Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Keeneland
Wednesday - April 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-1   WIN (3/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $11.92 $3.92 49%
    EXA (3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-4 $37.22 $25.22 210%
    TRI (3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-4-3 $48.08 $36.08 301%
KEE-4   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $12.66 $6.66 111%
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-1 $15.66 $3.66 31%
    DD (3/5/4)-(6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-6 $11.20 $2.20 24%
KEE-5   DD (6/1/5)-(12/8/13/3/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00  6-8 $20.35 $5.35 36%
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   04/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:111     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT 1 4 11½ 11½   14½ 17 (cook b)ROCCO S 118 3.00 5% 18.00 4.96 W
4  ABITIBI 4 2 21½ 21½   24½ 27 (esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 31% 2.20 5.64 P
3  EDGEE ANGEL 3 8 76½ 78½   49 38 (king barry )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 2.00 32% 2.10 1.82 S
7  APRIL'S NO FOOL 7 1 33 53½   37½ 414 (miller jero)PETERSON FERRIN 118 10.00 6.66  
5  SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI 5 5 88 89½   611½ 515½ (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 8.91  
8  REVS RUN 8 3 64 65½   813½ 622 (phillips ter)RAMOS D 118 20.00 20.11  
6  DOROTA 6 6 53½ 43   59½ 722¼ (wainwright john)MCKEE J 118 15.00 14.00  
2  PRINCESS NINA 2 7 43½ 32½   712 826½ (cundiff waylo)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.00 8% 12.00 4.79  
 
KEE-2   04/12/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:222 :46       :522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  HIBERNACLE 10 1 32     11½ 17½ (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00 22% 3.60 1.54 W
  (by HOOTENANNY out of SEARCHINGFORAHERO by OFFICER)
9  HAPPY BAYTOWN 7 2 1nk     21½ 27½ (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 119 6.00 6.72  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of TIZASONG by TIZNOW)
5  MIDNIGHT ANGEL (GER) 4 4 77½     64¾ 37½ (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 119 30.00 38.58  
  (by WEST COAST out of PIKE CREEK by FOREST CAMP)
10  BOOTSY'S MERLOT 8 10 810½     76¾ 49½ (cash l)BEJARANO R 119 30.00 5% 19.00 41.95  
  (by CONGRATS out of BOOTSY'S HADENOUGH by PAYNTER)
2  UNHEARD 2 3 2nk     31½ 59¾ (davis christopher)GRAHAM J 119 3.50 10% 8.90 2.06  
  (by STREET BOSS out of TALK SOFTLY by MALIBU MOON)
11  HOLLYWOODBOULEVARD 9 8 54½     54¾ 610½ (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 119 10.00 12.31  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of HANA HIGHWAY by QUALITY ROAD)
7  GREENTEAZE 5 5 43     44½ 713¾ (mendez luis)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00 11.80  
  (by FIRING LINE out of FIRST FED BIZ by FED BIZ)
8  JOIA RARA 6 7 1114     812¾ 818½ (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 20.00 85.03  
  (by LOST TREASURE out of STEVE'S MANDOLIN by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
16  BAYTOWN KITTY CAT 11 11 912½     1014½ 922 (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 119 12.00 49.99  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ELEMENTSOFHARMONY by EXCHANGE RATE)
1  MY SWEETHEART DANI 1 9 1013     1115 1025¾ (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 119 20.00 5% 19.00 67.63  
  (by ALLIANCE out of SEDATE by MUNNINGS)
4  NEXT DOT 3 6 67     913 1127 (hancock a)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 9.66  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of TWO BELOW by HAT TRICK (JPN))
SCR  BOYNE VALLEY               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of READY FOR FORTUNE by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  GREEN CHILE               (hancock jo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of PERSEVERANTE by STUKA)
SCR  MISS ATHLETIC               (crooks jeffre)CEDILLO MAURO 119 50.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of OVERPREPARED by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  MOMBAYLA               (mccutchen ja)MARCANO Y 109 30.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of CALIFORNIA BREEZE by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  MOURNE MOUNTAINS               (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 114 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MISS MAMBO by KINGMAMBO)
 
