Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Sunday - January 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/4/6/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/4/6/2/3)-(1/4/6/2/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1)-(3/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1)-(3/1/6/5)-(2/1/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-2   WIN (3/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5/2)-(3/1/6/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/1/6/5)-(2/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6/5)-(2/1/3)-(1/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-3   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3/6)-(2/1/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(1/3/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(1/3/7)-(9/3/2/5/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
SA-4   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/7/2/6)-(1/3/7/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/3/7)-(9/3/2/5/1) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7)-(9/3/2/5/1)-(5/2/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
SA-5   WIN (9/3/2/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/2/5/1)-(9/3/2/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/2/5/1)-(9/3/2/5/1)-(9/3/2/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/2/5/1)-(5/2/4/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (9/3/2/5/1)-(5/2/4/1)-(6/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
SA-6   WIN (5/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/1)-(5/2/4/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/1)-(5/2/4/1/7)-(5/2/4/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/2/4/1)-(6/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4/1)-(6/1/5)-(3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-7   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5/3/4)-(6/1/5/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
SA-8   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   01/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEJAZI Oct08 Sep10 Aug20     (baffert bob)SMITH E 122 0.80 73% 0.40    
  (by BERNARDINI out of G NOTE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  I DON'T GET IT         (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 4.00 ★    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of FLAT OUT GITTIN IT by FLAT OUT)
3  THE LAST ONE PERK Dec09 Nov06 Sep23     (win)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 117 30.00 ★    
  (by PROSPECT PARK (GB) out of CLASSY LADY LIZ by PAPA CLEM)
4  WORCESTER Dec26         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 ★    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of LIL SUPER BEAR by SUPER SAVER)
5  SPEED OF THE NILE         (gomez ruben)VAZQUEZ A 122 20.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of GEM SLEUTH by OFFICER)
6  SULLY Nov13         (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 122 4.00 ★    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SCUSAMI by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
7  TIZ TOK         (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 15.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of WEEKEND PROSPECT by A.P. INDY)
 
SA-2   01/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SACRED BEAUTY Jan02 Dec10 Oct28 Sep10 Aug27 (sal)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 2.50 15% 5.60    
2  SHVERE ARBETER Jan06 Dec17 Oct23 Sep24 Sep18 (morfin serg)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 4.00 ★    
3  A BROKEN BREEZE Dec16 Oct16 Sep05 Aug11 Jun08 (harris andrew)MALDONADO E 122 1.60 40% 1.50    
4  SECRET SQUARE Oct23 Sep23 Aug26 Aug11 Jan16 (knapp steve)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 115 5.00    
5  CHAO MAR Dec11 Nov06 Oct22 Oct10 Sep11 (stute gary)HERRERA A 122 8.00 7% 13.50    
6  HOT ON THE TRAIL Dec18 Nov06 Oct15 Jul31 Jul09 (farias adan)RAMIREZ RICARDO 122 6.00 14% 6.20    
 
SA-3   01/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERO STATUS Nov25 Nov06 Sep02 Aug04 Jun19 (glatt mark)SMITH E 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
2  HOLDEN THE LUTE Nov25 Oct08 Sep11 Aug18 Jun12 (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
3  BOLD ENDEAVOR Dec31 Oct16 Sep04 Jul24 Jun11 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.00 20% 3.90    
4  RED FLAG Nov06 Jun12 May15     (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 122 5.00    
SCR  AMERICAN ADMIRAL Oct08 Sep04 Jul31 Jun12 May15 (yakteen ti)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 ★    
6  MIDNIGHT MAMMOTH Dec10 Oct28 Sep24 Aug13 Jul03 (mccarthy sea)DESORMEAUX J 124 6.00 ★    
 
SA-4   01/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($62.5K) Purse ($42K) 3 ALL PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKS RARE Nov24         (o'neill d)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 2.00 42% 1.40    
2  GLENDALE Dec26 Dec04 Oct29 Oct07 Aug21 (kru)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 8.00 ★    
3  RUSSELLS HUSTLE Dec04 Oct09 Sep30 Sep11 Jul31 (papaprodromou g)VAZQUEZ A 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
4  DEEP RIVER Jan08 Aug26 Jul24     (harty eoin)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 12.00    
5  DONTTESTYOURLUCK Dec31 Dec10       (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 123 6.00    
6  REIGN OVER ME Nov12 Sep11       (palma hector)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 12.00 ★    
7  LOW EXPECTATIONS Dec26 Dec04 Nov12 Oct21   (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 2.50 8% 11.90    
 
