Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Keeneland
Saturday - April 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-2   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $6.56 $0.56 9%
KEE-6   WIN (6/7/4/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $9.68 $1.68 21%
    EXA (6/7/4/11)-(6/7/4/11/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-4 $19.01 $3.01 19%
    TRI (6/7/4/11)-(6/7/4/11/8)-(6/7/4/11/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00  7-4-6 $33.70 $9.70 40%
KEE-7   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $28.10 $22.10 368%
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-7 $26.72 $17.72 197%
    DD (6/7/4/11)-(7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-1 $96.40 $84.40 703%
KEE-8   DD (7/4/1)-(2/8/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-8 $15.94 $3.94 33%
    PK3 (6/7/4/11)-(7/4/1)-(2/8/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00  7-1-8 $47.33 $23.33 97%
KEE-9   EXA (4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-3 $57.06 $45.06 376%
    TRI (4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-3-1 $162.79 $150.79 1257%
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(2/8/1/7)-(4/5/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00  1-8-5 $28.17 $4.17 17%
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   04/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($45K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:121     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WHY BEHAVE 2 3 11 1½   11½ 1¾ (delacruz meji)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 43% 1.30 3.24 W
1  HIGH SPEED 1 6 31½ 32   21½ 2¾ (forster t)LANERIE J 118 2.00 2.49  
7  HOLDONTOYOURTIARA 5 2 21 2½   31½ 31½ (esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 8.85  
5  SHE'S GONE D'WILD 4 5 69½ 610   59½ 46 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 3.11  
4  LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT 3 4 42 43   47½ 511½ (campbell j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 22% 3.60 4.89  
8  RISATA 6 1 52½ 53   611 621½ (west w)ACHARD ALEX 118 20.00 5% 19.00 5.45  
SCR  MY DARK SECRET               (grubbs )DE CRUZ 118 20.00 6% 14.50    
SCR  YOGURT               (short derrick )MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00    
 
KEE-2   04/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:132 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DECK OF CARDS 4 4 11 11 11 2nk 1¾ (wong jonath)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 2.00 65% 0.50 2.28 W
1  GHOSTLY GIRL 1 1 31½ 31½ 31½ 1nk 2¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 1.53  
3  THE CLUB 3 3 21 21 21 34 310¾ (romans dal)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 1.60 3.84  
2  LEGERITY 2 2 43 43 44 46 411½ (rutledge lanc)GILLIGAN JACK 125 20.00 5% 19.00 7.01  
5  HASHTAG WINNER 5 6 66½ 66 55½ 57½ 511½ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 125 8.00 5% 19.00 7.99  
6  LA TOURISTA 6 5 53 53½ 66 69 620¼ (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 120 12.00 19.23  
 
KEE-3   04/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:222 :46 1:114     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  COUTH 4 5 31 3½   1½ 13 (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 10.25  
10  WASHINGTON'S UNION 8 8 96¾ 95¾   35 23 (sims a)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 21.17  
2  LONE LEADER 2 6 2½ 1½   2½ 37¼ (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 48.82  
8  KISLOVODSK 6 2 64½ 84¼   46½ 49 (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50 ★ 2.28  
9  BIG POPPER 7 11 1111¼ 108¾   69 512¼ (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50 5.28  
11  BLUEGRASS LUTE 9 3 74¾ 42½   57 613½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 16.98  
12  HAIL ALLEN 10 1 84¾ 73¾   710 719 (blair jorda)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00 21.23  
3  LUCKY SMILE 3 10 52½ 63¼   812 819¾ (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 125 10.00 10% 9.10 10.33  
13  KVETCHING MAW 11 9 108¾ 1110¾   1114¼ 924¼ (leitch dan)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 59.69  
1  OFF THE CUFF 1 7 1½ 2½   1012¼ 1024½ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 2.00 66% 0.50 2.55  
7  BATTLE BORN 5 4 42½ 53   912 1127¾ (west w)GILLIGAN JACK 125 8.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
SCR  COTE D'IVOIRE               (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 118 30.00    
SCR  MISTER KITTY               (wong jonathan)NAVAS YOEL 108 15.00    
SCR  SCHMEAR               (tomlinson micha)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
SCR  SHORTLY               (cundiff way)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00 ★    
 
