Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - February 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (6/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $6.60 $6.60  
MVR-2   Win (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
MVR-3   Win (3/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $13.00  
MVR-4   Win (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $54.20  
MVR-5   Win (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $21.00  
MVR-6   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
MVR-7   Win (8/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
MVR-8   Win (2/7/4/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $8.00 $8.00  

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   02/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:25 :483 1:154 1:303   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS MORO 8 8 811¾ 814 8 1 13 (buttigieg kevin)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 7% 13.70 2.30 W
1A  BEING CREATIVE 6 7 6 6 7 43 23 (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 23% 3.40 3.90  
CAIRO SUMMER 3 3 5 43 6 6 3 (sanchez )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 3.90 S
MOANA'S TALE 7 1 7 7 44 33 4 (dodge albert)GONZALEZ A 124 4.00 37% 1.70 3.30  
TICKLISH 5 6 4 5 54 5 510¼ (reust megan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 33.90  
HALOFIED 4 2 31 3 12 2 611½ (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 5.20  
FREE TO RUN 2 5 2nk 2nk 22 7 715½ (van den)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 6.00 10% 9.50 9.90  
LADY MECHANIC 1 4 1nk 1nk 33 8 821¾ (lopez car)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 3.80  
 
MVR-2   02/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:25 :48 1:131 1:271   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COME SEE ABOUT IT 2 3 1 1nk 1 1 1 (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 1.80 37% 1.70 0.60 W
NIGHT TIME RULER 4 1 2 2nk 2 2 2 (urieta joha)BRICENO M 119 10.00 31.80 P
FALCONS FURY 1 2 4 3 3 45 3 (wilson j)AYALA J 124 3.50 6.90  
VISUAL MISSION 5 4 57 5 57 34 4 (pappada j)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 12.00 15.30  
UPTOWN 3 5 32 4 46 5 5 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 40% 1.50 1.40  
SCR  RAISON KARTER               (estvanko richar)BRACHO A 124 5.00    
SCR  UNCLE CHARMING               (wilson d)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50    
 
MVR-3   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:021     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMERSON JONES 4 2 1½ 1nk   1½ 1¼ (skerrett jeffrey)DIAZ I 116 3.00 5.50  
DANZA MAGIC 6 1 42 4¾   4 2¼ (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 3.80  
HELLO SWEETS 1 4 2½ 5   31 3¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 116 2.50 1.20  
SAVESOMEFORME 8 6 8 7   5 4 (gorham m)BRACHO A 116 4.50 20% 3.90 5.40  
SORORITY SISTER 5 7 55 2nk   2½ 5 (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 12% 7.00 11.30  
BIRDIE'S CHANTZ 7 5 7 8   7 6 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00 49.90  
TRULY INCLUSIVE 3 3 32 3½   6 7 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 6.00 40% 1.50 9.40  
MARGARITA CINCO 2 8 6 6   8 85 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 16.00  
 
MVR-4   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:233 :464 :60     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAUSE OF LOVE 2 6 5 43   3 1 (haehn r)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 26.10  
KICHI KITSU 8 5 4¾ 1   1 2 (ruberto v)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 21% 3.80 3.00 P
DANCIN' ROSIE 4 2 6 6   44 3 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 2.00 39% 1.60 4.10 S
ROLLIN ALL THE WAY 6 4 2nk 2   2 4 (urieta johanna)AYALA J 124 2.50 16% 5.20 1.10  
1A  CATABOUT 7 7 8 710½   79 511¼ (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 9.60  
LEXY ANNA 3 1 3½ 54   56 612 (yoder d)RIVERA R 124 10.00 9.40  
CHLOES ANGEL 1 8 7 811½   811 714½ (romero o)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 9.20  
QUEEN AIR 5 3 1nk 33   6 818¾ (faulkner c)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 9.60  
 
