Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - March 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-3   WIN (1/6/5/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $13.40 $3.40 34%
    EXA (1/6/5/4/2)-(1/6/5/4/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00  2-5 $114.20 $74.20 186%
    DD (1/3/7)-(1/6/5/4/2) 15 $2.00 $30.00  1-2 $52.20 $22.20 74%
MVR-5   WIN (12/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $27.60 $21.60 360%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   03/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:264 :511 1:163 1:30   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUSPICIOUS MINDS 6 4 2½ 2nk 2nk 1 1 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 1.80 1.50  
NELL'S BELLS 1 2 4 5 34 3 2 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 5.00 5.30 P
I MATTER 3 5 6 6 6 4 3 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 126 2.50 7% 13.60 4.30 S
1A  HERO'S DAUGHTER 5 3 1½ 1nk 1nk 2 410¾ (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 2.00 57% 0.70 1.20  
CONDUTTORE 4 6 3 3 5 514½ 519 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 24.20  
VOODOOISM 2 1 54 44 45 614½ 623½ (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 2.00 1.20  
 
MVR-2   03/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:004     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE PINK Z 1 2 2½ 1½   1 1½ (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 31% 2.20 2.10 W
SERENDIPITOUS 6 4 31 2½   2 2½ (hamm timothy)DIAZ R 124 6.00 9.50  
HONKY TONK MUSIC 7 6 6 52   3 32 (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 6% 14.60 19.80 S
COUNTRY RUCKUS 5 1 1½ 31   4 4 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 5.00 1.70  
ACCURATE 3 3 41 42   5 5 (yoder d)RIVERA R 124 3.00 30% 2.30 2.50  
WHISKEY HELPS 4 7 7 77   7 611¾ (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 124 10.00 27.90  
THANKSDAD 2 5 52 6   6 711¾ (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 3.50 10.70  
 
MVR-3   03/22/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:153 1:44   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAY HEY KID 1 7 711 76 5 2½ 11 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 7% 13.60 5.70 W
LOOKS GOOD N A TUX 6 2 53 4 3½ 1½ 21 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00 14% 6.20 6.70 P
GEH SCHNELL 8 5 6 5 4 3½ 3 (manning richard )RIVERA R 124 12.00 11.10  
GOTSOMEMOJO 3 9 912½ 810 7 61 4 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 13% 6.50 11.50  
ADANO 4 1 4 62 6 7 5 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 1.40 27% 2.70 1.60  
1A  KING ANDRES 5 6 2½ 3.2 1nk 4¾ 6 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 1.40 1.60  
GET HAMMERED 9 3 31 2nk 2nk 5¾ 710½ (murillo rodrigu)REYES FRANK 124 5.00 3.00  
THIRSTY ACTOR 2 4 1½ 1nk 85 810½ 822¼ (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 124 20.00 45.30  
A I INITIATIVE 7 8 811½ 914½ 913 917½ 925½ (ceccat)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 18% 4.50 6.20  
 
MVR-4   03/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:223 :471       1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS OVER THERE 4 2 21 21   3½ 1¾ (mann)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 10.00 16.20  
OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY 6 5 5 5   2nk 2¾ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 5.00 2.10 P
ORBIT MARS 1 1 11 11   1nk 32 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 21% 3.70 2.90 S
LILAC LACE 5 4 4 4   41 4 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 10% 9.40 17.50  
PRINCESS HALIME 2 3 31 31   5 5 (yoder d)RIVERA R 126 3.00 38% 1.60 1.20  
GRAN MAMIBELLA 3 6 6 6   6 69 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 126 6.00 9.20  
SCR  HIDDEN IDENTITY               (cash l)AVILES YAN 124 2.50    
 