KEE-4   04/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:102     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SILK TRADE 2 5 42 21   12½ 11¾ (casse w)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80 2.19  
1  GUN IT 1 6 52 53   43½ 21¾ (asmussen steve)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 2.68  
6  GREENER PASTURES 6 4 64 63¼   22½ 33 (mccarthy mic)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 5% 18.90 7.25 S
7  POLE SETTER 7 1 1½ 11   33 47¼ (andrade hugo)MARCANO Y 111 30.00 5% 19.00 17.32  
3  LEGAL DEAL 3 3 2½ 42   65 59¾ (david carlo)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 2.50 7% 13.20 7.51  
4  MARKET ANALYSIS 4 2 31 31   55 610¾ (diodoro ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 61% 0.60 3.37  
5  NEWBOMB 5 7 77 76¼   78 715¼ (breen ke)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 10.88  
 
KEE-5   04/22/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:142 1:374   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LOVELY PRINCESS 4 5 31½ 31½ 31½ 2½ 1½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 6.10  
3  MISE EN SCENE (GB) 3 8 86½ 87½ 86 54½ 2½ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.40 30% 2.40 1.12 P
8  BEECHNUT TROPHY 8 6 21 21 2½ 31½ 31¼ (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 24% 3.10 3.76 S
7  MYRISKYAFFAIR 7 4 11 11 1½ 1½ 41½ (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 ★ 5.08  
5  SHE'S GONE 5 3 54 54½ 53½ 44 51½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 12.57  
6  READY LADY 6 7 42½ 42½ 42 64½ 61¾ (attfield roge)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 27.41  
1  KATHAAN 1 1 76½ 77 75 76 73 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00 18% 4.50 13.83  
2  MISS MARIE 2 2 65 66 65 88 88 (attfield roger)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 32.63  
 
KEE-6   04/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:221 :452 1:112     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CLASS ACTOR 7 4 2½ 1nk   1nk 1¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 23% 3.30 3.84 W
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of ACTING CLASS by NOACTOR)
4  MR. KEATING 4 10 108¾ 97¼   44 2¼ (casse w)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 20% 4.00 3.06 P
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of TWEETERDINI by BERNARDINI)
6  BILLY JACK 6 3 1½ 2nk   2nk 31½ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 32% 2.10 4.70 S
  (by UNCLE MO out of C. S. ROYCE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  MOREAU 5 8 76 65   33½ 43 (mckeever andr)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00 7.97  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ART DIRECTOR by TAPIT)
2  GILDED CRAKEN 2 5 65½ 75¼   75¾ 53 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 120 20.00 13.79  
  (by MCCRAKEN out of ORMOLU by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  DE LA CALLES 3 11 1114¼ 1111¼   86¼ 64¾ (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 27.85  
  (by STREET SENSE out of TEQUILITA by UNION RAGS)
9  FIVE STAR G MAN 9 12 1219¼ 1217¼   108¼ 76¾ (gowan william)GRAHAM J 120 20.00 46.12  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of FIVE STAR RAMPAGE by QUALITY ROAD)
11  CIGARETTE BOAT 11 2 31 3½   65¼ 88¼ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.72  
  (by KANTHAROS out of DOUBLE CAST by BROKEN VOW)
12  FAST FORWARD 12 1 42½ 42½   55 99¾ (bright der)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 50.00 46.84  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LETTING GO by JOHANNESBURG)
8  SOLEVO 8 7 96¼ 108¼   98¼ 1010¼ (devaux cherie)LANERIE J 120 6.00 ★ 12.02  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of PLEASANT MINE by MINESHAFT)
1  CARTOGRAPHER 1 6 53 54½   118½ 1115 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 20.00 12.49  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of FROST BITE by MINER'S MARK)
10  TARHE 10 9 86 86¼   1213½ 1216¼ (sims matthew )GILLIGAN JACK 120 30.00 36.44  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of NANYEHI by CHEROKEE RUN)
SCR  SATURDAY LONG LEGS               (frazier matt)LANERIE J 120 20.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of CRYING ON SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
 
KEE-7   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:224 :462 :574     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUNT BECCA 1 4 11 2½   13 16¼ (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 10% 9.50 13.05 W
7  SOCIALLY SELECTIVE 5 1 21 1½   23 26¼ (mott william )ORTIZ JR 118 1.00 33% 2.00 0.41 P
3  CHARLEE MAE 2 2 32 42½   46 38¾ (hamilton sara)GILLIGAN JACK 118 30.00 27.57  
6  FROSHADO 4 3 42 3½   35½ 410 (harty eoin)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 7.28  
4  DEVIOUS STARES 3 5 5100 5100   5100 5100 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 30% 2.40 2.86  
SCR  UNSUNG MELODY               (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.00 ★    
SCR  ZAPPLE               (leitch dan)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00    
 
