Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Oaklawn Park
Sunday - January 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

OP-1   EXA (8/3/4)-(8/3/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-7 $24.60 $12.60 105%
    TRI (8/3/4)-(8/3/4/7/1)-(8/3/4/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00  8-7-3 $35.50 $17.50 97%
    SFT (8/3/4)-(8/3/4/7/1)-(8/3/4/7/1)-(8/3/4/7/1) 72 $0.10 $7.20  8-7-3-1 $20.95 $13.75 191%
OP-8   EXA (11/8/2/5/12)-(11/8/2/5/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00  2-5 $49.80 $29.80 149%

Simulator Race results

 
OP-1   01/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:222 :461 :582     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOWN CHAMP 8 3 2½ 2nk   12 13 (hewitt mi)TORRES A 121 2.00 44% 1.30 1.60 W
TRUMPENCE 7 2 3 3   32 23 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 6.00 8.50 P
DRENA'S STAR 3 5 43 4   22 33 (duncan t)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 22% 3.60 2.40 S
OTIS OTIS OTIS 1 1 1½ 1nk   45 411½ (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 124 2.50 3.00  
LIVINGONTULSATIME 6 6 7 6   710 512¼ (litfin nevada)CABRERA DAVID 119 20.00 54.20  
FIRERY TALE 2 8 64 7   5 612¾ (broberg karl)MOJICA O 124 8.00 10.00  
RELEASED 4 7 54 56   6 713½ (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 8.00 7% 13.80 14.50  
HEZA WILD RIDE 5 4 8 8   815 824¾ (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00 69.40  
 
OP-2   01/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:59
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOUSE WRECKER 2 2 2nk 1nk   12 1½ (mott rile)TORRES A 118 1.80 53% 0.90 1.70 W
PROUD VICTORIA 9 7 5 4   22 2½ (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 108 8.00 6.10  
C C THE BARTENDER 7 8 6 3   32 3 (dixon tim)CABRERA DAVID 118 20.00 5% 19.00 5.20 S
DORITA'S HEART 5 9 9 7   4 4 (hewitt michael)QUINONEZ S 118 20.00 50.30  
VISUAL MAGIC 1 6 8 8   5 5 (green ike)ZIMMERMAN R 118 10.00 6% 15.50 48.70  
FIVE QUEENS 3 4 73 6   6 6 (mcbride d)BOWEN ROCCO 113 20.00 23.70  
DAWNLAND 6 5 31 5   812¼ 7 (cox h)JORDAN R 118 2.00 15% 5.70 1.70  
HALE'S ANGEL 4 1 1nk 2nk   7 814¾ (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 116 10.00 28.60  
COSTANARMANDALEG 8 3 4 96   919¼ 922½ (broberg karl)MOJICA O 118 6.00 13.70  
 
OP-3   01/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:143 1:274   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY COMMANDER 5 1 2½ 11 1½ 13 1 (fires h)COURT K 124 10.00 6.30  
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of SPYIN FEELIN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
NO GUILT 6 7 54 31 3 23 2 (lukas wa)ASMUSSEN J 118 4.00 14% 6.20 3.10 P
  (by BLAME out of ALL IN WITH ACES by QUIET AMERICAN)
AMENSET 1 6 7 5 52 36 3 (stewart d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 3.50 6% 17.10 6.40 S
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of CRYING SHAME by STREET CRY (IRE))
INTO DISCO 4 4 44 6 6 5 4 (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 124 2.50 29% 2.40 6.00  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DISCO BARBIE by PURE PRIZE)
DIAL TONI 8 2 3 4 2½ 48 511 (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 6.00 27% 2.70 10.20  
  (by DIALED IN out of I BET TONI KNOWS by SUNRIVER)
BLAME THE TOLL 7 5 65 7 42 616½ 619¼ (stewart dallas)BEJARANO R 124 4.50 2.90  
  (by BLAME out of TOLL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SHEZA CAT 3 8 8 8 810½ 726½ 732 (durham danele)CABRERA DAVID 124 20.00 60.40  
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of INTERNAL BOURBON by NOT BOURBON)
ELUSIVE BELLE 2 3 1½ 21 7 8100 8100 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 124 10.00 4.00  
  (by ARROGATE out of ELUSIVE BIRD by STORM BIRD)
 
