Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - March 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-3   WIN (2/6/7/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $15.60 $5.60 56%
    EXA (2/6/7/1/8)-(2/6/7/1/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00  1-8 $92.60 $52.60 132%
    TRI (2/6/7/1/8)-(2/6/7/1/8)-(2/6/7/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00  1-8-2 $168.05 $138.05 460%
    SFT (2/6/7/1/8)-(2/6/7/1/8)-(2/6/7/1/8)-(2/6/7/1/8) 120 $0.10 $12.00  1-8-2-6 $80.19 $68.19 568%
    DD (4/6/2/7/3)-(2/6/7/1/8) 25 $2.00 $50.00  6-1 $135.80 $85.80 172%
MVR-5   EXA (1/8/4/2)-(1/8/4/2/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00  1-5 $43.60 $11.60 36%
MVR-6   WIN (1/9/10/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  10 $14.60 $4.60 46%
    EXA (1/9/10/7/2)-(1/9/10/7/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00  10-2 $113.40 $73.40 184%
    TRI (1/9/10/7/2)-(1/9/10/7/2)-(1/9/10/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00  10-2-1 $83.00 $53.00 177%
    DD (1/8/4/2)-(1/9/10/7/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00  1-10 $69.00 $29.00 73%
MVR-8   WIN (1/10/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  10 $8.00 $2.00 33%
    PK3 (1/9/10/7/2)-(2/1/5/7/8)-(1/10/2) 75 $0.50 $37.50  10-2-10 $46.60 $9.10 24%
    PK4 (1/8/4/2)-(1/9/10/7/2)-(2/1/5/7/8)-(1/10/2) 300 $0.50 $150  1-10-2/3-10 $159.65 $9.65 6%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   03/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KARMA GHIA 4 5 53 42¼   31 1½ (lucas wayne)CEDILLO MAURO 111 5.00 8.70  
5  HOLIDAY DECISION 5 3 31½ 3.2   2nk 2½ (delacr)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 2.00 26% 2.90 1.70 P
1  FRACING NASTY 1 2 1½ 1nk   1nk 31 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00 22% 3.60 2.20 S
3  VERY WEALTHY 3 1 2½ 2nk   41½ 46¼ (lucas wayne)RIVERA R 124 4.00 ★ 2.90  
2  LOVE'S TAVITO 2 6 65 64¾   53½ 57¾ (lopez jacinto)DIAZ I 124 12.00 5.60  
6  UNDERCOVER LADY 6 4 42 53¾   611½ 619¼ (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 24.80  
SCR  LIAM'S QUALITY               (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 116 6.00 18% 4.60    
 
MVR-2   03/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GRAYWING 5 2 22½ 2nk   1½ 13 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 11% 8.50 2.50 W
8  SAINT GOAR 7 4 33½ 31½   3½ 23 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 5.00 3.10  
4  ODIE 4 1 12½ 1nk   2½ 34½ (patter)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 47% 1.20 2.50 S
1  THRU THE VINE 2 6 65½ 55   54½ 45¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50 7.20  
7  SO DIALED IN 6 3 44 43   43½ 57½ (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 6.00 5% 18.40 3.90  
2  LATIN SPICE 1 5 54½ 66½   67 69¾ (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 8.00 8% 12.10 13.20  
3  ESCAPE VELOCITY 3 7 79 78½   713 714½ (treharne )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 42.70  
SCR  ATOMIC TONE               (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
SCR  DAVID'S GEM               (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50    
 
MVR-3   03/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:222 :462 1:001     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SEA MONSTER 9 4 25 24   13 13¼ (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 7% 13.40 6.80 W
8  CURIOSITY KILLS 8 5 47 37   23 23¼ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 5% 19.00 2.90 P
2  HERO'S DAUGHTER 1 9 810¾ 712   35½ 36¼ (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 5.00 33% 2.00 5.70 S
6  LELAWALA 5 6 1012¾ 812¼   86¾ 47½ (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 4.00 25% 3.00 2.40  
5  SPEEDY FIRE 4 3 36 49   46 57¾ (urieta jo)BRICENO M 119 10.00 14.20  
4  LA MAMA CHULA 3 7 57½ 510   56 69½ (chapman james)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 31.10  
3  IRON WILMA 2 8 911¼ 913¼   76¼ 79¾ (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00 35.50  
1  TERRIFIC LADY 6 10 610½ 610   97¾ 812¼ (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 6.80  
9  LUCKYWISE 10 1 710½ 1013¾   108¼ 915 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 20.00  
7  SIS BOOM BOB 7 2 15 14   66¼ 1025¼ (esquivel jes)MARCANO Y 119 3.00 9% 10.00 3.30  
 
MVR-4   03/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:251 :49 1:14 1:264   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FIRST CITIZEN 2 4 11 11 1½ 12 13 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00 ★ 5.40  
1  JOHN'S ROCK 1 2 32 32 31 22 23 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.50 1.20  
4  ENERGIZER 4 7 52½ 21 2½ 32½ 35¾ (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 49% 1.00 2.40 S
6  COMPLY (NZ) 6 5 62¾ 63¾ 64½ 46½ 410½ (rone penny)RIVERA R 123 4.00 26% 2.80 6.40  
5  DISCLOSURE 5 6 72¾ 74¼ 54 56½ 510½ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 123 5.00 ★ 32.10  
3  CHIEF RANDEL 3 3 21 42 43 68½ 617 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00 ★ 26.70  
7  MIDNIGHT J J 7 1 42 53½ 76½ 712½ 729¼ (brownfield cl)BRACHO A 123 6.00 7.00  
 
