8  PERSONAL FINANCE Jan27 Jan18 Dec28     (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 120 20.00    
9  NOBLE AND KIND Jan27 Jan13 Dec28 Dec03 Oct08 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50 ★    
10  FRENCHY DEPARTED Jan27         (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 10.00    
11  CORE FACTOR Jan27 Jan11       (cruz jesus)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 3.50 15% 5.80    
SCR  FISHERMAN OSCAR Jan27 Jan08 Nov25 Oct01 Sep10 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 4.00    
SCR  TUMIGA Jan27 Jan11 Dec21 Dec03 Oct22 (laurin roger)BATISTA A 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  PRALINE'S CAT Dec28 Dec07 Nov23 Sep22 Sep09 (posadas pedr)MENESES MARCOS 120 30.00    
 
TAM-4   02/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.35K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNAWAY TOM Jan28 Jan08 Dec21 Nov23 Oct23 (philipp karyn)SOSA LAUREANO 111 10.00 8% 11.00    
2  AWESOME ENOUGH Jan29 Jan15 Oct02 Sep10 Aug21 (rodriguez da)MENESES MARCOS 118 4.50 22% 3.60    
3  LIVEFORTHESONG Jan13 Dec02 Sep07 Jul09 Jun23 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 10.00 16% 5.40    
4  LIL ANNIE ROSE Jan07 Dec10 Nov18 Oct21 Sep18 (wirth kenneth )MBATHA LUCKY 103 4.50    
5  VILLAGE PREACHER         (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 118 30.00 6% 16.20    
6  DUKE SKYWALKER Dec16 Dec02 Jun25 Jun11 May22 (gonzalez jav)ARROYO S 118 2.50 23% 3.40    
7  WOOTDAREITIS Jan28 Jan08 Dec24 Dec10 Nov12 (werneth ro)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 5.00    
8  MONEY SONG Dec23 Oct08 Aug29 Aug22 Jul11 (ochoa )ROJAS EDUARDO 118 3.50    
 
TAM-5   02/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DELTA RIDGE Jan20 Sep15 Aug25 Jul30 Jul09 (hayford jennifer)FERRER C 122 10.00    
2  AMBUSHED Jan20 Dec28 Jul11 Jun20 Jun06 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.50 ★    
3  KALINBA Jan20 Dec30 Dec16 Nov30 Oct28 (cascallares n)LOZADA CARLOS 120 30.00    
4  MAGNA RULER Jan20 Jan11 Dec23 Dec08 Oct05 (ramos )ROJAS EDUARDO 122 8.00 ★    
5  DEVIL'S MYTH Jan28 Dec29 Jul16 Jun19 Apr23 (dobber w)WALES GARY 122 30.00    
6  DARK AND FITZY Dec28 Jan06       (beckman whitw)CENTENO E 122 1.80 61% 0.60    
7  KYLE'S DEGREE Feb05         (gutierrez fa)ARROYO S 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
8  HAPPYIZE Apr23 Feb19       (klesaris steve)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 20.00    
9  MINTENON Dec28 Dec02       (delacour arn)BATISTA A 122 4.50 ★    
 
TAM-6   02/15/2023 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONFESSOR Jan29 Jan11 Dec10 Sep03 Aug15 (poole jeffre)MENESES MARCOS 119 5.00 11% 8.40    
2  WILLOW WOOD Jan21 Dec24 Nov18 Oct23   (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 121 3.50 13% 6.80    
3  KING OF HOLLYWOOD Jan25 Jan11 Dec17 Oct08 Sep24 (nunn douglas)ARROYO S 119 5.00    
4  CAXAMBAS CANDY Jan14 Dec10 Nov20 Aug27 Jul29 (sweezey kent)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 5.00 5% 17.90    
5  SAVVY LAYLA Feb01 Jan20 Dec22 Nov26 Sep05 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 123 10.00    
SCR  MY MAN VITO Jan11 Dec30 Dec10 Nov02 Oct19 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 119 3.00 42% 1.40    
7  UNFLAPPABLE MAX Jan21 Jan06 Nov07 Oct03 Sep05 (ferraro anth)COA J 119 4.50 ★    
 
