Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - January 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/1/5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/1/5/4)-(3/6/1/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6)-(7/5/2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(7/5/2/1)-(5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/1)-(7/5/2/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/1)-(7/5/2/1/3)-(7/5/2/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/2/1)-(5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/1)-(5/7)-(6/4/5/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7/8/4/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/7/8/4/1)-(5/7/8/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7)-(6/4/5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(6/4/5/2)-(5/2/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/2)-(6/4/5/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/2)-(6/4/5/2/1)-(6/4/5/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/5/2)-(5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/2)-(5/2/8)-(6/7/5/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/8)-(5/2/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/8)-(5/2/8/4)-(5/2/8/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/8)-(6/7/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/8)-(6/7/5/9)-(4/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (6/7/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/9)-(6/7/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/9)-(6/7/5/9)-(6/7/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/5/9)-(4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/9)-(4/3/6)-(1/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(1/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5/9)-(1/7/5/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   01/12/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADABEL Dec08 Nov23 Nov02 Sep28 Sep03 (garrido)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 10.00 ★    
2  HURRICANE DIRECTOR Dec12 Nov30 Nov03 Oct14 Sep28 (mcgill sylv)RAMGEET R 122 15.00    
3  DING DING Oct01 Jul07 May21 Apr06 Mar23 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 1.00 40% 1.50    
4  MY EXPENSIVE GIFT Nov24 Oct13 Sep24 Jul22 Jul17 (sandoval michae)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00 ★    
5  WOLF CREEK PASS Nov03 Sep22       (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 122 4.50 ★    
6  SAFE REEZAN Nov24 Sep28 Aug12 Jul01 Jun03 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
 
CT-2   01/12/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YDOUHAVETOBESOMEAN Dec10 Nov30 Nov18 Nov05 Oct19 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MIO GRACELAND Dec16 Nov26 Oct22 Oct05 Sep21 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 11% 8.30    
3  ORANGEBURG Nov23 Nov16 Oct29 Oct15 Sep29 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 3.00 ★    
4  ROCKING TO HOME Dec16 Nov16 Oct21 Sep09 Aug27 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 5.00    
5  A GREAT AFFAIR Dec16 Nov12       (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 29% 2.40    
6  MEGALODON'SREVENGE Dec16 Nov10 Oct12 Sep22 Jul22 (shanley timothy)CULLUM W 120 30.00    
7  BEAR'S ESTATE Dec14 Nov26 Nov12 Oct21 Sep30 (knoblauch-pere)RIOS-CONDE A 122 1.40 30% 2.30    
 
CT-3   01/12/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROGGY THE GREMLIN Nov25 Oct15 Sep15 Jun11 May13 (greaves vernon)BOCACHICA O 124 15.00 ★    
2  SUPER JORDAN Dec16 Nov25 Oct15 Sep24 Sep07 (carson laura)THORPE DARIUS 120 10.00    
3  BOSS E BOOGS         (stehr j)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 12.00    
4  AMIDSHIPS Oct29 Oct08 Sep10     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 ★    
5  DRINKWITHTHESTARS Dec16 Nov23 Oct29 Oct01 Sep07 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.60 57% 0.80    
SCR  SAAFEN Dec01 Oct22 Sep23 Sep07   (rodriguez jesus)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
7  DERBY DAY DREAMS Oct08 Aug13 Jul02 Jun11 Apr27 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00 16% 5.10    
8  FIBER STRONG Oct15 Sep24 Aug13 Jul02 Jun11 (runco c)LEWIS M 117 8.00 ★    
 
CT-4   01/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($38.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUBURN MILL Dec14 Nov19 Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.40 ★    
2  ROCKET APPEAL Dec09 Nov10 Oct28 Sep24 Aug13 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  BUFF'S EYE VIEW Oct27 Oct08 Sep08 Jun04 Apr08 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00    
4  OUT OF CENTS Nov18 Oct27 Oct08 Sep08 Jun16 (runco c)LEWIS M 113 8.00 12% 7.70    
5  BOASTER Nov18 Oct27 Aug26 Jul15 May18 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 12.00 7% 13.60    
6  NICO Nov18 Nov03 Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50 57% 0.80    
7  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Dec14 Nov10 Oct13 Sep17 Aug25 (schiano-dic)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00    
 
