The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Keeneland
Saturday - April 22, 2023
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KEE-1   04/22/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($45K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:00
:224 :464 1:121     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WHY BEHAVE 2 3 11 1½   11½ 1¾ (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 43% 1.30 3.24 W
1  HIGH SPEED 1 6 31½ 32   21½ 2¾ (forster t)LANERIE J 118 2.00 2.49  
7  HOLDONTOYOURTIARA 5 2 21 2½   31½ 31½ (esquivel jes)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 8.85  
5  SHE'S GONE D'WILD 4 5 69½ 610   59½ 46 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 3.11  
4  LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT 3 4 42 43   47½ 511½ (campbell joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 22% 3.60 4.89  
8  RISATA 6 1 52½ 53   611 621½ (west w)ACHARD ALEX 118 20.00 5% 19.00 5.45  
SCR  MY DARK SECRET               (grubbs ja)DE CRUZ 118 20.00 6% 14.50    
SCR  YOGURT               (short m)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00    
 
KEE-2   04/22/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
:242 :484 1:132 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DECK OF CARDS 4 4 11 11 11 2nk 1¾ (wong jonathan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 2.00 65% 0.50 2.28 W
1  GHOSTLY GIRL 1 1 31½ 31½ 31½ 1nk 2¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 1.53  
3  THE CLUB 3 3 21 21 21 34 310¾ (romans dale)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 1.60 3.84  
2  LEGERITY 2 2 43 43 44 46 411½ (rutledge lance)GILLIGAN JACK 125 20.00 5% 19.00 7.01  
5  HASHTAG WINNER 5 6 66½ 66 55½ 57½ 511½ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 125 8.00 5% 19.00 7.99  
6  LA TOURISTA 6 5 53 53½ 66 69 620¼ (cano juan )RODRIGUEZ A 120 12.00 19.23  
 
KEE-3   04/22/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
:222 :46 1:114     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  COUTH 4 5 31 3½   1½ 13 (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 10.25  
10  WASHINGTON'S UNION 8 8 96¾ 95¾   35 23 (sims a)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 21.17  
2  LONE LEADER 2 6 2½ 1½   2½ 37¼ (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 48.82  
8  KISLOVODSK 6 2 64½ 84¼   46½ 49 (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50 ★ 2.28  
9  BIG POPPER 7 11 1111¼ 108¾   69 512¼ (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50 5.28  
11  BLUEGRASS LUTE 9 3 74¾ 42½   57 613½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 16.98  
12  HAIL ALLEN 10 1 84¾ 73¾   710 719 (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00 21.23  
3  LUCKY SMILE 3 10 52½ 63¼   812 819¾ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 125 10.00 10% 9.10 10.33  
13  KVETCHING MAW 11 9 108¾ 1110¾   1114¼ 924¼ (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 59.69  
1  OFF THE CUFF 1 7 1½ 2½   1012¼ 1024½ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 2.00 66% 0.50 2.55  
7  BATTLE BORN 5 4 42½ 53   912 1127¾ (west w)GILLIGAN JACK 125 8.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
SCR  COTE D'IVOIRE               (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 118 30.00    
SCR  MISTER KITTY               (wong jonathan)NAVAS YOEL 108 15.00    
SCR  SCHMEAR               (tomlinson michael)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
SCR  SHORTLY               (cundiff waylo)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00 ★    
 
KEE-4   04/22/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:36
:222 :452 1:102     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SILK TRADE 2 5 42 21   12½ 11¾ (casse w)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80 2.19  
1  GUN IT 1 6 52 53   43½ 21¾ (asmussen steven )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 2.68  
6  GREENER PASTURES 6 4 64 63¼   22½ 33 (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 5% 18.90 7.25 S
7  POLE SETTER 7 1 1½ 11   33 47¼ (andrade hugo)MARCANO Y 111 30.00 5% 19.00 17.32  
3  LEGAL DEAL 3 3 2½ 42   65 59¾ (david carlos )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 2.50 7% 13.20 7.51  
4  MARKET ANALYSIS 4 2 31 31   55 610¾ (diodoro robe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 61% 0.60 3.37  
5  NEWBOMB 5 7 77 76¼   78 715¼ (breen kell)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 10.88  
 
KEE-5   04/22/2023 5940ft TURF GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:08
:243 :492 1:142 1:374   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LOVELY PRINCESS 4 5 31½ 31½ 31½ 2½ 1½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 6.10  
3  MISE EN SCENE (GB) 3 8 86½ 87½ 86 54½ 2½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.40 30% 2.40 1.12 P
8  BEECHNUT TROPHY 8 6 21 21 2½ 31½ 31¼ (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 24% 3.10 3.76 S
7  MYRISKYAFFAIR 7 4 11 11 1½ 1½ 41½ (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 ★ 5.08  
5  SHE'S GONE 5 3 54 54½ 53½ 44 51½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 12.57  
6  READY LADY 6 7 42½ 42½ 42 64½ 61¾ (attfield roger)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 27.41  
1  KATHAAN 1 1 76½ 77 75 76 73 (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00 18% 4.50 13.83  
2  MISS MARIE 2 2 65 66 65 88 88 (attfield roger)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 32.63  
 