KEE-3   04/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:223 :453 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AMARETTI 3 3 1½ 11½   16 17 (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 1.00 29% 2.50 1.05 W
  (by BERNARDINI out of CARAMEL SNAP by SMART STRIKE)
5  KID'S LAST LAUGH 5 4 53 66¾   48 27 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 25% 3.00 2.81 P
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of KID SILVER by SILVER GHOST)
2  KIKI KRAZY 2 5 32½ 35   37½ 39¾ (bauer a)COHEN DAVID 118 20.00 31.82  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of AUNT ELS by CONSOLIDATOR)
1  HEART HEADED WOMAN 1 7 710½ 710¾   712½ 413 (drury thoma)PETERSON FERRIN 125 15.00 47.16  
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of BRILLIANT BLAZE by SEEKING THE GOLD)
4  THE PRINCESS SAYS 4 2 2½ 21½   26 513¾ (hartman chris)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 21% 3.90 3.50  
  (by COLLECTED out of NAKED EMPRESS by FREUD)
7  PREEMPT 7 6 63½ 45   510 617¼ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 125 12.00 8.16  
  (by ARROGATE out of CENTRE COURT by SMART STRIKE)
6  BLAME THE TOLL 6 1 43 55¼   610 717¼ (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 6.00 ★ 15.95  
  (by BLAME out of TOLL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
KEE-4   04/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:221 :451 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HEARTBREAKER 6 2 31 1½   11 13¼ (d'amato phi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 2.50 36% 1.80 5.33 W
1  DON'T WAIT UP 1 9 11 2½   21 23¼ (walden willia)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 30% 2.30 1.04 P
10  KEEN HEIR 10 7 63¾ 47   37½ 36¾ (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 124 6.00 6.84  
4  BABY QUINN 4 4 21 35   48 411¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00 ★ 8.57  
9  COLOR FIELD 9 3 87 610½   612 512¼ (amoss m)LANERIE J 118 8.00 ★ 15.68  
3  BORN FLAWLESS 3 10 1010 814   713½ 612¼ (heitzman eric)GRAHAM J 118 30.00 50.81  
7  FRENCH COMPOSER 7 6 43½ 57   59 712½ (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 124 12.00 11.75  
5  HEADLINE REPORT 5 5 76¾ 712   814½ 817 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.00 11% 8.10 6.42  
8  MR. CUNNINGHAM 8 1 97½ 1015¼   918½ 923½ (meredith ch)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 15.00 85.27  
2  OXWOOD 2 8 53¾ 914¼   1019½ 1030½ (woodbury judy)HEARD TYLER 124 30.00 ######  
 
KEE-5   04/12/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:24 :501 1:153 1:40   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  DRIPPING GOLD 8 5 2½ 2½ 2½ 2nk 1hd (mcgaughey )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 8% 11.10 2.22 W
2  F FIVE 2 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 1nk 2hd (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 10.25  
3  JARREAU 3 6 31½ 32 31½ 32½ 33¼ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 5% 18.50 2.35 S
7  SOLID COUNTRY GOLD 7 8 105¼ 84½ 84¼ 55 43½ (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 18.32  
6  WHAT SAY THEE 6 9 52½ 53 52½ 43½ 53½ (sisterson ja)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 53.70  
12  POLICY OPTION 12 12 127¾ 117¾ 126½ 96¼ 65½ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 118 4.50 56% 0.80 8.37  
1  SPIN WHEEL 1 4 62¾ 63½ 62¾ 65½ 78 (arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 13.22  
10  ICONIC ADVENTURE 10 2 73¼ 74 73¼ 86¼ 88¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00 7.52 DH
5  NICHOLAS JONES 5 11 116¾ 107½ 115½ 107¾ 88¼ (miller f)MOJICA JR 118 30.00 50.56 DH
9  MAINTAINER 9 3 41½ 42 41½ 75¾ 1010¼ (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 118 20.00 38.72  
11  EXPLOSIVE 11 10 94¼ 128¼ 95¼ 119¼ 1111¼ (simms j)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 5% 19.00 13.05  
4  JR'S GIFT 4 7 84¼ 95½ 105¼ 1211¼ 1214 (andrade hugo)MCKEE J 118 30.00 73.95  
SCR  ALWAYS ABOVE               (nihei michell)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00    
SCR  ARABIAN PRINCE               (barnett bobb)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
SCR  MAASAI WARRIOR               (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 6% 15.90    
SCR  SAILOR'S RETURN               (habeeb donald)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
 
