The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Los Alamitos Tb
Saturday - December 10, 2022

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LRC-1   12/10/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 2 ALL PT- 3:30
:222 :433 :572     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAME RIDER 2 2 12 16   15 1(mendez luis)LOPEZ D 120 5.00 2.90  
MENTIROSA 1 4 34 37   25 2(periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 3.00 4.10 P
LET HIM DO 6 1 4 4   37 3(sadler w)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.00 21% 3.70 2.60 S
HUMBLEBUMBLEFUMBLE 3 5 55 511   510½ 4(knapp steve)HERRERA A 120 20.00 25.70  
MIDNIGHT LIGHTNING 5 3 22 26   45(knapp steve)MALDONADO E 120 3.50 3.10  
EARLY RELEASE 4 6 610 617   617½ 619¾ (wong jonathan)FREY KYLE 120 2.00 41% 1.40 4.50  
 
LRC-2   12/10/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
:233 :47 1:102 1:24   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN REFUGEE 3 5 21 22 2 1½ 14 (baffert bob)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.60 17% 5.00 1.00 W
DEVIL MOON 2 4 11 12 1 2½ 24 (papaprodromou george)HERRERA A 120 3.00 40% 1.50 2.40 P
ATTENZIONE 5 2 6 43 3 33(kruljac eric)ROJAS EDUARD 124 8.00 15.00 S
IVORY SKY 6 3 5 5 56 47 410 (gomez ruben)AGUILAR ARMANDO 114 15.00 16.40  
STRAIGHTTODASOURCE 1 6 3 6 45 5513½ (alvarado d)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 113 5.00 8.10  
WESTERN CAPE 4 1 4 33 610 615½ 629½ (treece s)MALDONADO E 120 2.50 21% 3.90 4.70  
 
LRC-3   12/10/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 4:30
:214 :443 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED CROSS KNIGHT 2 3 43 44   1½ 11 (hollendorfer jerry)FREY KYLE 122 8.00 9% 10.30 15.60 W
TOP OF MY GAME 5 4 5 5   421 (knapp steve)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 2.00 3.40 P
WARRENS WORLD 3 6 6 6   52 3(lewis a)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 9.40 S
MARKS HIP 1 2 1½ 1½   2½ 44 (mora leandro)MALDONADO E 122 3.50 22% 3.60 2.90  
BLACK MAGICIAN 4 1 2½ 2½   3½ 5(palma o)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00 42% 1.40 2.60  
SPIRITIST 6 5 31 3   65 612½ (mulhall kristin)CEDILLO ABEL 122 3.00 2.50  
 
LRC-4   12/10/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 5:00
:22 :451 :593     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANZING ROAD 5 2 21 31   31(cunningham t)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.50 3.90  
MERCY NOW 7 4 3 2½   2½ 2(sadler w)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 115 3.50 45% 1.20 1.70 P
DADS WISH 4 1 11 1½   1½ 3(vallejo genaro)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 8.00 3.00  
ANACARAVA (IRE) 1 6 66 6   44(hernandez jr)HERRERA A 122 6.00 17.20  
RUNAWAY SALLY 6 5 4 44   58 5(aquino m)LOPEZ REYNOSO 122 20.00 12% 7.70 31.10  
ONLY LIGHTNING 8 3 7 7   711½ 610¾ (alvarado d)RAMIREZ RICARDO 122 6.00 29.00  
PAT'S LUCY 3 7 5 5   611 716¾ (mendez luis)ROJAS EDUARD 122 4.50 12% 7.70 5.00  
HARD BUT SMART 2 8 8 8   816½ 820¼ (metz jeffrey)JIMENEZ A 122 4.00 10.40  
SCR  SUGAR GIRL               (pineda g)CEDILLO ABEL 122 15.00 11% 8.10    
 
LRC-5   12/10/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
:22 :451 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHLY DISTORTED 5 1 2 3   21hd (farias adan)RAMIREZ RICARDO 124 3.00 28% 2.60 2.60 W
ALEXANDER'S DREAM 2 4 34 2   32hd (bonde jeff)MATIAS J 124 2.00 2.80 P
SWAMP'N AIN'T EZ 6 6 1 1   13(naranjo salvador)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 2.50 44% 1.30 1.70 S
UNCLE WILBUR 4 2 45 46   44(truman eddie)HERRERA A 120 3.00 3.10  
DERBY STORM 1 5 68 69   610½ 5(gomez ruben)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 117 15.00 44.20  
COUNT TOLSTOY 3 3 55 5   56(mendoza jesus)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 20.00 46.90  
SCR  BIG MAMA THORNTON               (lucas j)HARVEY B 117 20.00    
 
