Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - February 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (6/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/7)-(1/6/3/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/7)-(1/6/3/7/5)-(1/6/3/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/1/3/7)-(4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3/7)-(4/3)-(3/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-2   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/3/5/6)-(4/3/5/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/3)-(3/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(3/8/5)-(5/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-3   WIN (3/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/5)-(3/8/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/5)-(3/8/5/4/2)-(3/8/5/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/8/5)-(5/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/8/5)-(5/7/6)-(2/6/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-4   WIN (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/6)-(5/7/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6)-(5/7/6/4/2)-(5/7/6/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/7/6)-(2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6)-(2/6/1)-(3/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-5   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1/5/8)-(2/6/1/5/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(3/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(3/1/5)-(8/9/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-6   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(1/3/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(1/3/5/6/7)-(1/3/5/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(8/9/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(8/9/3)-(2/7/4/5/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-7   WIN (8/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/9/3)-(8/9/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/3)-(8/9/3/6/4)-(8/9/3/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/9/3)-(2/7/4/5/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
MVR-8   WIN (2/7/4/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/5/1)-(2/7/4/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/5/1)-(2/7/4/5/1)-(2/7/4/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAIRO SUMMER Jan30 Dec31 Dec18 Dec04 Nov27 (sanche)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 ★    
1A  BEING CREATIVE Feb14 Jan30 Jan18 Dec31 Dec10 (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
2  LADY MECHANIC Feb09 Jan30 Jan03 Dec11 Nov09 (lopez c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50    
3  FREE TO RUN Feb14 Jan31 Jan05 Dec12 Nov29 (van d)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 6.00 10% 9.50    
4  HALOFIED Feb14 Jan31 Jan03 Dec14 Nov22 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 10.00    
5  TICKLISH Jan30 Jan18 Dec12 Dec07 Nov23 (reust megan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 ★    
6  MOANA'S TALE Jan18 Jan05 Dec15 Dec05 Nov22 (dodge albert)GONZALEZ A 124 4.00 37% 1.70    
7  PRINCESS MORO Feb09 Jan30 Jan03 Dec15 Dec05 (buttigieg kev)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 7% 13.70    
 
MVR-2   02/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FALCONS FURY Jan24 Jan09 Dec14 Nov23 Nov02 (wilson david)AYALA J 124 3.50    
SCR  UNCLE CHARMING Jan23 Jan09 Dec08 Nov23 Sep23 (wilson)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 ★    
SCR  RAISON KARTER Jan30 Jan18 Dec28 Dec03 Oct31 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 124 5.00    
3  COME SEE ABOUT IT Jan30 Dec05 Sep30 Sep14 Aug18 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 1.80 37% 1.70    
4  UPTOWN Jan10 Nov15 Oct27 Aug13 Jul05 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
5  NIGHT TIME RULER Feb07 Jan11 Jul05 Jun22 May31 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 119 10.00 ★    
6  VISUAL MISSION Jan09 Dec21 Dec06 Nov07 Sep16 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 12.00 ★    
 
MVR-3   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELLO SWEETS Dec31 Dec15 Nov15     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 116 2.50    
2  MARGARITA CINCO Jan23 Dec27 Nov28 Nov08 May26 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 ★    
3  TRULY INCLUSIVE Jun13 May12       (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 6.00 40% 1.50    
4  EMERSON JONES Dec30 Dec15 Dec01 Nov15 Oct31 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 116 3.00 ★    
5  SORORITY SISTER Jan23 Dec12 Nov28 Oct05 Sep08 (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 12% 7.00    
6  DANZA MAGIC Jan23 Jan10 Dec29 Dec08 Nov23 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
7  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ Jan23 Dec12 Nov28 Nov12 Oct24 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00    
8  SAVESOMEFORME Jan16 Dec30 Dec15 Dec01 Oct05 (gorham robert)BRACHO A 116 4.50 20% 3.90    
 
MVR-4   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN AIR Dec30 Nov23 Nov10 Oct25 Oct13 (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 119 6.00    
1A  CATABOUT Jan28 Dec30 Nov30 Nov12 Oct05 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
2  CHLOES ANGEL Jan05 Dec21 Dec01 Nov12 Oct29 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 ★    
3  CAUSE OF LOVE Feb06 Jan19 Dec30 Dec07 Nov22 (haehn r)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
4  LEXY ANNA Oct05 Sep07 Aug09 Jul20 Jun20 (yoder d)RIVERA R 124 10.00 ★    
5  DANCIN' ROSIE Dec30 Dec01 Nov10 Sep14 Aug13 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 2.00 39% 1.60    
6  ROLLIN ALL THE WAY Feb14 Jan28 Dec30 Dec20 Nov28 (urieta johan)AYALA J 124 2.50 16% 5.20    
7  KICHI KITSU Jan31 Jan18 Nov07 Aug13 Jul26 (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 21% 3.80    
 