KEE-6   04/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3 ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:111     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  STREET SWAGG 7 1 1½ 4¾   1nk 1¼ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 ★ 3.47  
5  CAPTAIN JACK 5 4 51½ 1nk   2nk 2¼ (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 112 15.00 6.28  
9  FIGHT FIERCELY 9 3 31 2nk   3½ 32¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 11% 8.10 4.31 S
8  COUNTERSPY 8 2 2½ 3½   42 45½ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.00 52% 0.90 5.95  
1  ODDSONTONY 1 9 99 89¼   68 57 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 21.70  
4  HILL OF TARA 4 5 41½ 54¼   55½ 67¼ (ennis john)MCENTEE GRACE 120 20.00 76.56  
2  SOFT PANTS 2 8 86 78¼   78¼ 79¼ (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00 17.39  
3  CHAMBERS BAY 3 6 74 911¾   813¼ 822½ (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 120 30.00 10% 9.30 61.91  
6  MONEY RUN 6 7 62½ 65¼   915¾ 932¾ (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 120 1.40 ★ 1.70  
 
KEE-7   04/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:12 1:363   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  FLIRTING BRIDGE (IRE) 10 6 43 44½ 43½ 22½ 11¼ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.00 46% 1.20 0.87 W
8  SISTER LOU ANN 7 3 11 11 12½ 12½ 21¼ (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 2.67  
3  ONE TIME MO 2 9 97½ 1010½ 109¼ 58½ 35½ (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00 19.25  
5  UNDER ONE SKY 4 1 85½ 89 87¾ 79½ 45½ (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 115 20.00 39.79  
4  WOOHOO JACKIE BLUE 3 11 108 910½ 97¾ 89¾ 56 (schultz l)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00 24.85  
2  SWEET SERENADE 1 10 119 1112½ 119¾ 99¾ 66¼ (attfield ro)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00 5% 19.00 22.90  
7  BHOMA 6 5 53 56 55 36 77 (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 118 20.00 34.84  
9  BLISSFUL 8 8 64 67 65½ 48 87½ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 9% 9.90 8.92  
12  LADY PUCHI 11 7 74½ 77½ 75¾ 1013¼ 913 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 13.28  
6  CHOCTAW BINGO 5 4 31½ 32½ 22½ 68½ 1015¼ (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 7% 13.20 47.61  
10  MADEMOISELLE NOVA 9 2 21 21 32½ 1116¼ 1125¼ (hamilton sarah)MACHADO LUAN 118 50.00 95.13  
SCR  LOVELY PRINCESS               (mcpeek g)GRAHAM J 118 5.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  TAKE A STAND               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
SCR  TEXAS MAGIC               (andrade hugo)MCKEE J 118 30.00    
 
KEE-8   04/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:104     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARAMEL CHIP 1 3 31½ 32   11 18¼ (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 120 1.20 37% 1.70 0.62 W
7  TWO WORLDS 4 2 2½ 2½   32½ 28¼ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 4.50 22% 3.50 5.84 P
6  ELLE'SBIGSEACRET 3 4 1½ 1½   21 39¼ (shifflett ch)MARCANO Y 108 12.00 5% 19.00 12.91 S
9  TIZ OUR TURN 5 1 42 42   45 412¼ (bindner walter)SANJUR SANTO 118 20.00 22.55  
10  HIGH HEATER 6 5 54 54   58 515¼ (hess b)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 2.86  
3  IMPROBABLE STORY 2 6 64 66½   69 615¼ (king barry )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 17.21  
SCR  CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT               (esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 6% 16.50    
SCR  GORMLEYS GOT GAME               (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 118 20.00    
SCR  KEEN ON YOU               (cundiff )RODRIGUEZ A 113 30.00    
SCR  VETTORI KIN (BRZ)               (bush s)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 7% 13.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.