MVR-5   03/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 ALL PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J. P. RACE 5 7 54 32   31 1 (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 122 20.00 8% 11.60 12.80 W
  (by RACE DAY out of GOTIT TODO by PROPHET MAN)
WARHORSE WEST 7 3 3 2nk   1½ 2 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 122 6.00 7.40  
  (by WEST COAST out of HIDDEN MYSTERY by HIDDEN CAPITAL)
OUTSLEWTHEM 8 1 11 1nk   2½ 3 (gorostieta )SEVERINO VICTOR 122 20.00 12.90  
  (by FLAT OUT out of PYRITEVILLE by EVANSVILLE SLEW)
10  TIMESATAPPIN 9 10 9 55   55 4 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 122 15.00 12.20  
  (by TAPITURE out of TIME GIVEN by POINT GIVEN)
LONE LEADER 2 5 21 43   45 5 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.00 20% 4.00 2.90  
  (by LEA out of ICE FOR THE LADY by FLATTER)
AURA OF GOLD 3 8 8 78   66 610¼ (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 10.00 1.40  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SWEET HALORY by HOLD ME BACK)
ONE MORE RING 6 2 64 89   8 714¾ (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 122 15.00 4.90  
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of KAVIKA by NIIGON)
VOORHEES 1 6 4 9   79 814¾ (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 122 15.00 50.30  
  (by MASTERY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
11  NAPA DUDE 10 9 7 66   911½ 917 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 122 15.00 71.60  
  (by FIRST DUDE out of HARBIN by GONE WEST)
OLA BRO 4 4 107 1014½   1017 1022¼ (ceccato sharon)DIAZ I 122 12.00 50.20  
  (by ORB out of SUMMER DRESS by SUMMER TIME GUY)
SCR  MISTER KITTY               (wong jonathan)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 3.50    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DOINGHARDTIMEAGAIN by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
SCR  SHORTLY               (cundiff waylo)CEDILLO MAURO 117 4.50 44% 1.30    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ISABELLE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
MVR-6   03/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:224 :463 :60     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSCO P. COLTRANE 5 4 66 4   4 1½ (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 5.90  
SHOW SLIDING HOME 4 2 3 3.2   21 2½ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 53% 0.90 4.00  
DOUGS MORNING PICK 7 9 810½ 6   5 3 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 126 8.00 5.90  
OHIO MUNNY 3 3 2 1nk   11 4 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 124 3.00 9% 10.50 3.40 DQ↓5
OHIO PLAYER 1 5 1 2nk   31 5 (brown glenr)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 5% 18.80 2.00  
HANSENATION 6 7 79 811¼   7 65 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 124 10.00 26.30  
PRIVATE DRIVE 9 1 43 5   6 7 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 7.40  
1A  BLACKTIEANDTUX 8 8 910¾ 912¼   813½ 8 (johnson gary )GONZALEZ ALEX 119 2.50 4.00  
OHIO CAUSE 2 6 56 7   914½ 915¾ (urieta jo)BRICENO M 124 8.00 28.20  
 
MVR-7   03/22/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:131 1:412   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WE ALL SEE IT 1 1 3 32 2½ 14 1 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00 43% 1.30 1.20 W
DISCLOSURE 2 6 6 56 4 24 2 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 30.40  
CREDIT RIVER 4 2 1nk 21 3 48 313 (castro raquel )GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 9.90  
SO DIALED IN 5 4 2nk 11 1½ 3 415¾ (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 4.00 26% 2.90 3.00  
DYRDEK 6 5 5 66 6 615 517¼ (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 9% 10.80 7.60  
OUTLIER 3 3 43 4 5 514 618¾ (cash l)AVILES YAN 124 2.50 2.30  
SCR  CONTACT TRACING               (cunningha)BERMUDEZ E 124 5.00    
 
MVR-8   03/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:222 :463       1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHACO SPIRIT 6 5 56 6   5 1¼ (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00 5.70  
D'MONEY HONEY 7 6 6 5   4¾ 2¼ (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 3.70  
AUGER 5 1 43 3.2   1½ 3 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 3.00 18% 4.40 2.20 S
MONTAUK COVE 3 2 3½ 2nk   2½ 45 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 2.50 56% 0.80 1.70  
YOU ARE AWESOME 2 4 2nk 1nk   3½ 510 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.00 8.40  
GOTTAGETITBACK 4 7 7 7   7 610¼ (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 33.60  
SON OF DARKNESS 1 3 1nk 4¾   6 714½ (sells rachel)PEREZ E 124 10.00 17.80  
SCR  NASHVEGAS               (cash l)AVILES YAN 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.