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Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley
Thursday - February 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

MVR-1			SFT	(6/1/3/7)-(1/6/3/7/5)-(1/6/3/7/5)-(1/6/3/7/5)						96	$0.10	$9.60	7-1-6-5		$21.50			$11.90				124%
MVR-2			EXA	(4/3)-(4/3/1/6/5)						8	$2.00	$16.00	3-5		$78.80			$62.80				393%
			TRI	(4/3)-(4/3/1/6/5)-(4/3/1/6/5)						24	$0.50	$12.00	3-5-1		$65.30			$53.30				444%
			SFT	(4/3)-(4/3/1/6/5)-(4/3/1/6/5)-(4/3/1/6/5)						48	$0.10	$4.80	3-5-1-6		$28.64			$23.84				497%
MVR-6			EXA	(3/1/5)-(1/3/5/6/7)						12	$2.00	$24.00	1-6		$28.00			$4.00				17%
			TRI	(3/1/5)-(1/3/5/6/7)-(1/3/5/6/7)						36	$0.50	$18.00	1-6-7		$19.40			$1.40				8%

Simulator Race results


MVR-1			02/23/2023		5280ft	DIRT	RC7	MUDDY	Claiming ($5K)					Purse ($12.2K)			3UP		M/F		PT-12:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	PRINCESS MORO									(buttigieg kev)BARBARAN ERIK 124						3.50		7%		13.70		2.30	W
1A	BEING CREATIVE									(sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119						3.00		23%		3.40		3.90
1	CAIRO SUMMER									(sanche)BATISTA ALBERTO 124						3.00		★				3.90	S
6	MOANA'S TALE									(dodge albert)GONZALEZ A 124						4.00		37%		1.70		3.30
5	TICKLISH									(reust megan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124						15.00		★				33.90
4	HALOFIED									(gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124						10.00						5.20
3	FREE TO RUN									(van d)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124						6.00		10%		9.50		9.90
2	LADY MECHANIC									(lopez c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124						2.50						3.80

MVR-2			02/23/2023		5280ft	DIRT	RC10	MUDDY	Allowance					Purse ($26.4K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	COME SEE ABOUT IT									(smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126						1.80		37%		1.70		0.60	W
5	NIGHT TIME RULER									(urieta jo)BRICENO M 119						10.00		★				31.80	P
1	FALCONS FURY									(wilson david)AYALA J 124						3.50						6.90
6	VISUAL MISSION									(pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124						12.00		★				15.30
4	UPTOWN									(rone penny)AVILES YAN 119						2.00		40%		1.50		1.40
SCR	RAISON KARTER									(estvanko rich)BRACHO A 124						5.00
SCR	UNCLE CHARMING									(wilson)BATISTA ALBERTO 124						3.50		★

MVR-3			02/23/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC10	MUDDY	Allowance					Purse ($33.7K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 1:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	EMERSON JONES									(skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 116						3.00		★				5.50
6	DANZA MAGIC									(bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124						10.00						3.80
1	HELLO SWEETS									(gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 116						2.50						1.20
8	SAVESOMEFORME									(gorham robert)BRACHO A 116						4.50		20%		3.90		5.40
5	SORORITY SISTER									(hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 119						5.00		12%		7.00		11.30
7	BIRDIE'S CHANTZ									(yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 119						20.00						49.90
3	TRULY INCLUSIVE									(rone penny)RIVERA R 124						6.00		40%		1.50		9.40
2	MARGARITA CINCO									(ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124						10.00		★				16.00

MVR-4			02/23/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC3	MUDDY	Alw Opt Clm ($25K)					Purse ($36.2K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 2:03
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	CAUSE OF LOVE									(haehn r)HOUGHTON D 124						10.00						26.10
7	KICHI KITSU									(ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 121						3.50		21%		3.80		3.00	P
5	DANCIN' ROSIE									(radosevich je)BRACHO A 124						2.00		39%		1.60		4.10	S
6	ROLLIN ALL THE WAY									(urieta johan)AYALA J 124						2.50		16%		5.20		1.10
1A	CATABOUT									(faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124						6.00						9.60
4	LEXY ANNA									(yoder d)RIVERA R 124						10.00		★				9.40
2	CHLOES ANGEL									(romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124						8.00		★				9.20
1	QUEEN AIR									(faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 119						6.00						9.60

