The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - March 22, 2023

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MVR-1   03/22/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
:264 :511 1:163 1:30   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUSPICIOUS MINDS 6 4 2½ 2nk 2nk 11(sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 1.80 1.50  
NELL'S BELLS 1 2 4 5 34 32(spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 5.00 5.30 P
I MATTER 3 5 6 6 6 43(gorham m)DIAZ I 126 2.50 7% 13.60 4.30 S
1A  HERO'S DAUGHTER 5 3 1½ 1nk 1nk 2410¾ (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 124 2.00 57% 0.70 1.20  
CONDUTTORE 4 6 3 3 5 514½ 519 (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 24.20  
VOODOOISM 2 1 54 44 45 614½ 623½ (morale)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 2.00 1.20  
 
MVR-2   03/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
:231 :473 1:004     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE PINK Z 1 2 2½ 1½   11½ (silva fe)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 31% 2.20 2.10 W
SERENDIPITOUS 6 4 31 2½   22½ (hamm timothy)DIAZ R 124 6.00 9.50  
HONKY TONK MUSIC 7 6 6 52   332 (gorostieta cirilo)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 6% 14.60 19.80 S
COUNTRY RUCKUS 5 1 1½ 31   44(maddox rachael)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 5.00 1.70  
ACCURATE 3 3 41 42   55(yoder d)RIVERA R 124 3.00 30% 2.30 2.50  
WHISKEY HELPS 4 7 7 77   7611¾ (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 124 10.00 27.90  
THANKSDAD 2 5 52 6   6711¾ (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 3.50 10.70  
 
MVR-3   03/22/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
:243 :49 1:153 1:44   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAY HEY KID 1 7 711 76 5 2½ 11 (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 7% 13.60 5.70 W
LOOKS GOOD N A TUX 6 2 53 4 3½ 1½ 21 (cline c)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00 14% 6.20 6.70 P
GEH SCHNELL 8 5 6 5 4 3½ 3(manning c)RIVERA R 124 12.00 11.10  
GOTSOMEMOJO 3 9 912½ 810 7 61 4(haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 13% 6.50 11.50  
ADANO 4 1 4 62 6 75(faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 1.40 27% 2.70 1.60  
1A  KING ANDRES 5 6 2½ 3.2 1nk 4¾ 6(faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 124 1.40 1.60  
GET HAMMERED 9 3 31 2nk 2nk 5¾ 710½ (murillo rodriguez)REYES FRANK 124 5.00 3.00  
THIRSTY ACTOR 2 4 1½ 1nk 85 810½ 822¼ (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 124 20.00 45.30  
A I INITIATIVE 7 8 811½ 914½ 913 917½ 925½ (ceccato )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 18% 4.50 6.20  
 
MVR-4   03/22/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
:223 :471       1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS OVER THERE 4 2 21 21   3½ 1¾ (mannin)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 10.00 16.20  
OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY 6 5 5 5   2nk 2¾ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 5.00 2.10 P
ORBIT MARS 1 1 11 11   1nk 32 (clouston)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 21% 3.70 2.90 S
LILAC LACE 5 4 4 4   41 4(yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 10% 9.40 17.50  
PRINCESS HALIME 2 3 31 31   55(yoder d)RIVERA R 126 3.00 38% 1.60 1.20  
GRAN MAMIBELLA 3 6 6 6   669 (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 126 6.00 9.20  
SCR  HIDDEN IDENTITY               (cash l)AVILES YAN 124 2.50    
 
MVR-5   03/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 ALL PT- 2:33
:23 :47 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J. P. RACE 5 7 54 32   31 1(gorostieta cirilo)REYES FRANK 122 20.00 8% 11.60 12.80 W
WARHORSE WEST 7 3 3 2nk   1½ 2(rone penny)AVILES YAN 122 6.00 7.40  
OUTSLEWTHEM 8 1 11 1nk   2½ 3(gorostieta ci)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 20.00 12.90  
10  TIMESATAPPIN 9 10 9 55   55 4(loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 122 15.00 12.20  
LONE LEADER 2 5 21 43   45 5(fletcher)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.00 20% 4.00 2.90  
AURA OF GOLD 3 8 8 78   66 610¼ (madr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 10.00 1.40  
ONE MORE RING 6 2 64 89   8714¾ (buttigieg kevin)GONZALEZ A 122 15.00 4.90  
VOORHEES 1 6 4 9   79 814¾ (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 122 15.00 50.30  
11  NAPA DUDE 10 9 7 66   911½ 917 (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 122 15.00 71.60  
OLA BRO 4 4 107 1014½   1017 1022¼ (ceccato sharon)DIAZ I 122 12.00 50.20  
SCR  MISTER KITTY               (wong jonathan)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 3.50    
SCR  SHORTLY               (cundiff waylon)CEDILLO MAURO 117 4.50 44% 1.30    
 
MVR-6   03/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
:224 :463 :60     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSCO P. COLTRANE 5 4 66 4   41½ (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 5.90  
SHOW SLIDING HOME 4 2 3 3.2   21 2½ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 53% 0.90 4.00  
DOUGS MORNING PICK 7 9 810½ 6   53(zielinski richard)PEREZ E 126 8.00 5.90  
OHIO MUNNY 3 3 2 1nk   11 4(galloway khadeem)DIAZ I 124 3.00 9% 10.50 3.40 DQ↓5
OHIO PLAYER 1 5 1 2nk   31 5(brown glenroy)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 5% 18.80 2.00  
HANSENATION 6 7 79 811¼   765 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 124 10.00 26.30  
PRIVATE DRIVE 9 1 43 5   67(rone)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 7.40  
1A  BLACKTIEANDTUX 8 8 910¾ 912¼   813½ 8(johnson l)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 2.50 4.00  
OHIO CAUSE 2 6 56 7   914½ 915¾ (urieta joha)BRICENO M 124 8.00 28.20  
 
MVR-7   03/22/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
:232 :47 1:131 1:412   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WE ALL SEE IT 1 1 3 32 2½ 14 1(reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00 43% 1.30 1.20 W
DISCLOSURE 2 6 6 56 4 24 2(skerrett)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 30.40  
CREDIT RIVER 4 2 1nk 21 3 48 313 (castro a)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 9.90  
SO DIALED IN 5 4 2nk 11 1½ 3415¾ (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 4.00 26% 2.90 3.00  
DYRDEK 6 5 5 66 6 615 517¼ (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 9% 10.80 7.60  
OUTLIER 3 3 43 4 5 514 618¾ (cash l)AVILES YAN 124 2.50 2.30  
SCR  CONTACT TRACING               (cunningham )BERMUDEZ E 124 5.00    
 
MVR-8   03/22/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
:222 :463       1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHACO SPIRIT 6 5 56 6   51¼ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00 5.70  
D'MONEY HONEY 7 6 6 5   4¾ 2¼ (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 3.70  
AUGER 5 1 43 3.2   1½ 3(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 3.00 18% 4.40 2.20 S
MONTAUK COVE 3 2 3½ 2nk   2½ 45 (wolochuk david)BRACHO A 124 2.50 56% 0.80 1.70  
YOU ARE AWESOME 2 4 2nk 1nk   3½ 510 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.00 8.40  
GOTTAGETITBACK 4 7 7 7   7610¼ (logston christ)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 33.60  
SON OF DARKNESS 1 3 1nk 4¾   6714½ (sells rachel)PEREZ E 124 10.00 17.80  
SCR  NASHVEGAS               (cash l)AVILES YAN 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.