Handicappers' Racing Form

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Los Alamitos Tb
Saturday - December 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
LRC-1   12/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 2 ALL PT- 3:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MENTIROSA Nov04 Oct15 Sep18 Aug20 Jul31 (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 3.00    
FLAME RIDER Dec03 Oct30 Oct02 Sep25 Sep01 (mendez luis)LOPEZ D 120 5.00    
HUMBLEBUMBLEFUMBLE Oct30 Aug26 Jul04 May20   (knapp steve)HERRERA A 120 20.00    
EARLY RELEASE Nov12 Oct10 Sep04 Aug12 Jul10 (wong jonathan)FREY KYLE 120 2.00 41% 1.40    
MIDNIGHT LIGHTNING Nov27 Oct29 Jun18 Jun04 May14 (knapp steve)MALDONADO E 120 3.50    
LET HIM DO Dec03 Oct30 Aug26 Aug11 Jun26 (sadler w)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.00 21% 3.70    
 
LRC-2   12/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRAIGHTTODASOURCE Nov05 Oct15       (alvarado ruben)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 113 5.00    
DEVIL MOON Nov20 Oct22 Oct01 Aug13 Mar26 (papaprodromou)HERRERA A 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
AMERICAN REFUGEE Sep02 Aug05       (baffert bob)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.60 17% 5.00    
WESTERN CAPE Nov18 Sep17 Sep02 Aug05 Jul09 (treece s)MALDONADO E 120 2.50 21% 3.90    
ATTENZIONE Oct28 Oct09 Aug18 Jul28 Jun05 (kru)ROJAS EDUARD 124 8.00    
IVORY SKY Nov25 Nov05 Oct15 Sep17 Aug25 (gomez ruben)AGUILAR ARMANDO 114 15.00    
 
LRC-3   12/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 4:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKS HIP Nov05 Oct23 Sep24 Sep01 Aug11 (mora leandro)MALDONADO E 122 3.50 22% 3.60    
RED CROSS KNIGHT Sep18 Aug13       (hollendorfer jerry)FREY KYLE 122 8.00 9% 10.30    
WARRENS WORLD Oct30 Aug27 Aug11 Jul24   (lewis craig )HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
BLACK MAGICIAN Nov25         (palma o)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00 42% 1.40    
TOP OF MY GAME Dec02 Nov13 Oct23 Sep25 Jul30 (knapp steve)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 2.00    
SPIRITIST Nov24 Nov05 Aug26 Jun22   (mulhall kristin)CEDILLO ABEL 122 3.00    
 
LRC-4   12/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 5:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANACARAVA (IRE) Nov05 Sep17       (hernandez jos)HERRERA A 122 6.00    
HARD BUT SMART Nov04 Oct02       (metz jeffrey)JIMENEZ A 122 4.00    
PAT'S LUCY         (men)ROJAS EDUARD 122 4.50 12% 7.70    
SCR  SUGAR GIRL         (pineda g)CEDILLO ABEL 122 15.00 11% 8.10    
DADS WISH Nov18         (vallejo genaro)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 8.00    
DANZING ROAD Oct01 Aug26 Jul29 Jun24   (cunningham brian )VAZQUEZ A 122 4.50    
RUNAWAY SALLY         (aquino an)LOPEZ REYNOSO 122 20.00 12% 7.70    
MERCY NOW         (sadler w)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 115 3.50 45% 1.20    
ONLY LIGHTNING Oct29 Sep04 Aug21 Jul30   (alvarado rube)RAMIREZ RICARDO 122 6.00    
 
