Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Saturday - March 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (10/3/9/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $24.80 $14.80 148%
TUP-8   WIN (4/11/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00  11 $37.00 $29.00 363%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-1   03/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:221 :453 :571     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CHIC SAMARAI 7 1 2½ 32½   3½ 12 (essex charles)VERGARA P 124 8.00 ★ 6.70  
2  KIRA FEVER 2 6 66½ 66   42½ 22 (kenney ryan)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 10.40  
5  HIGH GUNNER 5 4 3½ 1nk   2½ 33¾ (gleason m)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 77% 0.30 0.90 S
6  SAVONA (IRE) 6 2 1½ 2nk   1½ 46½ (perren ly)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 ★ 9.70  
4  CASIA 4 7 77 77   56½ 57¼ (cerin vladimi)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00 ★ 9.20  
3  MY MOONDANCER 3 5 54 55½   611½ 614 (schnell don)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 ★ 2.30  
1  FUSAICHIS BEST YET 1 3 42½ 44½   712½ 719½ (dennison da)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 23.10  
 
TUP-2   03/11/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
See original race card.
:242 :472 1:123     1:311   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TWELVE STARS 4 10 89¼ 79   42½ 1½ (brinson clay)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 6% 15.80 11.40 W
1  DADDY'S GIRL 1 4 56 55   54 2½ (grissom roberta)CORBETT W 122 15.00 30.90  
4  JUBILEE LAKE (GB) 3 3 33½ 31½   21½ 3¾ (drysdale ne)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 0.80  
2  DREAMER GIRL 2 5 11½ 11½   11½ 43½ (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 12.00 19.10  
7  SECRET MISTRESS 6 2 43½ 42½   32 54¼ (sanderson)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 3.80  
10  BARBIE WARS 9 8 99¾ 910¼   86¾ 65¼ (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 4.00 26% 2.90 7.50  
6  TAKING CHARGE DESI 5 6 77¾ 810   76½ 75½ (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 26.00  
11  FAT AND FURIOUS 10 9 1010¼ 1011¾   109¼ 85½ (woolley benni)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 9.20  
9  JEWEL AZUL 8 7 66¼ 65½   66½ 97¾ (woolley benn)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 6.00 15% 5.60 15.10  
8  FIRST PROMISE 7 1 21½ 21½   99¼ 1014¾ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 10.00 11% 7.70 31.80  
SCR  MISS GHISLAINE               (si)DA FAUSTO 122 10.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  STARSHIP SKY               (saldana reed)FUENTES A 122 12.00    
 
TUP-3   03/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:103 1:241   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STEAL HOME 2 6 32 41½ 41 42¼ 1½ (krasner cin)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 3.20  
4  LOOKIN FOR EIGHT 4 8 75½ 74¼ 53 32 2½ (silva rodrigu)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 10.00 7.30  
6  NEW EAGLE 6 5 64 61¾ 3½ 1nk 32¼ (metz jeffrey)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 4.00 15% 5.50 8.80 S
9  MITHQAAL 8 7 52½ 31 1nk 2nk 43¾ (evans justin)FUENTES A 124 10.00 4.50  
7  FATHER O'FLAHERTY 7 9 89 85¼ 76 64¼ 53¾ (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.00 12% 7.60 5.10  
3  MR NAVIGATOR 3 3 21 1nk 2nk 53¾ 613¼ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00 23% 3.30 22.80  
10  THE BEAT 9 1 910½ 99¾ 914½ 914¼ 715 (oberholtzer kev)CORBETT W 124 8.00 16.00  
5  FAMILY BIZ 5 4 42½ 51¾ 88½ 810¼ 816¼ (krasner cindy)VERGARA P 124 5.00 15% 5.50 2.50  
1  UNCLE JEFF 1 2 11 2nk 64½ 79¾ 918 (rosales jorge)CARRENO J 124 15.00 5% 19.00 12.00  
SCR  ASTRONOMICAL               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 10.00    
 
TUP-4   03/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Queen Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:103 1:354   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MISS HARD KNOCKS 3 5 65 44 31 13 12½ (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 5.00 ★ 4.80  
  (by MR SPEAKER out of MISS HISSY FIT by ALDEBARAN)
5  LADY COMMISSIONER 5 8 88½ 89½ 55 55 22½ (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 120 6.00 ★ 26.60 P
  (by COMMISSIONER out of MARCO GROOM by MARCO BAY)
4  YANKEE DOLLAR 4 1 1½ 2nk 21 33 33½ (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 41% 1.50 0.60 S
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of RED NECK SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
1  FAIRY TALE BLISS 1 6 54½ 54½ 43½ 43½ 45¼ (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 120 15.00 8.40  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of CERTAIN QUALITY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
7  LA CASTIGLIONE 7 3 2½ 1nk 11 23 55½ (gutierrez juan )LEON A 124 2.50 33% 2.00 5.10  
  (by UNCLE LINO out of PERVERSE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  IN THE RED 6 4 43½ 65 75¼ 610 611½ (pierce mi)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 41.10  
  (by UNKNOWN out of PAMPHLET by NOTEBOOK)
8  STREET SHADOW 8 7 75 78 65¼ 710¼ 711½ (lucarelli fr)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 8.00 ★ 9.90  
  (by THE FACTOR out of STREET CREW by STREET CRY (IRE))
2  ICE QUEEN 2 2 31½ 32½ 85½ 817¼ 824 (saldana reed)FUENTES A 122 6.00 15.10  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of TWO BELOW by HAT TRICK (JPN))
 