CT-5   01/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORT ZANNA Dec16 Nov18 Nov02 Oct14 Sep16 (conn p)BAEZ M 117 10.00    
2  DECISIVE CAUSE Dec08 Nov25 Nov04 Oct01 Sep21 (shanley mark)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00 13% 6.50    
3  SUPERSTASIA Dec17 Dec10 Nov18 Nov11 Oct28 (rangel rica)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 30.00    
4  CUMULONIMBUS Dec10 Oct14 Aug21 Jul31 May15 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 6.00 ★    
5  DIAL HER Nov17 Oct13 Sep14 Mar11   (runco c)CULLUM W 122 5.00 43% 1.30    
6  ULTIMATE BREEZE Jan05 Dec10 Nov09 Oct28 Sep23 (sandoval mich)THORPE DARIUS 120 20.00    
SCR  EXTRA CRUNCHY Dec07 Nov19 Oct29 Oct12 Sep18 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.50 19% 4.20    
8  CHANNEL SCENT Jul30 Jun23 Jun11 May21 Apr30 (sewell le)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  A GOOD LAW Dec07 Aug26 Aug12 Jul10   (viands gregor)ADAMS L 115 1.20    
 
CT-6   01/12/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYTOWN WARRIOR Dec22 Dec05 Nov02 Oct12 Sep25 (mcentee pau)RAMGEET R 120 15.00    
2  STRONG FIBER Nov17 Nov04 Oct14 Oct01 Sep09 (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHTCHARLY Oct11 Sep10 Aug22 Jul19 Jul12 (penaloza migu)SIMPSON JASON 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  INSIDE RISK Jan01 Dec16 Nov24 Nov02 Oct20 (caison l)CECIL Y 120 20.00    
5  NEWS FLASH Nov24 Nov02 Oct12 Sep14 Aug12 (keller chr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 6% 16.00    
6  FULLY CONNECTED Nov12 Oct12 Aug28 Aug06 Jul18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 56% 0.80    
7  CAIRO CALLING Nov17 Oct30 Sep14 Apr28 Apr01 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 3.00 8% 12.00    
SCR  BLACK CANDY Dec13 Nov15 Oct25 Oct09 Sep22 (tomczak mark)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00    
9  GOLDEN KEY Nov24 Oct08 Sep14 Jul16 Jun11 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00 5% 17.90    
10  BAYTOWN FROSTY Dec05 Nov02 Oct12 Jul06 Jun22 (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 122 6.00    
 
CT-7   01/12/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MADERA Dec29 Dec16 Nov19 Jan20   (hillegass alexa)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
2  CANVAS ART Nov26 Nov02 Oct02 Sep09 Jul30 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00    
3  BANDITS WARRIOR Jan01 Nov11 Oct21 Sep25 Aug19 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 2.00 30% 2.30    
4  ALPINE MOON Nov19 Oct08 Sep16 Aug26 Jun18 (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  R WORKING GIRL Jan05 Dec16 Dec01 Nov21 Nov02 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MY LOVELY GIRL Dec16 Nov26 Nov15 Oct22 Oct02 (larrosa r)LARROSA G 120 8.00 7% 13.20    
SCR  BACI Dec16 Dec07 Nov15 Oct26 Sep20 (penalo)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 ★    
8  REIGN ON AND ON Nov19 Oct19 Jun18 Jun04 Apr09 (huet k)CULLUM W 120 20.00    
9  AYKIZ Nov19 Oct17 Sep20 Jul03 May20 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00    
 
CT-8   01/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACK THE RIPPER (FR) Dec08 Oct27 Sep29 Sep07 Jul29 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 35% 1.90    
2  U ROCK IT Jan04 Dec17 Dec01 Oct14 Sep04 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 122 30.00    
3  MY CANDY BIZ Nov17 Nov03 Oct26 Oct06 Sep08 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 124 20.00    
SCR  SOUTHSIDE WARRIOR Nov16 Sep29 Sep07 Aug18 Jul29 (hurley jack)MORALES KELVIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  LOST IN MANHATTAN Nov16 Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 Aug25 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 12% 7.60    
6  INSTIGATED Dec18 Dec04 Nov14 Nov02 Oct01 (ramirez a)MONTANO JOSE 122 4.50    
7  INDIANA RED Nov10 Oct21 Oct07 Apr23 Mar19 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50 22% 3.60    
8  COMPOUND IT Nov29 Nov08 Oct28 Oct03 Sep20 (moreno-barb)RAMGEET R 122 10.00    
9  MONGOLIAN HERO Dec10 Dec01 Nov19 Nov10 Oct29 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.