Handicappers' Race Results

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Charles Town
Saturday - February 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 2 1 0 $19.80  
CT-2   Win (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $2.20 $2.20  
CT-3   Win (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $54.00  
CT-4   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 5 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 1.20
CT-5   Win (3/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $45.20  
CT-6   Win (1/5/7/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $13.80 $13.80 3.80
CT-7   Win (3/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
CT-8   Win (7/2/9/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $11.60 $11.60 1.60

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   02/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3 F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:241 :50 1:18     1:324   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELLIES AT WINDSOR 2 2 1½ 11   12 1 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 15.00 8.90  
ODINA 1 1 41 32   22 2 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 3.50 4.90 P
ISLE BE THERE 7 7 7 7   4 38 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 72% 0.40 2.30 S
AFLEET PENGUIN 5 6 53 4   34 49 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 10.00 9.10  
AWESOME MOON 4 4 31 21   5 511¾ (jones micha)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 1.70  
GOLDEN SALLY 6 5 6 53   610½ 617½ (boggs joanna)RAMGEET R 120 12.00 6.40  
ONLY ROMANCE 3 3 2½ 6   711½ 728¾ (figgins ollie)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00 22.00  
 
CT-2   02/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:14     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DULCIMER DAME 3 2 1nk 1nk   13 1 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.40 33% 2.10 0.10 W
VOLNAY 5 3 2nk 2nk   23 2 (perri gina)ALVELO C 120 4.50 9.40 P
DIVINE FASHION 4 5 5 48   45 3 (farrior anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.00 10% 9.00 11.40 S
SHERIFF'S KID 1 1 33 36   35 4 (price r)BOCACHICA O 120 5.00 15.10  
SWEET ANNABELLA 6 4 45 5   511 515½ (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 26.80  
MINER'S GEM 2 6 612 623½   624 623½ (mcmahon i)ACOSTA D 120 6.00 24% 3.20 11.40  
SCR  SAX               (arias alfonso)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
 
CT-3   02/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:172     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I B NASTY 4 3 810 7   5½ 1¼ (racanelli mark)BATISTA A 122 10.00 26.00  
LADY WHISTLEDOWN 5 7 4 2nk   2nk 2¼ (mancilla carlo)LEWIS M 115 3.50 1.10 P
IRISH SAMURAI 8 8 7 8   6 3 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 2.50 27% 2.70 2.50 S
SUPERSNAKE 2 2 3½ 3.2   3.2 43 (sandoval michael)BAEZ M 115 12.00 15.10  
ULTIMATE BREEZE 7 5 64 4¾   4¼ 56 (sandoval micha)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00 26.60  
PRETTY SPECTACULAR 1 1 1nk 5   7 6 (montilla )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 18.70  
MAYSVILLE MISS 3 4 2nk 1nk   1nk 7 (farrior anthony)LOPEZ DERECK 112 2.00 52% 0.90 3.10  
BRANDYURAFINEGIRL 6 6 53 6   84 810 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00 24.80  
 
CT-4   02/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:214 :463       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPANY CLOWN 5 4 34     2 1¼ (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 1.20 67% 0.50 0.60 W
KUKULKAN (MEX) 3 5 4     43 2¼ (ramos agost)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 10.00 P
GOLDEN G 1 7 5     5 32 (gillespie ryan )SIMPSON JASON 120 8.00 22.50  
E J'S REVENGE 7 2 6     66 42 (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 124 12.00 7.80  
NITRO TIME 6 1 1½     1 53 (santillana fr)RAMGEET R 120 10.00 13.50  
RULING 4 3 2½     3 6 (hurley jack)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.50 3.20  
BLACK CANDY 2 6 7     7 75 (tomczak mark)RIOS-CONDE A 120 12.00 29.20  
 
