Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Sam Houston Park
Saturday - January 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HOU-2   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $13.00 $7.00 117%
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-4 $16.20 $4.20 35%
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6/5/3)-(1/4/6/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00  6-4-3 $23.95 $5.95 33%
    DD (1/6/4/5)-(1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-6 $33.30 $21.30 178%
HOU-3   DD (1/4/6)-(2/3/1/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00  6-2 $30.90 $15.90 106%
    PK3 (1/6/4/5)-(1/4/6)-(2/3/1/5/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00  4-6-2 $80.50 $20.50 34%
HOU-4   PK3 (1/4/6)-(2/3/1/5/6)-(5/9/1/2/4) 75 $1.00 $75.00  6-2-5 $169.80 $94.80 126%
HOU-5   WIN (5/3/8/1/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00  8 $19.60 $9.60 96%
    EXA (5/3/8/1/11)-(5/3/8/1/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00  8-3 $40.40 $20.40 102%
    TRI (5/3/8/1/11)-(5/3/8/1/11)-(5/3/8/1/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00  8-3-5 $66.80 $36.80 123%
    PK3 (2/3/1/5/6)-(5/9/1/2/4)-(5/3/8/1/11) 125 $1.00 $125  2-5-8 $159.50 $34.50 28%
    PK4 (1/4/6)-(2/3/1/5/6)-(5/9/1/2/4)-(5/3/8/1/11) 375 $0.50 $187  6-2-5-8 $723.05 $535.55 286%
HOU-6   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $15.40 $9.40 157%
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-1 $76.20 $64.20 535%
    DD (5/3/8/1/11)-(5/2/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00  8-2 $28.00 $13.00 87%
    PK3 (5/9/1/2/4)-(5/3/8/1/11)-(5/2/1) 75 $1.00 $75.00  5-8-2 $296.60 $221.60 295%
HOU-7   PK3 (5/3/8/1/11)-(5/2/1)-(2/7/1/3/6) 75 $1.00 $75.00  ALL-2-5 $107.50 $32.50 43%
HOU-9   PK3 (2/7/1/3/6)-(5/8/10)-(6/1/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00  7-5-1 $54.20 $24.20 81%
    PK4 (5/2/1)-(2/7/1/3/6)-(5/8/10)-(6/1/3/8) 180 $0.50 $90.00  2-5/7-5/9/10/11/12/13/14-1 $962.60 $872.60 970%
    PK5 (5/3/8/1/11)-(5/2/1)-(2/7/1/3/6)-(5/8/10)-(6/1/3/8) 900 $0.50 $450  8-2-5/7-5/9/10/11/12/13/14-1 $536.00 $86.00 19%

Simulator Race results

 
HOU-1   01/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($14K) 3 ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:133     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRADSTREET 4 5 44 4   43 1½ (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 3.00 9% 9.70 2.70 W
OH SEAN 6 4 2nk 2nk   11 2½ (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 3.50 11% 8.30 2.50 P
DEVITO 2 2 57 5   5 35 (david)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 6.00 15.40  
SAMSPLAYERSLOUNGE 1 3 3 32   33 4 (gelner )GONCALVES R 122 1.80 48% 1.10 1.80  
GUCCI BLING 3 1 1nk 1nk   21 511½ (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.50 5.10  
I'LL BE THE JUDGE 5 6 613 631½   638¼ 6100 ( )GARCIA-ALFARO AROLDO 122 15.00 7% 13.00 10.00  
 
HOU-2   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:232 :464 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNDAY BLING 6 1 21 2nk   1nk 12 (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 8.00 6% 14.50 5.50 W
JR'S PACIFICO 4 4 11 1nk   2nk 22 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 2.00 27% 2.70 1.70 P
TEXAS TITAN 3 3 42 43   4 312¾ (payne w)MORA GERARDO 123 4.00 3.30 S
K C TIZ MORO 1 5 31 3½   35 413 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 1.20 43% 1.40 2.00  
COWBOY RIDGE 5 2 6 66   5 517½ (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 12.00 12.60  
PROUD TO SERVE 2 6 5 5   6 621½ ( )GARCIA-ALFARO AROLDO 123 20.00 12.10  
 
