Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Sunday - January 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (8/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/4)-(8/3/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/4)-(8/3/4/7/1)-(8/3/4/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/3/4)-(2/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
OP-2   WIN (2/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/8/7)-(2/6/1/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/6/1/7)-(4/8/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1/7)-(4/8/6/1)-(4/1/6/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
OP-3   WIN (4/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/6/1)-(4/8/6/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/8/6/1)-(4/8/6/1/7)-(4/8/6/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/8/6/1)-(4/1/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/6/1)-(4/1/6/2)-(10/5/8/9/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-4   WIN (4/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/2)-(4/1/6/2/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/2)-(4/1/6/2/10)-(4/1/6/2/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/6/2)-(10/5/8/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/2)-(10/5/8/9/3)-(4/7/9/8/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-5   WIN (10/5/8/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/8/9/3)-(10/5/8/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/8/9/3)-(10/5/8/9/3)-(10/5/8/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/5/8/9/3)-(4/7/9/8/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/5/8/9/3)-(4/7/9/8/3)-(2/3/7) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
OP-6   WIN (4/7/9/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/9/8/3)-(4/7/9/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/9/8/3)-(4/7/9/8/3)-(4/7/9/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/7/9/8/3)-(2/3/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/7/9/8/3)-(2/3/7)-(11/8/2/5/12) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
OP-7   WIN (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/7)-(2/3/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/7)-(2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/7)-(11/8/2/5/12) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7)-(11/8/2/5/12)-(4/8/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
OP-8   WIN (11/8/2/5/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/8/2/5/12)-(11/8/2/5/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/8/2/5/12)-(11/8/2/5/12)-(11/8/2/5/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/8/2/5/12)-(4/8/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
OP-9   WIN (4/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/1)-(4/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/1)-(4/8/1)-(4/8/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   01/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OTIS OTIS OTIS Dec10 Nov05 Oct14 Oct01 Aug30 (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 124 2.50 ★    
2  FIRERY TALE Dec17 Oct28 Oct07 Sep14 Aug24 (broberg karl)MOJICA O 124 8.00    
3  DRENA'S STAR Dec10 Nov09 Sep23 Jun10 May12 (duncan t)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 22% 3.60    
4  RELEASED Jan06 Dec16 Nov09 Oct16 Sep21 (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 8.00 7% 13.80    
5  HEZA WILD RIDE Dec10 Dec01 Nov02 Oct20 Sep23 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00    
6  LIVINGONTULSATIME Dec21 Dec08 Nov16 Oct25 Oct04 (litfin nevada)CABRERA DAVID 119 20.00    
7  TRUMPENCE Jan06 Nov08 Sep28 Aug26 Jun21 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 6.00 ★    
8  TOWN CHAMP Dec16 Nov08 Oct20 Sep16 Jul04 (hewitt mi)TORRES A 121 2.00 44% 1.30    
 
OP-2   01/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VISUAL MAGIC Jan14 Dec15 Nov30 Oct20 Sep29 (green ike)ZIMMERMAN R 118 10.00 6% 15.50    
2  HOUSE WRECKER Dec18 Jul27 Jul01 Jun09 May08 (mott rile)TORRES A 118 1.80 53% 0.90    
3  FIVE QUEENS Jan06 Dec02 Nov03 Sep14 Sep02 (mcbride d)BOWEN ROCCO 113 20.00    
4  HALE'S ANGEL Jan06 Nov30 Nov12 Oct20 Jun06 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 116 10.00    
5  DORITA'S HEART Jan07 Dec18 Nov21 Nov12 Oct20 (hewitt michael)QUINONEZ S 118 20.00    
6  DAWNLAND Dec18 Oct21 Sep18 Jul31 Jun23 (cox h)JORDAN R 118 2.00 15% 5.70    
7  C C THE BARTENDER Jan07 Nov30 Nov18 Oct19 Sep14 (dixon tim)CABRERA DAVID 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  COSTANARMANDALEG Dec09 Nov23 Nov09 Oct28 Oct07 (broberg karl)MOJICA O 118 6.00 ★    
9  PROUD VICTORIA Jan06 Sep06 May28 Apr29 Apr15 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 108 8.00    
 