MVR-5   03/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:001     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWGIRL KIMMIE 3 4 42½ 2nk   13 13 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 2.50 38% 1.70 1.90 W
1A  WESTLODGE INTRIGUE 4 3 21 31   34½ 23 (robillard juli)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 ★ 1.90 P
5  BEAUTY DAY 5 8 94 73¾   46 35¼ (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 ★ 8.10 S
7  BEND THE KNEE 7 1 11 1nk   23 48 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 1.20  
8  CHARGAREE 8 6 53½ 52¼   78 58 (zirche)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 29% 2.50 7.00  
6  ROMANTIC JEWEL 6 2 32½ 41¼   56 68¾ (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 63.50  
9  FLYING BUSINESS 9 9 73¾ 62¼   66½ 79½ (hurley mary )KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00 7.30  
2  TAPALONG 1 7 63¾ 97   913 814½ (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 14.50  
3  LEADING INDICATOR 2 5 84 86¾   812 914¾ (welsh r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 86.90  
SCR  ROSE RING               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 5.00 7% 13.10    
 
MVR-6   03/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:223 :46 :591     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CUMBER 11 2 63¼ 44   52¼ 1¼ (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 8.00 14% 6.30 6.30 W
2  MAGICAL EXPRESS 1 6 42½ 67   63¾ 2¼ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 6% 14.90 5.20 P
1  PAT DADDY 5 7 84¾ 56   21½ 3¾ (rivera nestor)PEREZ E 124 4.00 27% 2.80 2.10 S
3  EL BOHEMIO 2 11 74¼ 77¼   75¾ 42½ (esquivel jes)MARCANO Y 119 15.00 17.10  
1A  THE COOKIE MAN 9 1 12 12½   11½ 53 (rivera nesto)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.00 2.10  
5  CLAW 4 5 32 34   32 64 (barnes a)DIAZ I 124 3.00 4.20  
9  ENJOY BASEBALL 10 10 1114¼ 1117¼   99¾ 75 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00 16% 5.20 13.20  
7  ATTUCK 7 3 22 22½   42 85¾ (patters)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 14% 6.30 7.90  
6  TOO LEGIT 6 4 53 98¾   88¾ 98¼ (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 9.00  
4  SOUTHERN WILL 3 9 105¼ 1010¼   109¾ 108¾ (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 12.00 16.20  
8  SAVAGE NATION 8 8 94¾ 87¾   1116¾ 1120¾ (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 20.00 56.30  
 
MVR-7   03/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:224 :463 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HIP HIP HOORAY 2 3 31½ 21½   1nk 11¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 29% 2.40 1.20 W
6  SHANGHAI PRINCE 5 1 11 11½   2nk 21¼ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 4.50 9.20  
5  WILD OX 4 7 76 31½   31½ 33 (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 124 3.50 16% 5.30 1.90 S
1  GARRETT 1 5 64 55   45 45¾ (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 18% 4.70 8.10  
8  KINGOFTHEBUCKEYE 7 2 43½ 75¼   57 57 (ruberto louis )DIAZ I 124 8.00 6% 17.10 23.20  
4  EL MARRO 3 6 54 65¼   610 616½ (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 16.10  
7  FIRST NAVY ADMIRAL 6 4 21 43½   715 724 (patters)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 11% 8.10 6.50  
SCR  NEBULOSA               (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00    
 
MVR-8   03/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:013     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  GRANDE RED 7 4 1nk 12   11 12½ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 126 2.00 29% 2.40 3.00 W
  (by ANIMO DE VALEROSO out of PRECOCIOUS by EXPLOIT)
1  INDY CARR 1 3 42¼ 33   21 22½ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 118 1.60 30% 2.30 0.60 P
  (by INDY WIND out of MISS CARRERA by MEMO (CHI))
2  RUNAWAY RUSSELL 2 1 2nk 22   32½ 35¼ (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 6.00 17% 4.90 5.70 S
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of RUN DON'T HIDE by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
4  BIG TIME FLIRT 4 7 76 77¾   48½ 410¾ (erdel john)DIAZ I 126 20.00 10.20  
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of SMALL TOWN FLIRT by PURGE)
3  DANES HEART 3 5 32 44   58½ 513 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 126 15.00 ★ 33.20  
  (by KENTUCKY DANE out of HOPEFUL HEART by LOST SOLDIER)
8  ALDUIN 5 8 810½ 89¾   713 616¼ (vazquez iv)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 20.00 79.70  
  (by CRIMSON COMIC out of LESLIE GARDENS by FORESTRY)
9  A K A FIBBER MCGEE 6 2 52¼ 64¼   611 717 (rone penny)RIVERA R 126 12.00 39.70  
  (by LIGHTNIN N THUNDER out of JOAQUINA by HOLY BULL)
11  MY HOMBRE 8 6 62½ 54   815½ 821¾ (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 20.00 19.60  
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of ORIENTAL BELLA by CAPE TOWN)
SCR  ATILANO'S THUNDER               (brown t)BRACHO A 126 20.00    
  (by MAGNIFICENT MAX (GB) out of TIZ OUR DREAM by TIZNOW)
SCR  BIRD GONE WEST               (west m)PEREZ E 118 10.00 ★    
  (by BIRDRUN out of PAHLMUHREE by GONE WEST)
SCR  SOL OF VAQUERO               (campbell l)DIAZ R 126 20.00    
  (by VAQUERO out of SHE'S SO HAPPY by YOUR ABC'S)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.