The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Turf Paradise
Saturday - March 11, 2023
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
TUP-1   03/11/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
:221 :453 :571     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CHIC SAMARAI 7 1 2½ 32½   3½ 12 (essex charles)VERGARA P 124 8.00 ★ 6.70  
2  KIRA FEVER 2 6 66½ 66   42½ 22 (kenney ryan)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 10.40  
5  HIGH GUNNER 5 4 3½ 1nk   2½ 33¾ (gleason m)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 77% 0.30 0.90 S
6  SAVONA 6 2 1½ 2nk   1½ 46½ (perren lymo)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 ★ 9.70  
4  CASIA 4 7 77 77   56½ 57¼ (cerin vladimir)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00 ★ 9.20  
3  MY MOONDANCER 3 5 54 55½   611½ 614 (schnell don)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 ★ 2.30  
1  FUSAICHIS BEST YET 1 3 42½ 44½   712½ 719½ (dennison dan )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 23.10  
 
TUP-2   03/11/2023 4950ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
:242 :472 1:123     1:311   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TWELVE STARS 4 10 89¼ 79   42½ 1½ (brinson clay)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 6% 15.80 11.40 W
1  DADDY'S GIRL 1 4 56 55   54 2½ (grissom w)CORBETT W 122 15.00 30.90  
4  JUBILEE LAKE (GB) 3 3 33½ 31½   21½ 3¾ (drysdale neil)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 0.80  
2  DREAMER GIRL 2 5 11½ 11½   11½ 43½ (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 12.00 19.10  
7  SECRET MISTRESS 6 2 43½ 42½   32 54¼ (sanderson b)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 3.80  
10  BARBIE WARS 9 8 99¾ 910¼   86¾ 65¼ (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 4.00 26% 2.90 7.50  
6  TAKING CHARGE DESI 5 6 77¾ 810   76½ 75½ (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 26.00  
11  FAT AND FURIOUS 10 9 1010¼ 1011¾   109¼ 85½ (woolley bennie )VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 9.20  
9  JEWEL AZUL 8 7 66¼ 65½   66½ 97¾ (woolley bennie)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 6.00 15% 5.60 15.10  
8  FIRST PROMISE 7 1 21½ 21½   99¼ 1014¾ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 10.00 11% 7.70 31.80  
SCR  MISS GHISLAINE               (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 10.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  STARSHIP SKY               (saldana reed)FUENTES A 122 12.00    
 
TUP-3   03/11/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:52
:233 :464 1:103 1:241   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STEAL HOME 2 6 32 41½ 41 42¼ 1½ (krasner cindy)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 3.20  
4  LOOKIN FOR EIGHT 4 8 75½ 74¼ 53 32 2½ (silva rodriguez)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 10.00 7.30  
6  NEW EAGLE 6 5 64 61¾ 3½ 1nk 32¼ (metz jeffrey)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 4.00 15% 5.50 8.80 S
9  MITHQAAL 8 7 52½ 31 1nk 2nk 43¾ (evans justin)FUENTES A 124 10.00 4.50  
7  FATHER O'FLAHERTY 7 9 89 85¼ 76 64¼ 53¾ (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.00 12% 7.60 5.10  
3  MR NAVIGATOR 3 3 21 1nk 2nk 53¾ 613¼ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00 23% 3.30 22.80  
10  THE BEAT 9 1 910½ 99¾ 914½ 914¼ 715 (oberholtzer kevin)CORBETT W 124 8.00 16.00  
5  FAMILY BIZ 5 4 42½ 51¾ 88½ 810¼ 816¼ (krasner cindy)VERGARA P 124 5.00 15% 5.50 2.50  
1  UNCLE JEFF 1 2 11 2nk 64½ 79¾ 918 (rosales jorge)CARRENO J 124 15.00 5% 19.00 12.00  
SCR  ASTRONOMICAL               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 10.00    
 
