Handicappers' Racing Form
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Keeneland
Saturday - April 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (3/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-2   Win (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-3   Win (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-4   Win (4/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-5   Win (3/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-6   Win (6/7/4/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-7   Win (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-8   Win (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-9   Win (4/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-10   Win (10/6/11/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
KEE-1   04/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($45K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH SPEED Mar26 Feb04 Sep18 Aug23 Aug04 (forster t)LANERIE J 118 2.00    
SCR  MY DARK SECRET Mar23 Feb25 Dec02 Nov21 Nov01 (grubbs ja)DE CRUZ 118 20.00 6% 14.50    
3  WHY BEHAVE Mar12 Feb09 Jan13 Dec08 Nov16 (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 43% 1.30    
4  LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT Mar26 Mar05 Feb15 Jan10 Dec11 (campbell joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 22% 3.60    
5  SHE'S GONE D'WILD Mar15 Feb20 Jan16 Dec10 Nov18 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 3.50    
SCR  YOGURT Dec15 Nov30 Nov15 Oct04 Sep22 (short m)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00    
7  HOLDONTOYOURTIARA Mar23 Feb25 Feb16 Jan25 Nov21 (esquivel jes)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00    
8  RISATA Mar17 Feb10 Jan13 Sep19 Aug08 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-2   04/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOSTLY GIRL Mar30 Feb17 Feb04 Jan21 Dec31 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50    
2  LEGERITY Mar15 Feb18 Jan05 Dec08 Nov25 (rutledge lance)GILLIGAN JACK 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  THE CLUB Mar26 Jan18 Nov23 Aug19 Aug06 (romans dale)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 1.60    
4  DECK OF CARDS Feb15 Jan20 Dec21 Jan16   (wong jonathan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 2.00 65% 0.50    
5  HASHTAG WINNER Apr13 Mar25 Feb16 Jan04 Dec02 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  LA TOURISTA Apr13 Mar17 Feb16 Feb01 Jan04 (cano juan )RODRIGUEZ A 120 12.00    
 
KEE-3   04/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OFF THE CUFF Mar16 Feb10 Jan11 Nov11 Feb16 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 2.00 66% 0.50    
2  LONE LEADER Mar22 May05 Apr13     (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
3  LUCKY SMILE Mar11 Sep15       (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 125 10.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  COTE D'IVOIRE Feb23 Jan19 Dec26     (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 118 30.00    
SCR  SHORTLY Mar04 Feb04 Jan28 Dec02 Nov11 (cundiff waylo)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00 ★    
6  COUTH Jul23         (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00    
7  BATTLE BORN Mar04 Jan26 Dec28     (west w)GILLIGAN JACK 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  KISLOVODSK Mar22 Mar11 Feb20 Feb11 Feb02 (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50 ★    
9  BIG POPPER Mar23 Oct01 Sep08     (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50    
10  WASHINGTON'S UNION Feb03 Jan13 Dec16 Oct28   (sims a)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
11  BLUEGRASS LUTE Mar23 Feb10 Dec10 Nov13   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
12  HAIL ALLEN Mar10 Feb04 Jan06     (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00    
13  KVETCHING MAW         (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
SCR  MISTER KITTY Feb03         (wong jonathan)NAVAS YOEL 108 15.00    
SCR  SCHMEAR Oct23         (tomlinson michael)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
 
KEE-4   04/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUN IT Mar11 Jan18 Nov05 Sep15 Jul17 (asmussen steven )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50    
2  SILK TRADE Feb17 Jan28 Nov27 Nov05 Sep25 (casse w)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80    
3  LEGAL DEAL Mar04 Jan14 Nov13 Sep29 Aug22 (david carlos )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 2.50 7% 13.20    
4  MARKET ANALYSIS Jul09 May08 Apr02 Mar13 Feb19 (diodoro robe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 61% 0.60    
5  NEWBOMB Mar04 Jan21 Jun17     (breen kell)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00    
6  GREENER PASTURES Mar10 Jan27 Jun19 May30 Apr02 (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 5% 18.90    
7  POLE SETTER Mar11 Feb04 Jan14 Jun21 May31 (andrade hugo)MARCANO Y 111 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-5   04/22/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATHAAN Jan19 Nov25 Oct30 Oct09   (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00 18% 4.50    
2  MISS MARIE Jan26 Oct29 Sep17 Aug06 Jul23 (attfield roger)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
3  MISE EN SCENE (GB) Dec26 Nov05       (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.40 30% 2.40    
4  LOVELY PRINCESS Nov25 Oct27 Oct02 Sep03 Aug14 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50    
5  SHE'S GONE Feb04 Nov25 Oct15 Sep10 Jul24 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
6  READY LADY Jan29 Oct22 Sep10 Aug06 Jun25 (attfield roger)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00    
7  MYRISKYAFFAIR Nov13 Oct23 Sep25 Jul14 Jun09 (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 ★    
8  BEECHNUT TROPHY Mar25 Dec29 Sep05 May06 Apr02 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 24% 3.10    
 