MVR-5   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER BROTHER Feb08 Jan18 Dec21 Jul28 Jun24 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
1A  DAWN WEST Feb09 Jan23 Dec22 Dec13 Nov03 (wilson david)AYALA J 124 5.00    
2  SCRATCHOFF Feb02 Jan17 Dec30 Nov10 Sep15 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 56% 0.80    
3  SILVER MATT Jan23 Jan11 Dec28 Dec19 Oct22 (romero oscar)RIVERA R 124 20.00    
4  CONSIDER ME Jan13 Nov30 Nov17 Nov08 Oct12 (lopez )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
5  WICKED CHANCE Feb02 Jan17 Dec06 Jul10 Mar15 (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 124 8.00 ★    
6  NITROMAN Feb02 Oct12 Sep07     (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 116 2.50 13% 6.60    
7  PRIVATE CONNIE Feb02 Jan16 Dec16 Nov09 Oct12 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
8  ROSE'S PEPINO Dec22 Nov27 Oct04     (johnson jenn)GONZALEZ KEVIN 116 6.00 ★    
9  RIKIO Jan07 Dec13 Nov29 Oct14 Sep21 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($31.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATIN SPICE Jul14 Jun11 May24 May09 Apr15 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 123 2.50 ★    
1A  FREE SAILIN Dec10 Nov12 Oct08 Aug23 Jul23 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 123 2.50 21% 3.70    
2  DYRDEK Jan23 Dec28 Nov28 Nov10 Oct26 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 121 4.00    
3  NAUGHTY PRINCE Dec22 Dec08 Nov28 Nov09 Oct04 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 44% 1.20    
4  CHIEF RANDEL Jan10 Dec22 Dec12 Nov21 Nov06 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 123 15.00    
5  NICK CAN FIX Nov21 Oct29 Oct13 Apr05   (tr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 10.00 8% 11.60    
6  IRISH UNITY Feb08 Jan28 Dec22 Dec01 Nov19 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00 ★    
7  ATOMIC TONE Jan24 Dec27 Dec05 Nov14 Oct12 (rone penny)RIVERA R 123 3.00 ★    
 
MVR-7   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SASSY POWER Feb07 Dec07 Nov19 Oct24 Oct13 (radosevich ja)BRACHO A 124 15.00    
2  MILWAUKEE CAT Feb07 Jan04 Aug12 Jul26 Jun23 (cline c)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
3  WAR MOON Feb07 Jan24 Jan04 Dec19 Dec12 (doerin)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  PRICEY APPEAL Jan04 Dec07 Nov19 Oct25 Sep28 (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 124 12.00 ★    
5  MY PINK BABY BIRD Feb07 Jan18 Jan04 Dec07 Nov19 (vickers rich)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
6  CROSSED UP Feb07 Jan18 Dec31 Dec11 Dec03 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 ★    
7  EASTER PRIDE Feb07 Jan18 Jan04 Dec22 Dec07 (mahan p)VIGIL NOEL 124 20.00    
8  LARSA Aug13 Jul27 Jul12 May24 Mar26 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 3.00 57% 0.80    
9  APPEALING SENORITA Feb07 Jan18 Jan04 Dec21 Dec05 (gonzalez do)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 1.80 14% 6.10    
 
MVR-8   02/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY TICKET Feb08 Jan24 Jan09 Dec22 Dec07 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 10.00 7% 12.40    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
2  SPLENDID SPIRIT Feb08 Jan24 Jan09 Dec22 Jul28 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 126 2.00 25% 3.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of SPLENDROUS by STRONG HOPE)
3  MUSIC GEM Feb08 Jan04       (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 15.00    
  (by MAKE MUSIC FOR ME out of AL'S BRIDE by ALCINDOR)
4  BIRD GONE WEST Jan24         (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 118 6.00 16% 5.30    
  (by BIRDRUN out of PAHLMUHREE by GONE WEST)
5  INDY CARR Feb14 Aug18 Jul11 Jun28   (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 113 3.50 12% 7.10    
  (by INDY WIND out of MISS CARRERA by MEMO (CHI))
6  NOSEY POWER Feb08 Jan24 Jan09 Dec22 Dec07 (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 126 8.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
7  RUNAWAY RUSSELL Feb08 Jan26 Jan09 Dec07 Nov09 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 3.00 17% 5.00    
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of RUN DON'T HIDE by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
8  UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN Feb06 Sep14 Aug31     (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 113 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of FLARING STAR by TAP DAY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.