Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - February 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (8/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/4/6)-(8/1/4/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/1/4/6)-(8/1/4/6/2)-(8/1/4/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/1/4/6)-(8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/4/6)-(8/7/2)-(4/1/2/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (8/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/2)-(8/7/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/2)-(8/7/2/5/1)-(8/7/2/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/7/2)-(4/1/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/2)-(4/1/2/9)-(9/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/1/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/9)-(4/1/2/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/9)-(4/1/2/9/7)-(4/1/2/9/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/2/9)-(9/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2/9)-(9/3/1)-(3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-4   WIN (9/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/3/1)-(9/3/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/1)-(9/3/1/6/8)-(9/3/1/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/3/1)-(3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (9/3/1)-(3)-(2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TAM-5   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/1/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (3)-(2/6/1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (3)-(2/6/1)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TAM-6   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1/4/7)-(2/6/1/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(2/3)-(8/9/7/5/3) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
TAM-7   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/9/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/9/3)-(2/9/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/3)-(8/9/7/5/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(8/9/7/5/3)-(2/7/5/3/4) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
TAM-8   WIN (8/9/7/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/7/5/3)-(8/9/7/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/7/5/3)-(8/9/7/5/3)-(8/9/7/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/7/5/3)-(2/7/5/3/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (2/7/5/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/3/4)-(2/7/5/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/3/4)-(2/7/5/3/4)-(2/7/5/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KENYA SUN Jan28 Jan11 Dec23 Dec10 Nov23 (tsirigotis)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 4.50 30% 2.30    
2  VOODAYO Jan28 Jan11 Dec24 Nov26 Oct22 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00 ★    
3  TAKESTWOTOWIGGLE Jan28 Dec24 Dec10 Nov27 Sep17 (richards rena)IORIO MELISSA 110 10.00    
4  WESTLODGE INTRIGUE Jan11 Dec13 Dec05 Nov08 Nov02 (robillard jul)HERNANDEZ K 120 15.00 7% 12.90    
5  LYRICAL Feb01 Jan15 Dec28 Dec09 Jul09 (rarick lynn)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
6  CARISMATICA Sep27 Sep04 Aug09 Jul18 Jul03 (cascallares n)LUGO D 120 12.00 7% 13.00    
7  AUBURN Feb03 Jan20 Jan04 Dec02 Aug15 (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 113 6.00    
8  SNACKSTER Dec16 Dec02 Nov08 Oct07 Sep07 (feliciano ben)ALICEA JEREMY 113 1.80 33% 2.10    
 
TAM-2   02/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTIFUL ASTRAY Dec01 Jun09 Apr07     (cascallares n)LUGO D 120 8.00 ★    
2  ONE TOUGH DAME Jan25 Dec28 Dec03     (ubide max)ALLEN D 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
3  NOBLE ATTITUDE Jan18         (manchan bertr)FUENTES MARIO 120 10.00    
4  UNCAPTURED DREAMS Jan29 Jan01 Dec22     (dominguez lu)ALENCAR WALBER 120 15.00    
5  HEAVEN'S D'ORO Jan25         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 ★    
6  HIGH DONNA Jan20 Jan01 Dec16 Dec03 Oct27 (escobar alison)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00    
7  GOODBETTERBEST Nov24 Oct16 Sep22 Aug26   (gutierrez fa)ARROYO S 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
8  NINETY NINE         (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50 30% 2.40    
 
TAM-3   02/12/2023 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKY TRAVELER Jan20 Dec23       (lusk r)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.00 12% 7.30    
2  CALZONE Jan18 Jan06 Dec14 Nov26 Oct22 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 115 3.50 12% 7.60    
SCR  LANCELOT LYNK Jan29 Dec30 Dec14 Nov26 Oct30 (sims n)REEVES F 122 30.00    
4  DEFEND YOURSELF Jan22 Dec23       (machado anto)ARROYO S 122 6.00 41% 1.50    
5  BROADWAY RUCKUS Jan28 Oct14 Sep25 Aug13 Jul30 (dye steven)LOZADA CARLOS 122 20.00    
6  WICKED MOMENT Jan29 Jan11 Nov30 May06 Apr01 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
7  HIGHJUMP CHARLIE Nov05 Jul24 Jan28 Jan16   (werneth ro)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 2.50 ★    
8  DEACON ELI Jan18 May31       (tsirigotis ja)DELGADO DAVID 122 30.00    
9  MY BIG DRAMA Jan22 Jan11 Dec31 Dec10 Nov23 (dobber arnou)MENESES MARCOS 122 4.50 11% 7.70    
10  RUM NOT BOURBON Jan18 Apr20 Apr01     (jones doug)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 20.00    
 