TUP-4   03/11/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Queen Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:22
:233 :464 1:103 1:354   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MISS HARD KNOCKS 3 5 65 44 31 13 12½ (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 5.00 ★ 4.80  
5  LADY COMMISSIONER 5 8 88½ 89½ 55 55 22½ (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 120 6.00 ★ 26.60 P
4  YANKEE DOLLAR 4 1 1½ 2nk 21 33 33½ (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 41% 1.50 0.60 S
1  FAIRY TALE BLISS 1 6 54½ 54½ 43½ 43½ 45¼ (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 120 15.00 8.40  
7  LA CASTIGLIONE 7 3 2½ 1nk 11 23 55½ (gutierrez qu)LEON A 124 2.50 33% 2.00 5.10  
6  IN THE RED 6 4 43½ 65 75¼ 610 611½ (pierce mich)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 41.10  
8  STREET SHADOW 8 7 75 78 65¼ 710¼ 711½ (lucarelli fran)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 8.00 ★ 9.90  
2  ICE QUEEN 2 2 31½ 32½ 85½ 817¼ 824 (saldana reed)FUENTES A 122 6.00 15.10  
 
TUP-5   03/11/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Arizona Oaks Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 4:53
:24 :471 1:111 1:242   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  UNA PALABRA 6 4 42¼ 22 2nk 1nk 1¼ (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 ★ 5.30  
3  FAYETTE FOX 3 8 89¼ 78¾ 32 31½ 2¼ (cerin vladimir)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 3.50 ★ 5.60 P
4  BEYOND AWESOME 4 1 12 12 1nk 2nk 31¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.50 36% 1.80 1.00 S
1  DON'T GET PICKLED 1 5 64¾ 65¾ 54 44 42 (hernandez miguel )CORBETT W 121 2.00 33% 2.00 1.90  
8  COASTLINE HOTTIE 8 6 77¼ 810¼ 77¼ 77¾ 59¼ (sepich f)ZUNINO L 121 15.00 34.40  
5  JAMIES INHERITANCE 5 3 22 33½ 64¼ 67¼ 610 (rennie richar)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 12.00 40.70  
7  OCEAN OF LIES 7 7 54¼ 53¾ 42½ 57 712½ (bratcher ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 20.00 38.90  
2  UNRIVALED QUEEN 2 2 32 43½ 88¾ 815¾ 825½ (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 ★ 27.60  
 
TUP-6   03/11/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Turf Paradise Derby Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 5:23
:24 :48 1:113 1:383   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  AMERICAN BLAZE 8 5 64½ 51¾ 42 31½ 11 (brinson clay)LOPEZ KARLO 121 12.00 8.10  
11  LOUDMOUTHSOUP 11 3 54 4¾ 3½ 1nk 21 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 121 10.00 6.40  
10  I AM FREAKY FAST 10 9 109 116¾ 97¼ 74¾ 33¼ (ferguson curt)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 5.00 64% 0.60 16.70 S
2  TIZ TOK 2 4 32½ 3.2 2nk 41¾ 44 (sadler w)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 4.00 ★ 1.30  
7  THIRSTY JOHN 7 2 21 2nk 1nk 2nk 54¼ (miller peter)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00 2.20  
9  PUBLIC OPINION 9 11 1110½ 126¾ 108¾ 86¼ 64¾ (rarick wade)FUENTES A 121 20.00 5% 19.00 89.00  
6  SPECIAL MOMENT 6 10 87 85¼ 74¾ 53¾ 75 (hone bart)CORBETT W 121 3.00 9% 10.10 10.70  
5  MY MAN BIGGIE 5 6 76 62¾ 64½ 64¾ 88¾ (simpson sha)VALENZUELA A 121 15.00 73.00  
12  ECHO CANYON 12 12 1210½ 106¼ 86¾ 97¾ 99¾ (schnell don)VALDES ALEXIS 121 15.00 50.80  
1  ARIZONA ANDREW 1 1 11 1nk 53½ 109¼ 1012 (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 121 4.50 ★ 10.80  
3  MOHAMAD 3 7 97½ 95¾ 1213¾ 1111¼ 1113 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 20.00 91.60  
4  ACCELERITAS 4 8 43½ 73¾ 1111¼ 1213¾ 1218¼ (eikl)DA FAUSTO 121 20.00 70.20  
 
