The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Turf Paradise
Monday - November 14, 2022

Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
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Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.

 
TUP-1   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
:224 :46 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPPER ROOM 4 1 3.2 2½   33 1hd (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00 12.20  
BIG SCOTT DADDY 1 2 1nk 1½   13 2hd (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 124 2.00 0.70  
TEXAS LONG BOW 2 3 4 44   43¼ (sanderson bruce)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.50 28% 2.50 3.90 S
BIG ENDEAVOR 3 4 2nk 31   23 4½ (person a)CRUZ M 124 4.00 17% 5.00 2.70  
GLENROY 5 5 5 55   55¾ (baze t)CORBETT W 124 6.00 6.40  
SCR  CHUCK NAZTY               (martinez a)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
 
TUP-2   11/14/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
:22 :452 :58     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BODENHEIMER 1 1 1nk 1½   11¼ (lund valorie)WADE LYNDIE 124 3.00 11% 8.40 8.20 W
COBRA JET 2 3 4 4   22¼ (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 121 5.00 1.50  
PAUL VINCENTS POEM 4 5 5 5   536 (trela rosemary)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 4.50 6.00 S
GOLD CRUSHER 3 4 3.2 32   34 46 (lucarelli frank)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 0.90  
JUSPASSINTHRU 5 2 2nk 2½   45(baze lisa)CORBETT W 124 3.50 33% 2.00 9.50  
SCR  JAZZ HANDS               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 18% 4.50    
 
TUP-3   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 2 F PT- 3:40
:223 :46 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANGIE GO 2 4 32 23   22 1(williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 13% 6.90 6.40 W
BEYOND AWESOME 1 1 1 13   12 2(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.50 42% 1.40 0.50 P
UNRIVALED QUEEN 3 2 4 3   36 3(lund valorie)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.50 3.20  
AMY D 5 3 2 4   4410 (martinez a)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 6.00 48.40  
FIFTEEN HUNDRED 6 5 611 612   612½ 511¼ (ferguson chad)CORBETT W 121 8.00 8.10  
ILA VEIW TOO 4 6 58 5   510½ 612½ (belvoir vann)MAWING A 121 5.00 8.40  
SCR  CREME DE MENTHE               (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 4.00 21% 3.80    
 
TUP-4   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
:23 :463 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XTREME MAYHEM 4 7 3 2nk   1½ 1(martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 124 4.50 57% 0.80 2.40 W
TRUTH TO POWER 7 3 74 6   42(kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.50 10% 9.30 10.10 P
WEARENOTBADPEOPLE 2 5 5 32   332 (howey quinn)VERGARA P 124 2.50 2.10 S
DOUBLE THE GOLD 3 4 63 5   547 (crotts e)VALDES ALEXIS 121 8.00 38.60  
DIRT ROAD DOLLARS 5 2 1nk 1nk   2½ 5(vitali j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 7% 13.40 1.70  
BALI STAR 1 6 42 7   7611¾ (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 121 5.00 5.80  
MYBESTISYETTOCOME 6 1 2nk 43   6712¾ (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 124 10.00 49.30  
 
TUP-5   11/14/2022 4950ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
:251 :493 1:134     1:32   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KALLINIKI 5 2 13 14   11(silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50 5% 19.00 2.70 W
LADY PHYLLIS 4 1 3 35   22(sanderson bruce)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 4.00 P
STARS OF BLUEGRASS 3 3 56 5   33(asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 3.30 S
HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY 6 7 7 7   643 (hernandez l)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 5.00 64% 0.60 4.40  
SILLY NOTION 7 4 45 45   54 5(silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 3.00  
LUCKY STEPPER 1 6 88 8   86(weaver gordon)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 15.00 20.50  
MO CONNELLY 8 5 23 24   43 7(metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 119 10.00 13.10  
SHE'S MY RIDE 2 8 6 6   78(simpson shannon)CRUZ M 122 15.00 53.10  
 
TUP-6   11/14/2022 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
:224 :47       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMA TROUBLE MAKER 2 5 4     22 1nk (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 121 3.00 17% 4.90 2.60 W
NO KITTEN 7 4 66     76 2nk (denny travis)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 8.00 29.20  
APRILINTHEPINES 5 6 76     331 (martinez a)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 8.90  
WRIGHT WINGED 8 8 3     65 4(gutierrez quintana)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00 10.50  
BEAU ROCKS 1 7 8     54 5(nunnally jennifer)JENSEN P 124 4.00 4.20  
WEDDING CHAPEL 3 3 54     86(silva l)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 2.00 47% 1.10 1.50  
MADIGAN SQUEEZE 4 1 11     12 7(wolf ashlee)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 5.00 11% 7.90 4.80  
BIGGER THAN YOU 6 2 21     44 87 (monteverde alvaro)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 45.20  
 
TUP-7   11/14/2022 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
:224 :53         :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER JUMPER 9 2 11     11(matt l)BEVERLY JR 124 3.50 3.50  
DATQUICKCAT 6 1 3     22(lavanway dayson)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 15.00 9.20  
MOUNTAIN PASS 5 9 7     33(lewis kevin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 5.00 20% 3.90 7.00 S
SONGOFTHEDESERT 3 5 4     44(reyes norma)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 10.00 11% 8.20 14.80  
REIGN OF FIRE 2 3 55     55(silva l)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00 4.50  
SHOE GAME 7 7 8     666 (silva pablo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 39% 1.60 3.30  
TOP HAT HIGH JINKS 4 6 6     77(johnston kimberley)ZUNINO L 124 15.00 13.00  
BABE'S GOT APPEAL 1 4 21     88(crotts e)BARBER R 124 4.50 3.10  
ASHLEY BEAUTIFUL 8 8 9     913¼ 912¾ (garcia jesus)ANAYA V 124 6.00 28.70  
 
TUP-8   11/14/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
:23 :464 1:103 1:23   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIRT FLIRT 5 4 21 1nk 1 11¼ (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 12.00 4.10  
STREET SHADOW 4 7 7 8 3 33 2¼ (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 2.70 P
CINNTE WINNTE (IRE) 2 6 43 41 44 233 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 3.90  
POETIC PURSUIT 1 1 3 6 5 445 (lebsock greg)LULL E 119 8.00 19.10  
EYES FOR GOLD 3 3 11 3½ 2 54 57 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 119 5.00 5.70  
LADY NOGUEZ 6 8 87 7 67 68 6(cerin vladimir)CORBETT W 122 4.00 9% 10.00 5.40  
FOR LOVE NOT MONEY 8 5 65 52 77 7712¼ (evans justin)WADE LYNDIE 122 3.00 46% 1.20 5.40  
PLUMA 7 2 53 2nk 8 815½ 823¾ (lund valorie)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 10% 8.50 9.40  
SCR  PINK CHANNEL               (eidschun gregory)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.