TAM-4   02/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T LOSE HOPE Sep28 Sep06       (cascallares n)LUGO D 118 8.00 11% 7.90    
2  ROUGH ENOUGH Jan13 Dec30 Dec09 Nov25 Nov13 (james gerald)MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00    
3  PONY GIRL Jan15 Aug27 Jul29 Jun19 May29 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 12% 7.70    
4  SPARKLING PLENTY Jun23 Jun08 May27 Apr30 Apr09 (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 118 10.00    
5  LITTLE RED BUTTON Jan28 Jan11 Dec02 Oct08 Sep17 (king clarence)IORIO MELISSA 108 20.00    
6  STYLE Jan28 Dec30 Dec07 Oct26 Oct06 (arriagada jua)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 3.50 ★    
7  TWELVE RED ROSES Jan28 Jun25 Jun03 May06 Mar09 (banks chris)MORALES PABLO 118 10.00    
8  GLITTER BAY Feb03 Jan07 Jan01 Dec07   (robillard jul)SOSA LAUREANO 111 8.00 ★    
9  I'M A CUTIE Dec24 Dec07 Nov26 Sep17 Sep05 (davis scooter)FERRER C 118 3.00 49% 1.10    
 
TAM-5   02/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIDNEY'S BID Jan06 Dec16 Dec02 Oct07 Sep10 (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  CHEVAL DORE Jan22 Jan05 Nov05 Oct08 Jun10 (roque elis)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 6.00 ★    
3  DIAL HIM UP Jan29 Jan11 Dec30 Dec14 Nov26 (posadas pedro)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 3.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  URBAN BEACH Jan29 Jan11 Dec16 Nov26 Sep10 (wilson tony)ALICEA JEREMY 115 15.00    
SCR  SOUTHERN CIVILITY Jan11 Nov30 Oct08 Sep15 Aug31 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 10.00    
6  LORD OF THE NILE Jan29 Dec30 Dec14 Nov26 Jun25 (dobber w)WALES GARY 122 12.00 ★    
7  SUNSPOT Oct22 Sep18 Jun30 May14 Apr30 (deaton willi)MENESES MARCOS 122 12.00    
SCR  GET EVEN Jan29 Jan21 Jan08 Dec24 Nov04 (smith r)MORALES PABLO 122 1.60 41% 1.40    
9  THE POINT ROAD Jan20         (mccarthy b)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 15.00    
10  RAGING WHIRLWIND Dec14 Nov26 Jul23 Jun30 May06 (chain pearl)SUAREZ JESUS 122 20.00    
SCR  KALINBA Jan20 Dec30 Dec16 Nov30 Oct28 (cascallares n)LOZADA CARLOS 122 20.00    
 
TAM-6   02/12/2023 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUVIER Jan14         (pletc)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 2.50 12% 7.50    
2  KINGSBARNS Jan14         (pletcher)GALLARDO A 123 1.20 50% 1.00    
3  MIKEY BANANAS Jan21 Dec21 Sep14 Jul17 Jun14 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 119 8.00    
4  DECEITFUL Jan08 Dec07 Sep12 Aug22   (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 119 20.00 ★    
5  GALAXY MUSIC Jan21 Aug17       (ochoa )ROJAS EDUARDO 119 30.00    
6  NOTAH Jan14 Jun18       (terranova john)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 16% 5.30    
7  SENTIR ZULIANO Dec21 Oct29 Sep24 Aug29   (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 12.00 ★    
 