TUP-7   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Phoenix Gold Cup Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
:214 :433 :56     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TRUTH SEEKER 5 9 108¾ 97¾   5¾ 11¼ (barraza rafael )ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 5.00 10% 9.40 2.70 W
11  TIGER DAD 10 2 42 42¼   2nk 21¼ (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 120 15.00 ★ 10.50 P
7  JAZZ HANDS 6 5 1½ 2nk   1nk 35¼ (silv)DA FAUSTO 117 15.00 15.50  
1  RADICAL RIGHT 1 11 65 55¼   62¾ 46¼ (miller peter)HERNANDEZ HARRY 123 4.00 5% 19.00 1.70  
4  GRAY MAGICIAN 3 7 96¼ 87¼   73 56¾ (silva jr)GARCIA ENRIQUE 117 20.00 28.20  
12  MR. STANG 11 8 85¼ 65¼   83 66¾ (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 119 20.00 28.40  
8  MINISTER OF SOUL 7 3 2½ 3.2   4¼ 77½ (martinez esteban)VERGARA P 122 8.00 44% 1.30 7.10  
10  CHATTALOT 9 1 3½ 1nk   3.2 87¾ (asmussen m)NEGRON LUIS 121 8.00 17.00  
3  COMPETITIVE IDEA 2 6 75¼ 109¾   105 99 (cappellucci di)FUENTES A 122 6.00 22% 3.60 15.70  
9  ESCAPE ROUTE 8 4 53½ 76¾   93 1010 (glatt mark)CONTRERAS LUIS 119 10.00 4.90  
5  BEDROCK 4 10 1112¼ 1113¼   118 1111½ (christian bil)CONNING CRYSTAL 117 20.00 80.60  
SCR  HOWBEIT               (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00    
 
TUP-8   03/11/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Cotton Fitzsimmons Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
:232 :47 1:102 1:36   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  ZESTFUL 11 6 64¼ 56 54 31½ 1¼ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 121 6.00 11% 7.80 17.50 W
9  BIGFOOT CITY 9 1 13 15 12½ 11½ 2¼ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 116 15.00 6% 16.60 22.70 P
7  SONNY SMACK 7 10 1110½ 1112¼ 97¾ 41¾ 3½ (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 121 8.00 14.40  
2  TARTINI 2 5 75¾ 98¼ 76¼ 52¼ 42 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 120 20.00 27.50  
4  SMOOTH LIKE STRAIT 4 3 43½ 35 22½ 21½ 52½ (mccar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 128 1.40 57% 0.80 0.50  
8  NO SLO MO 8 11 109½ 1012¼ 109¼ 96¼ 62¾ (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 116 10.00 37.60  
3  STITZY 3 7 96 76¾ 64¼ 75¼ 73¼ (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 121 15.00 18.80  
12  YES THIS TIME 12 9 54 87¾ 87¾ 106½ 87 (glatt mark)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 5.00 ★ 3.50  
1  NATURAL POWER (IRE) 1 4 85¾ 66½ 44 63¾ 97¼ (cerin vladimir)LARA EZEQUIEL 118 20.00 15.10  
5  BAROSSA 5 2 23 25 33½ 86¼ 1012¼ (hernandez miguel )LEON A 116 15.00 61.50  
10  PEPPER SPRAY 10 8 33 45½ 1114¾ 1118½ 1125 (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 116 20.00 5% 19.00 ######  
6  CLAYTON DELANEY 6 12 1216½ 1227¼ 1234¾ 12100 12100 (metz jeffrey)CORBETT W 116 20.00 46.30  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.