KEE-6   04/22/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 3:40
:221 :452 1:112     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CLASS ACTOR 7 4 2½ 1nk   1nk 1¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 23% 3.30 3.84 W
4  MR. KEATING 4 10 108¾ 97¼   44 2¼ (casse w)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 20% 4.00 3.06 P
6  BILLY JACK 6 3 1½ 2nk   2nk 31½ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 32% 2.10 4.70 S
5  MOREAU 5 8 76 65   33½ 43 (mckeever andrew)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00 7.97  
2  GILDED CRAKEN 2 5 65½ 75¼   75¾ 53 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 120 20.00 13.79  
3  DE LA CALLES 3 11 1114¼ 1111¼   86¼ 64¾ (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 27.85  
9  FIVE STAR G MAN 9 12 1219¼ 1217¼   108¼ 76¾ (gowan william)GRAHAM J 120 20.00 46.12  
11  CIGARETTE BOAT 11 2 31 3½   65¼ 88¼ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.72  
12  FAST FORWARD 12 1 42½ 42½   55 99¾ (bright derri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 50.00 46.84  
8  SOLEVO 8 7 96¼ 108¼   98¼ 1010¼ (devaux cherie)LANERIE J 120 6.00 ★ 12.02  
1  CARTOGRAPHER 1 6 53 54½   118½ 1115 (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 20.00 12.49  
10  TARHE 10 9 86 86¼   1213½ 1216¼ (sims p)GILLIGAN JACK 120 30.00 36.44  
SCR  SATURDAY LONG LEGS               (frazier matt)LANERIE J 120 20.00    
 
KEE-7   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 4:12
:224 :462 :574     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUNT BECCA 1 4 11 2½   13 16¼ (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 10% 9.50 13.05 W
7  SOCIALLY SELECTIVE 5 1 21 1½   23 26¼ (mott i)ORTIZ JR 118 1.00 33% 2.00 0.41 P
3  CHARLEE MAE 2 2 32 42½   46 38¾ (hamilton sarah)GILLIGAN JACK 118 30.00 27.57  
6  FROSHADO 4 3 42 3½   35½ 410 (harty eoin)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 7.28  
4  DEVIOUS STARES 3 5 5100 5100   5100 5100 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 30% 2.40 2.86  
SCR  UNSUNG MELODY               (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.00 ★    
SCR  ZAPPLE               (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00    
 
KEE-8   04/22/2023 7920ft TURF GOOD Elkhorn Purse ($350K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
:243 :493 1:15 1:40 2:044 2:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  VERSTAPPEN 7 65 66 75 73¼ 1nk 1nk (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 16.15  
5  RED KNIGHT 5 89 78 85½ 63¼ 2nk 2nk (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 6.12  
4  ANOTHER MYSTERY 4 78 88¼ 52½ 42 5¾ 32 (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 ★ 17.57 S
1  CHANNEL MAKER 1 2nk 2½ 2½ 2nk 4¼ 43½ (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 10% 9.30 6.09  
10  TIZ THE BOMB 8 1nk 1½ 1½ 1nk 3.2 54½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 12.82  
7  HOWE STREET 6 43½ 54 31½ 3½ 61¾ 65½ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 2.13  
3  RISING EMPIRE 3 32 32½ 41½ 52¼ 72¾ 77 (walsh brendan )GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 4.72  
2  VALUE ENGINEERING 2 54 44 63 83¾ 84¼ 87¾ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 34% 1.90 3.33  
SCR  HIGHEST HONORS               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  SHAWDYSHAWDYSHAWDY               (abreu r)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
 
KEE-9   04/22/2023 6270ft DIRT FAST Ben Ali Purse ($300K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:16
:232 :473 1:121 1:373   1:562   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RATTLE N ROLL 5 7 66½ 53½ 31½ 1½ 11¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 27% 2.70 2.99 W
3  CALL ME FAST 3 4 44 43 52½ 32½ 21¼ (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 5% 19.00 16.98 P
1  PIONEER OF MEDINA 1 1 11 11 1½ 2½ 31¾ (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 20% 4.10 4.62 S
6  HAPPY AMERICAN 6 5 77 77 75 65 44¾ (pessin l)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 12.67  
4  SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING 4 3 33½ 33 41½ 54½ 55 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 118 1.40 27% 2.70 1.71  
2  TRADEMARK 2 2 21 21 2½ 44 68 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 13.28  
7  TAWNY PORT 7 6 55 65½ 64½ 722 764½ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 4.10  
 
KEE-10   04/22/2023 3630ft TURF GOOD Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:48
:211 :44 :56     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FRONT RUN THE FED 5 7 106¾ 107¼   75¼ 11 (caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 12.16  
8  MARK OF THE Z 8 6 54½ 54   44½ 21 (rodriguez g)BAIRD T 118 8.00 6.42  
10  JUST MIGHT 9 1 1½ 11   12½ 31¼ (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 39% 1.60 15.58 S
11  NOBODY LISTENS 10 2 2½ 21   22½ 42 (eggleston tim)RAMOS D 118 8.00 13% 6.70 10.87  
3  BEER CAN MAN 3 3 43½ 44   33½ 52 (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 6% 15.00 2.51  
7  ANGASTON 7 10 117¼ 117¾   108¼ 62¾ (barkley jason)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 11.78  
2  SMOKIN' JAY 2 5 75½ 65½   85¾ 73½ (danner kelse)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 3.84  
1  ICE CHOCOLAT (BRZ) 1 9 65 75¾   55 83¾ (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00 5% 18.10 9.68  
6  NOBALS 6 8 85¾ 96¾   96¾ 94¼ (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 14% 6.40 6.64  
12  DOWAGIAC CHIEF 11 11 95¾ 85¾   118¼ 104¼ (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 45.59  
4  CITY DRIFTER 4 4 33½ 33½   65 116¼ (davis christop)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00 48.87  
SCR  FRIAR LAURENCE               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
SCR  GALLANT GUY               (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
SCR  JOHNNY UNLEASHED               (foster eric)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00    
SCR  OUR SHOT               (terranova )RODRIGUEZ A 113 12.00    
SCR  SPICY MARG               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 113 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.