LRC-5   12/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DERBY STORM Jul08 Jul01       (gomez ruben)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 117 15.00    
ALEXANDER'S DREAM Mar18 Feb18 Jan28 Jan01   (bonde jeff)MATIAS J 124 2.00    
SCR  BIG MAMA THORNTON May27 Jan16       (lucas j)HARVEY B 117 20.00    
COUNT TOLSTOY Sep25         (mendoza jesus)LOPEZ ERICK 124 20.00    
UNCLE WILBUR Oct10 Sep03 Aug11 Jul03 Jun12 (truman eddie)HERRERA A 120 3.00    
HIGHLY DISTORTED Oct23 Oct08 Sep25 Sep16 Jul04 (farias adan)RAMIREZ RICARDO 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
SWAMP'N AIN'T EZ Jul03         (naranjo salvado)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
LRC-6   12/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MITICO Nov11 Oct22 Sep09 Jun25 May28 (capestro paula )VALDIVIA JR 120 3.00 6% 14.60    
GRANADA FLAVOR Oct28 Oct07 Sep24 Sep04 Mar27 (mccarthy sean)FREY KYLE 124 10.00    
NICE GUY CLAY Nov24 Nov05 Oct02 Sep02 Aug12 (periban jorge)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 4.50 53% 0.90    
CHIPPER Nov11 Aug25 Jul30 Jun17 May28 (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 114 2.00 8% 11.10    
FIREMAN DAN Nov20 Oct30 Oct09 Aug19 Jul28 (amescua rene)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00    
MAYNARD Nov20 Oct28 Sep10 Jul30 Jun03 (aguirre paul)HERRERA A 120 3.50 10% 8.90    
SUPER CLASSIC Aug06 Jul10       (gomez ruben)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 20.00    
HOOP DREAM Nov20 Oct28 Sep24 Jul30 Jul10 (bernstein davi)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 117 20.00    
 
LRC-7   12/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 2 ALL PT- 6:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUEGRASS LUTE Nov13         (desormeaux k)DESORMEAUX J 122 12.00    
SCR  NAVY MAN Nov13 Oct09       (mccarthy michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.80 16% 5.40    
GILMORE Nov13         (baffert bob)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.40 54% 0.80    
MONGOLIAN ALTAI         (ganbat enebish)CEDILLO ABEL 122 12.00    
ROLL ON BIG JOE Oct09 Sep10 Aug20     (hess b)MALDONADO E 122 8.00 10% 9.00    
LOCO LUNA Nov12 Aug20       (mora leandro)VAZQUEZ A 122 12.00    
EXCEL CALCULATOR         (papaprodromou georg)FREY KYLE 122 15.00    
DONTTESTYOURLUCK         (mora leandro)HERRERA A 122 15.00    
ICE STORM Nov12 Oct23 Sep25 Aug07   (marquez alfredo)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 15.00    
10  LORD MO Nov19         (gomez ruben)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 115 30.00    
 
LRC-8   12/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 7:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANGRE AZUL Nov26 Jan23       (cerin vladimir)FREY KYLE 122 8.00 14% 6.30    
EVERLYS GIRL Nov13 Oct30 Oct16 Aug20 Aug04 (koriner brian)MALDONADO E 122 1.80 33% 2.10    
SCR  CHARLOTTE HARBOR Nov18 Oct15 Sep11 Jul24 Jun18 (cerin vladimir)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.60    
ARDIS Nov26 Oct07 Aug25 Jul02 May27 (papaprodromou)HERRERA A 122 6.00    
TALKATIVE GAL Nov06 Oct23 Sep22 Aug20 Jul29 (pineda g)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  NAP TIME Sep18 Aug05 Jul03 Mar13 Feb25 ( )TBA null      
 
LRC-9   12/10/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 2 F PT- 7:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOINITTHEHARDWAY Nov25 Sep11 Aug07     (baffert bob)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.50 20% 4.00    
CLASSYMADEMOISELLE Nov12 Sep09 Aug13 Jul31 Jul04 (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 30.00    
FAIZA Nov12         (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.40 48% 1.10    
SCR  FAST AND SHINY Nov12 Oct09 Sep10 Aug07   (baffert bob)CEDILLO ABEL 120 15.00    
UNCONTROLLABLE Oct08 Sep05 Jul22     (mccarthy w)SMITH E 120 4.00 11% 8.30    
PRIDE OF THE NILE Nov12 Oct02 Sep10     (mora leandro)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50    
BLESSED TOUCH Nov19 Oct08 Sep11     (yakteen tim)VAN DRAYDEN 120 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.