Handicappers' Race Results
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Keeneland
Thursday - April 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (10/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $4.88 $4.88  
KEE-2   Win (1/4/7/8/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $18.86  
KEE-3   Win (13/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 11 1 0 $13.08  
KEE-4   Win (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $10.90  
KEE-5   Win (3/1/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 0 $7.96  
KEE-6   Win (11/14/7/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $14.04 $14.04 4.04
KEE-7   Win (2/10/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $4.06 $4.06  
KEE-8   Win (1/7/16/15/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $7.56 $7.56  
KEE-9   Win (10/1/2/4/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $8.90 $8.90  
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   04/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:114     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  INVALUABLE 10 1 31 2½   1½ 13½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 26% 2.80 1.44 W
1  PRINCESSTAPITURE 1 8 41½ 31   2½ 23½ (andrade hugo)MARCANO Y 108 15.00 38.98  
7  ALARM CLOCK 7 5 62½ 41   31 34 (handal raymo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 1.80 17% 4.90 1.97 S
4  PRETTY RACHEL 4 3 11 1½   43 44¼ (crooks jeff)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 118 12.00 15% 5.50 14.33  
5  LA CUMPARSITA 5 6 52 63½   74¾ 54¾ (hester haley)BECKMAN ALICE 111 15.00 76.15  
8  LA TOURISTA 8 7 84½ 83¾   54½ 65½ (cano juan )RODRIGUEZ A 115 10.00 ★ 15.95  
3  TALK RADIO 3 9 74 73¾   64½ 76¼ (smith larry)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50 21% 3.90 4.36  
2  RUNAWAY MOM 2 10 108¾ 107½   87¾ 88¼ (kinmon keith)LANERIE J 118 20.00 40.17  
9  LIBERTY BELLE 9 2 21 52½   99¼ 915¼ (londono odi)CORREA L 120 12.00 42.86  
6  SONADOR 6 4 94¾ 97¼   1011¾ 1018¾ (hernan)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 8.00 19.05  
 
KEE-2   04/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:222 :462       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  MANGIONE 9 4 43¼     32½ 1½ (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 8.43  
7  SONOFASHIP 7 1 33     22 2½ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 8% 11.80 6.58 P
3  LET'S GO MARK 3 2 2nk     12 33 (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 119 20.00 14.62  
8  LOU'S LEGACY 8 11 912¾     88½ 45 (andrade hug)CORREA L 119 30.00 5% 19.00 41.13  
4  SADDLE UP 4 3 54¼     56½ 58½ (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 23% 3.30 6.87  
12  ORE MINE 12 8 76¾     67½ 611 (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 9.14  
11  THE RUSH IS ON 11 9 1012¾     1012 712½ (vosler eugene )ARAGON ROLANDO 119 30.00 5% 19.00 88.55  
1  HOB ALWATAN 1 7 1nk     44 813 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.60 24% 3.10 0.81  
6  GREEN CHILE 6 5 89¼     910½ 913¾ (hancock a)MACHADO LUAN 116 15.00 25.12  
2  BAYTOWN PARFAIT 2 6 66¼     77½ 1013¾ (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 119 12.00 79.57  
10  TECHNE 10 10 1113¼     1113½ 1115¾ (guerrero sal)ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00 81.40  
5  BOY POR UNO 5 12 1215¾     1216½ 1218½ (decker anna)MARCANO Y 109 30.00 71.28  
SCR  BAYTOWN ADMIRAL               (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 119 10.00    
SCR  DUNPHY               (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
 
KEE-3   04/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:134 1:412   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  INDY AGAIN 11 6 54½ 64¾ 42½ 31½ 1½ (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 5.54  
8  POWDER MY NOSE 8 9 1111¼ 1111¼ 109¾ 76 2½ (ramirez lu)RODRIGUEZ A 121 4.50 15.00  
2  GOODBETTERBEST 2 4 21½ 21 11½ 11 31¼ (gutierrez faust)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 ★ 4.35 S
10  LOTSANDLOTSOFGOLD 10 11 76 76¼ 64 21 41¼ (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 126 6.00 4.72  
6  RUDIMENTARY DRINK 6 10 86½ 86¾ 76½ 54½ 51¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 45.78  
4  SHEAR 4 1 32½ 33½ 32½ 42½ 62¼ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 19.79  
1  CATHERINE BLAZE 1 5 108¾ 107¾ 88½ 87 74 (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 62.08  
7  TOFFEE 7 2 66 54½ 53 65 84¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 126 3.50 4.25  
13  AMENSET 12 7 11½ 11 21½ 98 915¾ (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 3.00 53% 0.90 3.20  
9  AZAMANA EMPIRE 9 3 98½ 97¼ 98¾ 1012 1019 (meredith char)MIRANDA ROGELIO 126 10.00 18% 4.70 22.36  
5  HURRY UP CHIC CHIC 5 12 1213¾ 1213¼ 1213¼ 1216½ 1124¾ (reed r)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 15.00 5% 19.00 53.98  
3  CHICAGO TYPHOON 3 8 44 44½ 1110¼ 1116 1225 (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 24.27  
SCR  COLONEL GRACE               (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 126 10.00 ★    
SCR  PROMISEMEPARADISE               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00    
 