HOU-3   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:231 :463 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RARE STRIPE 2 2 2nk 1nk   2nk 12 (ashford)GONCALVES R 123 2.50 19% 4.20 3.00 W
GUNNER PAUL 1 5 1nk 3.2   3.2 22 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 4.50 18% 4.40 3.70 P
MONET'S DEVIL 5 3 41 2nk   1nk 3 (davidson m )HAMILTON WESTON 123 3.50 17% 5.00 2.90 S
TURN ON THE MAGIC 3 4 5 5   5 4 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 1.60 19% 4.40 1.70  
HECOULDGOALLTHEWAY 4 1 3½ 4   4 5 (roberts bl)MORA GERARDO 123 12.00 5.90  
SCR  TWICE THE PRICE               (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 8.00 7% 13.70    
 
HOU-4   01/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:221 :46 :581     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALADO 5 1 12 11   14 1 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 2.00 24% 3.10 3.00 W
PINKY RING BLING 7 8 4 21   24 2 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.50 2.70  
SEIZE THE TREASURE 9 5 22 3   3 3 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50 20% 3.90 3.90 S
UNCORKED HUMOR 4 2 5 4   4 410 (echeverria hect)BENAVIDES D 123 20.00 5% 19.00 24.20  
POLICY LIMIT 1 6 6 7   5 510¾ (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 5.00 17% 5.00 6.20  
CLASSETOGA 8 4 32 53   610½ 617¼ (baldillez alej)MORA GERARDO 123 15.00 6.40  
MR L B J 6 3 8 8   813½ 719½ (p)DE CRUZ 123 15.00 17.90  
RECKLESS RED 3 7 7 6   712½ 820 (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 123 6.00 13.20  
TACTICIAN 2 9 910½ 911½   916½ 923¾ (garza joaqu)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 30.00 7% 13.40 12.40  
 
HOU-5   01/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:13 1:262   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEMON ROSES 8 8 8 8 7 4 1 (love alan)DIEGO V 123 10.00 12% 7.70 8.80 W
HOURGLASS FIGURE 3 7 7 7 5 31 2 (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 4.50 13% 7.00 3.50 P
SPECIAL TREASURE 5 2 2nk 21 1nk 11 3 (whitelaw mi)HAMILTON WESTON 123 1.60 37% 1.70 3.60 S
GEE SHE'S FANCY 4 4 6 5 31 21 4 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50 1.80  
CALI 7 5 31 32 4 6 59 (davidso)GONCALVES R 123 20.00 8.30  
L L COOL GREY 2 3 4 4 6 7 6 (davidson ni)DIAZ RENE 123 8.00 11.30  
GETONOUTTAHERE 1 1 1nk 11 2nk 5 715½ (rossi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 15.00 5% 19.00 18.90  
TACHA GOLD 6 6 5 6 8 8 817 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 123 12.00 9.00  
SCR  C J 'S CAT FIVE               (montano wil)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CAPETOWN CANDY               (montano wilfrido)MONTALVO C 123 8.00    
SCR  STAR FASHION               (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 30.00    
 
HOU-6   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:23 :47 :60     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROM PIT TO PALACE 2 1 4 4   4¾ 1hd (clary jayla)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 3.50 27% 2.70 6.70 W
  (by PALACE MALICE out of GAGAOVERYOU by ZENSATIONAL)
I AM GRODD 1 10 1010¼ 8   7 2hd (willi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 15.00 20% 4.10 15.70 P
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of BALTIC NATIONS by SEATTLE SLEW)
KODALINE 8 2 5 6   5¾ 31 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 12.00 15.40  
  (by FOREIGN POLICY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
KENTUCKY ICE 7 6 2½ 1nk   1nk 4 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 8.00 3.50  
  (by KEEN ICE out of OX EYED DAISY by OXBOW)
HALO CODE 9 4 3½ 3½   3.2 5 (offolter joe)ALVAREZ L 122 20.00 19.00  
  (by CODE WEST out of HALO AHEAD by KITTEN'S JOY)
WEST JET 6 5 1½ 2nk   2nk 6 (caster boyd)DIEGO V 122 4.50 5.60  
  (by WEST COAST out of PURIM'S DANCER by PURIM)
DOCE DE LA NOCHE 3 8 7 7   8 75 (asmussen steve)MORA GERARDO 122 6.00 7.90  
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of UNDER WRAPS by MISWAKI)
10  SUPER PROSPECTOR 10 3 6 5   6 8 (c)DE CRUZ 122 8.00 9.50  
  (by SUPER SAVER out of BODIE'S VALENTINE by BODEMEISTER)
CAMPTON 5 7 8 9   9 9 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 32% 2.10 2.20  
  (by UNCLE MO out of SAMIAM by DYNAFORMER)
IMMA BLINGY LAD 4 9 9 10   1014½ 1030¼ (tuley rhonda)LANDEROS C 122 20.00 27.90  
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of DAKOTA LASS by CROWNING STORM)
 
