Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - February 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/4/6/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7)-(7/4/6/1/3)-(7/4/6/1/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7)-(4/2/5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (7)-(4/2/5)-(3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5/6/1)-(4/2/5/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(3/8)-(5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/8)-(3/8/6/5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/8)-(3/8/6/5/1)-(3/8/6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8)-(5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (3/8)-(5)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CT-4   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/4/6/3/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/4/6/3/7)-(5/4/6/3/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5)-(3/4/6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (5)-(3/4/6)-(1/5/7/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6/1)-(3/4/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(1/5/7/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(1/5/7/2/3)-(3/1/7/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/5/7/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/2/3)-(1/5/7/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/2/3)-(1/5/7/2/3)-(1/5/7/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/7/2/3)-(3/1/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/2/3)-(3/1/7/4)-(7/2/9/5/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-7   WIN (3/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/4)-(3/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/4)-(3/1/7/4)-(3/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/7/4)-(7/2/9/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/2/9/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/9/5/3)-(7/2/9/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/9/5/3)-(7/2/9/5/3)-(7/2/9/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   02/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ODINA Feb04 Jan18 Jan06 Dec02   (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 3.50 ★    
2  ELLIES AT WINDSOR Jan06         (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
3  ONLY ROMANCE Jan26         (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00 ★    
4  AWESOME MOON Feb04 Jan21 Jan06 Nov04 Oct13 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 ★    
5  AFLEET PENGUIN Jan21 Dec15 Sep23     (runco c)LEWIS M 115 10.00    
6  GOLDEN SALLY Jan18 Jan06 Dec15 Dec03 Nov16 (boggs joann)RAMGEET R 120 12.00 ★    
7  ISLE BE THERE Jan21 Nov24 Oct06     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 72% 0.40    
 
CT-2   02/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHERIFF'S KID Jan18 Jan05 Nov10 Oct22 Sep28 (price r)BOCACHICA O 120 5.00 ★    
2  MINER'S GEM Aug17 Jun29 Jun23 Apr27 Apr07 (mcmahon i)ACOSTA D 120 6.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  SAX Jan05 Dec17 Nov25 Nov05 Oct22 (arias alfonso)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
4  DULCIMER DAME Jan21 Jan05 Nov10 Oct19 Sep28 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.40 33% 2.10    
5  DIVINE FASHION Jan21 Jan14 Jan07 Dec03 Nov18 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.00 10% 9.00    
6  VOLNAY Jan01 Nov10 Oct19 Sep28 Sep09 (perri gina)ALVELO C 120 4.50 ★    
7  SWEET ANNABELLA Jan27 Jan06 Nov30 Nov17 Sep30 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00    
 
CT-3   02/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRETTY SPECTACULAR Jan25 Jan04 Dec10 Nov23 Oct29 (montill)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 ★    
2  SUPERSNAKE Jan26 Jan05 Dec14 Nov23 Nov11 (sandoval michael)BAEZ M 115 12.00    
3  MAYSVILLE MISS Jan25 Jan04 Dec10 Nov30 Nov05 (farrior anthon)LOPEZ DERECK 112 2.00 52% 0.90    
4  I B NASTY Jan26 Jan04 Dec10 Nov30 Nov05 (racanelli ma)BATISTA A 122 10.00    
5  LADY WHISTLEDOWN Jan22 Dec10 Nov19 Nov07 Oct08 (mancilla car)LEWIS M 115 3.50 ★    
6  BRANDYURAFINEGIRL Jan04 Dec17 Nov17 Apr13 Mar16 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00 ★    
7  ULTIMATE BREEZE Jan26 Jan12 Jan05 Dec10 Nov09 (sandoval mic)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00    
8  IRISH SAMURAI Jan25 Jan04 Dec10 Dec01 Nov18 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
CT-4   02/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN G Jan21 Jan13 Dec16 Nov25 Nov05 (gillespie rya)SIMPSON JASON 120 8.00    
2  BLACK CANDY Dec13 Nov15 Oct25 Oct09 Sep22 (tomczak mark)RIOS-CONDE A 120 12.00    
3  KUKULKAN (MEX) Jan27 Dec16 Dec01 Nov05 Oct21 (ramos ago)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 ★    
4  RULING Jan04 Dec16 Dec01 Sep29 Sep22 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.50 ★    
5  COMPANY CLOWN Dec01 Nov05 Sep29 Sep01 Aug11 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 1.20 67% 0.50    
6  NITRO TIME Jan21 Dec16 Nov05 Sep21 Aug31 (santillana )RAMGEET R 120 10.00 ★    
7  E J'S REVENGE Feb02 Jan22 Jan13 Jan01 Dec16 (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 124 12.00 ★    
 
