The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Charles Town
Thursday - January 19, 2023

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CT-1   01/19/2023 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance   Purse ($35.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:00
:24 :48 1:134     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCEAN LILLY 2 3 1nk 1½   11(jones e)HO WESLEY 124 6.00 12% 7.40 6.40 W
GRACE'S SECRET 1 2 31 3   22(farrior anthony)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 1.00  
NAVY SWORD 6 5 55 5   43(runco c)LEWIS M 117 3.50 16% 5.10 2.50 S
LACE REVOLUTION 5 4 2nk 2½   34 4(shanley mark)ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.50 5.80  
DOOR BUSTER 3 1 42 4   5511¾ (figgins l)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 3.00 46% 1.20 6.40  
DECISIVE CAUSE 4 6 6 6   6613¾ (shanley mark)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00 28.50  
SCR  GOLDEN SWEETS               (bass w)RAMGEET R 120 15.00    
 
CT-2   01/19/2023 2970ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance   Purse ($35.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:30
:222 :46       :522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOPPING HENRY 5 4 2nk     2nk 1(sterling e)PELTROCHE F 120 2.00 10% 9.10 0.50 W
REMYS GUNSMOKE 6 2 1nk     1nk 2(grams c)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 12.60 P
ROYAL PAIN 7 1 42     333 (johnson r)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.50 13% 6.90 5.20 S
RIVER WARRIOR RVF 4 3 53     54(runco c)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 49% 1.00 3.80  
REATA'S CASTLE 2 6 64     65(collyer d)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00 13.60  
JAXJAXXORJACKS 1 7 7     76(caison l)ADAMS L 113 20.00 20.90  
CHARITABLY GIFTED 3 5 31     478 (harrison n)SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00 6% 16.90 50.60  
 
CT-3   01/19/2023 5610ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance   Purse ($34.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
:233 :482 1:142 1:422   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOMEDAY IS TODAY 4 3 1 1 1 13 14 (farrior anthony)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 27% 2.70 0.60 W
MIDNIGHT BRASS 6 5 5 5 4 35 24 (runco c)LEWIS M 113 1.80 45% 1.20 3.50 P
ELIANAGRACE 8 6 4 3 2 23 3(joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00 45.60  
BAYS CASTLE 5 8 812 610½ 58 64(casey a)ARAUJO DENIS 120 6.00 14.40  
CLASSIC COLORS 7 7 711 811½ 811¾ 59 5(viands gregory)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00 5% 19.00 4.90  
TIZBIT 2 1 2 2 3 49 614 (gillespie a)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 15.00 55.60  
CODAS HONOR 1 4 610½ 711 711½ 710¾ 714½ (farrior anthony)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 9.70  
TOUT ENSEMBLE 3 2 35 4 611½ 816¾ 837¼ (viands gregory)MORALES KELVIN 120 15.00 49.60  
 
CT-4   01/19/2023 5610ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
:251 :501 1:162 1:44   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOK OF DELANCEY 1 1 1nk 11 1 11(hillegass alexandra)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 7% 13.90 11.00 W
LIL TOUGHMAN 2 4 41 31 2 22(johnson r)ARAUJO DENIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00 3.10 P
FRONT PORCH 4 3 63 6 3 335 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 3.00 19% 4.20 11.60 S
AIR MEDAL 3 5 76 7 55 44 4(boggs joanna)CULLUM W 122 3.50 36% 1.80 4.40  
RICKYS REVENGE 8 8 5 5 6 58 522¼ (hillegass alexandra)RAMGEET R 122 2.50 3.20  
CITIZEN'S FIRE 7 6 8 817¼ 817¼ 715 624¼ (sewell l)LEWIS M 115 20.00 52.50  
THATZA ALPHA 6 7 3½ 42 7 612½ 726 (cornwell jr)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00 8.40  
SIMILAR TASTE 5 2 2nk 21 4 8100 8100 (gladden damon)HO WESLEY 122 5.00 6% 16.50 2.80  
 