OP-4   01/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($48K) 3 ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:134 1:41   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CABALLO FELIZ 1 4 13 1 13 13 1¾ (mcpeek kennet)CABRERA DAVID 122 2.00 25% 2.90 2.60 W
BUBBA CAN DANCE 8 9 9 8 46 35 2¾ (stewart d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00 11.80  
10  DARYL'S BOLT 9 3 5 46 3 23 3 (hartman chris)JUAREZ NIK 122 6.00 6.80 S
BREAD WINNER 5 6 6 5 56 5 4 (amoss m)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 10% 8.60 4.50  
HARD TO COME BY 4 8 77 7 7 4 56 (von donnie)BAZE C 122 10.00 3.50  
COMMANDER REX 7 2 23 2 23 610½ 611¾ (ortiz joh)TORRES A 122 15.00 19.30  
LINE TO GAIN 2 5 45 6 8 712 714¾ (litfin nevada)ZIMMERMAN R 122 20.00 5% 19.00 42.20  
PROPELLANT 3 1 33 35 6 824 824½ (asmussen)SANTANA JR 122 2.50 41% 1.50 3.20  
DOUBLE STRIKE 6 7 8 912 911¾ 931 931¾ (puhich mike)BOWEN ROCCO 122 30.00 47.40  
SCR  JIM NED               (pish danny)QUINONEZ S 117 50.00    
 
OP-5   01/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($34K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:221 :464 1:003     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN FEARLESS 6 6 7 910¼   5 1½ (fires wil)TORRES A 121 2.50 3.00  
JERI DAWN 8 10 1013¼ 7   2 2½ (martin ti)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 12% 7.50 14.80 DQ↓6
MISS RITA 1 4 2 2   1 3 (donaldson jerr)QUINONEZ S 121 30.00 55.00  
SHE'S HAMAZING 3 8 6 5   43 4 (hewitt micha)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00 6% 16.20 9.70 S
11  BIG ON BROADWAY 11 7 913¼ 810¼   6 5 (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 20.00 30.80  
K J'S PISTOL ANNIE 9 2 4 4   33 66 (hornsby tammy)BAILEY CHEL-C 124 10.00 7% 14.40 5.50  
GUEST IN MY HEART 7 11 1114¾ 1012¼   8 7 (altamirano el)CABRERA DAVID 121 15.00 15.90  
MISS DUTTON 2 9 812¾ 1115¼   10 811½ (cline n)HARR KELSI 121 20.00 37.70  
HALF SCOUT 4 5 57 6   9 913 (cline robe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 30.00 73.00  
10  DERBY DAY LASSIE 10 1 1 1   7 1021½ (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 3.50 27% 2.60 2.00  
NAVAGATIONALBEACON 5 3 3 36   1110¾ 1124¾ (wilson m)SANTANA JR 121 3.00 27% 2.70 4.50  
 
OP-6   01/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:224 :463 :59     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOBISCUM 4 1 11 1nk   1 1 (asmussen steven )JUAREZ NIK 126 2.00 24% 3.30 1.40 W
LITTLE FRAPPUCINO 7 4 21 2nk   2 2 (broberg k)TORRES A 126 1.80 19% 4.20 2.20 P
UPTOWN SOCIAL 2 2 43 32   3 3 (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 117 15.00 30.30  
SHOTGUN UP 9 7 6 5   410 413½ (petalino joe)QUINONEZ S 126 4.00 18% 4.50 2.90  
STRICKLAND 5 8 710½ 712   616 518½ (brennan terr)CASTILLO ISAAC 126 10.00 13.30  
TALK TO TOKEY 1 5 32 45   716¼ 620¾ (deville j)MOJICA O 120 12.00 14.70  
STROLL LIKN OUTLAW 3 3 57 69   516 722¾ (hornsby tammy)WALES T 123 30.00 5% 19.00 67.90  
CLASSIC SHINE 6 6 811 812¼   819¼ 823 (donaldson jerry)HARR KELSI 126 30.00 73.70  
R R EMPIRE 8 9 912 914¼   922¾ 928 (keithan rach)MEDELLIN ERICK 118 20.00 14% 6.00 28.70  
SCR  TEQUILA REVOLUTION               (mason ingrid)BAILEY CHEL-C 126 15.00    
 
