Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - February 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-3   EXA (4/1/2/9)-(4/1/2/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  2-1 $23.20 $7.20 45%
    DD (8/7/2)-(4/1/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-2 $13.60 $1.60 13%
TAM-8   WIN (8/9/7/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  9 $11.60 $1.60 16%
    EXA (8/9/7/5/3)-(8/9/7/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  9-8 $46.00 $26.00 130%
    DD (5/2/8/3)-(8/9/7/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  2-9 $21.70 $1.70 9%
TAM-9   DD (8/9/7/5/3)-(2/7/5/3/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00  9-5 $27.60 $2.60 10%

Simulator Race results

 
TAM-1   02/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:223 :464 :593     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOODAYO 2 4 54 42   1nk 1¾ (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00 8.60  
TAKESTWOTOWIGGLE 3 1 1 11   2nk 2¾ (richards rena)IORIO MELISSA 110 10.00 7.70  
LYRICAL 5 2 3 21   4¾ 3 (rarick lynn)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 6.70  
SNACKSTER 8 3 2 31   3½ 4 (feliciano ben)ALICEA JEREMY 113 1.80 33% 2.10 0.70  
KENYA SUN 1 6 7 7   6 5 (tsirigotis)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 4.50 30% 2.30 7.10  
WESTLODGE INTRIGUE 4 7 4 53   5 68 (robillard jul)HERNANDEZ K 120 15.00 7% 12.90 54.90  
AUBURN 7 5 6 6   7 7 (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 113 6.00 8.90  
CARISMATICA 6 8 8 8   8 8 (cascallares n)LUGO D 120 12.00 7% 13.00 20.00  
 
TAM-2   02/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:132     1:202   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NINETY NINE 8 4 2nk 1nk   1nk 1hd (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50 30% 2.40 1.80 W
GOODBETTERBEST 7 1 3.2 2nk   2nk 2hd (gutierrez fa)ARROYO S 120 2.50 29% 2.50 2.90 P
HIGH DONNA 6 3 7 3   32 3 (escobar alison)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00 12.40  
ONE TOUGH DAME 2 6 5 6   6 4 (ubide max)ALLEN D 120 3.00 19% 4.20 2.10  
NOBLE ATTITUDE 3 8 8 8   4 57 (manchan bertr)FUENTES MARIO 120 10.00 38.40  
HEAVEN'S D'ORO 5 5 6 5   7 610¼ (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 7.40  
UNCAPTURED DREAMS 4 2 1nk 42   5 711 (dominguez lu)ALENCAR WALBER 120 15.00 42.40  
BEAUTIFUL ASTRAY 1 7 4 7   8 826½ (cascallares n)LUGO D 120 8.00 18.60  
 
TAM-3   02/12/2023 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:151 1:41   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALZONE 2 9 7 7 2nk 12 1 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 115 3.50 12% 7.60 2.70 W
SKY TRAVELER 1 7 4 6 4¾ 33 2 (lusk r)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.00 12% 7.30 3.40 P
10  RUM NOT BOURBON 9 2 2½ 1nk 1nk 22 37 (jones doug)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 20.00 47.60  
HIGHJUMP CHARLIE 6 6 8 5 6 5 411¾ (werneth ro)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 2.50 3.20  
BROADWAY RUCKUS 4 1 1½ 2nk 3½ 4 512¼ (dye steven)LOZADA CARLOS 122 20.00 64.70  
DEACON ELI 7 4 6 4 5 6 615¾ (tsirigotis ja)DELGADO DAVID 122 30.00 80.70  
MY BIG DRAMA 8 5 3½ 31 7 7 719¼ (dobber arnou)MENESES MARCOS 122 4.50 11% 7.70 3.90  
WICKED MOMENT 5 3 5 9 8 813½ 831¼ (o'connel)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 9.10  
DEFEND YOURSELF 3 8 9 8 9100 9100 9100 (machado anto)ARROYO S 122 6.00 41% 1.50 6.50  
SCR  LANCELOT LYNK               (sims n)REEVES F 122 30.00    
 
TAM-4   02/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:123     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STYLE 6 9 9 8   31 1½ (arriagada jua)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 3.50 2.10  
GLITTER BAY 8 8 8 63   1½ 2½ (robillard jul)SOSA LAUREANO 111 8.00 12.30 P
TWELVE RED ROSES 7 2 7 7   42 3 (banks chris)MORALES PABLO 118 10.00 6.60  
PONY GIRL 3 4 5 4   2½ 4 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 12% 7.70 3.20  
SPARKLING PLENTY 4 5 2½ 3   7 510 (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 118 10.00 21.40  
LITTLE RED BUTTON 5 7 6 5   8 611½ (king clarence)IORIO MELISSA 108 20.00 21.30  
ROUGH ENOUGH 2 3 3½ 21   6 712½ (james gerald)MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00 41.90  
I'M A CUTIE 9 1 1½ 11   52 813½ (davis scooter)FERRER C 118 3.00 49% 1.10 2.70  
DON'T LOSE HOPE 1 6 4 9   9 913½ (cascallares n)LUGO D 118 8.00 11% 7.90 14.00  
 