CT-5   02/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO STYLISH Nov16 Nov04 Oct07 Aug18 Jul21 (rodriguez )COLINA ALEJANDRO 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  KATHY ONLY         (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 124 15.00 6% 15.60    
3  I'M SO EXTRA Jan14 Dec09 Oct29 Oct05   (jackson she)RAMGEET R 124 4.50 45% 1.20    
4  CAN'T FIGURE Jan21 Dec17 Dec01 Nov18 Nov02 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 124 5.00 15% 5.80    
5  ALL THE WAY MAE Nov04 Oct21 Aug24 Aug12 Jun24 (deiter lyn)ACOSTA D 124 12.00    
6  UNBRIDLED IRISH Jan13 Dec29 Nov21 Oct13 Sep14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 11% 8.40    
7  KERFORD'S COMMISH Jan13 Dec02 Oct14 Aug24   (nixon justin)PEREZ XAVIER 124 5.00    
SCR  HELLO JAMROCK Jan29 Feb06 Jan23 Jan01   (smith valrie)HO WESLEY 124 12.00    
9  SUNSET QUEEN Dec09 Nov30 Nov09 Sep24 Sep06 (lucas antho)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 12.00    
 
CT-6   02/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAMMIN JIMTOWN Jan18 Dec09 Oct29 Oct06 Aug27 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
2  IMPROBABLE STORY Jan25 Jan18 Nov30 Nov12 Sep30 (king l)LEWIS M 113 3.50 6% 15.80    
3  JAMMIN STILL Jan28 Jan14 Jan06 Dec07 Dec01 (caison l)BAEZ M 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  GOLDEN APPEAL Jan18 Dec14 Nov24 Nov03 Oct12 (craig e)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00    
5  HONOR THE FLEET Jan18 Jan06 Nov25 Nov12 Oct26 (magee kie)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 20% 4.10    
6  SHANGHAI CANDY Jan25 Jan07 Dec14 Nov16 Oct29 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00    
7  ALBERTANO Jan28 Jan06 Dec18 Nov19 Oct16 (magee kier)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 15% 5.80    
 
CT-7   02/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEEMED ESSENTIAL Jan28 Nov23 Sep28 Sep03 Aug13 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.00 18% 4.50    
2  UNLOCK Jan28 Jan05 Nov23 Nov05 Oct11 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00    
3  MERCI ROAD Jan25 Dec01 Nov09 Oct20 Oct01 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 37% 1.70    
4  SHUTUPN'KISSME Jan25 Dec07 Nov09 Oct20 Sep28 (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 8% 11.70    
5  SISTER JOANN Dec15 Nov19 Oct19 Sep29 Sep21 (hess g)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00    
SCR  REVEIRS MINUTE Jan19 Dec10 Oct22 Oct01 Sep08 (hess g)LARROSA G 120 15.00 ★    
7  GHOSTLY SQUALL Dec14 May21 Apr27 Mar17   (mckee d)MONTANO JOSE 122 3.00 12% 7.70    
 
CT-8   02/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAVENEL Dec10 Nov18 Oct06 Sep22 Jul01 (harting chri)BATISTA A 122 10.00    
2  CLEARLY VISIBLE Jan21 Dec16 Nov02 Oct12 Sep21 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 13% 6.60    
3  LADY KAZA Jan21 Dec17 Dec02 Nov05 Oct22 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00 9% 10.60    
4  LIGHTFOOT MISS Jan14 Jan06 Dec02 Nov12 Oct23 (frock a)CULLUM W 122 15.00    
5  SOCIAL EXCLUSION Jan14 Dec17 Dec03 Nov15 Oct26 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00 9% 10.30    
6  MARKETABILITY Jan21 Jan05 Dec02 Oct19 Sep23 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 10.00    
7  TEMPORARILY Jan14 Dec14 Nov29 Nov12 Oct19 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
8  CHINA CAT Jan21 Jan05 Nov10 Oct19 Sep28 (sanderson )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.00    
9  TIZ MICHELLE'S WAY Jan21 Oct29 Sep24 Sep03 Aug13 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 5.00 10% 8.70    
10  TORCH CARRIER Jan14 Dec17 Nov25 Nov18 Oct27 (frock charle)LEWIS M 115 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.