OP-7   01/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:23 :47 :591     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOCHMOOR 5 2 4 4¾   1½ 1 (riecken bruc)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 12.00 22.30  
DATA STORM 4 1 2nk 3.2   2½ 2 (martin timoth)CABRERA DAVID 119 3.50 8.70  
TWISTED DIXIE 7 4 6 5¾   3 3 (cline n)HARR KELSI 119 3.00 3.80  
MAHOMEY 2 3 1nk 1nk   43 4 (morse randy )GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 8.00 24% 3.10 4.60  
ROLLING FORK 1 5 3.2 2nk   53 5 (puhl kim)JORDAN R 124 2.50 42% 1.40 1.10  
DINNER AT CRUMPIES 6 6 7 7   69 612¾ (hornsby tammy)BOREL H 119 10.00 5% 19.00 23.70  
MACHO RONNIE 3 7 5 6   711½ 715 (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 119 4.00 5.00  
SCR  OBVIOUSLY TOO               (mcbride d)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
OP-8   01/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:53
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:134 1:263   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJOR GENERAL 2 7 53 32 21 1½ 1 (hartman chris)ZIMMERMAN R 121 3.50 10% 8.60 2.60 W
PRODIGIOUS BAY 5 1 11 1 11 2½ 2 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 121 10.00 9% 9.90 22.40 P
STEFANO 3 12 12 12 8 6 311¼ (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 121 5.00 12.00  
10  SIMOVITCH 10 9 8 8 6 46 411¼ (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 121 15.00 35.20  
12  MAGIC CASTLE 12 2 21 42 42 3 512½ (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 114 20.00 5% 19.00 56.50  
NOTARY 6 10 11 116 11 8 612¾ (mason ingrid)WALES T 121 12.00 34.00  
RVINDICATED 9 8 10 10 9 78 713¼ (keithan r)TRIANA JR 124 20.00 60.00  
GEAUX YOSHKA 7 5 6 6 5 56 814¼ (robertson)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 31.40  
CONTACT TRACING 1 11 9 9 105 9 914¼ (garcia genar)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00 6.50  
COSMO 8 4 7 7 7 10 1014¼ (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 3.00 15% 5.70 3.50  
BELLA'S PRAYER 4 3 31 2 32 1112¾ 1117½ (haran john)BAILEY CHEL-C 117 30.00 ######  
11  RUNWAY MAGIC 11 6 42 53 12 1216¾ 1219 (sharp jo)SANTANA JR 121 4.00 38% 1.60 2.00  
SCR  THOUGHT               (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 15.00    
 
OP-9   01/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:22
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAUGHING LEGACY 5 9 42 4   2½ 1¼ (miller p)SANTANA JR 121 6.00 6.40  
13  LAPIS LAZULI 11 2 3½ 1nk   1½ 2¼ (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 121 8.00 3.90  
MY NOAH 6 6 2½ 2nk   3 3 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 115 15.00 21.40  
EXTRAVAGATE 7 12 1113¾ 1011   7 45 (mott riley)BAZE C 121 1.60 20% 4.00 2.70  
11  PRACTICAL MAN 9 3 7 5   5 5 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 121 20.00 35.40  
GOLDEN LUNA 4 1 1½ 3.2   4 68 (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 2.50 35% 1.90 1.40  
HELLEPHENT 3 4 53 6   66 711¼ (chleborad lynn)HIRALDO JOHN 121 30.00 86.20  
NEW DICE 2 10 910¾ 9   8 811¾ (litfin nevada)ZIMMERMAN R 121 20.00 83.70  
14  BILLY YANK 12 8 8 8   912½ 913¼ (villafranco m)CABRERA DAVID 121 15.00 45.00  
12  ROMANCER 10 5 6 7   1013½ 1017 (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00 15.50  
DEL MOON 8 7 1011¼ 1114   1219 1119 (donaldson jer)BAILEY CHEL-C 121 30.00 83.50  
FIRST RATE (IRE) 1 11 1216¾ 1215   1116½ 1219¼ (jackson ri)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 20.00 5% 19.00 82.60  
SCR  AMERICAN SMOOTH               (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 115 8.00    
SCR  FREER               (martin timot)JORDAN R 121 12.00 19% 4.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.