Handicappers' Race Results

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Fair Grounds
Thursday - March 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FG-1   Win (2/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
FG-2   Win (1/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
FG-3   Win (10/6/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $130.20  
FG-4   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $10.80  
FG-5   Win (2/7/11/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 0 $17.20  
FG-6   Win (3/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $6.00  
FG-7   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 2.80
FG-8   Win (5/10/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $16.80  
FG-9   Win (1/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 0 $6.00  

Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   03/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:15 1:282   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEE SASSY RUN 7 2 6 5 46 1 1 (courville ricky)LANERIE J 121 2.00 22% 3.50 0.40 W
LACIS JEWEL 1 7 7 711½ 6 34 2 (zenon charles)VARGAS P 121 6.00 8.10  
KEHRON'S CREED 4 1 11 1 1 2 3 (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00 37.30 S
MISSGREELEY'SSONG 5 4 4 44 56 4 410¾ (west henry)ALBERT S 116 10.00 10.90  
CAJUN SHOTS 6 6 58 610½ 710½ 6 515½ (zenon shelton)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 10.00 51.90  
STORIED TRIP 2 5 21 2 2 56 615¾ (hirdes john)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00 5.20  
BE A BANDIT 3 3 3 3 3 79 720¾ (zenon shelton)BARRERA J 116 12.00 9.70  
SCR  MY LITTLE JEN               (richards corale )GREEN AUBRIE 121 6.00    
SCR  STRUMMER               (gelner scott)MELANCON G 124 3.00 50% 1.00    
 
FG-2   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:22 :452 :58     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLI MICHAEL 1 1 1½ 1   13 1 (faucheux ron)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.50 44% 1.30 0.70 W
BOYFRIEND MATERIAL 4 2 44 56   3 2 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 121 6.00 6% 14.70 10.40 P
TWO DOT 7 3 2½ 2   23 3 (duhon o)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.50 11% 7.80 5.50 S
INDIMAAJ 5 6 5 4   4 44 (diodoro robertino)MCMAHON J 121 4.00 3.20  
TAPPIN FORA DANCE 6 5 66 66   5 57 (romero j)GRAHAM J 121 8.00 9% 9.50 15.90  
COUNTER OFFER 3 7 718 716   715 611½ (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 121 4.50 19.60  
BLUSHINSTREETDEVIL 2 4 33 35   69 714¼ (casse w)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00 17.80  
 
FG-3   03/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:144 1:274   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAND BOSS 3 2 53 42 4 2nk 1nk (williams kevin )VARGAS P 122 20.00 64.10  
ITELLYOUTHEFACTS 2 3 1½ 11 12 1nk 2nk (faucheux ron)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00 1.40 P
JUJU NINETEEN 8 8 42 32 32 33 3 (savoie sherman)PARKER L 122 8.00 8% 12.30 19.50 S
HOPE FOR CHANGE 1 4 32 5 8 6 4 (milburn ka)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 15.00 64.70  
ROCK STAR ALEX 7 1 2½ 21 22 4 511¼ (dandridge court)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 9.20  
TOTALLY ADDICTED 6 6 8 6 5 5 611½ (david b)GRAHAM J 122 4.00 8% 11.60 2.40  
10  FOOLISH DREAMS 10 9 6 74 7 710¼ 715½ (schwandt emi)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.50 54% 0.90 3.90  
MY HEAVY SON 4 7 9 9 9 810¾ 815¾ (mouton patrick)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00 16.10  
CHAPEL OF DREAMS 9 10 74 8 6 912¼ 922 (breaux samuel)BARRERA J 117 8.00 16.30  
SIR POKERFACE 5 5 10 10 1010 1012¾ 1022¾ (peterson jes)ALBERT S 117 15.00 6% 15.90 70.70  
 
FG-4   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:214 :46 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACHINE GUN MAN 5 1 2 2nk   1nk 1nk (alonzo howard)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 4.00 4.40  
DE SAIX 2 4 1 1nk   2nk 2nk (faucheux )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 2.00 40% 1.50 1.50 P
MONEY RUN 1 5 3 32   32 3¼ (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 119 2.50 32% 2.10 0.90 S
WESTERN COMMAND 3 3 44 44   47 416¼ (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 11.70  
F J'S FLACO 4 2 5 510   515 518¾ (maturin cha)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 34.10  
SCR  KBCYA LATER               (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 6% 15.10    
 