CT-5   02/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:233 :49 1:171     1:314   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL THE WAY MAE 4 7 720¾ 716   41 16 (deiter lynn)ACOSTA D 124 12.00 21.60  
CAN'T FIGURE 3 3 5 45   2nk 26 (johnson r)ARAUJO DENIS 124 5.00 15% 5.80 1.30 P
KERFORD'S COMMISH 6 5 33 1nk   1nk 3 (nixon justin)PEREZ XAVIER 124 5.00 2.80  
UNBRIDLED IRISH 5 4 13 2nk   3½ 4 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 11% 8.40 4.20  
MO STYLISH 1 1 23 5   6 512½ (rodriguez jo)COLINA ALEJANDRO 122 4.00 6.50  
I'M SO EXTRA 2 2 4 3   5 613 (jackson sherr)RAMGEET R 124 4.50 45% 1.20 6.70  
SUNSET QUEEN 7 6 6 68   710½ 723¾ (lucas anthony)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 12.00 34.40  
SCR  HELLO JAMROCK               (smith valrie)HO WESLEY 124 12.00    
SCR  KATHY ONLY               (hillegass alexand)BOCACHICA O 124 15.00 6% 15.60    
 
CT-6   02/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:244 :494 1:152 1:423   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPROBABLE STORY 2 1 1nk 1 1½ 1 1 (king l)LEWIS M 113 3.50 6% 15.80 5.90 W
JAMMIN JIMTOWN 1 4 4 3 4 33 2 (sanderson s)RODRIGUEZ V 124 2.50 32% 2.10 1.90 P
SHANGHAI CANDY 6 7 6 5 7 54 3 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00 20.60  
ALBERTANO 7 6 5 6 5 64 4 (magee kieron)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 15% 5.80 5.50  
GOLDEN APPEAL 4 2 2nk 2 3 4 5 (craig e)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00 16.30  
HONOR THE FLEET 5 5 3 4 2½ 2 6 (magee kiero)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 20% 4.10 1.20  
JAMMIN STILL 3 3 7 7 6 7 712¼ (caison l)BAEZ M 113 20.00 5% 19.00 33.10  
 
CT-7   02/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP M/F PT-10:02
See original race card.
:222 :473       :54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOSTLY SQUALL 6 2 1½     1½ 14 (mckee d)MONTANO JOSE 122 3.00 12% 7.70 1.90 W
UNLOCK 2 6 66     6 24 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 19.90  
SHUTUPN'KISSME 4 3 2½     2½ 34 (mckee d)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 8% 11.70 6.70 S
DEEMED ESSENTIAL 1 4 4     4 4 (farrior anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.00 18% 4.50 2.50  
SISTER JOANN 5 1 3½     5 511¼ (hess g)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00 8.20  
MERCI ROAD 3 5 5     3 6100 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 37% 1.70 2.20  
SCR  REVEIRS MINUTE               (hess g)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   02/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP M/F PT-10:32
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:16     1:302   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ MICHELLE'S WAY 9 7 11 1   1nk 11 (obed-letts ketu)RIVERA JAVIER 122 5.00 10% 8.70 4.80 W
MARKETABILITY 6 10 97 9   43 21 (johnson r)ARAUJO DENIS 122 10.00 7.10  
CHINA CAT 8 9 86 54   2nk 31 (sanderson wa)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.00 1.20  
CLEARLY VISIBLE 2 1 65 44   31 4 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 13% 6.60 11.90  
RAVENEL 1 4 10 7   5 5 (harting chris )BATISTA A 122 10.00 13.20  
10  TORCH CARRIER 10 8 43 6   6 6 (frock charles )LEWIS M 115 15.00 10.30  
LIGHTFOOT MISS 4 3 76 8   9 7 (frock a)CULLUM W 122 15.00 41.60  
TEMPORARILY 7 6 54 10   8 85 (haynes ernest)RAMGEET R 124 2.50 29% 2.40 6.90  
SOCIAL EXCLUSION 5 5 32 3   7 9 (hillegass alexand)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00 9% 10.30 24.10  
LADY KAZA 3 2 21 2   1013¾ 1029½ (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00 9% 10.60 18.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.