Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Saturday - March 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-1   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 7 1 0 $15.40  
TUP-2   Win (10/3/9/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $24.80 $24.80 14.80
TUP-3   Win (3/5/6/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $8.40  
TUP-4   Win (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $11.60  
TUP-5   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $12.60  
TUP-6   Win (10/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $18.20  
TUP-7   Win (8/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $7.40 $7.40  
TUP-8   Win (4/11/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 1 $37.00 $37.00 29.00

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   03/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:221 :453 :571     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIC SAMARAI 7 1 2½ 3   3½ 12 (essex charles)VERGARA P 124 8.00 6.70  
KIRA FEVER 2 6 6 66   4 22 (kenney ryan)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 10.40  
HIGH GUNNER 5 4 3½ 1nk   2½ 3 (gleason m)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 77% 0.30 0.90 S
SAVONA (IRE) 6 2 1½ 2nk   1½ 4 (perren lymo)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 9.70  
CASIA 4 7 77 77   5 5 (cerin vladimir)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00 9.20  
MY MOONDANCER 3 5 54 5   611½ 614 (schnell don)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 2.30  
FUSAICHIS BEST YET 1 3 4 4   712½ 719½ (dennison dan )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 23.10  
 
TUP-2   03/11/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
See original race card.
:242 :472 1:123     1:311   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWELVE STARS 4 10 8 79   4 1½ (brinson clay)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 6% 15.80 11.40 W
DADDY'S GIRL 1 4 56 55   54 2½ (grissom w)CORBETT W 122 15.00 30.90  
JUBILEE LAKE (GB) 3 3 3 3   2 3¾ (drysdale neil)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 0.80  
DREAMER GIRL 2 5 1 1   1 4 (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 12.00 19.10  
SECRET MISTRESS 6 2 4 4   32 5 (sanderson b)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 3.80  
10  BARBIE WARS 9 8 9 910¼   8 6 (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 4.00 26% 2.90 7.50  
TAKING CHARGE DESI 5 6 7 810   7 7 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 26.00  
11  FAT AND FURIOUS 10 9 1010¼ 1011¾   10 8 (woolley bennie )VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 9.20  
JEWEL AZUL 8 7 6 6   6 9 (woolley bennie)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 6.00 15% 5.60 15.10  
FIRST PROMISE 7 1 2 2   9 1014¾ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 10.00 11% 7.70 31.80  
SCR  MISS GHISLAINE               (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 10.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  STARSHIP SKY               (saldana reed)FUENTES A 122 12.00    
 
TUP-3   03/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:103 1:241   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEAL HOME 2 6 32 4 41 4 1½ (krasner cindy)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 3.20  
LOOKIN FOR EIGHT 4 8 7 7 53 32 2½ (silva rodriguez)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 10.00 7.30  
NEW EAGLE 6 5 64 6 3½ 1nk 3 (metz jeffrey)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 4.00 15% 5.50 8.80 S
MITHQAAL 8 7 5 31 1nk 2nk 4 (evans justin)FUENTES A 124 10.00 4.50  
FATHER O'FLAHERTY 7 9 89 8 76 6 5 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.00 12% 7.60 5.10  
MR NAVIGATOR 3 3 21 1nk 2nk 5 613¼ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00 23% 3.30 22.80  
10  THE BEAT 9 1 910½ 9 914½ 914¼ 715 (oberholtzer kevin)CORBETT W 124 8.00 16.00  
FAMILY BIZ 5 4 4 5 8 810¼ 816¼ (krasner cindy)VERGARA P 124 5.00 15% 5.50 2.50  
UNCLE JEFF 1 2 11 2nk 6 7 918 (rosales jorge)CARRENO J 124 15.00 5% 19.00 12.00  
SCR  ASTRONOMICAL               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 10.00    
 
TUP-4   03/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Queen Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:103 1:354   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS HARD KNOCKS 3 5 65 44 31 13 1 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 5.00 4.80  
LADY COMMISSIONER 5 8 8 8 55 55 2 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 120 6.00 26.60 P
YANKEE DOLLAR 4 1 1½ 2nk 21 33 3 (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 41% 1.50 0.60 S
FAIRY TALE BLISS 1 6 5 5 4 4 4 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 120 15.00 8.40  
LA CASTIGLIONE 7 3 2½ 1nk 11 23 5 (gutierrez qu)LEON A 124 2.50 33% 2.00 5.10  
IN THE RED 6 4 4 65 7 610 611½ (pierce mich)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 41.10  
STREET SHADOW 8 7 75 78 6 710¼ 711½ (lucarelli fran)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 8.00 9.90  
ICE QUEEN 2 2 3 3 8 817¼ 824 (saldana reed)FUENTES A 122 6.00 15.10  
 
