Handicappers' Racing Form
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Turf Paradise
Monday - November 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TUP-1   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHUCK NAZTY Oct02 Sep18 Sep06 Aug15 Jul25 (martinez a)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
2  BIG SCOTT DADDY Oct08 Sep15 Aug18 Jul22 May27 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 124 2.00    
3  TEXAS LONG BOW Sep25 Aug21 Aug11 Jun26 Jun04 (sanderson bruce)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.50 28% 2.50    
4  BIG ENDEAVOR Sep11 Aug28 Aug12 Jul24   (person a)CRUZ M 124 4.00 17% 5.00    
5  UPPER ROOM Sep17 Sep02 Aug19 Jul15 Jun11 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00 ★    
6  GLENROY Nov05 Sep18 Aug05 Jun25   (baze t)CORBETT W 124 6.00 ★    
 
TUP-2   11/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BODENHEIMER Sep17 May25 Apr24     (lund valorie)WADE LYNDIE 124 3.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  JAZZ HANDS Apr03 Feb05 Jan09     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 18% 4.50    
3  COBRA JET Sep10 Aug25       (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 121 5.00    
4  GOLD CRUSHER Sep17 Mar19 Feb18 Jan22   (lucarelli fra)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 ★    
5  PAUL VINCENTS POEM Jan07         (trela rosemary)LULL E 124 4.50 ★    
6  JUSPASSINTHRU Sep10 Aug19 Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 (baze lisa)CORBETT W 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
 
TUP-3   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 2 F PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEYOND AWESOME May07 Apr13       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  CREME DE MENTHE (IRE) Nov04 Oct14       (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 4.00 21% 3.80    
3  BANGIE GO Sep15 Aug20       (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 13% 6.90    
4  UNRIVALED QUEEN Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 Jul16   (lund valorie)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.50    
5  ILA VEIW TOO Sep18 Aug28 Jul31 Jul17 Jul02 (belvoir vann)MAWING A 121 5.00    
6  AMY D Oct04 Aug07       (martinez a)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 6.00 ★    
7  FIFTEEN HUNDRED Oct10 Sep23 Aug31     (ferguson chad)CORBETT W 121 8.00 ★    
 
TUP-4   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALI STAR Sep23 Sep11 Aug27 Aug13 Jul29 (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 121 5.00 ★    
2  WEARENOTBADPEOPLE Sep03 Mar07 Feb05 Jan17   (howey quinn)VERGARA P 124 2.50 ★    
3  DOUBLE THE GOLD Oct07 Sep09 Jul30 Jul15 May30 (crotts e)VALDES ALEXIS 121 8.00    
4  XTREME MAYHEM Sep14 Aug28 Jul14 Jun18   (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 124 4.50 57% 0.80    
5  DIRT ROAD DOLLARS Oct22 Sep10 Aug13 Jul10 Jun12 (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 7% 13.40    
6  MYBESTISYETTOCOME Jun25 Jun10 May06 Apr21 Apr08 (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 124 10.00    
7  TRUTH TO POWER Sep12 Aug29 Aug06 Jul18 Apr14 (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.50 10% 9.30    
 
TUP-5   11/14/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY STEPPER Sep19 Sep12 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 (weaver gord)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 15.00    
2  SHE'S MY RIDE Sep17 Sep10 Aug27 Aug11 Jul02 (simpson shannon)HENRY WESLEY 122 15.00    
3  STARS OF BLUEGRASS Aug21 Jul30 Jul04 Jun26 Jun12 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 ★    
4  LADY PHYLLIS Nov04 Sep29 Aug28 Jul30 Jul13 (sanderson bru)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 ★    
5  KALLINIKI Aug28 Aug18 Jul30 Jul17 Jun29 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
6  HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY Sep28 Jun16 Jun08 May28 Apr28 (hern)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 5.00 64% 0.60    
7  SILLY NOTION Nov07 Sep14 Aug28 Aug18 Jul09 (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 ★    
8  MO CONNELLY Aug19 Aug07 Jul16 Jun19 May22 (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 119 10.00    
 
TUP-6   11/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAU ROCKS Oct15 Oct10 Sep18 Sep03 Aug21 (nunnally je)JENSEN P 124 4.00 ★    
2  IMA TROUBLE MAKER Sep04 Aug13 Jan28 Jan10   (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 121 3.00 17% 4.90    
3  WEDDING CHAPEL Oct31 Oct11 Sep25 Sep07 Aug23 (silva l)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 2.00 47% 1.10    
4  MADIGAN SQUEEZE Sep17 Sep03 Apr08 Apr01 Mar16 (wolf ashlee)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 5.00 11% 7.90    
5  APRILINTHEPINES Sep20 Aug28 Jul25 Jul11 Jan13 (martinez a)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00    
6  BIGGER THAN YOU Aug08 Jul18 Jul04     (monteverde al)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
7  NO KITTEN Oct09 Sep14 Aug22 Aug14 Jul24 (denny travis)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 8.00    
8  WRIGHT WINGED Sep10 Aug08 Jun25 Jan17   (gutierrez juan )ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00 ★    
 
TUP-7   11/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABE'S GOT APPEAL Jul08 Jun12 May14     (crotts e)BARBER R 124 4.50 ★    
2  REIGN OF FIRE Nov05 Sep03 Aug08 Jan06   (silva l)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00    
3  SONGOFTHEDESERT Sep10 Aug22 Aug08 Apr28 Mar31 (reyes norma)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 10.00 11% 8.20    
4  TOP HAT HIGH JINKS Nov05 Sep03 Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 (johnston kimberley)ZUNINO L 124 15.00    
5  MOUNTAIN PASS Sep10 Aug08 Jul04 Mar30 Mar10 (lewis kevin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 5.00 20% 3.90    
6  DATQUICKCAT Nov04 Sep23 Sep04 Aug26 Jun25 (lavanway dayso)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 15.00    
7  SHOE GAME Nov05 Sep12 Aug20 Aug01 Jul18 (silva pa)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 39% 1.60    
8  ASHLEY BEAUTIFUL Oct22 Oct15 Oct08 Sep18 Sep11 (garcia jesus)ANAYA V 124 6.00    
9  RIVER JUMPER Sep24 Aug17 Aug06 Jun25 May13 (matt l)BEVERLY JR 124 3.50 ★    
 
TUP-8   11/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PINK CHANNEL Sep28 Aug28 Aug16 Jul31 Jul03 (eidschun gregor)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 10.00    
2  POETIC PURSUIT Oct02 Jul17       (lebsock greg)LULL E 119 8.00    
3  CINNTE WINNTE (IRE) Aug28 Aug06 Jun04 Mar19 Feb21 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50    
4  EYES FOR GOLD Oct28 May28 Apr11 Mar21 Feb28 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 119 5.00 ★    
5  STREET SHADOW Sep05 Aug06 Jun25 May02 Apr08 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  DIRT FLIRT Aug15 May07 Mar31 Jan30   (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 12.00    
7  LADY NOGUEZ Oct16         (cerin vladimir)CORBETT W 122 4.00 9% 10.00    
8  PLUMA Sep01 Aug14 Jul30 Jul03 Jun12 (lund valorie)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 10% 8.50    
9  FOR LOVE NOT MONEY Aug27 Jun12 May20 Mar20 Feb12 (evans justin)WADE LYNDIE 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.