KEE-4   04/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:102     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BOURBON CREED 4 3 55 52¾   32 1hd (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 ★ 4.45  
3  PAGE ONE 2 4 31 2nk   11 2hd (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.00 55% 0.80 1.88 P
5  JUDGE DAVIS 3 1 43 41¾   43 32¾ (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 4.35  
7  PATIENT CAPITAL 5 2 1½ 1nk   21 44 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.60 16% 5.30 1.30  
2  AMANI'S EAGLE 1 5 2½ 31½   53½ 55½ (vanden br)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 30.00 ★ 24.00  
SCR  KEEN ON YOU               (cundiff waylo)PETERSON FERRIN 118 30.00    
SCR  WAR ROOM               (lejzerowic)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00    
 
KEE-5   04/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($69K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:11     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  TIM TAL 7 1 11 11   15 19½ (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.50 ★ 2.98  
10  LUPO'S LEGACY 8 2 42 31   25 29½ (rodriguez dar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 6.00 8% 11.30 3.38 P
2  RUN FOR REAGAN 2 5 52½ 42½   46½ 310¼ (wohlers laura)RAMOS D 118 15.00 19.85  
5  POWER ALLEY 3 6 77½ 710¼   611½ 410¾ (forster t)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 13.56  
1  REAL NAUGHTY 1 8 811 811¾   712 511¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 28% 2.60 1.62  
8  GOIN TO THE SHOW 6 3 31½ 21   36 616¼ (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 125 15.00 ★ 7.32  
6  LEVEL UP 4 4 21 52¾   511 721 (nihei michelle)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00 41.08  
7  MO TIME AT ALL 5 7 63 64¼   813½ 824½ (pessin l)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 20.00 13.30  
SCR  CERTAIN               (sisterson ja)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
SCR  KINGMAKER               (moquett e)ROSARIO JOEL 125 8.00    
SCR  SIDEKICK               (asmussen steven)ORTIZ JR 125 2.00 43% 1.30    
 
KEE-6   04/13/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:22 :47 1:12 1:371   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  QUALITY STAR 4 11 106 107½ 104¾ 3½ 11¼ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 6% 16.50 6.02 W
1  QUEEN JUDITH 1 2 74 76 73¼ 51¼ 21¼ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 17.03  
2  EIDIKOS (GB) 2 3 32 44 32 41 32¼ (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 118 5.00 2.40  
9  SWEET LADY IVANKA 9 6 11½ 13 11 1½ 43¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 12.25  
11  DIAMOND HANDS 11 4 21½ 23 21 2½ 53¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 1.40 35% 1.80 1.85  
3  SAKE (FR) 3 1 84½ 86½ 93¾ 61¼ 63¾ (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00 14.77  
10  COLONEL ABY B 10 10 116¼ 118 115¼ 74¼ 76 (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00 90.40  
5  IMPLOSION 5 7 43 55 52½ 95¼ 87½ (sadler john )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 15.45  
7  TEXAS SHUFFLE 7 9 95 97 63 84¾ 911 (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 10% 9.10 8.39  
8  HASHTAG WINNER 8 5 64 65½ 83¾ 108¼ 1015½ (cano juan )RODRIGUEZ A 113 30.00 82.19  
6  PRECURSORY 6 8 53½ 34 42½ 1112¼ 1122½ (tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 49.70  
SCR  BEACHFRONT BID               (albertrani )LEPAROUX R 118 6.00    
SCR  MYTOWN MYRULES               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  SWEETS MAKER               (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
 