KEE-8   04/22/2023 7920ft TURF RC13 GOOD Elkhorn Purse ($350K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:243 :493 1:15 1:40 2:044 2:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  VERSTAPPEN 7 65 66 75 73¼ 1nk 1nk (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 16.15  
  (by WAR FRONT out of ANDROMEDA GALAXY by PEINTRE CELEBRE)
5  RED KNIGHT 5 89 78 85½ 63¼ 2nk 2nk (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 6.12  
  (by PURE PRIZE out of ISABEL AWAY by SKIP AWAY)
4  ANOTHER MYSTERY 4 78 88¼ 52½ 42 5¾ 32 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 ★ 17.57 S
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of IOYA TWO by LORD AT WAR (ARG))
1  CHANNEL MAKER 1 2nk 2½ 2½ 2nk 4¼ 43½ (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 10% 9.30 6.09  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of IN RETURN by HORSE CHESTNUT (SAF))
10  TIZ THE BOMB 8 1nk 1½ 1½ 1nk 3.2 54½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 12.82  
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of TIZ THE KEY by TIZNOW)
7  HOWE STREET 6 43½ 54 31½ 3½ 61¾ 65½ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 2.13  
  (by HONOR CODE out of STREET RUMOR by STREET SENSE)
3  RISING EMPIRE 3 32 32½ 41½ 52¼ 72¾ 77 (walsh brenda)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 4.72  
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SMART FARMING by SMART STRIKE)
2  VALUE ENGINEERING 2 54 44 63 83¾ 84¼ 87¾ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 34% 1.90 3.33  
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of FROZEN TREAT by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  HIGHEST HONORS               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 27% 2.80    
  (by TAPIT out of TAP YOUR FEET by DIXIELAND BAND)
SCR  SHAWDYSHAWDYSHAWDY               (abreu jorge )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of SHEA DARBY by STREET SENSE)
 
KEE-9   04/22/2023 6270ft DIRT RC12 FAST Ben Ali Purse ($300K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:121 1:373   1:562   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RATTLE N ROLL 5 7 66½ 53½ 31½ 1½ 11¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 27% 2.70 2.99 W
  (by CONNECT out of JAZZ TUNE by JOHANNESBURG)
3  CALL ME FAST 3 4 44 43 52½ 32½ 21¼ (puhich mi)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 5% 19.00 16.98 P
  (by DIALED IN out of CAGED MISTRESS by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
1  PIONEER OF MEDINA 1 1 11 11 1½ 2½ 31¾ (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 20% 4.10 4.62 S
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of LIGHTS OF MEDINA by ESKENDEREYA)
6  HAPPY AMERICAN 6 5 77 77 75 65 44¾ (pessin l)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 12.67  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of QUEEN OF AMERICA by QUIET AMERICAN)
4  SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING 4 3 33½ 33 41½ 54½ 55 (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 118 1.40 27% 2.70 1.71  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of TWINKLING by EFFERVESCING)
2  TRADEMARK 2 2 21 21 2½ 44 68 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 13.28  
  (by UPSTART out of CREATIVE TRICK by CREATIVE CAUSE)
7  TAWNY PORT 7 6 55 65½ 64½ 722 764½ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 4.10  
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of LIVI MAKENZIE by MACHO UNO)
 
KEE-10   04/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:211 :44 :56     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FRONT RUN THE FED 5 7 106¾ 107¼   75¼ 11 (caramori ca)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 12.16  
8  MARK OF THE Z 8 6 54½ 54   44½ 21 (rodriguez g)BAIRD T 118 8.00 6.42  
10  JUST MIGHT 9 1 1½ 11   12½ 31¼ (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 39% 1.60 15.58 S
11  NOBODY LISTENS 10 2 2½ 21   22½ 42 (eggleston ti)RAMOS D 118 8.00 13% 6.70 10.87  
3  BEER CAN MAN 3 3 43½ 44   33½ 52 (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 6% 15.00 2.51  
7  ANGASTON 7 10 117¼ 117¾   108¼ 62¾ (barkley jaso)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 11.78  
2  SMOKIN' JAY 2 5 75½ 65½   85¾ 73½ (danner kel)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 3.84  
1  ICE CHOCOLAT (BRZ) 1 9 65 75¾   55 83¾ (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00 5% 18.10 9.68  
6  NOBALS 6 8 85¾ 96¾   96¾ 94¼ (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 14% 6.40 6.64  
12  DOWAGIAC CHIEF 11 11 95¾ 85¾   118¼ 104¼ (delacruz meji)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 45.59  
4  CITY DRIFTER 4 4 33½ 33½   65 116¼ (davis christ)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00 48.87  
SCR  FRIAR LAURENCE               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
SCR  GALLANT GUY               (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
SCR  JOHNNY UNLEASHED               (foster eri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00    
SCR  OUR SHOT               (terranov)RODRIGUEZ A 113 12.00    
SCR  SPICY MARG               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 113 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.