Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Thursday - January 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $14.80 $8.80 147%
CT-2   TRI (4/7/5/3)-(4/7/5/3/6)-(4/7/5/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00  5-6-7 $53.80 $5.80 12%
    SFT (4/7/5/3)-(4/7/5/3/6)-(4/7/5/3/6)-(4/7/5/3/6) 96 $1.00 $96.00  5-6-7-4 $157.10 $61.10 64%
    DD (3/7/2)-(4/7/5/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-5 $34.00 $10.00 42%
CT-4   WIN (3/4/1/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $24.00 $14.00 140%
    EXA (3/4/1/5/2)-(3/4/1/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-2 $49.60 $29.60 148%
    TRI (3/4/1/5/2)-(3/4/1/5/2)-(3/4/1/5/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00  1-2-4 $285.50 $225.50 376%
    SFT (3/4/1/5/2)-(3/4/1/5/2)-(3/4/1/5/2)-(3/4/1/5/2) 120 $1.00 $120  1-2-4-3 $917.90 $797.90 665%
    DD (6/4/7)-(3/4/1/5/2) 15 $2.00 $30.00  4-1 $52.20 $22.20 74%
    PK4 (3/7/2)-(4/7/5/3)-(6/4/7)-(3/4/1/5/2) 180 $1.00 $180  2-5-4-1 $505.90 $325.90 181%
CT-5   TRI (8/5/1)-(8/5/1/4/7)-(8/5/1/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00  8-1-5 $49.50 $13.50 38%
    DD (3/4/1/5/2)-(8/5/1) 15 $2.00 $30.00  1-8 $43.60 $13.60 45%
    PK3 (6/4/7)-(3/4/1/5/2)-(8/5/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00  4-1-8 $48.10 $3.10 7%

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   01/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:134     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCEAN LILLY 2 3 1nk 1½   1 1 (jones e)HO WESLEY 124 6.00 12% 7.40 6.40 W
GRACE'S SECRET 1 2 31 3   2 2 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 1.00  
NAVY SWORD 6 5 55 5   4 3 (runco c)LEWIS M 117 3.50 16% 5.10 2.50 S
LACE REVOLUTION 5 4 2nk 2½   34 4 (shanley mark)ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.50 5.80  
DOOR BUSTER 3 1 42 4   5 511¾ (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 3.00 46% 1.20 6.40  
DECISIVE CAUSE 4 6 6 6   6 613¾ (shanley mark)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00 28.50  
SCR  GOLDEN SWEETS               (bass curtis)RAMGEET R 120 15.00    
 
CT-2   01/19/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:222 :46       :522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOPPING HENRY 5 4 2nk     2nk 1 (sterling michae)PELTROCHE F 120 2.00 10% 9.10 0.50 W
REMYS GUNSMOKE 6 2 1nk     1nk 2 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 12.60 P
ROYAL PAIN 7 1 42     3 33 (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.50 13% 6.90 5.20 S
RIVER WARRIOR RVF 4 3 53     5 4 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 49% 1.00 3.80  
REATA'S CASTLE 2 6 64     6 5 (collyer d)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00 13.60  
JAXJAXXORJACKS 1 7 7     7 6 (caison l)ADAMS L 113 20.00 20.90  
CHARITABLY GIFTED 3 5 31     4 78 (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00 6% 16.90 50.60  
 
CT-3   01/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($34.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:142 1:422   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOMEDAY IS TODAY 4 3 1 1 1 13 14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 27% 2.70 0.60 W
MIDNIGHT BRASS 6 5 5 5 4 35 24 (runco c)LEWIS M 113 1.80 45% 1.20 3.50 P
ELIANAGRACE 8 6 4 3 2 23 3 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00 45.60  
BAYS CASTLE 5 8 812 610½ 58 6 4 (casey a)ARAUJO DENIS 120 6.00 14.40  
CLASSIC COLORS 7 7 711 811½ 811¾ 59 5 (viands gregory)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00 5% 19.00 4.90  
TIZBIT 2 1 2 2 3 49 614 (gillespie ry)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 15.00 55.60  
CODAS HONOR 1 4 610½ 711 711½ 710¾ 714½ (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 9.70  
TOUT ENSEMBLE 3 2 35 4 611½ 816¾ 837¼ (viands grego)MORALES KELVIN 120 15.00 49.60  
 
