Handicappers' Race Results

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Charles Town
Thursday - January 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 1.20
CT-2   Win (7/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
CT-3   Win (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 8 1 0 $54.80  
CT-4   Win (6/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
CT-5   Win (5/7/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $5.20  
CT-6   Win (6/7/5/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $17.60  
CT-7   Win (4/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 0.60
CT-8   Win (1/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $10.40 $10.40 2.40

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   01/12/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:22 :46       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DING DING 3 1 1     16 1 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 1.00 40% 1.50 1.60 W
ADABEL 1 6 4     36 2 (garrido r)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 10.00 11.00 P
SAFE REEZAN 6 3 3     47 3 (reynolds a)THORPE DARIUS 122 2.00 31% 2.20 1.10 S
WOLF CREEK PASS 5 2 2     26 4 (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 122 4.50 4.40  
MY EXPENSIVE GIFT 4 5 6     69 59 (sandoval michael)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00 20.10  
HURRICANE DIRECTOR 2 4 5     5 611¾ (mcgill sylves)RAMGEET R 122 15.00 25.30  
 
CT-2   01/12/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:223 :47       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAR'S ESTATE 7 1 13     14 1 (knoblauch-perez )RIOS-CONDE A 122 1.40 30% 2.30 1.10 W
A GREAT AFFAIR 5 5 45     34 2 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 29% 2.40 2.00 P
MIO GRACELAND 2 3 23     24 34 (sanderson s)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 11% 8.30 6.80 S
ORANGEBURG 3 4 34     45 46 (meehan elizabe)WHITACRE GRANT 122 3.00 5.30  
YDOUHAVETOBESOMEAN 1 6 7     5 5 (atkins mich)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00 25.10  
ROCKING TO HOME 4 7 5     67 6 (obed-letts ketu)RIVERA JAVIER 120 5.00 13.30  
MEGALODON'SREVENGE 6 2 6     7 7 (shanley timothy)CULLUM W 120 30.00 56.50  
 
CT-3   01/12/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:222 :454       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIBER STRONG 7 1 2nk     12 1 (runco c)LEWIS M 117 8.00 26.40  
AMIDSHIPS 4 6 31     32 2 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 1.30 P
DERBY DAY DREAMS 6 4 6     6 3 (barber dona)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00 16% 5.10 5.70 DQ↓7
SUPER JORDAN 2 2 1nk     22 44 (carson laura)THORPE DARIUS 120 10.00 29.20  
FROGGY THE GREMLIN 1 5 52     5 5 (greaves vernon)BOCACHICA O 124 15.00 15.70  
BOSS E BOOGS 3 3 4     45 6 (stehr jos)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 12.00 24.50  
DRINKWITHTHESTARS 5 7 77     711¼ 727¾ (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.60 57% 0.80 1.10  
SCR  SAAFEN               (rodriguez jesus)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
 
CT-4   01/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($38.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:12     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NICO 6 4 31 3½   14 17 (contrera)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50 57% 0.80 1.00 W
AUBURN MILL 1 1 1½ 1nk   24 27 (farrior anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.40 1.60 P
ROCKET APPEAL 2 2 2½ 2nk   3 38 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 20.00 5% 19.00 32.00 S
OUT OF CENTS 4 3 5 4   4 49 (runco c)LEWIS M 113 8.00 12% 7.70 15.70  
BOASTER 5 7 78 7   6 510½ (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 12.00 7% 13.60 15.40  
BUFF'S EYE VIEW 3 6 6 6   5 610¾ (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00 12.90  
MISSIONSNINETYNINE 7 5 4 5   7 712¼ (schiano-dicol)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 6.90  
 
CT-5   01/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:144     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A GOOD LAW 8 5 2½ 12   1nk 1¼ (viands gregory)ADAMS L 115 1.20 1.60  
DIAL HER 5 2 42 3   2nk 2¼ (runco c)CULLUM W 122 5.00 43% 1.30 5.60 P
CUMULONIMBUS 4 8 7 6   34 3 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 6.00 4.70 S
DECISIVE CAUSE 2 3 6 54   4 4 (shanley mark)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00 13% 6.50 1.60  
FORT ZANNA 1 6 811½ 8   5 510¼ (conn p)BAEZ M 117 10.00 22.10  
ULTIMATE BREEZE 6 7 5 7   7 611½ (sandoval michae)THORPE DARIUS 120 20.00 28.30  
CHANNEL SCENT 7 4 32 44   8 715¼ (sewell lenw)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00 49.50  
SUPERSTASIA 3 1 1½ 22   6 817½ (rangel ricard)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 30.00 44.90  
SCR  EXTRA CRUNCHY               (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.50 19% 4.20    
 
CT-6   01/12/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:214 :453       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BAYTOWN FROSTY 8 5 3.2     2nk 1¾ (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 122 6.00 7.80  
FULLY CONNECTED 5 3 1nk     1nk 2¾ (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 56% 0.80 1.80 P
NEWS FLASH 4 4 6     5 3 (keller chris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 6% 16.00 7.60 S
GOLDEN KEY 7 2 2nk     31 4 (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00 5% 17.90 3.00  
INSIDE RISK 3 7 7     7 5 (caison l)CECIL Y 120 20.00 41.00  
CAIRO CALLING 6 6 4     4 65 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 3.00 8% 12.00 3.20  
STRONG FIBER 2 1 5     65 7 (mckee d)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00 10.20  
BAYTOWN WARRIOR 1 8 8     811¼ 810 (mcentee paul)RAMGEET R 120 15.00 27.60  
SCR  BLACK CANDY               (tomczak mark)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHTCHARLY               (penaloza miguel)SIMPSON JASON 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   01/12/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:221 :461       :523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY LOVELY GIRL 4 4 4     3 1½ (larrosa r)LARROSA G 120 8.00 7% 13.20 3.30 W
ALPINE MOON 3 6 6     44 2½ (davis rus)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 3.00 36% 1.80 4.00 P
BANDITS WARRIOR 2 3 2nk     11 3½ (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 2.00 30% 2.30 0.50 S
REIGN ON AND ON 5 2 3.2     21 43 (huet k)CULLUM W 120 20.00 34.90  
CANVAS ART 1 5 5     5 5 (grams timot)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 16.80  
AYKIZ 6 1 1nk     6 6 (ramos mi)RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00 17.80  
SCR  BACI               (penaloza)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
SCR  MADERA               (hillegass alexand)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
SCR  R WORKING GIRL               (hillegass alexand)BOCACHICA O 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   01/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:134     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDIANA RED 6 6 5 31   2nk 1 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50 22% 3.60 4.20 W
INSTIGATED 5 3 21 4   3 2 (ramirez a)MONTANO JOSE 122 4.50 2.70  
JACK THE RIPPER (FR) 1 4 11 11   1nk 33 (farrior anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 35% 1.90 3.50 S
MY CANDY BIZ 3 1 42 6   4 47 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 124 20.00 19.80  
LOST IN MANHATTAN 4 2 7 5   6 5 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 12% 7.60 3.50  
MONGOLIAN HERO 8 8 8 8   56 6 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 7.20  
COMPOUND IT 7 7 31 21   7 713½ (moreno-barban)RAMGEET R 122 10.00 7.70  
U ROCK IT 2 5 64 74   8 816 (hillegass alexand)BOCACHICA O 122 30.00 37.30  
SCR  SOUTHSIDE WARRIOR               (hurley jack)MORALES KELVIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.