TAM-7   02/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.5K) 3 F PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY UNION Jan13 Dec14       (machado antoni)MARIN SAMUEL 119 15.00    
2  PEEP'S DAY Jan18 Jan01 Dec14 Nov25 Oct26 (rini anthony)CENTENO E 119 4.00 16% 5.30    
3  ANNA'S IMAGE Jan29 Jan20 Dec28 Dec03 Oct21 (richards ren)ARROYO S 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  SUMMER NITRO Jan18 Dec16 Dec03 Sep30   (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 10.00    
SCR  BODE'S HERITAGE Jan18 Nov21 Sep09     (delacour arnau)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.80 36% 1.80    
6  LUCKY FREEDOM Jan18 Jan01 Oct29 Oct20 Sep28 (rigattieri j)BATISTA A 119 6.00    
7  ELSA'S ROCKET Jan29 Jan04 Dec17 Oct03 Sep20 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 10.00    
SCR  LADYNESS Jan18 Jan01 Dec03 Nov25 Oct22 (sacco gregory)MORALES PABLO 119 8.00 14% 6.20    
9  CALISUE Jan21 Jan11 Dec22 Dec03 Oct22 (sacco gregory )SUAREZ ANGEL 119 6.00 ★    
 
TAM-8   02/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVIELEE Nov27 Oct29 Oct16 Sep25 Aug28 (munoz carlos)MENESES MARCOS 113 20.00    
2  ANY MINUTE Jan15 Dec22 Nov25 Oct26 Oct13 (posadas pedro)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00    
3  JAMA DILLON Jan29 Jan15 Dec09 Nov25 Oct25 (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 4.00 5% 18.50    
4  LEGIO Oct11 Sep19 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 (dominguez lu)ALENCAR WALBER 118 20.00    
5  BRONX Apr21 Mar13 Feb10 Jan09   (orseno)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 6.00 10% 8.90    
6  AS DE ORO COCO Dec14 Nov21 Nov07 Oct26 Oct12 (morales guille)MENDEZ KEVIN 118 20.00    
7  JACKSON STRONG Sep28 Aug15 Jul28 Jul07 Jun30 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 5.00 14% 6.40    
8  ALL FOOLS DAY Feb27 Feb13 Feb05 Jan22 Jan09 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 6.00 22% 3.60    
9  SHANGHAI WARRIOR Jan29 Jan20 Jan07 Dec14 Oct10 (ryan derek)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 4.50 19% 4.30    
10  I'LL FINISH Jan29 Jan15 Dec22 Nov25 Oct22 (delgado jorg)ARROYO S 118 3.00    
 
TAM-9   02/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT SPEIGHTY Jan18 Oct23 Sep13 Jun25 May21 (wright michael )CENTENO E 119 6.00    
2  BULLET FORCE (IRE) Jan18 Dec30 Dec07 Nov05   (delgado jorge)MARIN SAMUEL 119 5.00 40% 1.50    
3  HIDDEN STASH Jun18 Jun03 May05 Apr13 Feb27 (oliver victor)MORALES PABLO 119 3.00 5% 19.00    
4  HARPOON HARRY Jan27 Dec30 Dec09 Oct12 Jul01 (bennett s)FERRER C 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  STRIKER Nov27 May15       (carroll )GALLARDO A 119 5.00 8% 11.00    
6  LAND MARK DEAL Jan19 Nov26 Oct15 Sep25 Sep06 (gulic)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 15.00    
7  OBIWAN Jan27 Jan08 Dec07 Nov19 Nov09 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 6.00 24% 3.10    
8  OHANA EMPIRE Jan21 Dec14 Oct21 Aug28 Jul24 (pimenta)GONZALEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
9  A ROSE FOR RAVEN Jan20 Jan01 Nov20 Oct09 Sep14 (raven kerri)NICHOLLS KEVEH 119 20.00    
10  MR. KRINGLE Jan18 Dec24 Nov05 Oct09 Aug27 (terranova john)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00    
SCR  COOKE CREEK Jan28 Dec31 Jun18 May14 Feb05 (o'dwyer jeremi)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 3.50    
SCR  AZURE SKY Jan18 Dec30 Dec02 Oct20 Sep22 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.