HOU-7   01/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:224 :462 :593     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER CAT 5 5 1nk 13   15 1 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00 1.50  
SMOKING GUITAR 6 7 7 6   35 2 (buehrer mar)HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00 8% 11.20 8.40 P
WILD PROSPECT 7 8 6 54   25 36 (davidson sa)WETHEY JR 123 4.00 5.20  
SACRED SUNDAY 2 3 5 7   6 410 (montano wil)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 3.00 29% 2.40 5.10  
PRINCESS ARANTZA 4 6 4 3   4 510½ (silva miguel)MONTALVO C 123 20.00 16.90  
A SONG FOR MICKEY 3 4 3 44   710¼ 616½ (bustamante ray)MORA GERARDO 123 15.00 10% 9.50 10.00  
OKLAHOMA STAR 1 2 2nk 23   5 718¾ (a)DE CRUZ 123 15.00 12% 7.20 15.90  
DOC'S DENITA 8 1 8100 8100   8100 8100 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 2.00 4.20  
SCR  NAUGHTY NATALIE               (buehrer w)DIEGO V 123 6.00 14% 6.30    
 
HOU-8   01/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:09
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:121 1:243   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROBO 5 1 31 31 11 17 13 (govea cesar)MONTALVO C 123 2.00 52% 0.90 1.70 W
WHISKEY NOT WINE 3 7 7 66 6 48 23 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00 3.50 P
RESOLUTIONIST 2 2 54 55 42 27 35 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 123 6.00 11.70  
HOT TICKET 8 8 8 8 8 6 4 (caster boyd)DIEGO V 123 8.00 17% 5.00 8.90  
FLASH OF GENIUS 1 3 4 44 5 38 511¾ (davis s)GONCALVES R 123 3.50 2.80  
JOHN DOUGH 6 6 6 7 7 710¾ 612¾ (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 20.00 11.30  
HUNTER QUICK 4 4 1nk 1nk 21 5 717 (willi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 20.00 22.60  
MORE LIKE IT 7 5 2nk 2nk 31 811¼ 825¼ (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 10.00 11.60  
SCR  BRUCELEA               (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.00    
SCR  EXETER               (cravens ronn)ALVAREZ L 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FIND NEW ROADS               (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 4.00    
SCR  GOLIATH RIDGE               ( )GARCIA-ALFARO AROLDO 123 30.00    
SCR  HERN               (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.00    
SCR  RAILROADER (GB)               (carrizale)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 20.00    
 
HOU-9   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:36
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:133 1:271   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEEDABETTERJOCK 1 2 2½ 22 2½ 1½ 11 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 3.50 24% 3.20 2.00 W
LEMON KICK 2 3 7 7 4 45 21 (govea ces)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 8.00 15.70  
FRA MAURO 6 7 1½ 12 1½ 2½ 33 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 123 4.00 33% 2.00 5.50 S
D TOWN BABY 8 8 811½ 88 8 7 4 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 123 4.50 5% 19.00 5.30  
EYES ON RED 5 5 33 3 3 3 5 (eoff terry)PIVARAL GERBER 123 6.00 6.00  
MEAN CANNON 7 6 5 55 5 55 6 (willi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 20.00 25.00  
10  POP LIFE 10 10 913 910 9 9 79 (torr)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 15.00 18.80  
SWEET MEDICINE 3 4 44 4 64 66 810½ (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 123 6.00 16% 5.40 6.10  
PA MA'S AMOS 9 9 1014 1010¼ 1010½ 1011½ 911¾ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 8.00 8.90  
SCHOENHARDT 4 1 6 65 7 88 1012¾ (carrizale)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 12.00 20.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.