Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - January 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/2)-(4/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2)-(4/7/5/3)-(6/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/3)-(4/7/5/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/3)-(4/7/5/3/6)-(4/7/5/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/5/3)-(6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5/3)-(6/4/7)-(3/4/1/5/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/7)-(6/4/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7)-(6/4/1/7/2)-(6/4/1/7/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/4/7)-(3/4/1/5/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7)-(3/4/1/5/2)-(8/5/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/4/1/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/5/2)-(3/4/1/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/5/2)-(3/4/1/5/2)-(3/4/1/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/4/1/5/2)-(8/5/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/5/2)-(8/5/1)-(1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/1)-(8/5/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/1)-(8/5/1/4/7)-(8/5/1/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/5/1)-(1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (8/5/1)-(1)-(2/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CT-6   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/8/5/9) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/8/5/9)-(1/8/5/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1)-(2/9) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (1)-(2/9)-(9/6/4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/9)-(2/9/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/9)-(2/9/3/4)-(2/9/3/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/9)-(9/6/4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/4/2)-(9/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/4/2)-(9/6/4/2)-(9/6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   01/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACE'S SECRET Dec18 Nov19 Oct29 Sep22 Aug10 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80    
2  OCEAN LILLY Jan07 Nov03 Oct08 Sep07 Aug04 (jones e)HO WESLEY 124 6.00 12% 7.40    
3  DOOR BUSTER Jun18 May20 Apr23 Apr02 Mar16 (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
4  DECISIVE CAUSE Jan12 Dec08 Nov25 Nov04 Oct01 (shanley mark)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
SCR  GOLDEN SWEETS Nov13 Oct30 Oct09 Sep25 Sep14 (bass curtis)RAMGEET R 120 15.00 ★    
6  LACE REVOLUTION Nov25 Nov04 Oct14 Aug25 Jul30 (shanley mark)ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.50 ★    
7  NAVY SWORD Nov05 Oct08 Sep07 Jun10 May20 (runco c)LEWIS M 117 3.50 16% 5.10    
 
CT-2   01/19/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAXJAXXORJACKS Jan06 Dec16 Dec08 Nov16 Nov05 (caison l)ADAMS L 113 20.00    
2  REATA'S CASTLE Jan06 Dec16 Nov23     (collyer d)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
3  CHARITABLY GIFTED Dec16 Dec01 Oct12 Sep22 Sep09 (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00 6% 16.90    
4  RIVER WARRIOR RVF Jun09 May13 Mar24 Feb26 Feb05 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 49% 1.00    
5  HOPPING HENRY Dec16 Nov23 Oct29 Oct01 Sep07 (sterling michae)PELTROCHE F 120 2.00 10% 9.10    
6  REMYS GUNSMOKE Jan07 Nov23 Oct29 Sep30 Sep21 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 ★    
7  ROYAL PAIN Dec16 Jun25 May14 Apr27 Mar16 (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.50 13% 6.90    
 
CT-3   01/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($34.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CODAS HONOR Dec10 Nov25 Nov04 Sep22 Aug30 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 ★    
2  TIZBIT Dec03 Nov25 Nov05 Oct08 Sep10 (gillespie ry)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 15.00 ★    
3  TOUT ENSEMBLE Dec14 Dec02 Oct14 Sep23 Aug14 (viands grego)MORALES KELVIN 120 15.00    
4  SOMEDAY IS TODAY Dec03 Nov05 Oct22 Oct07 Aug25 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
5  BAYS CASTLE Jan06 Nov30 Nov10 Oct22 Oct08 (casey a)ARAUJO DENIS 120 6.00    
6  MIDNIGHT BRASS Oct22 Sep30 Sep16 Aug26 Aug04 (runco c)LEWIS M 113 1.80 45% 1.20    
7  CLASSIC COLORS Jan07 Nov05 Sep30 Sep02 Jul10 (viands gregory)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  ELIANAGRACE Nov30 Nov09 Oct22 Oct07 Sep16 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
 
CT-4   01/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOK OF DELANCEY Dec20 Dec09 Nov23 Oct12 Sep21 (hillegass a)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 7% 13.90    
2  LIL TOUGHMAN Jan07 Dec15 Nov30 Nov19 Apr29 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  AIR MEDAL Dec08 Nov10 Oct27 Oct12 Oct06 (boggs joanna)CULLUM W 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
4  FRONT PORCH Dec09 Nov19 Nov03 Sep09 Aug27 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
5  SIMILAR TASTE Jan11 Nov11 Nov02 Oct19 Oct06 (gladden damon)HO WESLEY 122 5.00 6% 16.50    
6  THATZA ALPHA Dec14 Nov23 Nov03 Oct28 Oct12 (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
7  CITIZEN'S FIRE Dec14 Nov23 Oct07 Sep08 Aug18 (sewell lenwo)LEWIS M 115 20.00    
8  RICKYS REVENGE Dec14 Dec03 Nov14 Oct13 Sep18 (hillegass a)RAMGEET R 122 2.50    
 