TUP-5   03/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Arizona Oaks Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 4:53
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:111 1:242   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  UNA PALABRA 6 4 42¼ 22 2nk 1nk 1¼ (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 ★ 5.30  
  (by MCCRAKEN out of ONE FOR YOU by DAYJUR)
3  FAYETTE FOX 3 8 89¼ 78¾ 32 31½ 2¼ (cerin vladim)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 3.50 ★ 5.60 P
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of A. P. INVESTMENT by A.P. INDY)
4  BEYOND AWESOME 4 1 12 12 1nk 2nk 31¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.50 36% 1.80 1.00 S
  (by BOOS out of CAMILLE by ROCKY BAR)
1  DON'T GET PICKLED 1 5 64¾ 65¾ 54 44 42 (hernandez migue)CORBETT W 121 2.00 33% 2.00 1.90  
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of C C'S PRIDE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
8  COASTLINE HOTTIE 8 6 77¼ 810¼ 77¼ 77¾ 59¼ (sepich f)ZUNINO L 121 15.00 34.40  
  (by COASTLINE out of HOLLYWOOD HOTTIE by CITY ZIP)
5  JAMIES INHERITANCE 5 3 22 33½ 64¼ 67¼ 610 (rennie rich)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 12.00 40.70  
  (by CARPE DIEM out of BETH ANN'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  OCEAN OF LIES 7 7 54¼ 53¾ 42½ 57 712½ (bratcher ry)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 20.00 38.90  
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of FALSE STATEMENT by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
2  UNRIVALED QUEEN 2 2 32 43½ 88¾ 815¾ 825½ (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 ★ 27.60  
  (by EDDINGTON out of ANGIE'S GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
 
TUP-6   03/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Turf Paradise Derby Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:113 1:383   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  AMERICAN BLAZE 8 5 64½ 51¾ 42 31½ 11 (brinson clay)LOPEZ KARLO 121 12.00 8.10  
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of BEAUTY N BALANCE by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
11  LOUDMOUTHSOUP 11 3 54 4¾ 3½ 1nk 21 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 121 10.00 6.40  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of TALKAHOLIC by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
10  I AM FREAKY FAST 10 9 109 116¾ 97¼ 74¾ 33¼ (ferguson cur)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 5.00 64% 0.60 16.70 S
  (by CONNECT out of POUNDS TO PENNIES by EXCHANGE RATE)
2  TIZ TOK 2 4 32½ 3.2 2nk 41¾ 44 (sadler john )CONTRERAS LUIS 121 4.00 ★ 1.30  
  (by TIZNOW out of WEEKEND PROSPECT by A.P. INDY)
7  THIRSTY JOHN 7 2 21 2nk 1nk 2nk 54¼ (miller pete)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00 2.20  
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of DISCREET DEE by DISCREET CAT)
9  PUBLIC OPINION 9 11 1110½ 126¾ 108¾ 86¼ 64¾ (rarick wade)FUENTES A 121 20.00 5% 19.00 89.00  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of BARBY SUE by PURGE)
6  SPECIAL MOMENT 6 10 87 85¼ 74¾ 53¾ 75 (hone bart)CORBETT W 121 3.00 9% 10.10 10.70  
  (by STANFORD out of BLAME IT ONTHESONG by BLAME)
5  MY MAN BIGGIE 5 6 76 62¾ 64½ 64¾ 88¾ (simpson s)VALENZUELA A 121 15.00 73.00  
  (by MR. BIG out of TWIN SPIRIT by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
12  ECHO CANYON 12 12 1210½ 106¼ 86¾ 97¾ 99¾ (schnell don)VALDES ALEXIS 121 15.00 50.80  
  (by ATREIDES out of BIG RELEASE by MR. BIG)
1  ARIZONA ANDREW 1 1 11 1nk 53½ 109¼ 1012 (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 121 4.50 ★ 10.80  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of TOPPISME by SAINT BALLADO)
3  MOHAMAD 3 7 97½ 95¾ 1213¾ 1111¼ 1113 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 20.00 91.60  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of UNUSUAL STYLE by UNUSUAL HEAT)
4  ACCELERITAS 4 8 43½ 73¾ 1111¼ 1213¾ 1218¼ (ei)DA FAUSTO 121 20.00 70.20  
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of CELERITAS by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
 