KEE-7   04/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:121 1:374   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CURL GIRL 10 1 2½ 2½ 1½ 12½ 14¼ (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.80 26% 2.80 1.03 W
12  DESTINE TO RACE 12 2 32 33 2½ 22½ 24¼ (lovell michelle)ORTIZ JR 120 30.00 22.42  
2  K'ANTHEIA 2 3 43½ 46 43½ 34½ 37½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 27% 2.70 4.29 S
5  I HAD THAT ONE TOO 5 5 55½ 57 54½ 47½ 48¼ (glyshaw t)DE CRUZ 120 30.00 ★ 29.58  
7  FEARLESS KRISTIE 7 10 1111½ 1114½ 1013 812½ 518 (shirer a)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00 24.13  
11  QUEEN OF THE RODEO 11 9 79 79½ 79½ 511½ 618¼ (colebrook be)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 8.84  
3  LEXA (FR) 3 12 1011 811½ 69½ 611½ 720¼ (beckman whit)GEROUX FLORENT 120 20.00 70.47  
8  PALETA 8 8 89 912 912½ 913½ 820¼ (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00 19.70  
6  CALL ME TONI 6 11 1213 1216 1217 1118 931½ (hughes g)SANJUR SANTO 120 6.00 13% 6.50 22.52  
4  PRINCESS CAIRO 4 4 1½ 1½ 31½ 712 1031¾ (de horacio)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 6% 17.00 5.70  
9  SOULTITLESREADY 9 6 67½ 69½ 810½ 1016½ 1132¾ (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 15.00 60.53  
1  TIME TO RACE 1 7 910½ 1013½ 1115½ 1218¼ 1236¼ (nihei michelle)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 10.00 42.57  
 
KEE-8   04/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:114 1:352   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  STRONG QUALITY 7 3 12 11½ 11½ 12 11¼ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 23% 3.30 2.78 W
6  POINT ME BY 6 4 22 21½ 21½ 22 21¼ (kenneally ed)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 15.34  
2  COWBOY JUSTICE (GB) 2 2 44 55 55 34½ 34 (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 44.37  
1  VERBAL 1 5 32½ 33½ 32½ 44½ 44¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 42% 1.40 1.08  
3  CREED 3 10 77½ 77 66½ 67½ 56¼ (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 13.36  
11  HIDDEN STASH 10 7 54 44½ 43 56½ 66¼ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.63  
12  FEBRUARY SON 11 9 109¾ 109½ 1010½ 78 77¼ (granitz a)DE CRUZ 118 30.00 91.19  
5  SCRIPT 5 8 97¾ 66½ 77 89½ 810¾ (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 6.88  
4  RED HORNET 4 1 66 98½ 89 911 910¾ (meah m)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00 74.89  
8  HIDDEN ENEMY (IRE) 8 6 87¾ 88 99 1011¼ 1011¼ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 31.20  
9  AMERICAN HERO 9 11 1116¾ 1115½ 1118½ 1117¼ 1124¾ (flint s)LANERIE J 118 30.00 ######  
SCR  CREATIVE MINISTER               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 6% 16.20    
SCR  EYES ON TARGET               (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MUTAKATIF (IRE)               (brown h)AYALA ISAIAS 118 30.00    
SCR  MY ROMEO LIMA               (camejo m)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
SCR  NAUTILUS (BRZ)               (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
 
KEE-9   04/13/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:241 :471 1:12 1:39   1:53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CABALLO FELIZ 1 1 11½ 13 14½ 14½ 12½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 8% 11.20 3.45 W
4  TUSKEGEE CAT 3 10 87¼ 910¾ 68½ 35 22½ (miller kenny)BURGOS ALBERTO 125 12.00 5% 19.00 17.36 P
7  CLASSIC MARK 6 8 77 69 56 24½ 32½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 12.00 2.69  
2  LORD DONEGAL 2 6 21½ 23 24½ 47 49¼ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 7% 14.20 3.08  
9  NORDIC LIGHT 8 3 55½ 47½ 45½ 57½ 510½ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 12.00 27.01  
10  MR. BOUMA 9 5 32 35½ 34½ 611½ 619 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 4.50 52% 0.90 7.12  
11  SAN MARCO CITY 10 7 107½ 1113¼ 817¼ 719½ 727¼ (estvanko richa)RAMOS D 118 50.00 95.36  
8  WRITEITONTHEICE 7 11 119 1012¾ 917¾ 820½ 827½ (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 125 30.00 40.75  
5  WORKINFROMHOME 4 4 65½ 79 717 925½ 940½ (guerrero sal)MARCANO Y 115 20.00 60.86  
12  BEOCCA 11 9 97¼ 810½ 1120¾ 1032½ 1052¾ (castanon g)COHEN DAVID 125 30.00 5% 19.00 96.39  
6  RIVER BOY 5 2 44 58 1018¼ 1133 1154¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 4.68  
SCR  ROUNDER               (van thomas)BEJARANO R 125 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.