Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - March 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/5/3/2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/5/3/2/4)-(1/5/3/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3)-(1/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(1/3/7)-(1/6/5/4/2) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-2   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/7/2/4)-(1/3/7/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/3/7)-(1/6/5/4/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7)-(1/6/5/4/2)-(3/2/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-3   WIN (1/6/5/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/4/2)-(1/6/5/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/4/2)-(1/6/5/4/2)-(1/6/5/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/5/4/2)-(3/2/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/4/2)-(3/2/6)-(2/6) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-4   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(2/6)-(1/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-5   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/6)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(1/4/2)-(1/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/5/2/6)-(1/4/5/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(1/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(1/6/7)-(4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-7   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/7)-(1/6/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/7)-(1/6/7/3)-(1/6/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/7)-(4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MVR-8   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/2/7)-(4/6/2/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   03/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOODOOISM Mar09 Feb27 Sep06 Aug22 Aug04 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 2.00    
1A  HERO'S DAUGHTER Mar13 Feb20 Feb01 Jan24 Jan05 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 2.00 57% 0.70    
NELL'S BELLS Mar09 Feb07 Dec11 Nov29 Nov02 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 5.00    
I MATTER Mar08 Feb22 Feb06 Jan12 Dec28 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 126 2.50 7% 13.60    
CONDUTTORE Mar09 Feb20 Aug06 Jul20 Jun21 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
SUSPICIOUS MINDS Mar09 Jan24 Jan05 Dec08 Nov05 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 1.80    
 
MVR-2   03/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE PINK Z Mar02 Feb15 Jan17 Dec14 Dec01 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
THANKSDAD Mar02 Jan31 Jan17 Nov15 Oct22 (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 3.50    
ACCURATE Mar06 Feb01 Aug30 Aug17 Aug04 (yoder d)RIVERA R 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
WHISKEY HELPS Mar06 Feb15 Jan26 Jan04 Dec28 (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
COUNTRY RUCKUS Mar06 Feb15 Jan17 Dec29 Dec14 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 5.00    
SERENDIPITOUS Mar02 Feb15 Jan17 Oct22 Sep23 (hamm timothy)DIAZ R 124 6.00    
HONKY TONK MUSIC Mar02 Feb15 Feb07 Nov22 Oct26 (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 6% 14.60    
 
MVR-3   03/22/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADANO Mar07 Feb21 Feb01 Jan16 Jan03 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 1.40 27% 2.70    
1A  KING ANDRES Mar07 Feb21 Feb02 Jan05 Dec14 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 1.40    
SAY HEY KID Feb21 Feb01 Nov19 Nov02 Oct13 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 7% 13.60    
THIRSTY ACTOR Feb21 Dec29 Nov23 Oct13 Sep14 (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
GOTSOMEMOJO Mar07 Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 Dec29 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 13% 6.50    
LOOKS GOOD N A TUX Feb21 Feb02 Jan23 Sep13 Aug24 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00 14% 6.20    
A I INITIATIVE Dec06 Nov27 Nov13 Oct25 Oct11 (ceccat)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
GEH SCHNELL Mar07 Feb21 Feb01 Jan17 Dec29 (manning richard )RIVERA R 124 12.00    
GET HAMMERED Mar09 Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 Jan03 (murillo rodrigu)REYES FRANK 124 5.00    
 
MVR-4   03/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HIDDEN IDENTITY Feb23 Jan21 Jul01 Jun22 May18 (cash l)AVILES YAN 124 2.50    
ORBIT MARS Mar01 Feb06 Dec30 Dec08 Nov15 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
PRINCESS HALIME Mar01 Feb06 Jan11 Dec22 Dec07 (yoder d)RIVERA R 126 3.00 38% 1.60    
GRAN MAMIBELLA Feb27 Feb14 Jan19 Jan05 Dec05 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 126 6.00    
MISS OVER THERE Mar01 Feb06 Jan11 Jan03 Dec08 (mann)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 10.00    
LILAC LACE Feb22 Feb07 Jan11 Dec28 Dec20 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 10% 9.40    
OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY Feb27 Feb06 Jan19 Sep23 Sep09 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 5.00    
 