LRC-6   12/10/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:22 :451 1:092     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NICE GUY CLAY 3 1 1nk 1½   12 1(periban jorge)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 4.50 53% 0.90 2.40 W
CHIPPER 4 7 5 31   22 2(glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 114 2.00 8% 11.10 2.20 P
FIREMAN DAN 5 6 6 6   45 3(amescua rene)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00 11.50  
SUPER CLASSIC 7 5 7 7   54(gomez ruben)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 20.00 55.50  
MITICO 1 3 2nk 2½   356 (capestro s)VALDIVIA JR 120 3.00 6% 14.60 5.00  
GRANADA FLAVOR 2 8 8 8   711½ 610 (mccarthy sean)FREY KYLE 124 10.00 8.20  
HOOP DREAM 8 2 4 5   610½ 711¼ (bernstein david)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 117 20.00 19.90  
MAYNARD 6 4 3½ 43   813½ 816¼ (aguirre paul)HERRERA A 120 3.50 10% 8.90 5.10  
 
LRC-7   12/10/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($47K) 2 ALL PT- 6:30
:23 :462 1:104 1:24   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GILMORE 2 4 5 23 2½ 11 14 (baffert bob)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.40 54% 0.80 0.20 W
ROLL ON BIG JOE 4 2 11 13 1½ 21 24 (hess b)MALDONADO E 122 8.00 10% 9.00 9.40 P
MONGOLIAN ALTAI 3 8 75 4 48 48 3(ganbat enebish)CEDILLO ABEL 122 12.00 55.00 S
EXCEL CALCULATOR 6 9 913 910½ 713 512 47 (papaprodromou george)FREY KYLE 122 15.00 53.70  
LOCO LUNA 5 1 21 3 35 35(mora leandro)VAZQUEZ A 122 12.00 15.20  
ICE STORM 8 6 64 66 611 613½ 611¾ (marquez p)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 15.00 9.60  
DONTTESTYOURLUCK 7 5 87 8 814½ 715½ 714¼ (mora leandro)HERRERA A 122 15.00 77.10  
BLUEGRASS LUTE 1 3 42 5 5 817½ 824¼ (desormeaux keith)DESORMEAUX J 122 12.00 9.10  
10  LORD MO 9 7 31 7 9100 9100 9100 (gomez ruben)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 115 30.00 ######  
SCR  NAVY MAN               (mccarthy w)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.80 16% 5.40    
 
LRC-8   12/10/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 7:00
:222 :452 :573     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALKATIVE GAL 4 1 2 2   11 13 (pineda g)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.00 24% 3.20 4.20 W
ARDIS 3 2 1 1   21 23 (papaprodromou george)HERRERA A 122 6.00 2.80 P
EVERLYS GIRL 2 3 4 33   35 36 (koriner brian)MALDONADO E 122 1.80 33% 2.10 0.60 S
SANGRE AZUL 1 4 3 44   447 (cerin vladimir)FREY KYLE 122 8.00 14% 6.30 6.30  
SCR  CHARLOTTE HARBOR               (cerin vladimir)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.60    
SCR  NAP TIME               ( )TBA null      
 
LRC-9   12/10/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap   Purse ($300K) 2 F PT- 7:30
:232 :474 1:124 1:38   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAIZA 3 4 32 32 3½ 1½ 1nk (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.40 48% 1.10 0.50 W
PRIDE OF THE NILE 5 5 55 43 2nk 2½ 2nk (mora leandro)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 12.30 P
UNCONTROLLABLE 4 6 67 66 6 45 3(mccarthy w)SMITH E 120 4.00 11% 8.30 4.00 S
DOINITTHEHARDWAY 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 34(baffert bob)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.50 20% 4.00 6.70  
BLESSED TOUCH 6 3 4 5 53 57 5(yakteen tim)VAN DRAYDEN 120 5.00 6.80  
CLASSYMADEMOISELLE 2 2 2½ 2½ 41 6613¾ (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 30.00 ######  
SCR  FAST AND SHINY               (baffert bob)CEDILLO ABEL 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.