Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - March 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (9/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/3)-(9/3/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/3)-(9/3/5/7)-(9/3/5/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (9/3)-(1/7/6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (9/3)-(1/7/6/4)-(10/6/8/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FG-2   WIN (1/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/4)-(1/7/6/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/4)-(1/7/6/4/5)-(1/7/6/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/6/4)-(10/6/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6/4)-(10/6/8/5)-(3/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FG-3   WIN (10/6/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/6/8/5)-(10/6/8/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/6/8/5)-(10/6/8/5/2)-(10/6/8/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/6/8/5)-(3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (10/6/8/5)-(3/2)-(2/7/5/1) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FG-4   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/6/5)-(3/2/6/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/2)-(2/7/5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(2/7/5/1)-(3/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-5   WIN (2/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/1)-(2/7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/1)-(2/7/5/1)-(2/7/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/5/1)-(3/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5/1)-(3/7/8)-(5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-6   WIN (3/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/8)-(3/7/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/8)-(3/7/8/1)-(3/7/8/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/8)-(5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/7/8)-(5/3)-(5/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FG-7   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/4/8/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/4/8/6)-(5/3/4/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3)-(5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(5/3)-(1/8/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FG-8   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/7/6)-(5/3/7/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/3)-(1/8/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FG-9   WIN (1/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/9)-(1/8/9/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/9)-(1/8/9/3/10)-(1/8/9/3/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   03/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LACIS JEWEL Feb03 Jan07 Nov30 Oct21 Aug18 (zenon charles)VARGAS P 121 6.00    
SCR  STRUMMER Feb20 Nov25 Oct12 Aug06 Mar27 (gelner scott)MELANCON G 124 3.00 50% 1.00    
3  STORIED TRIP Feb20 Jan19 Sep19 Sep06 Aug21 (hirdes john)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  BE A BANDIT Feb15 Jan26 Jan13 Dec14 Nov25 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 116 12.00    
5  KEHRON'S CREED Feb09 Jul30 Jun18 Mar05 Feb12 (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00 ★    
6  MISSGREELEY'SSONG Jan26 Jan04 Dec16 Nov30 Nov19 (west henry)ALBERT S 116 10.00    
7  CAJUN SHOTS Jan26 Jan13 Nov25 Jul13 Jul01 (zenon shelt)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 10.00 ★    
SCR  MY LITTLE JEN Feb20 Jan12 Dec11 Aug19 Jul20 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 6.00    
9  SEE SASSY RUN Mar01 Feb04 Dec27 Dec10 Nov11 (courville ricky)LANERIE J 121 2.00 22% 3.50    
 
FG-2   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLI MICHAEL Feb02 Jan01 Dec03 Nov04 Oct07 (faucheux r)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.50 44% 1.30    
2  BLUSHINSTREETDEVIL Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 Dec29 Dec01 (casse norm )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00    
3  COUNTER OFFER Jan05 Nov27 Oct28 Oct15 Oct04 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 121 4.50    
4  BOYFRIEND MATERIAL Mar03 Feb11 Jan26 Dec17 May25 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 121 6.00 6% 14.70    
5  INDIMAAJ Feb16 Jan25 Dec10 Sep25 Jul17 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 121 4.00 ★    
6  TAPPIN FORA DANCE Feb10 Jan20 Jan07 Dec09 Aug17 (romero j)GRAHAM J 121 8.00 9% 9.50    
7  TWO DOT Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 Dec02 Sep27 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.50 11% 7.80    
 
FG-3   03/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOPE FOR CHANGE Feb21 Nov17 Oct19 Sep27 Sep11 (milburn )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
2  ITELLYOUTHEFACTS Feb21 Jan28 Jan08 Nov26 Aug16 (faucheux ro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00 ★    
3  BAND BOSS Feb21 Nov24 Oct22 Aug27   (williams kevi)VARGAS P 122 20.00    
4  MY HEAVY SON Feb21 Dec17 Nov26 Sep24 Sep12 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00    
5  SIR POKERFACE Mar02 Jun01 May18 Apr22 Apr07 (peterson j)ALBERT S 117 15.00 6% 15.90    
6  TOTALLY ADDICTED Feb23 Dec17 Aug20 Jul15 Jun08 (david b)GRAHAM J 122 4.00 8% 11.60    
7  ROCK STAR ALEX Feb11 Jan06 Dec16 Nov25 Sep24 (dandridge cou)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00    
8  JUJU NINETEEN Feb21 Jan22 Jan01 Dec16 Nov25 (savoie sherman)PARKER L 122 8.00 8% 12.30    
9  CHAPEL OF DREAMS Feb11 Jan27 Jan14 Dec19 Nov19 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 117 8.00    
10  FOOLISH DREAMS Feb23 Jan08 Dec17 Nov26 Aug03 (schwandt e)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.50 54% 0.90    
 
FG-4   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KBCYA LATER Oct09 Sep08 Aug14 Jul21 Jun22 (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 6% 15.10    
2  MONEY RUN Feb20 Jan28 Jan08 Dec17 Nov21 (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
3  DE SAIX Feb25 Dec16 Nov18     (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
4  WESTERN COMMAND Feb02 Nov17 Sep29     (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
5  F J'S FLACO Aug03 Jul03       (maturin c)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 ★    
6  MACHINE GUN MAN Feb20 Jan28 Dec26 Nov27 Oct21 (alonzo howar)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 4.00 ★    
 