MVR-5   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:011     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED CHANCE 4 5 5 53   42 1¼ (bernardini p)DIAZ I 124 8.00 9.50  
PRIVATE CONNIE 6 4 44 42   2 2¼ (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 16.60  
SUPER BROTHER 9 8 8 78   66 3½ (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 121 5.00 5% 19.00 3.60 S
CONSIDER ME 3 1 11 1   1 4 (lopez ja)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 38.50  
SCRATCHOFF 1 2 21 32   3 5 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 56% 0.80 1.70  
RIKIO 8 7 9 8   9 6 (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 20.00 13.10  
1A  DAWN WEST 10 10 1013½ 9   7 7 (wilson j)AYALA J 124 5.00 3.60  
NITROMAN 5 3 31 2   5 8 (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 116 2.50 13% 6.60 3.30  
SILVER MATT 2 9 6 66   8 9 (romero oscar)RIVERA R 124 20.00 34.20  
ROSE'S PEPINO 7 6 7 10   10 10 (johnson jennif)GONZALEZ KEVIN 116 6.00 6.80  
 
MVR-6   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($31.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:234 :472 :60     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FREE SAILIN 7 5 6 3.2   1½ 13 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 123 2.50 21% 3.70 1.50 W
IRISH UNITY 6 1 2nk 1nk   2½ 23 (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00 5.40 P
ATOMIC TONE 8 3 32 2nk   32 36 (rone penny)RIVERA R 123 3.00 3.10 S
DYRDEK 1 8 7 6   66 4 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 121 4.00 8.00  
LATIN SPICE 5 2 1nk 4   45 5 (dacosta jason)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.50 1.50  
NAUGHTY PRINCE 2 6 4 7   7 6 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 44% 1.20 3.40  
CHIEF RANDEL 3 4 5 5   55 7 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 123 15.00 23.70  
NICK CAN FIX 4 7 8 8   812½ 813¾ (trev)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 10.00 8% 11.60 19.30  
 
MVR-7   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:012     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APPEALING SENORITA 8 5 3 1nk   13 13 (gonzalez dona)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 1.80 14% 6.10 2.20 W
CROSSED UP 5 6 2½ 32   33 23 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 2.30 P
EASTER PRIDE 6 8 5 4   4 3 (mahan p)VIGIL NOEL 124 20.00 38.90  
LARSA 7 1 1½ 2nk   23 45 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 3.00 57% 0.80 2.40  
MY PINK BABY BIRD 4 2 4 5   5 510½ (vickers richar)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 28.70  
WAR MOON 2 7 8 6   7 611¾ (doering )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 8.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
MILWAUKEE CAT 1 4 7 8   6 712 (cline c)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 19.40  
PRICEY APPEAL 3 3 6 7   8 816½ (zielinski richard)BIRT BRAXON 124 12.00 11.30  
SCR  SASSY POWER               (radosevich jake)BRACHO A 124 15.00    
 
MVR-8   02/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:251 :491 1:154 1:301   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPLENDID SPIRIT 2 1 1nk 14 13 16 1 (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 126 2.00 25% 3.00 3.00 W
INDY CARR 5 5 44 58 4 37 2 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 113 3.50 12% 7.10 0.60 P
UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN 8 7 5 45 23 26 3 (bird)SALAZAR FERNANDO 113 20.00 35.20  
MY TICKET 1 3 2nk 24 5 5 414¼ (cline c)ROSARIO L 126 10.00 7% 12.40 13.00  
RUNAWAY RUSSELL 7 2 33 34 3 4 516 (maddox rachael)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 3.00 17% 5.00 10.20  
MUSIC GEM 3 4 6 810¼ 713 616½ 621¼ (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 15.00 24.20  
BIRD GONE WEST 4 8 8 69 815½ 827½ 740½ (west aaron )BERMUDEZ E 118 6.00 16% 5.30 14.70  
NOSEY POWER 6 6 7 7 610 721½ 843 (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 126 8.00 10.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.