MVR-5			02/23/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC10	MUDDY	Allowance					Purse ($25.9K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:31
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	WICKED CHANCE									(bernardini jay)DIAZ I 124						8.00		★				9.50
7	PRIVATE CONNIE									(jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124						10.00						16.60
1	SUPER BROTHER									(wilson jr)AVILES YAN 121						5.00		5%		19.00		3.60	S
4	CONSIDER ME									(lopez )BATISTA ALBERTO 124						15.00						38.50
2	SCRATCHOFF									(johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119						2.00		56%		0.80		1.70
9	RIKIO									(cline robert)ROSARIO L 124						20.00						13.10
1A	DAWN WEST									(wilson david)AYALA J 124						5.00						3.60
6	NITROMAN									(reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 116						2.50		13%		6.60		3.30
3	SILVER MATT									(romero oscar)RIVERA R 124						20.00						34.20
8	ROSE'S PEPINO									(johnson jenn)GONZALEZ KEVIN 116						6.00		★				6.80

MVR-6			02/23/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC10	MUDDY	Allowance					Purse ($31.9K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:03
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1A	FREE SAILIN									(dacosta jason)DIAZ I 123						2.50		21%		3.70		1.50	W
6	IRISH UNITY									(rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123						6.00		★				5.40	P
7	ATOMIC TONE									(rone penny)RIVERA R 123						3.00		★				3.10	S
2	DYRDEK									(vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 121						4.00						8.00
1	LATIN SPICE									(dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 123						2.50		★				1.50
3	NAUGHTY PRINCE									(sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 123						3.50		44%		1.20		3.40
4	CHIEF RANDEL									(romero a)HOUGHTON D 123						15.00						23.70
5	NICK CAN FIX									(tr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123						10.00		8%		11.60		19.30

MVR-7			02/23/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	MUDDY	Claiming ($10K)					Purse ($19.5K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:34
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
9	APPEALING SENORITA									(gonzalez do)SEVERINO VICTOR 124						1.80		14%		6.10		2.20	W
6	CROSSED UP									(zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 124						2.50		★				2.30	P
7	EASTER PRIDE									(mahan p)VIGIL NOEL 124						20.00						38.90
8	LARSA									(rone penny)RIVERA R 124						3.00		57%		0.80		2.40
5	MY PINK BABY BIRD									(vickers rich)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124						20.00						28.70
3	WAR MOON									(doerin)BATISTA ALBERTO 126						8.00		5%		19.00		6.70
2	MILWAUKEE CAT									(cline c)PAUCAR E 124						20.00						19.40
4	PRICEY APPEAL									(zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 124						12.00		★				11.30
SCR	SASSY POWER									(radosevich ja)BRACHO A 124						15.00

MVR-8			02/23/2023		5280ft	DIRT	RC5	MUDDY	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($31.8K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:04
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	SPLENDID SPIRIT									(urieta johann)BRACHO A 126						2.00		25%		3.00		3.00	W
		(by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of SPLENDROUS by STRONG HOPE)
5	INDY CARR									(tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 113						3.50		12%		7.10		0.60	P
		(by INDY WIND out of MISS CARRERA by MEMO (CHI))
8	UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN									(bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 113						20.00						35.20
		(by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of FLARING STAR by TAP DAY)
1	MY TICKET									(cline robert)ROSARIO L 126						10.00		7%		12.40		13.00
		(by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
7	RUNAWAY RUSSELL									(maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126						3.00		17%		5.00		10.20
		(by MUCH THE BEST out of RUN DON'T HIDE by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
3	MUSIC GEM									(zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 118						15.00						24.20
		(by MAKE MUSIC FOR ME out of AL'S BRIDE by ALCINDOR)
4	BIRD GONE WEST									(west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 118						6.00		16%		5.30		14.70
		(by BIRDRUN out of PAHLMUHREE by GONE WEST)
6	NOSEY POWER									(spiess m)HOUGHTON D 126						8.00						10.70
		(by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

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