CT-5   01/19/2023 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
:232 :47 1:131     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEVERLY PARK 8 8 4 2nk   11 13 (cash l)ACOSTA D 124 0.80 57% 0.80 0.40 W
AARON'S TAP 1 1 6 6   523 (sanderson s)RAMGEET R 120 12.00 7% 13.50 16.70 P
POSITIVE PHIL 5 6 7 32   31 3(farrior anthony)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00 11% 7.80 3.80 S
SUBJECT TO CHANGE 2 2 11 1nk   21 4(spriggs r)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00 47.00  
INSIDE RISK 6 4 3 4   45(caison l)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00 29.20  
MASAI MAN 3 3 5 5   66(cash l)LEWIS M 113 15.00 16.10  
TRUSTYOURINSTINCT 4 7 8 8   811¾ 714¾ (farrior anthony)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00 7.70  
NO FOOLING DUDE 7 5 21 7   7815 (brown w)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00 38.00  
 
CT-6   01/19/2023 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:21
:233 :473 1:15     1:214   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARK DID IT 2 3 8 8   41 1¼ (brown w)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.80 3.50  
FREEDOM RIDER 1 1 7 7   62¼ (reynolds a)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00 71% 0.40 1.80 P
SPRITZER 6 6 2½ 2nk   2nk 3(kee j)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00 11.60  
ADDY'S LADDY T N T 4 2 6 6   54(walters henry)ARAUJO DENIS 122 8.00 7.80  
GOT FLOFFY 3 4 1½ 1nk   1nk 5(adorno l)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 18.10  
DOESN'T MAKE CENTS 5 5 5 4   3½ 6(rangel ricardo)BAEZ M 115 30.00 57.30  
LIKE SEGAL 8 8 42 5   8712½ (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 15.00 3.00  
POTENTIAL GRIZZLY 7 7 32 32   7813¾ (meehan e)WHITACRE GRANT 122 6.00 6.60  
SCR  WE B SHACKIN               (viands r)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00    
 
CT-7   01/19/2023 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance   Purse ($33.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:49
:233 :472 1:141     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHROMATIC LASS 2 1 2nk 2½   11(walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 1.80 46% 1.20 0.50 W
KARPATHIAN DREAM 8 8 44 31   33 2(brown w)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50 28% 2.60 3.00 P
CASTLE OF CAYLEE 5 6 713½ 7   57 3(rideout m)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00 50.20  
SARAH'S WARRIOR 7 5 6 6   44(viands r)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 15.00 14.40  
REVEIRS MINUTE 4 3 1nk 1½   2510¼ (hess g)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00 10.20  
GLOBAL EMPRESS 1 2 33 56   6617¼ (couchenour lee)RAMGEET R 120 15.00 21.30  
NEW AGE BAD GIRL 3 4 5 46   7721¼ (hamlin e)LARROSA G 120 8.00 17.50  
HOW IS SHE 6 7 820½ 824½   817½ 824½ (johnson c)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 35.30  
SCR  TENNIS TAP               (runco c)LEWIS M 115 4.00    
 
CT-8   01/19/2023 5610ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
:251 :502 1:17 1:444   1:514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAVANGER 9 9 7 8 43 1nk 1(farrior anthony)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00 22% 3.50 1.90 W
GANDHI'S ORION 3 2 1 1 1 2nk 2(gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 3.50  
PAPA CHARLES 6 3 3 33 2 43(gotera carlos)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00 17% 4.90 5.20 S
SMOOZER 4 5 53 56 5 5410¼ (allen ferris)LEWIS M 117 4.00 5% 19.00 2.30  
PLAYING GOLD 2 1 2 2 3 33 512 (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 115 20.00 5% 19.00 33.40  
BOUBOLINO 8 8 8 79 710¾ 6617 (o'neill m)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00 48.00  
CHERRYS CROSS 5 6 6 66 6 78 718½ (huet k)CULLUM W 124 12.00 12.30  
HARDIN 7 7 9 911¾ 811¾ 814 827¾ (harrison n)LARROSA G 124 30.00 53.90  
DR WILL 1 4 42 4 912¼ 915 932¼ (obed-letts e)RIVERA JAVIER 124 20.00 21.90  
SCR  POSITRACTION               (farrior anthony)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 31% 2.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.