FG-5   03/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:251 :511 1:172 1:301   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEER CROSSING 6 6 65 7 5 3 1¾ (delhomme jeff)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 7.60  
COFFEE COUNTY 5 5 44 32 1nk 1 2¾ (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50 5% 19.00 5.10 P
PERRINS 8 7 88 8 7 4 3 (stall m)LANERIE J 122 5.00 1.70  
MANGELSEN 2 2 21 21 2nk 2 4 (faucheux ro)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 1.80 49% 1.10 2.30  
MAGA MAN 3 1 32 42 4 53 5 (miller c)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00 7.70  
BIND FAITH 4 4 55 53 8 8 6 (brinkman brett)BARRERA J 115 15.00 37.70  
MR. FOUR SEVENS 7 8 76 6 6 65 79 (dandridge courtn)CULP BRIANNE 120 5.00 8% 10.80 9.10  
LAURI'S WISH 1 3 11 11 31 7 813 (thomas lee)RIQUELME J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 30.40  
SCR  GUITARTUITION PLZZ               (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00    
SCR  PLAY MO               (delhomme je)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
SCR  UNANIMOUSLY               (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.50 7% 14.40    
 
FG-6   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:214 :453 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WISE ANCHOR 2 3 43 4   2 1 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 6.00 2.00  
CRYPTOZONIC 3 7 79 76   44 2 (foster jos)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 4.00 27% 2.60 4.30 P
FIERY PLAYBOY 7 1 2½ 1   1 32 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00 8% 11.30 5.30 S
CREOLE CHARLIE 6 4 1½ 2   3 4 (alonzo howard)MELANCON G 121 3.50 18% 4.40 5.50  
BINDING AGREEMENT 4 2 54 5   65 5 (ducoing s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 4.50 3.30  
WRONGWAYHIGHWAY 5 5 65 66   7 6 (wilson shane)PARKER L 121 8.00 15.20  
YOUNG TUSCAN 1 6 31 32   54 77 (hargrave kenne)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 5.00 10.00  
SCR  JANETS JAY JAY               (alonzo howard)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00 16% 5.10    
 
FG-7   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:213 :46 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEACOCK ALLEY 5 2 32 2½   1nk 13 (catalano wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 117 2.50 40% 1.50 2.40 W
THE PRINCESS SAYS 4 5 2½ 1½   2nk 23 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 3.00 1.50 P
DIAL TONI 1 6 6 45   4 3 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 125 4.00 2.70  
CRIMALDI 7 8 710 5   5 412¾ (foley greg)LANERIE J 125 8.00 8.50  
EXPECT A DANCER 2 4 1½ 3½   33 512¾ (robbins ray)BARRERA J 120 8.00 31.30  
LADY HUXLEY 6 1 54 6   713½ 623 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 8.00 14.30  
TIME TO CLOSE 3 3 44 79   612½ 724 (celestine ch)ALBERT S 117 12.00 36% 1.80 56.90  
MARMO MOON 8 7 810¼ 811   814½ 825¼ (zeringue j)CULP BRIANNE 117 8.00 33.70  
 
FG-8   03/16/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:222 :474 :592     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON YOUR MARK 7 7 7 7   2nk 1½ (foley greg)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 7.40  
MINNESOTA READY 2 6 6 6   3.2 2½ (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 6.00 8.10  
FORTUITY 3 4 5 4   6 3 (faucheux ron)ALBERT S 115 4.00 7% 13.20 10.20 S
ROBO 8 3 2nk 1nk   1nk 4 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00 18.20  
SKY AND SAND 1 5 3 5   5 5 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 3.40  
SIMPLY WICKED 5 2 1nk 2nk   4 6 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 50.00  
THERIDEOFALIFETIME 4 1 4 3   7 7 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00 57% 0.80 2.10  
SUTHERLAND 6 8 8 8   8 812½ (calhoun william)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00 2.60  
SCR  COLTONATOR               (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00    
SCR  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER               (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 4.00 10% 8.70    
 
FG-9   03/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:224 :471 :594     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MADISON'S SCREEN 9 2 1½ 11   15 1 (ducoing s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.00 2.00  
CONTINENTAL RED 2 1 5 43   25 2 (richards corale )GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00 15.80  
GRACE'S SOLDIER 4 9 911 810¼   711 3 (zenon shelton)MELANCON G 120 20.00 71.70  
LOVE CREED 1 6 65 5   37 4 (jeansonne ju)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 36% 1.80 1.70  
PERIPHERAL VISION 5 4 76 7   610 510½ (ladner john)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 8.40  
RUN AWAY SAMARI 7 8 31 21   4 611 (woodley carl)ALBERT S 115 3.50 25% 3.10 3.90  
DREAMED I AM FAST 3 3 2½ 33   59 711¾ (pomier chasey )BARRERA J 115 10.00 11.80  
ALL AMERICAN PAT 8 5 43 6   814 815¾ (sam w)STOKES A 120 8.00 15% 5.70 28.50  
AMYS CANDY 6 7 811 913¾   918 917¾ (cormier houston)VARGAS P 120 20.00 69.70  
SCR  MIDNIGHT FLAME               (tracy greg)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.