Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Saturday - January 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (1/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/5)-(1/6/4/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/5)-(1/6/4/5/3)-(1/6/4/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/4/5)-(1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4/5)-(1/4/6)-(2/3/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-2   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6/5/3)-(1/4/6/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(2/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(2/3/1/5)-(5/9/1/2/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-3   WIN (2/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/1/5)-(5/9/1/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/5)-(5/9/1/2/4)-(5/3/8/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-4   WIN (5/9/1/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/1/2/4)-(5/9/1/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/1/2/4)-(5/9/1/2/4)-(5/9/1/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/1/2/4)-(5/3/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/9/1/2/4)-(5/3/8/1)-(5/2/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-5   WIN (5/3/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/1)-(5/3/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/1)-(5/3/8/1)-(5/3/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/8/1)-(5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/8/1)-(5/2/1)-(2/1/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-6   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1/6/3)-(5/2/1/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(2/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(2/1/3/6)-(5/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
HOU-7   WIN (2/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/6)-(2/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/6)-(2/1/3/6)-(2/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/3/6)-(5/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/6)-(5/8)-(6/1/3/8) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
HOU-8   WIN (5/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/8)-(5/8/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/8)-(5/8/7/3)-(5/8/7/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/8)-(6/1/3/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
HOU-9   WIN (6/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/8)-(6/1/3/8/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/8)-(6/1/3/8/10)-(6/1/3/8/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   01/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($14K) 3 ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMSPLAYERSLOUNGE Nov25 Jul23 Jun05     (gelner )GONCALVES R 122 1.80 48% 1.10    
2  DEVITO Jan06 Nov07 Oct14     (david)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 6.00    
3  GUCCI BLING Nov26 Nov07 Oct27 Oct14 Sep25 (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.50 ★    
4  BRADSTREET Jun05         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 3.00 9% 9.70    
5  I'LL BE THE JUDGE         (k)GARCIA-ALFARO AROLD 122 15.00 7% 13.00    
6  OH SEAN Dec19         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 3.50 11% 8.30    
 
HOU-2   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  K C TIZ MORO Jun19 May08 Mar26 Mar05 Feb17 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 1.20 43% 1.40    
2  PROUD TO SERVE Aug27 Aug13 Jul17 Mar17 Feb25 (c)GARCIA-ALFARO AROLD 123 20.00    
3  TEXAS TITAN Aug29 Aug14 Aug02 Jul03 Jun19 (payne w)MORA GERARDO 123 4.00 ★    
4  JR'S PACIFICO Nov04 Jul28 Jul03 Jun12 May17 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 2.00 27% 2.70    
5  COWBOY RIDGE Oct22 Sep11 Aug20 Aug02 Jul17 (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 12.00 ★    
6  SUNDAY BLING Nov21 Nov04 Oct15 Sep28 Aug27 (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 8.00 6% 14.50    
 
HOU-3   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUNNER PAUL Dec02 Nov08 Oct27 Oct08 Sep17 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 4.50 18% 4.40    
2  RARE STRIPE Dec14 Nov03 Oct19 Sep17 Jul24 (ashford)GONCALVES R 123 2.50 19% 4.20    
3  TURN ON THE MAGIC Dec22 Dec03 Nov08 Oct26 Aug12 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 1.60 19% 4.40    
4  HECOULDGOALLTHEWAY Sep01 Aug14 Jul17 Jun25 Jun08 (roberts bl)MORA GERARDO 123 12.00    
5  MONET'S DEVIL Dec17 Dec10 Nov21 Oct13 Sep15 (davidson m )HAMILTON WESTON 123 3.50 17% 5.00    
SCR  TWICE THE PRICE Jan07 Dec10 Nov19 Nov08 Oct14 (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 8.00 7% 13.70    
 
