The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Elko County Fair
Sunday - September 04, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
ELK-1   09/04/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
1:083         1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SOUTHRN SWEETHEART 3 2 2nk 15   14 13½ (simpson gary)ALAYA ERIC 121 4.00 24% 3.10 1.40 W
2  MIDNIGHT DARE 2 3 35 310   39 23½ (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 119 2.00 54% 0.90 3.90 P
1  MR. WILLPOWER 1 1 1nk 25   24 37¼ (carter f)ZAVALA JULIAN 122 6.00 ★ 1.40 S
4  HART OF THE PULPIT 4 4 49 416   419 417 (dahlke kyle)THOMAS TODD 119 8.00 ★ 10.50  
5  SADLERS TRUST 5 5 514 524   527 522 (williams kevin)BORBONIO JOSE 119 10.00 ★ 5.60  
 
ELK-3   09/04/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
1:062         1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ASSETS INCLUDED 4 2 2½ 1½   12 13 (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 124 4.00 ★ 1.90  
3  TORCH 3 1 1½ 2½   22 23 (scudder mike)BURNEY ROBERT 124 6.00 22% 3.50 4.70 P
1  TOOTHLESS WONDER 1 3 34½ 33½   34 33¼ (scudder mike)ZAVALA JULIAN 124 2.00 41% 1.50 0.60 S
2  EMMETT CAT 2 4 48½ 48½   48 48½ (scudder jr)THOMAS TODD 124 8.00 ★ 5.80  
 
ELK-4   09/04/2022 2310ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($6K) 2 ALL PT- 5:15
:413         :413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MISCHIEVIOUSLANIE 4 3 2nk     11 1¼ (jensen mark)ZAVALA JULIAN 120 2.00 39% 1.60 1.50 W
5  ONLY LIGHTNING 5 1 32     21 2¼ (mitchell r)ALAYA ERIC 120 6.00 ★ 5.90 P
1  THIRSTY NO MORE 1 4 1nk     34 33 (dahlke kyle)BURNEY ROBERT 120 4.00 ★ 2.60 S
3  B D R BEANIE BABY 3 5 45     48 46½ (mitchell r)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 120 10.00 14% 5.90 4.00  
6  DANZINGINTHEDARK 6 6 56½     59 58 (mitchell r)THOMAS TODD 120 12.00 5.50  
2  ANDRADITE 2 2 69½     612 611¾ (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 117 8.00 8% 11.10 8.80  
 
ELK-6   09/04/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
1:074         1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SNICKEL TE 5 4 44 33½   31½ 11¼ (christoffersen farre)THOMAS TODD 124 2.00 ★ 2.50  
2  PAPAYA 2 5 1½ 1½   11½ 21¼ (hadley joe)ALAYA ERIC 124 2.50 30% 2.30 2.20 P
6  SLEW OF FASHION 6 1 66½ 57   47½ 35 (story shaun)GAMEZ M 124 4.00 4.60  
4  MAYBEE A DIVA 4 3 2½ 2½   21½ 45½ (burns eugene)BORBONIO JOSE 124 3.50 ★ 2.80  
3  JUSTALICE 3 6 54½ 610   615½ 510¼ (hernandez juan)GONZALEZ P 124 6.00 22% 3.60 5.10  
1  LIL LADY 1 2 31 45½   512½ 614½ (nolazco jesus)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 124 8.00 13% 6.40 12.60  
 
ELK-7   09/04/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
1:122         1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ALL IN STEW OUI 6 3 21 2nk   11½ 1¾ (young brent)THOMAS TODD 124 3.50 6.10  
1  SUPER ACCORD 1 2 32½ 32   32½ 2¾ (gibbs tyler)ZAVALA JULIAN 124 1.60 49% 1.00 2.30 P
2  GOLD FLIGHT 2 4 56½ 43½   43½ 32 (simpson gary)ALAYA ERIC 124 2.00 22% 3.60 2.40 S
3  FOOLISH TO DECEIVE 3 1 11 1nk   21½ 45¾ (crystal dustie)PRECIADO A 124 4.00 ★ 4.90  
5  SPEEDIN WITH EDDIE 5 6 621½ 617½   511½ 514¼ (story shaun)MORENO T 124 2.50 ★ 3.40  
4  CALIFORNIA TENGA 4 5 44½ 57½   612 618 (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 124 6.00 ★ 5.70  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.