OP-3   01/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMENSET Aug26 Jul28 Jun23 May27 May04 (stewart d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 3.50 6% 17.10    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of CRYING SHAME by STREET CRY (IRE))
2  ELUSIVE BELLE         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 124 10.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of ELUSIVE BIRD by STORM BIRD)
3  SHEZA CAT Dec30         (durham danele)CABRERA DAVID 124 20.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of INTERNAL BOURBON by NOT BOURBON)
4  INTO DISCO Oct30 Sep18 Aug31     (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DISCO BARBIE by PURE PRIZE)
5  LADY COMMANDER Dec30 Nov06 Sep17 Jun19 May28 (fires h)COURT K 124 10.00    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of SPYIN FEELIN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  NO GUILT Dec31 Nov26 Nov04     (lukas wa)ASMUSSEN J 118 4.00 14% 6.20    
  (by BLAME out of ALL IN WITH ACES by QUIET AMERICAN)
7  BLAME THE TOLL Dec22         (stewart dallas)BEJARANO R 124 4.50 ★    
  (by BLAME out of TOLL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  DIAL TONI Dec30         (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 6.00 27% 2.70    
  (by DIALED IN out of I BET TONI KNOWS by SUNRIVER)
 
OP-4   01/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($48K) 3 ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CABALLO FELIZ Dec02 Oct19 Sep14 Aug27   (mcpeek kennet)CABRERA DAVID 122 2.00 25% 2.90    
2  LINE TO GAIN Nov05 Oct22 Sep17     (litfin nevada)ZIMMERMAN R 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JIM NED Dec10 Jul03 May20     (pish danny)QUINONEZ S 117 50.00    
4  PROPELLANT Dec14 Nov15       (asmussen)SANTANA JR 122 2.50 41% 1.50    
5  HARD TO COME BY Dec31 Nov26 Sep15 Aug12 Jun30 (von donnie)BAZE C 122 10.00    
6  BREAD WINNER Dec18 Nov09 Sep18 Jun09   (amoss m)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 10% 8.60    
7  DOUBLE STRIKE Dec31 Nov03       (puhich mike)BOWEN ROCCO 122 30.00    
8  COMMANDER REX Dec16 Nov19       (ortiz joh)TORRES A 122 15.00    
9  BUBBA CAN DANCE Dec31         (stewart d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00    
10  DARYL'S BOLT Dec26 Nov12 Oct15 Sep17   (hartman chris)JUAREZ NIK 122 6.00 ★    
 
OP-5   01/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($34K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS RITA Dec11 Nov07 Oct19 Sep28 Sep17 (donaldson jerr)QUINONEZ S 121 30.00    
2  MISS DUTTON Dec11 Sep15 Sep01 Aug17 Jun29 (cline n)HARR KELSI 121 20.00    
3  SHE'S HAMAZING Dec11 Apr24 Mar31 Mar04 Feb18 (hewitt micha)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00 6% 16.20    
4  HALF SCOUT Dec11 Sep14 Sep03 Aug17 May01 (cline robe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 30.00    
5  NAVAGATIONALBEACON Dec11 Sep06 Aug28 Aug16 Jul19 (wilson m)SANTANA JR 121 3.00 27% 2.70    
6  RUN FEARLESS Dec17 Sep02 May30 Apr29 Mar25 (fires wil)TORRES A 121 2.50    
7  GUEST IN MY HEART Jan06 Dec11 Nov08 Oct11 Jun30 (altamirano el)CABRERA DAVID 121 15.00    
8  JERI DAWN Jan06 Aug14 Jun26 Jun13 May23 (martin ti)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 12% 7.50    
9  K J'S PISTOL ANNIE Dec30 Apr24 Apr07     (hornsby tammy)BAILEY CHEL-C 124 10.00 7% 14.40    
10  DERBY DAY LASSIE Dec17 May06 Apr09 Feb21   (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 3.50 27% 2.60    
11  BIG ON BROADWAY Jan06 Mar27 Mar13 Jan30 Jan08 (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 20.00    
 
OP-6   01/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALK TO TOKEY Dec29 Dec11 Oct27 Sep24   (deville j)MOJICA O 120 12.00    
2  UPTOWN SOCIAL Jan06 Dec11 Jun26 Apr08   (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 117 15.00    
3  STROLL LIKN OUTLAW Nov30 Nov03 Oct02 Sep16 Aug15 (hornsby tammy)WALES T 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  VOBISCUM Apr23         (asmussen steven )JUAREZ NIK 126 2.00 24% 3.30    
5  STRICKLAND Dec11 Nov10 Jul31 Mar19   (brennan terr)CASTILLO ISAAC 126 10.00    
6  CLASSIC SHINE Dec11 Nov25 Apr09 Feb18 Jan16 (donaldson jerry)HARR KELSI 126 30.00    
7  LITTLE FRAPPUCINO Jan06 Dec09 Jul26 Jul03 Jun21 (broberg k)TORRES A 126 1.80 19% 4.20    
8  R R EMPIRE         (keithan rach)MEDELLIN ERICK 118 20.00 14% 6.00    
9  SHOTGUN UP Jan06 Nov25 Oct22 Sep30 Sep14 (petalino joe)QUINONEZ S 126 4.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  TEQUILA REVOLUTION Jan06 Dec11 Nov22 Jul14 Jun28 (mason ingrid)BAILEY CHEL-C 126 15.00    
 