CT-4   01/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:251 :501 1:162 1:44   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOK OF DELANCEY 1 1 1nk 11 1 1 1 (hillegass a)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 7% 13.90 11.00 W
LIL TOUGHMAN 2 4 41 31 2 2 2 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00 3.10 P
FRONT PORCH 4 3 63 6 3 3 35 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 3.00 19% 4.20 11.60 S
AIR MEDAL 3 5 76 7 55 44 4 (boggs joanna)CULLUM W 122 3.50 36% 1.80 4.40  
RICKYS REVENGE 8 8 5 5 6 58 522¼ (hillegass a)RAMGEET R 122 2.50 3.20  
CITIZEN'S FIRE 7 6 8 817¼ 817¼ 715 624¼ (sewell lenwo)LEWIS M 115 20.00 52.50  
THATZA ALPHA 6 7 3½ 42 7 612½ 726 (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00 8.40  
SIMILAR TASTE 5 2 2nk 21 4 8100 8100 (gladden damon)HO WESLEY 122 5.00 6% 16.50 2.80  
 
CT-5   01/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:131     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEVERLY PARK 8 8 4 2nk   11 13 (cash l)ACOSTA D 124 0.80 57% 0.80 0.40 W
AARON'S TAP 1 1 6 6   5 23 (sanderson w)RAMGEET R 120 12.00 7% 13.50 16.70 P
POSITIVE PHIL 5 6 7 32   31 3 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00 11% 7.80 3.80 S
SUBJECT TO CHANGE 2 2 11 1nk   21 4 (spriggs tos)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00 47.00  
INSIDE RISK 6 4 3 4   4 5 (caison jo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00 29.20  
MASAI MAN 3 3 5 5   6 6 (cash norman )LEWIS M 113 15.00 16.10  
TRUSTYOURINSTINCT 4 7 8 8   811¾ 714¾ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00 7.70  
NO FOOLING DUDE 7 5 21 7   7 815 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00 38.00  
 
CT-6   01/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:15     1:214   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARK DID IT 2 3 8 8   41 1¼ (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.80 3.50  
FREEDOM RIDER 1 1 7 7   6 2¼ (reynolds j)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00 71% 0.40 1.80 P
SPRITZER 6 6 2½ 2nk   2nk 3 (kee willi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00 11.60  
ADDY'S LADDY T N T 4 2 6 6   5 4 (walters henry)ARAUJO DENIS 122 8.00 7.80  
GOT FLOFFY 3 4 1½ 1nk   1nk 5 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 18.10  
DOESN'T MAKE CENTS 5 5 5 4   3½ 6 (rangel ricardo)BAEZ M 115 30.00 57.30  
LIKE SEGAL 8 8 42 5   8 712½ (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 15.00 3.00  
POTENTIAL GRIZZLY 7 7 32 32   7 813¾ (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 6.00 6.60  
SCR  WE B SHACKIN               (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00    
 
CT-7   01/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:141     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHROMATIC LASS 2 1 2nk 2½   1 1 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 1.80 46% 1.20 0.50 W
KARPATHIAN DREAM 8 8 44 31   33 2 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50 28% 2.60 3.00 P
CASTLE OF CAYLEE 5 6 713½ 7   57 3 (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00 50.20  
SARAH'S WARRIOR 7 5 6 6   4 4 (viands st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 15.00 14.40  
REVEIRS MINUTE 4 3 1nk 1½   2 510¼ (hess jacob )MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00 10.20  
GLOBAL EMPRESS 1 2 33 56   6 617¼ (couchenour )RAMGEET R 120 15.00 21.30  
NEW AGE BAD GIRL 3 4 5 46   7 721¼ (hamlin e)LARROSA G 120 8.00 17.50  
HOW IS SHE 6 7 820½ 824½   817½ 824½ (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 35.30  
SCR  TENNIS TAP               (runco c)LEWIS M 115 4.00    
 
CT-8   01/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:251 :502 1:17 1:444   1:514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAVANGER 9 9 7 8 43 1nk 1 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00 22% 3.50 1.90 W
GANDHI'S ORION 3 2 1 1 1 2nk 2 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 3.50  
PAPA CHARLES 6 3 3 33 2 4 3 (gotera juan)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00 17% 4.90 5.20 S
SMOOZER 4 5 53 56 5 5 410¼ (allen ferr)LEWIS M 117 4.00 5% 19.00 2.30  
PLAYING GOLD 2 1 2 2 3 33 512 (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 115 20.00 5% 19.00 33.40  
BOUBOLINO 8 8 8 79 710¾ 6 617 (o'neill ton)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00 48.00  
CHERRYS CROSS 5 6 6 66 6 78 718½ (huet k)CULLUM W 124 12.00 12.30  
HARDIN 7 7 9 911¾ 811¾ 814 827¾ (harrison n)LARROSA G 124 30.00 53.90  
DR WILL 1 4 42 4 912¼ 915 932¼ (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 20.00 21.90  
SCR  POSITRACTION               (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 31% 2.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.