MVR-5   03/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOORHEES Feb14 Oct11       (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 122 15.00    
  (by MASTERY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
LONE LEADER May05 Apr13       (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
  (by LEA out of ICE FOR THE LADY by FLATTER)
AURA OF GOLD Feb22 Feb08 Jan11 Dec30 Nov27 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 10.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SWEET HALORY by HOLD ME BACK)
SCR  MISTER KITTY Feb03         (wong jonathan)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 3.50    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DOINGHARDTIMEAGAIN by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
OLA BRO Dec04 Nov21 Nov08 Oct26 Oct11 (ceccato sharon)DIAZ I 122 12.00    
  (by ORB out of SUMMER DRESS by SUMMER TIME GUY)
J. P. RACE         (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 122 20.00 8% 11.60    
  (by RACE DAY out of GOTIT TODO by PROPHET MAN)
ONE MORE RING Feb22 Feb08 Dec30 Nov17 Oct27 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 122 15.00    
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of KAVIKA by NIIGON)
WARHORSE WEST Mar01 Feb14 Dec30 Dec07 Oct27 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 122 6.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of HIDDEN MYSTERY by HIDDEN CAPITAL)
OUTSLEWTHEM Mar01 Dec30 Oct27 Oct20   (gorostieta )SEVERINO VICTOR 122 20.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of PYRITEVILLE by EVANSVILLE SLEW)
10  TIMESATAPPIN Mar01         (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 122 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of TIME GIVEN by POINT GIVEN)
11  NAPA DUDE Mar01 Feb01 Jan12 Dec18 Nov11 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 122 15.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of HARBIN by GONE WEST)
SCR  SHORTLY Mar04 Feb04 Jan28 Dec02 Nov11 (cundiff waylo)CEDILLO MAURO 117 4.50 44% 1.30    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ISABELLE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
MVR-6   03/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOW SLIDING HOME Feb21 Jan10 Dec03 Oct29 Oct04 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 53% 0.90    
1A  BLACKTIEANDTUX Oct04 Sep05 Aug02 Jun06 Feb26 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50    
OHIO PLAYER Mar09 Feb13 Jan23 Jan11 Nov19 (brown glenr)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 5% 18.80    
OHIO CAUSE Mar09 Feb02 Jan04 Dec06 Sep01 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 124 8.00    
OHIO MUNNY Feb13 Jan23 Dec06 Oct12 Sep15 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 124 3.00 9% 10.50    
ROSCO P. COLTRANE Mar09 Feb02 Jan26 Dec12 Nov19 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00    
HANSENATION Mar09 Feb20 Feb02 Sep01 Aug18 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 124 10.00    
DOUGS MORNING PICK Mar08 Jan28 Dec12 Nov10 Oct24 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 126 8.00    
PRIVATE DRIVE Mar09 Feb21 Feb02 Jan10 Dec27 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50    
 
MVR-7   03/22/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WE ALL SEE IT Jan24 Dec20 Sep16 Aug14 Jul04 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00 43% 1.30    
DISCLOSURE Mar13 Oct14 Sep19 Aug31 Aug17 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00    
OUTLIER Mar03 Feb08 Jan20 Jan06 Dec11 (cash l)AVILES YAN 124 2.50    
SCR  CONTACT TRACING Jan22 Nov25 Oct13 Sep01 Aug02 (cunningha)BERMUDEZ E 124 5.00    
CREDIT RIVER Feb08 Jan05 Dec13 Nov04 Oct21 (castro raquel )GONZALEZ A 124 8.00    
SO DIALED IN Mar13 Dec06 Nov12 Oct10 Sep27 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 4.00 26% 2.90    
DYRDEK Feb23 Jan23 Dec28 Nov28 Nov10 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 9% 10.80    
 
MVR-8   03/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SON OF DARKNESS Dec16 Nov09 Oct18 Oct05 Sep21 (sells rachel)PEREZ E 124 10.00    
YOU ARE AWESOME Mar09 Feb27 Sep13 Sep05 Aug18 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.00    
SCR  NASHVEGAS Feb25 Feb18 Jan28 Jan18 Nov17 (cash l)AVILES YAN 124 10.00    
MONTAUK COVE Mar02 Feb07 Jan03 Dec15 Nov08 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 2.50 56% 0.80    
GOTTAGETITBACK Mar01 Feb15 Jan19 Dec28 Dec07 (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00    
AUGER Mar01 Feb01 Jan16 Dec28 Dec15 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 3.00 18% 4.40    
CHACO SPIRIT Feb20 Jan30 Jan03 Dec13 Nov14 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00    
D'MONEY HONEY Mar01 Feb07 Jan23 Dec28 Dec15 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.