OP-7   01/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OBVIOUSLY TOO Jan08 Sep24 Aug27 Aug08 Jul02 (mcbride d)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROLLING FORK Jan07 Dec18 Oct13 Sep07 Aug16 (puhl kim)JORDAN R 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
3  MAHOMEY Dec10 Oct02 Jun04 Apr23 Apr09 (morse randy )GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 8.00 24% 3.10    
4  MACHO RONNIE Dec18 Aug27 Jul21 Apr30 Apr03 (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 119 4.00 ★    
5  DATA STORM Oct20 Sep11 Jul29 Jun17 May30 (martin timoth)CABRERA DAVID 119 3.50    
6  LOCHMOOR Jun22 May29 Apr23 Apr03 Mar19 (riecken bruc)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 12.00    
7  DINNER AT CRUMPIES Sep26 Aug30 Jun28 Jun13 May07 (hornsby tammy)BOREL H 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  TWISTED DIXIE Jan01 Dec10 Sep07 Aug20 Jul27 (cline n)HARR KELSI 119 3.00    
 
OP-8   01/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONTACT TRACING Nov25 Oct13 Sep01 Aug02 Jul21 (garcia genar)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00    
2  MAJOR GENERAL Dec11 Sep30 Jul09 Jun04 May07 (hartman chris)ZIMMERMAN R 121 3.50 10% 8.60    
3  STEFANO Jan01 Oct20 Sep17 Aug28 Aug07 (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 121 5.00    
4  BELLA'S PRAYER Nov23 Nov03 Oct13 Sep13 Aug15 (haran john)BAILEY CHEL-C 117 30.00    
5  PRODIGIOUS BAY Oct15 Sep24 Feb25 Jan01   (moquett e)BEJARANO R 121 10.00 9% 9.90    
6  NOTARY Jun19 May06 Mar31 Mar06 Feb12 (mason ingrid)WALES T 121 12.00    
7  GEAUX YOSHKA Dec10 Oct26 Sep03 Aug13 Jul04 (robertson)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
8  COSMO Dec30 Oct10 Aug19 Jul22 Jun03 (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 3.00 15% 5.70    
9  RVINDICATED Jan08 Nov14 Oct26 Oct01 Sep01 (keithan r)TRIANA JR 124 20.00    
10  SIMOVITCH Nov18 Nov02 Sep16 Aug20 Feb19 (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 121 15.00    
11  RUNWAY MAGIC Dec11 Nov23 Oct23 Oct01 Jun17 (sharp jo)SANTANA JR 121 4.00 38% 1.60    
12  MAGIC CASTLE Dec30 Dec09 Nov20 Nov06 Oct15 (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THOUGHT Dec30 Nov10 Oct06 Aug27 Jul24 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 15.00    
 
OP-9   01/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST RATE (IRE) Aug08 May07       (jackson ri)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  NEW DICE Oct30 Sep07 Aug27 Aug18 Aug06 (litfin nevada)ZIMMERMAN R 121 20.00    
3  HELLEPHENT Jan01 Dec02 Nov08 Sep23 Sep11 (chleborad lynn)HIRALDO JOHN 121 30.00    
4  GOLDEN LUNA Nov27 Oct28 Sep24 Jul31 Jun19 (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 2.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  FREER Sep11 Aug27 Jul30 Jul11 Jun25 (martin timot)JORDAN R 121 12.00 19% 4.40    
6  LAUGHING LEGACY Nov11 Oct22 Sep01 Jul24   (miller p)SANTANA JR 121 6.00    
7  MY NOAH Dec09 Sep11 Aug13 Jul22 Jul02 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 115 15.00    
8  EXTRAVAGATE Dec18 Nov27 Nov06 Oct12 Aug28 (mott riley)BAZE C 121 1.60 20% 4.00    
9  DEL MOON Dec02 Nov08 Jul16 Jun24 May07 (donaldson jer)BAILEY CHEL-C 121 30.00    
SCR  AMERICAN SMOOTH Jun22 May27 Apr20 Mar17 Feb18 (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 115 8.00 ★    
11  PRACTICAL MAN Jan01 Oct27 Oct03 Sep14 Aug30 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 121 20.00    
12  ROMANCER Dec09 Nov19 Nov02 Sep11 Sep03 (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00    
13  LAPIS LAZULI Jan01 Nov04 Aug25 Aug03 Jun30 (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 121 8.00    
14  BILLY YANK Jan08 Dec08 Nov05 Oct14 Oct02 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.