The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - February 23, 2023
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
MVR-1   02/23/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
:25 :483 1:154 1:303   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PRINCESS MORO 8 8 811¾ 814 84½ 12½ 13 (buttigieg kevin)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 7% 13.70 2.30 W
1A  BEING CREATIVE 6 7 66¾ 68½ 74¼ 43 23 (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 23% 3.40 3.90  
1  CAIRO SUMMER 3 3 52¾ 43 64¼ 64¼ 36½ (sanchez )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 ★ 3.90 S
6  MOANA'S TALE 7 1 78¾ 79½ 44 33 47¼ (dodge albert)GONZALEZ A 124 4.00 37% 1.70 3.30  
5  TICKLISH 5 6 42½ 55½ 54 53¼ 510¼ (reust megan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 ★ 33.90  
4  HALOFIED 4 2 31 31½ 12 22½ 611½ (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 5.20  
3  FREE TO RUN 2 5 2nk 2nk 22 74¾ 715½ (van den)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 6.00 10% 9.50 9.90  
2  LADY MECHANIC 1 4 1nk 1nk 33 87¼ 821¾ (lopez car)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 3.80  
 
MVR-2   02/23/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
:25 :48 1:131 1:271   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  COME SEE ABOUT IT 2 3 11½ 1nk 11½ 13½ 12¾ (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 1.80 37% 1.70 0.60 W
5  NIGHT TIME RULER 4 1 21½ 2nk 21½ 23½ 22¾ (urieta joha)BRICENO M 119 10.00 ★ 31.80 P
1  FALCONS FURY 1 2 42½ 31½ 32½ 45 33½ (wilson j)AYALA J 124 3.50 6.90  
6  VISUAL MISSION 5 4 57 55¾ 57 34 45¾ (pappada j)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 12.00 ★ 15.30  
4  UPTOWN 3 5 32 41¾ 46 56½ 58¼ (rone penny)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 40% 1.50 1.40  
SCR  RAISON KARTER               (estvanko richar)BRACHO A 124 5.00    
SCR  UNCLE CHARMING               (wilson d)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 ★    
 
MVR-3   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
:24 :483 1:021     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EMERSON JONES 4 2 1½ 1nk   1½ 1¼ (skerrett jeffrey)DIAZ I 116 3.00 ★ 5.50  
6  DANZA MAGIC 6 1 42 4¾   42½ 2¼ (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 3.80  
1  HELLO SWEETS 1 4 2½ 52¼   31 3¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 116 2.50 1.20  
8  SAVESOMEFORME 8 6 88¼ 74¼   52½ 41¼ (gorham m)BRACHO A 116 4.50 20% 3.90 5.40  
5  SORORITY SISTER 5 7 55 2nk   2½ 51¾ (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 12% 7.00 11.30  
7  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ 7 5 78¼ 85¼   73¾ 64¼ (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00 49.90  
3  TRULY INCLUSIVE 3 3 32 3½   63½ 74¾ (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 6.00 40% 1.50 9.40  
2  MARGARITA CINCO 2 8 65¼ 64¼   83¾ 85 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 ★ 16.00  
 
MVR-4   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
:233 :464 :60     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CAUSE OF LOVE 2 6 52¼ 43   32½ 11½ (haehn r)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 26.10  
7  KICHI KITSU 8 5 4¾ 11½   12½ 21½ (ruberto v)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 21% 3.80 3.00 P
5  DANCIN' ROSIE 4 2 63¾ 65½   44 31¾ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 2.00 39% 1.60 4.10 S
6  ROLLIN ALL THE WAY 6 4 2nk 21½   22½ 42¼ (urieta johanna)AYALA J 124 2.50 16% 5.20 1.10  
1A  CATABOUT 7 7 87¼ 710½   79 511¼ (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 9.60  
4  LEXY ANNA 3 1 3½ 54   56 612 (yoder d)RIVERA R 124 10.00 ★ 9.40  
2  CHLOES ANGEL 1 8 76¾ 811½   811 714½ (romero o)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 ★ 9.20  
1  QUEEN AIR 5 3 1nk 33   67½ 818¾ (faulkner c)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 9.60  
 