FG-5   03/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAURI'S WISH Dec08 Nov04 Oct15 Aug05 Jul02 (thomas lee)RIQUELME J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MANGELSEN Mar04 Jan20 Aug06 Jul09 Jun04 (faucheux )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 1.80 49% 1.10    
3  MAGA MAN Mar04 Feb10 Jan07 Dec10 Nov19 (miller norman )GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00    
4  BIND FAITH Feb20 Jan26 Jan08 Dec09 Nov17 (brinkman bre)BARRERA J 115 15.00    
5  COFFEE COUNTY Mar03 Feb10 Jan26 Dec15 Nov24 (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
6  DEER CROSSING Feb10 Aug16 Jul16 Jun18 May11 (delhomme jeff)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
7  MR. FOUR SEVENS Mar03 Jan20 Dec09 Nov19 Jun21 (dandridge cour)CULP BRIANNE 120 5.00 8% 10.80    
8  PERRINS Feb24 Jan26 Mar23 Mar05 Jan30 (stall m)LANERIE J 122 5.00    
SCR  GUITARTUITION PLZZ Mar03 Feb16 Feb02 Jan12 Dec19 (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00    
SCR  PLAY MO Feb20 Jan26 Jan07 Nov26 Jun18 (delhomme )HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
SCR  UNANIMOUSLY Mar05 Feb10 Jan29 Dec17 Oct27 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.50 7% 14.40    
 
FG-6   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOUNG TUSCAN Feb09 Jan15 Nov26 Sep13 Jul26 (hargrave ken)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 5.00 ★    
2  WISE ANCHOR Mar05 Feb21 Feb10 Jan15 Dec15 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 6.00    
3  CRYPTOZONIC Feb09 Jan15 Dec31 Dec10 Nov19 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 4.00 27% 2.60    
4  BINDING AGREEMENT Mar01 Feb16 Jan26 Jan05 Dec15 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 4.50    
SCR  JANETS JAY JAY Feb16 Jan07 Dec10 Nov19 Oct13 (alonzo howar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00 16% 5.10    
6  WRONGWAYHIGHWAY Jan28 Dec22 Apr30 Mar05 Feb21 (wilson shane)PARKER L 121 8.00    
7  CREOLE CHARLIE Feb02 Jan07 Dec10 Nov19 Aug06 (alonzo howard)MELANCON G 121 3.50 18% 4.40    
8  FIERY PLAYBOY Feb02 Dec01 Oct19 Aug09 Jul16 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00 8% 11.30    
 
FG-7   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAL TONI Jan22 Dec30       (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 125 4.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of I BET TONI KNOWS by SUNRIVER)
2  EXPECT A DANCER Jan14 Dec10 Oct06 Jul30 Jun29 (robbins ray)BARRERA J 120 8.00    
  (by EXPECT A LOT out of DANCINGOVERTHELINE by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY)
3  TIME TO CLOSE Feb11 Dec19       (celestine )ALBERT S 117 12.00 36% 1.80    
  (by CLOSING ARGUMENT out of TIME TO EMBRACE by HALF OURS)
4  THE PRINCESS SAYS Mar01         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 3.00 ★    
  (by COLLECTED out of NAKED EMPRESS by FREUD)
5  PEACOCK ALLEY         (catalano way)GEROUX FLORENT 117 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by NYQUIST out of LAZARIA LASS by EDDINGTON)
6  LADY HUXLEY Feb16 Jan19       (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 8.00 ★    
  (by TOURIST out of HUXLEY WINNER by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
7  CRIMALDI Feb16 Nov18       (foley greg)LANERIE J 125 8.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of JOSAKA by SMART STRIKE)
8  MARMO MOON Oct29 Oct13 Sep14 Aug14   (zeringue j)CULP BRIANNE 117 8.00 ★    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of REBALITE by MORE THAN READY)
 
FG-8   03/16/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKY AND SAND Sep14 Aug14 Jul17 Jun05 May14 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50    
2  MINNESOTA READY Jan26 Dec11 Nov09 Sep03 Jun19 (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 6.00    
3  FORTUITY Feb12 Oct08 Aug26 Jul23 Jun22 (faucheux r)ALBERT S 115 4.00 7% 13.20    
SCR  COLTONATOR Feb12 Dec22 Nov26 Sep25 Jul03 (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00    
5  THERIDEOFALIFETIME Jan27 Oct07 Aug27 Jul08 Jun12 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00 57% 0.80    
6  SIMPLY WICKED Jan07 Dec17 Nov24 Oct07 May21 (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 ★    
7  SUTHERLAND Feb12 Dec31 Dec04 Oct16 Sep13 (calhoun willi)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00 ★    
8  ON YOUR MARK Sep14 Aug18 Jun22 May30 May03 (foley greg)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
9  ROBO Mar05 Feb18 Jan22 Jan14 Sep21 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00    
SCR  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER Feb11 Jan06 Nov23 Sep23   (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 4.00 10% 8.70    
 
FG-9   03/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE CREED         (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 36% 1.80    
2  CONTINENTAL RED Feb04 Dec23 Nov27 Aug10   (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00    
3  DREAMED I AM FAST Mar03 Feb17 Jan19 Jan04 Dec10 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 115 10.00 ★    
4  GRACE'S SOLDIER Feb24 Jan26 Dec09 Nov16   (zenon shelton)MELANCON G 120 20.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT FLAME Feb17 Jan27 Dec29     (tracy greg)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
6  PERIPHERAL VISION Feb26 Feb03       (ladner jo)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
7  AMYS CANDY Feb24         (cormier houst)VARGAS P 120 20.00    
8  RUN AWAY SAMARI Feb03 Jan04 Dec16 Nov05 Oct21 (woodley ca)ALBERT S 115 3.50 25% 3.10    
9  ALL AMERICAN PAT Feb15         (sam w)STOKES A 120 8.00 15% 5.70    
10  MADISON'S SCREEN Feb20 Feb04 Jan13 Dec23 Dec02 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.