TAM-5   02/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:244 :50 1:144 1:41   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAL HIM UP 2 5 5 5 5 2nk 1 (posadas pedro)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 3.50 35% 1.80 0.80 W
10  RAGING WHIRLWIND 6 2 3 1nk 12 1nk 2 (chain pearl)SUAREZ JESUS 122 20.00 18.90  
LORD OF THE NILE 3 4 4 4 43 33 3 (dobber w)WALES GARY 122 12.00 6.00 S
SIDNEY'S BID 1 1 2 2nk 3 4 4 (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 122 8.00 3.30  
SUNSPOT 4 3 1 3.2 22 5 5 (deaton willi)MENESES MARCOS 122 12.00 7.90  
THE POINT ROAD 5 6 6 6 6 6 617 (mccarthy b)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 15.00 7.30  
SCR  CHEVAL DORE               (roque elis)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 6.00    
SCR  GET EVEN               (smith r)MORALES PABLO 122 1.60 41% 1.40    
SCR  KALINBA               (cascallares n)LOZADA CARLOS 122 20.00    
SCR  SOUTHERN CIVILITY               (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 10.00    
SCR  URBAN BEACH               (wilson tony)ALICEA JEREMY 115 15.00    
 
TAM-6   02/12/2023 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 3:17
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:122 1:382   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINGSBARNS 2 1 3 3 11 12 1 (pletcher)GALLARDO A 123 1.20 50% 1.00 0.50 W
MIKEY BANANAS 3 7 66 6 3 22 2 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 119 8.00 10.00  
CUVIER 1 6 22 24 21 35 311¼ (pletc)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 2.50 12% 7.50 4.60 S
NOTAH 6 4 5 45 4 4 420¼ (terranova john)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 16% 5.30 3.70  
DECEITFUL 4 2 7 7 5 512½ 530 (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 119 20.00 29.80  
SENTIR ZULIANO 7 3 12 14 6 618½ 640½ (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 12.00 37.50  
GALAXY MUSIC 5 5 4 55 7 719½ 741 (ochoa )ROJAS EDUARDO 119 30.00 40.40  
 
TAM-7   02/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.5K) 3 F PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:24 :492 1:14 1:262   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEEP'S DAY 2 1 11 1½ 1nk 11 1 (rini anthony)CENTENO E 119 4.00 16% 5.30 1.70 W
ELSA'S ROCKET 6 4 3 31 2nk 21 2 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 10.00 5.00  
CALISUE 7 6 54 53 4 3 3 (sacco gregory )SUAREZ ANGEL 119 6.00 2.80 S
HAPPY UNION 1 5 6 6 6 5 45 (machado antoni)MARIN SAMUEL 119 15.00 12.60  
LUCKY FREEDOM 5 7 7 7 7 76 5 (rigattieri j)BATISTA A 119 6.00 4.80  
ANNA'S IMAGE 3 3 4 42 5 6 6 (richards ren)ARROYO S 119 15.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
SUMMER NITRO 4 2 21 2½ 3.2 4 7 (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 10.00 9.10  
SCR  BODE'S HERITAGE               (delacour arnau)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.80 36% 1.80    
SCR  LADYNESS               (sacco gregory)MORALES PABLO 119 8.00 14% 6.20    
 
TAM-8   02/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:223 :462 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHANGHAI WARRIOR 9 6 4 3½   11 1hd (ryan derek)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 4.50 19% 4.30 4.80 W
ALL FOOLS DAY 8 4 1nk 1nk   32 2hd (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 6.00 22% 3.60 9.60 P
LOVIELEE 1 1 3.2 2nk   21 3½ (munoz carlos)MENESES MARCOS 113 20.00 6.50  
JAMA DILLON 3 8 8 73   5 4 (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 4.00 5% 18.50 5.90  
BRONX 5 5 2nk 41   44 54 (orseno)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 6.00 10% 8.90 11.80  
ANY MINUTE 2 9 9 95   7 6 (posadas pedro)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00 23.90  
JACKSON STRONG 7 3 5 52   6 7 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 5.00 14% 6.40 6.10  
AS DE ORO COCO 6 2 7 84   8 87 (morales guille)MENDEZ KEVIN 118 20.00 49.50  
10  I'LL FINISH 10 7 6 6   9 9 (delgado jorg)ARROYO S 118 3.00 1.70  
LEGIO 4 10 10 107   10 1012¼ (dominguez lu)ALENCAR WALBER 118 20.00 53.70  
 
TAM-9   02/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:50
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:101 1:222   1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRIKER 5 3 11 11 11 1 1 (carroll )GALLARDO A 119 5.00 8% 11.00 3.10 W
PERFECT SPEIGHTY 1 2 32 3 21 2 2 (wright michael )CENTENO E 119 6.00 5.90  
HIDDEN STASH 3 1 54 7 6 43 3 (oliver victor)MORALES PABLO 119 3.00 5% 19.00 1.70 S
OBIWAN 7 4 43 43 5 3 4 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 6.00 24% 3.10 13.10  
A ROSE FOR RAVEN 9 6 21 21 31 6 5 (raven kerri)NICHOLLS KEVEH 119 20.00 13.70  
HARPOON HARRY 4 5 75 53 4 54 6 (bennett s)FERRER C 121 8.00 5% 19.00 14.50  
10  MR. KRINGLE 10 10 10 10 106 88 7 (terranova john)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 9.00  
BULLET FORCE (IRE) 2 8 8 8 7 7 810¼ (delgado jorge)MARIN SAMUEL 119 5.00 40% 1.50 8.20  
OHANA EMPIRE 8 9 9 9 96 1011 914¼ (pimenta)GONZALEZ LUIS 119 20.00 ######  
LAND MARK DEAL 6 7 64 64 8 910 1014½ (gulic)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 15.00 30.90  
SCR  AZURE SKY               (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 119 20.00    
SCR  COOKE CREEK               (o'dwyer jeremi)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.