MVR-5   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
:234 :472 1:011     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WICKED CHANCE 4 5 54½ 53   42 1¼ (bernardini p)DIAZ I 124 8.00 ★ 9.50  
7  PRIVATE CONNIE 6 4 44 42   21½ 2¼ (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 16.60  
1  SUPER BROTHER 9 8 88½ 78   66 3½ (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 121 5.00 5% 19.00 3.60 S
4  CONSIDER ME 3 1 11 11½   11½ 42¾ (lopez ja)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 38.50  
2  SCRATCHOFF 1 2 21 32   31½ 53¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 56% 0.80 1.70  
9  RIKIO 8 7 99½ 88¼   98¼ 64¼ (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 20.00 13.10  
1A  DAWN WEST 10 10 1013½ 98¼   77½ 74¼ (wilson j)AYALA J 124 5.00 3.60  
6  NITROMAN 5 3 31 21½   53½ 84¾ (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 116 2.50 13% 6.60 3.30  
3  SILVER MATT 2 9 66½ 66   87¾ 96½ (romero oscar)RIVERA R 124 20.00 34.20  
8  ROSE'S PEPINO 7 6 77½ 108½   108¾ 106¾ (johnson jennif)GONZALEZ KEVIN 116 6.00 ★ 6.80  
 
MVR-6   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($31.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
:234 :472 :60     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FREE SAILIN 7 5 62¾ 3.2   1½ 13 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 123 2.50 21% 3.70 1.50 W
6  IRISH UNITY 6 1 2nk 1nk   2½ 23 (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00 ★ 5.40 P
7  ATOMIC TONE 8 3 32 2nk   32 36 (rone penny)RIVERA R 123 3.00 ★ 3.10 S
2  DYRDEK 1 8 77¼ 65¾   66 46¾ (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 121 4.00 8.00  
1  LATIN SPICE 5 2 1nk 44¼   45 57¼ (dacosta jason)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.50 ★ 1.50  
3  NAUGHTY PRINCE 2 6 42½ 76¾   76½ 67¾ (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 44% 1.20 3.40  
4  CHIEF RANDEL 3 4 52¾ 54¼   55 79¼ (romero a)HOUGHTON D 123 15.00 23.70  
5  NICK CAN FIX 4 7 87½ 88¼   812½ 813¾ (trev)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 10.00 8% 11.60 19.30  
 
MVR-7   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
:24 :481 1:012     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  APPEALING SENORITA 8 5 31½ 1nk   13 13 (gonzalez dona)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 1.80 14% 6.10 2.20 W
6  CROSSED UP 5 6 2½ 32   33 23 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 ★ 2.30 P
7  EASTER PRIDE 6 8 54½ 42½   43¼ 33¼ (mahan p)VIGIL NOEL 124 20.00 38.90  
8  LARSA 7 1 1½ 2nk   23 45 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 3.00 57% 0.80 2.40  
5  MY PINK BABY BIRD 4 2 41½ 54½   57¼ 510½ (vickers richar)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 28.70  
3  WAR MOON 2 7 85¾ 65½   77½ 611¾ (doering )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 8.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
2  MILWAUKEE CAT 1 4 75¾ 85¾   67¼ 712 (cline c)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 19.40  
4  PRICEY APPEAL 3 3 65½ 75¾   87½ 816½ (zielinski richard)BIRT BRAXON 124 12.00 ★ 11.30  
SCR  SASSY POWER               (radosevich jake)BRACHO A 124 15.00    
 
MVR-8   02/23/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
:251 :491 1:154 1:301   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SPLENDID SPIRIT 2 1 1nk 14 13 16 14¾ (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 126 2.00 25% 3.00 3.00 W
5  INDY CARR 5 5 44 58 45½ 37 24¾ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 113 3.50 12% 7.10 0.60 P
8  UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN 8 7 54¼ 45 23 26 35¾ (bird)SALAZAR FERNANDO 113 20.00 35.20  
1  MY TICKET 1 3 2nk 24 55½ 58½ 414¼ (cline c)ROSARIO L 126 10.00 7% 12.40 13.00  
7  RUNAWAY RUSSELL 7 2 33 34 34½ 48½ 516 (maddox rachael)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 3.00 17% 5.00 10.20  
3  MUSIC GEM 3 4 64¾ 810¼ 713 616½ 621¼ (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 15.00 24.20  
4  BIRD GONE WEST 4 8 85¾ 69 815½ 827½ 740½ (west aaron )BERMUDEZ E 118 6.00 16% 5.30 14.70  
6  NOSEY POWER 6 6 75¼ 79¼ 610 721½ 843 (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 126 8.00 10.70  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.