SA-5   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAUL VINCENTS POEM Dec20 Nov14 Jan07     (trela rosemary)MALDONADO E 124 15.00 5% 18.30    
2  SONIC BREES Dec30 Dec16 Oct28 Oct09 Sep24 (ganbat enebish)CEDILLO ABEL 124 5.00 7% 12.70    
3  MY HARBORS DREAM Nov26 Aug25 Aug14 Jul16 Jun12 (brinkerhoff )CONTRERAS LUIS 124 8.00 27% 2.70    
4  MIGHTY MATT Dec18 Nov20 Oct21 Sep24 Sep17 (periban jor)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 5.00    
5  JOKER BOY Nov19 Oct29 Sep03 Aug05 Jul08 (koriner bri)HERRERA A 124 4.00 6% 15.20    
SCR  RING GENERAL Oct23 Oct02 Sep03 Jul28 Jun26 (hes)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 8.00    
7  SITTIN ON GO Dec30 Dec17 Oct15 Apr15 Mar20 (pineda g)VAZQUEZ A 124 5.00    
8  BIG BAD GARY Dec09         (gomez ruben)FREY KYLE 124 20.00    
9  SAWASDEE Dec18 Nov24 Oct30 Oct09 Aug25 (dealba ces)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
SA-6   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I GOT NO MUNNY Jul23         (gla)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 6.00 6% 16.10    
2  HOPKINS Dec26 Nov26 Oct23 Sep04   (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  CLASSIER Jan02 Jan14       (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00    
4  MCLAREN VALE Oct12 Jul02 Jun08 May07 Apr16 (sadler john )KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 3.00 11% 7.90    
5  TOOK CHARGE Dec26 Feb04       (powell leon)HERRERA A 122 3.50 38% 1.60    
6  CLEM LABINE Oct08 Sep24 Aug21 Jul22 Jun18 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 124 15.00    
7  TRAEGAR Dec03 Oct29 Sep30 Sep04 Aug05 (glatt mark)SMITH E 122 3.50 ★    
 
SA-7   01/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC12 GOOD Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KIRSTENBOSCH Dec26 Nov22 Oct15 Sep05 Aug21 (sadler john )KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of LLANDUDNO by BELONG TO ME)
2  ANGEL NADESHIKO Dec03 Oct30 Oct01 Sep11 Jul30 (gallagher patric)ESPINOZA V 120 6.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of CIANCHETTA by ARCH)
3  GANADORA Dec26 Sep18 Jun12 Apr10 Feb26 (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.00 ★    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of BELOVEDA by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  SMOOTHLIKEBUTTAH Dec02 Oct30 Oct01 Sep05 Jul29 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 10.00 ★    
  (by MR. BIG out of EIGHT DAUGHTERS by FIVE STAR DAY)
5  NATURAL COLOUR (GB) Dec11 Oct09 Sep17 Aug06 Jun19 (badilla manuel)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 15% 5.60    
  (by EXCEED AND EXCEL (AUS) out of SAFIYNA by SINNDAR (IRE))
6  UNDER THE STARS Dec26 Oct02 Sep04 Jun12 Apr09 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of UNTOUCHED TALENT by STORM CAT)
 
SA-8   01/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDLINE Oct29 Sep30 Sep03 Aug13 Jul28 (sadler jo)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  KRAHENBUHL Dec11 Nov18 Oct23 Sep25   (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 122 10.00 ★    
3  ANARCHIST Jul31 Jul03 Apr24 Mar27   (o'neill doug)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00 16% 5.30    
4  AUGUSTA MELODY Nov26 Mar27 Feb26 Jan30 Jan07 (yakteen tim)CEDILLO ABEL 122 4.00 12% 7.50    
5  THALES Dec18 Nov18       (miller peter)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00    
6  GOT THUNDER Jul09 May30 Apr17 Mar05 Feb12 (sadler john )CONTRERAS LUIS 122 6.00    
7  RECALL AND RELOAD Jul22 May30       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
SCR  SPIRIT OF MAKENA Sep11 Aug05       (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.