Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Emerald Downs
Saturday - August 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
EMD-1   08/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:222 :453 :572     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROUGH RIDE 3 1 1 12   12 1 (crowe shelly)RADKE K 124 3.50 1.60  
CAPTAIN DASHI 2 4 2 22   22 2 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 124 1.60 2.60 P
INQUISITION 1 5 4 3   34 36 (lowe nick)SAMUELS JAKE 124 6.00 17% 4.90 5.40 S
FLOYD KNOWLES 5 3 3 4   4 46 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 1.40 29% 2.40 1.90  
HIGH SPEED CHASE 4 2 5 5   56 514 (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 124 12.00 13% 6.70 29.00  
 
EMD-2   08/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:52
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:11 1:241   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEPHEN JAMES 2 3 1½ 11 1½ 11 1 (metz jeffrey)GUTIERREZ M 124 1.40 33% 2.10 0.30 W
POPPY'S C NOTE 4 1 3 31 2½ 21 2 (madrigal elodio)MATIAS J 121 10.00 17% 5.00 17.20 P
PROUD LION 3 2 2½ 21 3½ 4 3 (belvoir howard)MAWING A 121 5.00 13.70 S
EROTIC 5 5 4 4 41 3 4 (nunnally jennif)CRUZ M 124 2.00 24% 3.10 5.10  
TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT 1 4 5 5 5 5 5 (johnston kimberley)RADKE K 121 4.00 6.20  
 
EMD-3   08/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($14.5K) 2 ALL PT- 6:24
See original race card.
:22 :453 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED CROSS KNIGHT 2 1 1½ 1   12 1 (we)MARTINEZ NAHERD 120 3.00 23% 3.40 2.40 W
WITHEE 4 2 6 64   3 2 (bullock steve)RADKE K 120 6.00 6.20 P
EXIT STAGE LEFT 3 3 2½ 2   22 3 (bullock steve)MATIAS J 120 8.00 10.70  
ALL THE KING'S MEN 1 6 52 43   4 4 (martinez david)ANAYA V 120 10.00 5.20  
SIX SHOTS OF T 6 5 41 3   54 511¾ (metz jeffrey)GUTIERREZ M 120 4.00 3.80  
HAMMER'S KNIGHT 5 4 31 54   67 619½ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 120 2.50 51% 1.00 2.40  
SCR  SPARKS FLYIN               (gibson vince)MAWING A 120 5.00    
 
EMD-4   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:213 :443 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISO FAST 5 5 46 4   2nk 1¾ (perez sergio)RADKE K 121 8.00 4.20  
ZATTER 1 3 11 11   1nk 2¾ (gibson vince)GUTIERREZ M 124 0.60 52% 0.90 0.80 P
JERSEY RED 2 4 33 32   3½ 3 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 4.50 20% 4.00 2.40 S
UNION BLISS 4 2 5 5   5 4 (rosales )MURO ISIDRO 124 6.00 10.80  
MARQUE IT UP 3 1 21 21   4 5 (gi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 8.00 18.40  
SCR  BUBBLES IS ON FIRE               (gilmour jim)SAMUELS JAKE 121 20.00    
 
EMD-5   08/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:27
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:104 1:36   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERNALINHO 3 4 2½ 21 2½ 1nk 1¾ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 1.80 25% 3.00 0.80 W
WINE AT NINE 2 3 1½ 11 1½ 2nk 2¾ (gibson vince)MAWING A 121 3.50 3.90 P
MASTER RECOVERY 6 2 5 57 56 4 3 (raudales jose)MATIAS J 121 3.00 26% 2.90 6.90 S
ALPINE HYPNOSIS 1 5 4 32 3 32 4 (pierce michael)SAMUELS JAKE 124 10.00 9.70  
BLAME IT ON KITTY 5 6 6 69 67 5 511 (metz jeffrey)RADKE K 121 4.00 23% 3.40 7.80  
MILORDS OATHKEEPER 4 1 31 42 45 616½ 628 (wright blaine)GUTIERREZ M 118 5.00 10.10  
 
EMD-6   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:214 :45 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEF ROAD 4 1 5 4   1nk 1 (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 118 1.40 0.60  
STYLISH ELEGANCE 1 7 2½ 11   2nk 2 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 121 4.50 32% 2.20 3.80 P
ROWDY RETURNS 3 6 7 710½   6 3 (kowalski liz)ZUNINO L 121 15.00 7% 12.40 27.60 S
SYZSLAK 5 2 3½ 21   31 4 (nunnally jenni)SAMUELS JAKE 121 8.00 17.00  
COASTAL KING 6 4 6 6   5 511¾ (gibson vince)GUTIERREZ M 124 3.50 36% 1.80 4.90  
TOO TALL TO CALL 2 5 1½ 3   43 615½ (cornier edwin )ANAYA V 121 5.00 16.00  
MAN IN BLACK 7 3 4¾ 5   7 724 (gibson vince)RADKE K 121 10.00 39.90  
 
EMD-7   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:27
See original race card.
:214 :443 :563     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. MISCHIEF 1 5 3½ 1nk   1½ 1 (perez s)CRUZ M 121 5.00 3.30  
TOIL AND TROUBLE 6 1 6 6   4¾ 2 (pe)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 3.50 25% 2.90 4.50 P
HARBOR OUTLAW 2 4 4 4¼   2½ 3 (jenne bonnie)SAMUELS JAKE 124 5.00 4.60 S
MUNCEY 3 6 53 5¾   5 4 (belvoir howard)MAWING A 124 3.00 27% 2.80 1.30  
RINGS OF SATURN 5 3 2nk 3.2   3½ 5 (cooper kay)ANAYA V 124 10.00 16% 5.30 18.40  
DEMOCRAT 4 2 1nk 2nk   6 6 (peery debbie)RADKE K 124 10.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
SCR  HUNGRY HENRY               (wright blain)OROZCO E 121 12.00    
SCR  IDIDNTSEETHATCOMIN               (jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 124 5.00    
 
EMD-8   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($11.55K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:57
See original race card.
:223 :454 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED NOVA 3 1 1½ 1½   1nk 1hd (stubblefiel)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 120 10.00 9% 9.80 15.10 W
MEAN SHARON 2 4 42 4   3½ 2hd (person a)RADKE K 120 3.50 14% 6.10 2.30 P
COLLECTING STARS 4 3 3 31   2nk 3¼ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 123 1.60 51% 0.90 0.80 S
BLOWING BAYOU 5 2 2½ 2½   42 4 (abrahamson m)OROZCO E 120 6.00 3.30  
TEASPOON OF PEPPER 1 5 5 5   5 5 (raudales jose)SAMUELS JAKE 120 20.00 26.30  
SCR  WILLING TO BURN               (essex charles)GUTIERREZ M 123 1.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.