TUP-5   03/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Arizona Oaks Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 4:53
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:111 1:242   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNA PALABRA 6 4 4 22 2nk 1nk 1¼ (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 5.30  
FAYETTE FOX 3 8 8 7 32 3 2¼ (cerin vladimir)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 3.50 5.60 P
BEYOND AWESOME 4 1 12 12 1nk 2nk 3 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.50 36% 1.80 1.00 S
DON'T GET PICKLED 1 5 6 6 54 44 42 (hernandez miguel )CORBETT W 121 2.00 33% 2.00 1.90  
COASTLINE HOTTIE 8 6 7 810¼ 7 7 5 (sepich f)ZUNINO L 121 15.00 34.40  
JAMIES INHERITANCE 5 3 22 3 6 6 610 (rennie richar)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 12.00 40.70  
OCEAN OF LIES 7 7 5 5 4 57 712½ (bratcher ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 20.00 38.90  
UNRIVALED QUEEN 2 2 32 4 8 815¾ 825½ (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 27.60  
 
TUP-6   03/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Turf Paradise Derby Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:113 1:383   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN BLAZE 8 5 6 5 42 3 11 (brinson clay)LOPEZ KARLO 121 12.00 8.10  
11  LOUDMOUTHSOUP 11 3 54 4¾ 3½ 1nk 21 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 121 10.00 6.40  
10  I AM FREAKY FAST 10 9 109 11 9 7 3 (ferguson curt)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 5.00 64% 0.60 16.70 S
TIZ TOK 2 4 3 3.2 2nk 4 44 (sadler w)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 4.00 1.30  
THIRSTY JOHN 7 2 21 2nk 1nk 2nk 5 (miller peter)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00 2.20  
PUBLIC OPINION 9 11 1110½ 12 10 8 6 (rarick wade)FUENTES A 121 20.00 5% 19.00 89.00  
SPECIAL MOMENT 6 10 87 8 7 5 75 (hone bart)CORBETT W 121 3.00 9% 10.10 10.70  
MY MAN BIGGIE 5 6 76 6 6 6 8 (simpson sha)VALENZUELA A 121 15.00 73.00  
12  ECHO CANYON 12 12 1210½ 10 8 9 9 (schnell don)VALDES ALEXIS 121 15.00 50.80  
ARIZONA ANDREW 1 1 11 1nk 5 10 1012 (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 121 4.50 10.80  
MOHAMAD 3 7 9 9 1213¾ 1111¼ 1113 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 20.00 91.60  
ACCELERITAS 4 8 4 7 1111¼ 1213¾ 1218¼ (eikl)DA FAUSTO 121 20.00 70.20  
 
TUP-7   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Phoenix Gold Cup Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:214 :433 :56     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUTH SEEKER 5 9 10 9   5¾ 1 (barraza rafael )ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 5.00 10% 9.40 2.70 W
11  TIGER DAD 10 2 42 4   2nk 2 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 120 15.00 10.50 P
JAZZ HANDS 6 5 1½ 2nk   1nk 3 (silv)DA FAUSTO 117 15.00 15.50  
RADICAL RIGHT 1 11 65 5   6 4 (miller peter)HERNANDEZ HARRY 123 4.00 5% 19.00 1.70  
GRAY MAGICIAN 3 7 9 8   73 5 (silva jr)GARCIA ENRIQUE 117 20.00 28.20  
12  MR. STANG 11 8 8 6   83 6 (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 119 20.00 28.40  
MINISTER OF SOUL 7 3 2½ 3.2   4¼ 7 (martinez esteban)VERGARA P 122 8.00 44% 1.30 7.10  
10  CHATTALOT 9 1 3½ 1nk   3.2 8 (asmussen m)NEGRON LUIS 121 8.00 17.00  
COMPETITIVE IDEA 2 6 7 10   105 99 (cappellucci di)FUENTES A 122 6.00 22% 3.60 15.70  
ESCAPE ROUTE 8 4 5 7   93 1010 (glatt mark)CONTRERAS LUIS 119 10.00 4.90  
BEDROCK (GB) 4 10 1112¼ 1113¼   118 1111½ (christian bil)CONNING CRYSTAL 117 20.00 80.60  
SCR  HOWBEIT               (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00    
 
TUP-8   03/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Cotton Fitzsimmons Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:102 1:36   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  ZESTFUL 11 6 6 56 54 3 1¼ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 121 6.00 11% 7.80 17.50 W
BIGFOOT CITY 9 1 13 15 1 1 2¼ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 116 15.00 6% 16.60 22.70 P
SONNY SMACK 7 10 1110½ 1112¼ 9 4 3½ (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 121 8.00 14.40  
TARTINI 2 5 7 9 7 5 42 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 120 20.00 27.50  
SMOOTH LIKE STRAIT 4 3 4 35 2 2 5 (mccar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 128 1.40 57% 0.80 0.50  
NO SLO MO 8 11 10 1012¼ 10 9 6 (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 116 10.00 37.60  
STITZY 3 7 96 7 6 7 7 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 121 15.00 18.80  
12  YES THIS TIME 12 9 54 8 8 10 87 (glatt mark)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 5.00 3.50  
NATURAL POWER (IRE) 1 4 8 6 44 6 9 (cerin vladimir)LARA EZEQUIEL 118 20.00 15.10  
BAROSSA 5 2 23 25 3 8 1012¼ (hernandez miguel )LEON A 116 15.00 61.50  
10  PEPPER SPRAY 10 8 33 4 1114¾ 1118½ 1125 (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 116 20.00 5% 19.00 ######  
CLAYTON DELANEY 6 12 1216½ 1227¼ 1234¾ 12100 12100 (metz jeffrey)CORBETT W 116 20.00 46.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.