CT-5   01/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AARON'S TAP Dec14 Nov17 Oct27 Sep30 Sep09 (sanderson w)RAMGEET R 120 12.00 7% 13.50    
2  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Jan11 Nov24 Oct21 Sep03 Aug13 (spriggs tos)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
3  MASAI MAN Jan09 Dec09 Nov19 Nov14 Nov03 (cash norman )LEWIS M 113 15.00    
4  TRUSTYOURINSTINCT Dec14 Nov24 Nov02 Oct22 Oct08 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00 ★    
5  POSITIVE PHIL Jan05 Dec09 Nov12 Oct29 Oct06 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00 11% 7.80    
6  INSIDE RISK Jan12 Jan01 Dec16 Nov24 Nov02 (caison jo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
7  NO FOOLING DUDE Nov23 Nov14 Oct22 Sep16 Aug10 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00 ★    
8  BEVERLY PARK Dec31 Dec12 Nov28 Nov19 Nov12 (cash l)ACOSTA D 124 0.80 57% 0.80    
 
CT-6   01/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREEDOM RIDER Jan07 Dec14 Nov23 Nov02 Oct13 (reynolds j)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00 71% 0.40    
2  MARK DID IT Jan07 Nov24 Oct27 Sep30 Sep09 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.80    
3  GOT FLOFFY Dec03 Nov11 Oct21 Oct07 Sep30 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
SCR  WE B SHACKIN Nov17         (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00 ★    
5  ADDY'S LADDY T N T Dec29 Nov26 Nov06 Oct20 Oct08 (walters henry)ARAUJO DENIS 122 8.00 ★    
6  DOESN'T MAKE CENTS Dec16 Dec02 Nov09 Oct21 Sep29 (rangel ricardo)BAEZ M 115 30.00    
7  SPRITZER Dec29 Dec09 Nov24 Nov07 Oct15 (kee willi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00    
8  POTENTIAL GRIZZLY Dec14 Nov27 Mar11 Feb17   (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 6.00 ★    
9  LIKE SEGAL Jan07 Dec17 Nov03 May14 Feb24 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 15.00 ★    
 
CT-7   01/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLOBAL EMPRESS Nov26 Nov10 Sep30 Sep15 Aug19 (couchenour )RAMGEET R 120 15.00    
2  CHROMATIC LASS Dec15         (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 1.80 46% 1.20    
3  NEW AGE BAD GIRL Nov18 Nov11 Oct07 Sep10 Aug25 (hamlin e)LARROSA G 120 8.00 ★    
4  REVEIRS MINUTE Dec10 Oct22 Oct01 Sep08 Jul22 (hess jacob )MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00 ★    
SCR  TENNIS TAP Jan06 Nov24 May04 Apr15 Mar18 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 4.00 ★    
6  CASTLE OF CAYLEE Jan07 Nov26 Oct20 Oct05 Sep09 (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
7  HOW IS SHE Jan06 Dec10 Dec03 Nov10 Oct01 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00    
8  SARAH'S WARRIOR Jan06 Nov26 Nov10 Nov02 Oct08 (viands st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 15.00    
9  KARPATHIAN DREAM Dec10 Nov26 Nov04 Oct13 Sep15 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
CT-8   01/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR WILL Dec17 Dec09 Nov26 Oct26 Oct14 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 20.00    
2  PLAYING GOLD Dec17 Nov26 Oct30 Oct13 Oct01 (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  GANDHI'S ORION Dec17 Dec07 Nov03 Oct27 Oct08 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50    
4  SMOOZER Jan04 Dec09 Nov05 Jun01 May06 (allen ferr)LEWIS M 117 4.00 5% 19.00    
5  CHERRYS CROSS Jan04 Oct27 Oct13 Sep28 Sep09 (huet k)CULLUM W 124 12.00    
6  PAPA CHARLES Dec20 Dec07 Nov29 Oct26 Sep25 (gotera juan)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00 17% 4.90    
7  HARDIN Jan05 Dec17 Nov05 Sep28 Jul08 (harrison n)LARROSA G 124 30.00    
8  BOUBOLINO Dec17 Nov26 Nov12 Oct15 Sep24 (o'neill ton)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00    
9  STAVANGER Dec17 Oct26 Oct15 Aug28 Aug12 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  POSITRACTION Dec31 Dec10       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 31% 2.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.