Handicappers' Race Results

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Elko County Fair
Sunday - September 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ELK-1   09/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
1:083         1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHRN SWEETHEART 3 2 2nk 15   14 1 (simpson gary)ALAYA ERIC 121 4.00 24% 3.10 1.40 W
MIDNIGHT DARE 2 3 35 310   39 2 (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 119 2.00 54% 0.90 3.90 P
MR. WILLPOWER 1 1 1nk 25   24 3 (carter f)ZAVALA JULIAN 122 6.00 1.40 S
HART OF THE PULPIT 4 4 49 416   419 417 (dahlke kyle)THOMAS TODD 119 8.00 10.50  
SADLERS TRUST 5 5 514 524   527 522 (williams kevin)BORBONIO JOSE 119 10.00 5.60  
 
ELK-3   09/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
See original race card.
1:062         1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASSETS INCLUDED 4 2 2½ 1½   12 13 (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 124 4.00 1.90  
TORCH 3 1 1½ 2½   22 23 (scudder mike)BURNEY ROBERT 124 6.00 22% 3.50 4.70 P
TOOTHLESS WONDER 1 3 3 3   34 3 (scudder mike)ZAVALA JULIAN 124 2.00 41% 1.50 0.60 S
EMMETT CAT 2 4 4 4   48 4 (scudder jr)THOMAS TODD 124 8.00 5.80  
 
ELK-4   09/04/2022 2310ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($6K) 2 ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:413         :413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEVIOUSLANIE 4 3 2nk     11 1¼ (jensen mark)ZAVALA JULIAN 120 2.00 39% 1.60 1.50 W
ONLY LIGHTNING 5 1 32     21 2¼ (mitchell r)ALAYA ERIC 120 6.00 5.90 P
THIRSTY NO MORE 1 4 1nk     34 33 (dahlke kyle)BURNEY ROBERT 120 4.00 2.60 S
B D R BEANIE BABY 3 5 45     48 4 (mitchell c)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 120 10.00 14% 5.90 4.00  
DANZINGINTHEDARK 6 6 5     59 58 (mitchell r)THOMAS TODD 120 12.00 5.50  
ANDRADITE 2 2 6     612 611¾ (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 117 8.00 8% 11.10 8.80  
 
ELK-6   09/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
See original race card.
1:074         1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNICKEL TE 5 4 44 3   3 1 (christoffersen fa)THOMAS TODD 124 2.00 2.50  
PAPAYA 2 5 1½ 1½   1 2 (hadley joe)ALAYA ERIC 124 2.50 30% 2.30 2.20 P
SLEW OF FASHION 6 1 6 57   4 35 (story shaun)GAMEZ M 124 4.00 4.60  
MAYBEE A DIVA 4 3 2½ 2½   2 4 (burns eugene)BORBONIO JOSE 124 3.50 2.80  
JUSTALICE 3 6 5 610   615½ 510¼ (hernandez ju)GONZALEZ P 124 6.00 22% 3.60 5.10  
LIL LADY 1 2 31 4   512½ 614½ (nolazco je)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 124 8.00 13% 6.40 12.60  
 
ELK-7   09/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
See original race card.
1:122         1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL IN STEW OUI 6 3 21 2nk   1 1¾ (young brent)THOMAS TODD 124 3.50 6.10  
SUPER ACCORD 1 2 3 32   3 2¾ (gibbs tyler)ZAVALA JULIAN 124 1.60 49% 1.00 2.30 P
GOLD FLIGHT 2 4 5 4   4 32 (simpson gary)ALAYA ERIC 124 2.00 22% 3.60 2.40 S
FOOLISH TO DECEIVE 3 1 11 1nk   2 4 (crystal dust)PRECIADO A 124 4.00 4.90  
SPEEDIN WITH EDDIE 5 6 621½ 617½   511½ 514¼ (story shaun)MORENO T 124 2.50 3.40  
CALIFORNIA TENGA 4 5 4 5   612 618 (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 124 6.00 5.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.