The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Santa Anita Park
Sunday - January 15, 2023

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.

 
SA-1   01/15/2023 4290ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($67K) 3 ALL PT- 3:30
:22 :441 1:082     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEJAZI 1 4 1½ 1½   11(baffert bob)SMITH E 122 0.80 73% 0.40 0.50 W
WORCESTER 4 2 32 33   33 2(baffert bob)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 8.80 P
SULLY 6 1 2½ 2½   23(shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 122 4.00 3.70 S
I DON'T GET IT 2 5 5 43   44(o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 4.00 5.10  
TIZ TOK 7 3 64 5   55(o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 15.00 36.40  
SPEED OF THE NILE 5 6 4 6   614½ 619½ (gomez ruben)VAZQUEZ A 122 20.00 66.20  
THE LAST ONE PERK 3 7 7 713½   720½ 733½ (winick debbie)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 117 30.00 96.70  
 
SA-2   01/15/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:59
:233 :474 1:121 1:253   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A BROKEN BREEZE 3 2 43 43 21 112 (harris andrew)MALDONADO E 122 1.60 40% 1.50 2.00 W
SACRED BEAUTY 1 5 5 53 4 322 (saldana reed)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 2.50 15% 5.60 1.60 P
SHVERE ARBETER 2 3 11 1½ 11 23(morfin sergio)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 4.00 5.80 S
CHAO MAR 5 6 66 68 69 54(stute gary)HERRERA A 122 8.00 7% 13.50 14.30  
SECRET SQUARE 4 1 21 2½ 3 45 5(knapp steve)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 115 5.00 4.00  
HOT ON THE TRAIL 6 4 3 31 5 611½ 621 (farias adan)RAMIREZ RICARDO 122 6.00 14% 6.20 16.40  
 
SA-3   01/15/2023 5610ft DIRT GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:29
:223 :454 1:10 1:361   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERO STATUS 1 1 2½ 2½ 1 11(glatt mark)SMITH E 122 3.00 26% 2.80 1.70 W
HOLDEN THE LUTE 2 3 32 5 2 22(glatt mark)FREY KYLE 122 2.50 29% 2.40 1.90 P
RED FLAG 4 5 5 3 42 3312¼ (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 122 5.00 6.80  
MIDNIGHT MAMMOTH 5 4 1½ 1½ 32 512½ 417 (mccarthy sean)DESORMEAUX J 124 6.00 9.70  
BOLD ENDEAVOR 3 2 42 42 54 49 517½ (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.00 20% 3.90 2.80  
SCR  AMERICAN ADMIRAL               (yakteen tim)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
 
SA-4   01/15/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($62.5K) Purse ($42K) 3 ALL PT- 4:59
:221 :473 1:122 1:251   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOW EXPECTATIONS 7 2 12 1½ 11 1½ 1½ (garcia c)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 2.50 8% 11.90 2.80 W
LOOKS RARE 1 1 22 2½ 21 2½ 2½ (o'neill doug)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 2.00 42% 1.40 1.50 P
RUSSELLS HUSTLE 3 5 3 31 3 33(papaprodromou george)VAZQUEZ A 123 2.50 28% 2.60 4.00 S
DEEP RIVER 4 4 4 42 45 47 410½ (harty eoin)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 12.00 38.10  
GLENDALE 2 7 714½ 65 5 510 513¾ (kruljac ian)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 8.00 12.80  
DONTTESTYOURLUCK 5 3 5 54 68 613½ 618¼ (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 123 6.00 5.00  
REIGN OVER ME 6 6 610½ 75 78 714 718¾ (palma o)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 12.00 14.40  
 
SA-5   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:29
:214 :443 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY HARBORS DREAM 3 2 2 1½   1½ 1(brinkerhoff val)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 8.00 27% 2.70 4.00 W
SONIC BREES 2 5 43 32   32(ganbat enebish)CEDILLO ABEL 124 5.00 7% 12.70 5.80 P
SAWASDEE 8 1 1 2½   2½ 3(dealba cesar)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 2.50 32% 2.10 2.60 S
JOKER BOY 5 8 57 5   446 (koriner brian)HERRERA A 124 4.00 6% 15.20 2.20  
MIGHTY MATT 4 4 67 6   68 5(periban jorge)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 5.00 12.50  
PAUL VINCENTS POEM 1 3 3 4   57 6(trela rosemary)MALDONADO E 124 15.00 5% 18.30 20.30  
SITTIN ON GO 6 6 7 77   7712 (pineda g)VAZQUEZ A 124 5.00 8.20  
BIG BAD GARY 7 7 8 8   812½ 815¾ (gomez ruben)FREY KYLE 124 20.00 42.30  
SCR  RING GENERAL               (hess b)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 8.00    
 
SA-6   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:59
:22 :44 :561     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAEGAR 6 3 31 2nk   2½ 1nk (glatt mark)SMITH E 122 3.50 2.20  
HOPKINS 2 1 2½ 1nk   1½ 2nk (baffert bob)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 23% 3.30 1.20 P
CLEM LABINE 5 4 68 69   632 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 124 15.00 35.20  
MCLAREN VALE 3 6 4 43   34(sadler w)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 3.00 11% 7.90 6.10  
I GOT NO MUNNY 1 5 53 54   45 5(glatt mark)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 6.00 6% 16.10 8.70  
TOOK CHARGE 4 2 1½ 3½   5611¾ (powell leonard)HERRERA A 122 3.50 38% 1.60 5.50  
SCR  CLASSIER               (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00    
 
SA-7   01/15/2023 5610ft DIRT GOOD Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:29
:231 :471 1:113 1:373   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KIRSTENBOSCH 1 4 43 32 32 31hd (sadler w)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 2.50 26% 2.80 3.30 W
GANADORA 3 2 1 11 1nk 11 2hd (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.00 1.60 P
SMOOTHLIKEBUTTAH 4 6 6 65 45 43(knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 10.00 10.90 S
ANGEL NADESHIKO 2 1 2 21 2nk 21 4(gallagher patrick)ESPINOZA V 120 6.00 16.10  
UNDER THE STARS 6 3 32 4 58 524½ 569¼ (baffert bob)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 31% 2.20 1.90  
NATURAL COLOUR (GB) 5 5 5 5 614 630½ 680¼ (badilla manuel)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 15% 5.60 10.20  
 
SA-8   01/15/2023 4290ft DIRT GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:00
:213 :442 1:092     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RECALL AND RELOAD 6 6 53 52   3½ 1½ (baffert bob)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 3.90  
ANARCHIST 2 2 3 4   52½ (o'neill doug)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00 16% 5.30 4.50 P
GOT THUNDER 5 5 4 3½   1nk 3½ (sadler w)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 6.00 11.10  
AUGUSTA MELODY 3 4 1nk 1nk   2nk 4(yakteen tim)CEDILLO ABEL 122 4.00 12% 7.50 2.40  
THALES 4 1 2nk 2nk   41 5(miller peter)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00 13.90  
REDLINE 1 3 6 64   66(sadler w)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 6.00 1.70  
SCR  KRAHENBUHL               (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 122 10.00    
SCR  SPIRIT OF MAKENA               (papaprodromou george)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.