HOU-4   01/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLICY LIMIT Jan06 Dec20 Nov25 Nov02 Oct20 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 5.00 17% 5.00    
2  TACTICIAN Feb23 Feb11       (garza joaqu)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 30.00 7% 13.40    
3  RECKLESS RED Oct08 Sep28 Jul23 May01 Jan13 (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 123 6.00    
4  UNCORKED HUMOR Dec03 Sep14 Aug27 Aug13 Jan20 (echeverria hect)BENAVIDES D 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  SALADO Nov05 Oct07 Sep22 Jun23 May14 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 2.00 24% 3.10    
6  MR L B J Nov14 Oct26 Oct15 Sep03 Jul11 (p)DE CRUZ 123 15.00    
7  PINKY RING BLING Dec03 Feb19 Jan20     (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.50    
8  CLASSETOGA Dec03 Nov05 Oct20 Sep22 Sep03 (baldillez alej)MORA GERARDO 123 15.00    
9  SEIZE THE TREASURE Dec01 Nov05 Oct07 Aug26 Jun11 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
HOU-5   01/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GETONOUTTAHERE Nov14 Nov02 Oct08 Jul16 Jun26 (rossi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  L L COOL GREY Dec09 Nov22 Oct01 Aug20 Jul21 (davidson ni)DIAZ RENE 123 8.00    
3  HOURGLASS FIGURE Oct27 Oct06 Sep14 May19 Apr30 (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 4.50 13% 7.00    
4  GEE SHE'S FANCY Sep28 Sep07 Aug19 Jul23 Jun05 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50    
5  SPECIAL TREASURE Nov11 Oct21 Oct12 Aug26 Jul10 (whitelaw mi)HAMILTON WESTON 123 1.60 37% 1.70    
6  TACHA GOLD Dec14 Dec01 Nov04     (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 123 12.00    
7  CALI Dec01 Nov22 Sep24 Sep08 Jul31 (davidso)GONCALVES R 123 20.00    
8  LEMON ROSES Nov10 Oct19 Sep09 Aug25 Jun23 (love alan)DIEGO V 123 10.00 12% 7.70    
SCR  CAPETOWN CANDY Nov09 Oct11 Sep27 Aug14 May29 (montano wilfrido)MONTALVO C 123 8.00    
SCR  STAR FASHION Dec29 Nov26 Nov18     (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 30.00    
SCR  C J 'S CAT FIVE Nov29 Nov14 Oct31 Oct11 Sep24 (montano wil)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-6   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I AM GRODD Dec12 Nov14 Oct24     (willi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 15.00 20% 4.10    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of BALTIC NATIONS by SEATTLE SLEW)
2  FROM PIT TO PALACE Nov22 Nov03 Oct15 Oct01 Sep07 (clary jayla)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of GAGAOVERYOU by ZENSATIONAL)
3  DOCE DE LA NOCHE         (asmussen steve)MORA GERARDO 122 6.00 ★    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of UNDER WRAPS by MISWAKI)
4  IMMA BLINGY LAD         (tuley rhonda)LANDEROS C 122 20.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of DAKOTA LASS by CROWNING STORM)
5  CAMPTON         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SAMIAM by DYNAFORMER)
6  WEST JET Dec07 Aug06       (caster boyd)DIEGO V 122 4.50 ★    
  (by WEST COAST out of PURIM'S DANCER by PURIM)
7  KENTUCKY ICE Sep07 Jul17       (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 8.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of OX EYED DAISY by OXBOW)
8  KODALINE         (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 12.00    
  (by FOREIGN POLICY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9  HALO CODE         (offolter joe)ALVAREZ L 122 20.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of HALO AHEAD by KITTEN'S JOY)
10  SUPER PROSPECTOR Dec15         (c)DE CRUZ 122 8.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of BODIE'S VALENTINE by BODEMEISTER)
 