KEE-6   04/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARTOGRAPHER         (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 20.00    
2  GILDED CRAKEN         (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 120 20.00    
3  DE LA CALLES         (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00    
4  MR. KEATING         (casse w)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 20% 4.00    
5  MOREAU         (mckeever andrew)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00    
6  BILLY JACK Mar25         (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 32% 2.10    
7  CLASS ACTOR         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
8  SOLEVO         (devaux cherie)LANERIE J 120 6.00 ★    
9  FIVE STAR G MAN         (gowan william)GRAHAM J 120 20.00    
10  TARHE         (sims p)GILLIGAN JACK 120 30.00    
11  CIGARETTE BOAT Mar25 Jul02 Jun02 May04   (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  FAST FORWARD Mar25 Feb17 Jan13 Dec31 May12 (bright derri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 50.00    
SCR  SATURDAY LONG LEGS         (frazier matt)LANERIE J 120 20.00    
 
KEE-7   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUNT BECCA Mar10 Feb01       (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 10% 9.50    
SCR  UNSUNG MELODY Mar11 Feb11 Jan21     (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.00 ★    
3  CHARLEE MAE Apr07 Mar10 Feb05 Jan13 Dec31 (hamilton sarah)GILLIGAN JACK 118 30.00    
4  DEVIOUS STARES Jan01         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  ZAPPLE Mar10 Aug14 Jul17     (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00    
6  FROSHADO Feb18 Dec28       (harty eoin)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
7  SOCIALLY SELECTIVE Mar25 Aug17       (mott i)ORTIZ JR 118 1.00 33% 2.00    
 
KEE-8   04/22/2023 7920ft TURF RC13 GOOD Elkhorn Purse ($350K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANNEL MAKER Jan28 Nov05 Oct14 Aug27 Jul08 (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 10% 9.30    
2  VALUE ENGINEERING Mar04 Jan28 Dec17 Nov10 Sep01 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 34% 1.90    
3  RISING EMPIRE Mar25 Feb12 Jan15 Nov24 Oct16 (walsh brendan )GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00    
4  ANOTHER MYSTERY Mar25 Jan28 Dec17 Oct15 Sep10 (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 ★    
5  RED KNIGHT Jan28 Nov05 Oct14 Sep10 Jul27 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50    
SCR  SHAWDYSHAWDYSHAWDY Mar04 Jan28 Nov26 Oct14 Sep23 (abreu r)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
7  HOWE STREET Mar05 Jan20 Apr09     (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HIGHEST HONORS Mar04 Nov26 Oct14 Sep10 Jul08 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 27% 2.80    
9  VERSTAPPEN Mar25 Feb04 Dec14 Oct26 Sep05 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
10  TIZ THE BOMB Apr07 Mar25 Feb18 Aug05 Jul09 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00    
 
KEE-9   04/22/2023 6270ft DIRT RC12 FAST Ben Ali Purse ($300K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIONEER OF MEDINA Mar25 Feb18 Dec31 Nov17 Oct20 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 20% 4.10    
2  TRADEMARK Mar11 Nov27 Oct20 Aug26 Aug14 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 6.00    
3  CALL ME FAST Mar18 Feb18 Jan28 Nov25 Nov04 (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING Mar11 Jan28 Dec31 Sep24 Aug06 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 118 1.40 27% 2.70    
5  RATTLE N ROLL Mar25 Nov04 Sep25 Aug20 Jul09 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
6  HAPPY AMERICAN Mar25 Feb18 Jan21 Dec26 Nov13 (pessin l)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
7  TAWNY PORT Mar18 Feb18 Sep24 Jul30 Jun25 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
 
KEE-10   04/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICE CHOCOLAT (BRZ) Feb18 Nov27 Oct30 Oct08 Sep04 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00 5% 18.10    
2  SMOKIN' JAY Mar04 Aug02 Jul18 Jun11 May21 (danner kelse)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00    
3  BEER CAN MAN Feb20 Jan01       (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 6% 15.00    
4  CITY DRIFTER Feb03 Jan19 Dec08 Oct07 Jul23 (davis christop)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00    
5  FRONT RUN THE FED Dec31 Nov05 Sep10 Aug13 Jul18 (caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00    
6  NOBALS Mar23 Aug13 Jul17 Jun05 May01 (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 14% 6.40    
7  ANGASTON Feb18         (barkley jason)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00    
8  MARK OF THE Z Apr08 Dec03 Oct28 Oct07 Aug20 (rodriguez g)BAIRD T 118 8.00    
SCR  JOHNNY UNLEASHED Apr08 Feb17 Jan01 Dec01 Oct07 (foster eric)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00    
10  JUST MIGHT Mar18 Aug16 Jul18 Jun11 May06 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 39% 1.60    
11  NOBODY LISTENS Mar11 Jan06 Nov23 Oct31 Oct05 (eggleston tim)RAMOS D 118 8.00 13% 6.70    
12  DOWAGIAC CHIEF Sep14 Jun22 May07 Apr02 Mar05 (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
SCR  SPICY MARG Oct29 Sep24 Aug04 Apr30 Apr08 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 113 15.00    
SCR  OUR SHOT Mar03 Jan19 May20 Mar29 Feb03 (terranova )RODRIGUEZ A 113 12.00    
SCR  FRIAR LAURENCE Mar23 Jan18 Nov21 Oct22 Sep24 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
SCR  GALLANT GUY Mar23 Jan14 Dec17 Nov23 Oct23 (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.