TAM-7   02/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEREBY Jan29 Jan11 Dec11 Dec03 Jul14 (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 123 4.00 ★    
2  CANYOUHEARMENOW Feb01 Jan20 Dec09 Dec02 Nov04 (duffy sean)WALKER M 119 6.00    
3  ANGEL'S MAGIC Jan27 Dec02 Oct14 Sep10 Aug25 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 4.50 26% 2.90    
4  EDEN PARADISE Feb04 Dec26 Dec08 Nov30 Nov19 (james gerald)MENESES MARCOS 119 8.00 ★    
5  JOE BRAINS Jan20 Nov30 Nov02 Oct06   (downing willia)SUAREZ ANGEL 123 4.50    
6  J T'S MY BOY Jan27 Jan06 Aug27 Aug14 Jul29 (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 119 15.00    
7  SHIMMERING LEROID Jan27 Dec21 Dec02 Sep23 Aug29 (mccarthy brenda )FERRER C 119 8.00 ★    
8  PIVOTAL RUN Jan27 Nov05 Oct08 Sep10 Aug11 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 3.50 49% 1.00    
9  GENERALONAMISSION Oct19 Oct03 Sep19 Sep08 Aug16 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 30.00    
 
TAM-8   02/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL GOOD TIMES Dec17 Sep29 Sep18 Aug06 Jul08 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 118 3.00 23% 3.30    
2  ST. PAT'S DAY Jan20 May07 Mar30     (vinson j)GALLARDO A 118 3.50 23% 3.30    
3  ASTERS D'ORO Jan25 Dec31 Dec14 Aug19 Jul15 (smith g)CENTENO E 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  DON'T TAPTHEBRAKES Jan20 Sep26       (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 118 8.00    
5  MONEY'S WORTH Feb19         (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 20.00    
6  SEND FOR ME Jan20 Dec14       (thoma)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
7  CLAY'S MOON STONE Dec30 Sep29 Sep18 Aug06 Jun10 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00 9% 10.70    
 
TAM-9   02/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUWANNEE CHICK Jan22 Jan01 Dec21 Aug30 Aug09 (parra)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 8.00    
2  BLUE NEITH Feb01 Jan18 Oct24 Sep17 Sep02 (kintz s )GALLARDO A 119 2.00 26% 2.90    
3  WASSER Feb01 Jan07 Dec24 Dec16 Nov23 (posadas ped)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 3.00 5% 19.00    
4  DONNA LIRICA Feb01 Jan01 Oct24 Oct14 Sep15 (cordero antoni)CAMACHO SAMY 119 20.00    
5  WATER WITCH Jan18 Jan01 Dec16 Oct27 Apr27 (sillaman richa)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 4.50 20% 4.10    
6  MISTY GALE Jan18 Jan01 Nov07 Oct24 Sep21 (falk j)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 15.00    
7  LILY'S LEAD Jan18 Dec16 Dec10 Oct28 May26 (barbazoniii l)MORALES PABLO 119 4.50    
8  ALL BIZZ Feb01 Jan04 Nov22 Nov01 Oct10 (dixon k)FERRER C 119 30.00    
9  DOROTHY'S THE BOSS Jan01 Dec14 Nov23 Oct29 Oct15 (werneth ro)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  LEMON TAFFY Feb01 Jan07 Dec01 Nov06 Oct07 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 119 30.00    
SCR  DYNA'S HONOR Feb01 Jan15 Jan04 Dec21 Oct06 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 121 3.50    
SCR  MYSTIC DREAMS Feb08 Jan18 Jan07 Dec10 Dec02 (mazza w)MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  C C'S FREEDOM Jan20 Jan07 Oct01 Aug26 Aug02 (russo anth)ALONSO LUIS 119 20.00    
SCR  RAHTID Dec14 Oct08 Sep23 Sep02 Aug06 (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 112 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.