HOU-7   01/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OKLAHOMA STAR Aug27 Apr16 Feb17 Feb02 Jan20 (a)DE CRUZ 123 15.00 12% 7.20    
2  SACRED SUNDAY Nov29 Nov08 Oct30 Oct17 Sep25 (montano wil)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 3.00 29% 2.40    
3  A SONG FOR MICKEY Jul23 Jun09 Apr30 Feb24 Feb12 (bustamante ray)MORA GERARDO 123 15.00 10% 9.50    
4  PRINCESS ARANTZA Feb25 Feb08 Jan29 Jan13   (silva miguel)MONTALVO C 123 20.00    
5  SUMMER CAT Dec15 Nov19 Oct13 Sep09 Jun04 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00    
6  SMOKING GUITAR Dec10 Dec02 Nov12 Oct07 Sep10 (buehrer mar)HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00 8% 11.20    
SCR  NAUGHTY NATALIE Dec14 Nov03 Oct07 Sep10 Jul12 (buehrer w)DIEGO V 123 6.00 14% 6.30    
8  WILD PROSPECT Dec15 Dec02 Nov26 Nov12 Oct22 (davidson sa)WETHEY JR 123 4.00    
9  DOC'S DENITA Oct27 Sep23 Sep07 Jun09 May20 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 2.00    
 
HOU-8   01/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASH OF GENIUS Dec10 Sep25 Sep09 Jun17 Mar25 (davis s)GONCALVES R 123 3.50    
2  RESOLUTIONIST Dec10 Nov18       (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 123 6.00    
3  WHISKEY NOT WINE Nov03 Oct26 Sep24 Sep09 Jul10 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00 ★    
4  HUNTER QUICK Dec17 Nov11 Oct25 Sep26 Aug23 (willi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 20.00    
5  ROBO Sep21 Sep01 Jul17 Jun25 Jun04 (govea cesar)MONTALVO C 123 2.00 52% 0.90    
6  JOHN DOUGH Jul08 Jun19 May29 May08   (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 20.00    
7  MORE LIKE IT Oct15 Sep17 Sep01 Jul08 Jun25 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 10.00 ★    
8  HOT TICKET Nov30 Nov08 May16 May03 Apr11 (caster boyd)DIEGO V 123 8.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  BRUCELEA Oct26 Oct01 Aug20 Jul23 Jul04 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.00    
SCR  EXETER Nov07 Oct26 Oct01 Sep09 Aug27 (cravens ronn)ALVAREZ L 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RAILROADER (GB) Aug27 Jul17 Jul02 May22 Mar25 (carrizale)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 20.00    
SCR  GOLIATH RIDGE Jan06 Sep19 Sep06 Aug08 Jul24 (k)GARCIA-ALFARO AROLD 123 30.00    
SCR  FIND NEW ROADS Nov21         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 4.00    
SCR  HERN Dec02 Nov07 Oct14 Aug20 Jun17 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.00    
 
HOU-9   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEEDABETTERJOCK Aug06 Jun27 May30 May23 Apr09 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 3.50 24% 3.20    
2  LEMON KICK Nov12 Oct26 Sep11 Aug14 Aug01 (govea ces)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 8.00    
3  SWEET MEDICINE Dec03 Nov14 Nov07 Oct21 Aug27 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 123 6.00 16% 5.40    
4  SCHOENHARDT Aug27 Jul17 Jul02 May22 Mar24 (carrizale)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 12.00    
5  EYES ON RED Dec15 Nov14 Oct07 Sep22 Sep08 (eoff terry)PIVARAL GERBER 123 6.00    
6  FRA MAURO Dec15 Dec03 Oct08 Sep22 Sep08 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 123 4.00 33% 2.00    
7  MEAN CANNON Nov15 Oct23 Oct03 Sep25 Sep06 (willi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 20.00    
8  D TOWN BABY Dec02 Nov14 Sep22 Sep10 Jul09 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
9  PA MA'S AMOS Nov14 Oct08 Aug29 Aug14 Apr10 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 8.00    
10  POP LIFE Oct19 Sep25 Sep04 Aug08 Jul17 (torr)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 15.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.