TUP-7   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Phoenix Gold Cup Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:214 :433 :56     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TRUTH SEEKER 5 9 108¾ 97¾   5¾ 11¼ (barraza rafae)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 5.00 10% 9.40 2.70 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FOR ROYALTY by NOT FOR LOVE)
11  TIGER DAD 10 2 42 42¼   2nk 21¼ (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 120 15.00 ★ 10.50 P
  (by SMILING TIGER out of Q T SHAE by UNUSUAL HEAT)
7  JAZZ HANDS 6 5 1½ 2nk   1nk 35¼ (si)DA FAUSTO 117 15.00 15.50  
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of NICOLE AND BEN by RUSSIAN COURAGE)
1  RADICAL RIGHT 1 11 65 55¼   62¾ 46¼ (miller pete)HERNANDEZ HARRY 123 4.00 5% 19.00 1.70  
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of EMILY by CONFIDENTIAL TALK)
4  GRAY MAGICIAN 3 7 96¼ 87¼   73 56¾ (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 117 20.00 28.20  
  (by GRAYDAR out of BURG BERG by JOHANNESBURG)
12  MR. STANG 11 8 85¼ 65¼   83 66¾ (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 119 20.00 28.40  
  (by ATTA BOY ROY out of SPECIAL HOLIDAY by PRIVATE GOLD)
8  MINISTER OF SOUL 7 3 2½ 3.2   4¼ 77½ (martinez esteba)VERGARA P 122 8.00 44% 1.30 7.10  
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of SENSITIVE SOUL by BERNSTEIN)
10  CHATTALOT 9 1 3½ 1nk   3.2 87¾ (asmussen steven)NEGRON LUIS 121 8.00 17.00  
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of MAMBOALOT by KINGMAMBO)
3  COMPETITIVE IDEA 2 6 75¼ 109¾   105 99 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 122 6.00 22% 3.60 15.70  
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of THAT'S THE IDEA by DIABOLICAL)
9  ESCAPE ROUTE 8 4 53½ 76¾   93 1010 (glatt mark)CONTRERAS LUIS 119 10.00 4.90  
  (by HARD SPUN out of NONCOMMITAL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  BEDROCK (GB) 4 10 1112¼ 1113¼   118 1111½ (christian b)CONNING CRYSTAL 117 20.00 80.60  
  (by RED ROCKS out of GREAT DESIGN by STORM CAT)
SCR  HOWBEIT               (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of EMERLAUDE by EL CORREDOR)
 
TUP-8   03/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Cotton Fitzsimmons Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:102 1:36   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  ZESTFUL 11 6 64¼ 56 54 31½ 1¼ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 121 6.00 11% 7.80 17.50 W
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SWEET RELISH by SMOKE GLACKEN)
9  BIGFOOT CITY 9 1 13 15 12½ 11½ 2¼ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 116 15.00 6% 16.60 22.70 P
  (by CITY ZIP out of FOREST LEGEND by WOODMAN)
7  SONNY SMACK 7 10 1110½ 1112¼ 97¾ 41¾ 3½ (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 121 8.00 14.40  
  (by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL out of SMACK MADAM by VICTORY GALLOP)
2  TARTINI 2 5 75¾ 98¼ 76¼ 52¼ 42 (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 120 20.00 27.50  
  (by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY out of VIGNETTE by DIESIS (GB))
4  SMOOTH LIKE STRAIT 4 3 43½ 35 22½ 21½ 52½ (mcc)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 128 1.40 57% 0.80 0.50  
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SMOOTH AS USUAL by FLOWER ALLEY)
8  NO SLO MO 8 11 109½ 1012¼ 109¼ 96¼ 62¾ (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 116 10.00 37.60  
  (by UNCLE MO out of STRIKING SCHOLAR by SMART STRIKE)
3  STITZY 3 7 96 76¾ 64¼ 75¼ 73¼ (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 121 15.00 18.80  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MY BELONGING by BELONG TO ME)
12  YES THIS TIME 12 9 54 87¾ 87¾ 106½ 87 (glatt mark)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 5.00 ★ 3.50  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SMART JILLY by SMART STRIKE)
1  NATURAL POWER (IRE) 1 4 85¾ 66½ 44 63¾ 97¼ (cerin vladimi)LARA EZEQUIEL 118 20.00 15.10  
  (by SLADE POWER (IRE) out of MISS INTIMATE by WAR CHANT)
5  BAROSSA 5 2 23 25 33½ 86¼ 1012¼ (hernandez migue)LEON A 116 15.00 61.50  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BOUQUET BOOTH by FLOWER ALLEY)
10  PEPPER SPRAY 10 8 33 45½ 1114¾ 1118½ 1125 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 116 20.00 5% 19.00 ######  
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of A P PEPPER by A. P. WARRIOR)
6  CLAYTON DELANEY 6 12 1216½ 1227¼ 1234¾ 12100 12100 (metz jeffrey)CORBETT W 116 20.00 46.30  
  (by GRAZEN out of SUDDEN SUNDAY by BERTRANDO)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.